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Thursday, November 22, 2018

Samudera - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/26/17 Amfrasers Samudera 0.189 0.26 Buy PB0.4x
10/13/17 Amfrasers Samudera 0.24 0.38 Buy PB0.6x FY17

Sabana Reit - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/23/17 phillip Sabana Reit 0.375 0.51 Trading Buy PB0.9x, Ex-rights 42 for 100 @ $0.258
03/06/17 phillip Sabana Reit 0.43 0.54 Trading Buy PB0.9x
05/11/17 phillip Sabana Reit 0.455 0.54 Trading Buy PB0.9X
08/08/17 phillip Sabana Reit 0.49 0.57 Trading Buy PB1x

Roxy-Pacific - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/01/17 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.525 0.52 Hold
11/22/17 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.52 0.52 Hold
12/07/17 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.54 0.6 Buy
12/12/17 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.53 0.69 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
02/15/18 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.56 0.66 Buy
02/19/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.56 0.69 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
03/20/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.555 0.69 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
04/03/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.55 0.69 Buy
05/08/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.515 0.63 Buy
05/15/18 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.515 0.6 Buy
06/05/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.505 0.63 Buy
07/09/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.43 0.4 Fully Valued RNAV (55% discount)
08/01/18 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.44 0.44 Hold RNAV (35% discount)
08/01/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.44 0.4 Hold RNAV (55% discount)
08/02/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.44 0.4 Fully Valued RNAV (55% discount)
11/01/18 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.38 0.41 Hold RNAV (40% discount)

Stock calls for 22 November 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
11/22/18 Lim & Tan Jumbo 0.405 0 Hold
11/22/18 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.405 0.44 Hold
11/22/18 DMG & Partners SGX 7.21 8.4 Buy

Singapore Q3 GDP slowed more than expected.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/singapore-economy-grew-2-2-q3-full-year-growth-seen-3-3-5-031142015.html

Singapore Q3 GDP grew only 2.2%, below expectation and slower than the previous quarter of 4.1%.

Many countries in Asia are slowing down now and SG cannot escape unscathed.  2019 will be a bad year as the full impact of the trade war will be felt.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/malaysia-and-thailand-economies-are.html

The US corporate debt is US$29T, not US$9T as stated.

https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/apos-9-trillion-corporate-debt-122100970.html

The US is trying to understate its corporate debt in the country because its economy is faltering and the trade war is escalating.

We had posted the US corporate debt previously.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2017/05/chinas-total-debt-vs-usas-total-debt.html

There is no way for the US companies to reduce the corporate debt from US$29T to US$9T in just 1 year.

Fake news again!

Wednesday, November 21, 2018

Riverstone - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/03/17 DMG & Partners Riverstone 0.88 0.93 Neutral
02/24/17 CIMB Riverstone 0.91 0.91 Hold PER16.4x CY18
02/24/17 Kim Eng Riverstone 0.91 0.83 Hold PER16x FY17
05/05/17 Kim Eng Riverstone 0.885 1.05 Buy
05/05/17 Lim & Tan Riverstone 0.885 1.06 Buy PER16x
05/08/17 CIMB Riverstone 0.96 1.11 Add PER18.3x FY18
05/08/17 DBS Vickers Riverstone 0.96 1.07 Buy PER16x FY18
08/04/17 Lim & Tan Riverstone 1.065 0 Hold
08/04/17 DBS Vickers Riverstone 1.065 1.07 Buy PER16x FY18
08/07/17 CIMB Riverstone 1.05 1.2 Add PER16.3x FY18
08/07/17 Kim Eng Riverstone 1.05 1.05 Hold
08/08/17 DBS Vickers Riverstone 1.055 1.09 Hold PER16x FY18
11/09/17 Kim Eng Riverstone 1.065 1.05 Hold PER16x FY18
11/09/17 DBS Vickers Riverstone 1.065 1.09 Hold
02/26/18 CIMB Riverstone 1.04 1.28 Add PER18.6x FY19
02/26/18 DBS Vickers Riverstone 1.04 1.27 Buy PER16x FY19
02/26/18 Kim Eng Riverstone 1.04 1.22 Buy PER18x FY18
05/09/18 DBS Vickers Riverstone 0.985 1.27 Buy
05/09/18 Lim & Tan Riverstone 0.985 0 Hold
05/14/18 CIMB Riverstone 1 1.28 Add
08/08/18 CIMB Riverstone 1.1 1.28 Add PER16.7x FY19
08/08/18 DBS Vickers Riverstone 1.1 1.25 Buy PER16x FY19
08/20/18 CIMB Riverstone 1.11 1.3 Add PER16.7x FY19
11/05/18 DBS Vickers Riverstone 1.18 1.17 Hold PER16x FY19
11/05/18 CIMB Riverstone 1.18 1.3 Add PER16.7x CY19

Religare Health Trust - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/07/17 DBS Vickers Religare Health Trust 0.925 0.85 Hold DDM
02/08/17 CIMB Religare Health Trust 0.89 0.89 Hold DDM
05/24/17 DBS Vickers Religare Health Trust 0.92 0.85 Hold DDM, PB1x
08/07/17 CIMB Religare Health Trust 0.88 0.92 Hold DDM
11/16/17 DBS Vickers Religare Health Trust 0.895 0.85 Hold DDM, Offer $0.90
11/16/17 CIMB Religare Health Trust 0.895 0.92 Hold DDM, PB1.08x
02/14/18 CIMB Religare Health Trust 0.83 0.92 Hold DDM
03/20/18 DBS Vickers Religare Health Trust 0.775 0.85 Hold
06/14/18 CIMB Religare Health Trust 0.765 0.81 Hold DDM

Regal - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/18/17 NRA Regal 0.145 0.315 Overweight
03/20/17 NRA Regal 0.149 0.3 Overweight RNAV (15% discount)
06/19/17 NRA Regal 0.143 0.3 Overweight
12/11/17 NRA Regal 0.135 0.3 Overweight
04/10/18 NRA Regal 0.13 0.3 Overweight
08/23/18 NRA Regal 0.11 0.3 Overweight

Stock calls for 21 November 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
11/21/18 Phillip A-Reit 2.55 2.78 Accumulate
11/21/18 phillip Cache Logistics 0.665 0.75 Neutral
11/21/18 Phillip CapitaCommercial 1.7 1.9 Accumulate
11/21/18 Phillip Capitamall Trust 2.2 2.09 Neutral
11/21/18 Phillip CapitaRetail China 1.35 1.66 Accumulate
11/21/18 DMG & Partners China Aviation Oil 1.22 1.32 Neutral
11/21/18 phillip First Reit 0.975 1.3 Neutral
11/21/18 Phillip Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.15 2.21 Neutral
11/21/18 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.18 8.38 Add Sum of parts
11/21/18 Phillip Keppel DC Reit 1.35 1.45 Accumulate
11/21/18 Phillip Mapletree Industrial 1.84 1.99 Neutral
11/21/18 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 0.77 0.99 Buy DCF
11/21/18 OCBC Yanlord 1.26 2.04 Buy PEG

Bitcoin is hit with another bad news!

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-payments-distant-dream-usage-dries-124105616--sector.html

The commercial transactions in using bitcoin as payments have dropped by 80% in 2018.

This means that most of the bitcoin transactions are speculative trading, not some real commercial transactions.

We had stated previously that bitcoin was not feasible to be a payment mode.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/01/the-truth-about-bitcoin.html

We will be updating our viewers with a detailed write-up on ICO & Crypto soon.

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

OMG! Noble Group is under CAD investigation now!

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/singapore-probing-noble-group-false-statements-disclosure-breaches-080400483--sector.html

Commercial Affairs Dept (CAD) is investigating Noble Group for false statements, disclosure breaches and non-compliance of accounting standards.  If a fraud is detected by CAD, Noble will be in a serious trouble.

RE&S - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
11/17/17 Phillip RE & S 0.22 0 Subscribe IPO

Raffles Medical - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/03/17 DMG & Partners Raffles Medical 1.43 1.76 Buy DCF
01/03/17 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.43 1.7 Buy DCF
01/19/17 DIR Raffles Medical 1.475 1.49 Hold DCF
02/08/17 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.455 1.7 Buy
02/20/17 CIMB Raffles Medical 1.48 1.46 Reduce Sum of parts
02/20/17 OCBC Raffles Medical 1.48 1.61 Buy
02/21/17 CIMB Raffles Medical 1.46 1.36 Reduce Sum of parts, EV/Ebitda23x CY17
02/21/17 Credit Suisse Raffles Medical 1.46 1.6 Neutral
02/21/17 DBS Vickers Raffles Medical 1.46 1.4 Hold PER29x FY17/18
02/21/17 DIR Raffles Medical 1.46 1.43 Hold DCF
02/21/17 DMG & Partners Raffles Medical 1.46 1.72 Buy DCF
02/21/17 Kim Eng Raffles Medical 1.46 1.7 Buy DCF
02/21/17 Lim & Tan Raffles Medical 1.46 0 Hold
02/21/17 OCBC Raffles Medical 1.46 1.6 Buy
02/21/17 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.46 1.67 Buy
02/22/17 Phillip Raffles Medical 1.445 1.6 Accumulate DCF
03/21/17 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.42 1.66 Buy
03/24/17 Kim Eng Raffles Medical 1.405 1.7 Buy DCF
04/03/17 OCBC Raffles Medical 1.415 1.6 Buy Sum of parts
04/04/17 CIMB Raffles Medical 1.43 1.36 Reduce Sum of parts
04/04/17 Credit Suisse Raffles Medical 1.43 1.6 Neutral
04/04/17 DIR Raffles Medical 1.43 1.63 Outperform DCF
04/04/17 DMG & Partners Raffles Medical 1.43 1.72 Buy Sum of parts
04/05/17 DBS Vickers Raffles Medical 1.445 1.4 Hold PER29x FY17/18
04/10/17 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.47 1.66 Buy DCF
04/25/17 CIMB Raffles Medical 1.415 1.37 Reduce Sum of parts
04/25/17 DIR Raffles Medical 1.415 1.56 Outperform DCF
04/25/17 DMG & Partners Raffles Medical 1.415 1.49 Neutral DCF
04/25/17 Kim Eng Raffles Medical 1.415 1.67 Buy DCF
04/25/17 Phillip Raffles Medical 1.415 1.49 Accumulate DCF
04/25/17 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.415 1.52 Hold DCF, Buy @ $1.35
06/05/17 Kim Eng Raffles Medical 1.365 1.54 Buy DCF
06/08/17 OCBC Raffles Medical 1.375 1.6 Buy
06/19/17 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.355 1.52 Hold DCF
06/20/17 CIMB Raffles Medical 1.36 1.25 Reduce Sum of parts
08/01/17 Phillip Raffles Medical 1.285 1.27 Neutral DCF
08/01/17 DIR Raffles Medical 1.285 1.46 Outperform DCF
08/01/17 DMG & Partners Raffles Medical 1.285 1.1 Sell DCF
08/01/17 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.285 1.3 Hold DCF, Buy @ $1.17
08/01/17 Kim Eng Raffles Medical 1.285 1.12 Sell DCF
08/01/17 OCBC Raffles Medical 1.285 1.47 Buy
08/01/17 Credit Suisse Raffles Medical 1.285 1.45 Neutral
08/01/17 CIMB Raffles Medical 1.285 1.25 Reduce Sum of parts
08/01/17 Lim & Tan Raffles Medical 1.285 0 Sell
08/02/17 DBS Vickers Raffles Medical 1.11 1.2 Hold PER25x FY17/18
09/18/17 CIMB Raffles Medical 1.1 1.21 Add Sum of parts
09/21/17 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.105 1.28 Buy DCF
10/11/17 DIR Raffles Medical 1.17 1.29 Outperform DCF
10/16/17 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.155 1.28 Buy DCF
10/31/17 CIMB Raffles Medical 1.125 1.24 Add Sum of parts
10/31/17 Phillip Raffles Medical 1.125 1.32 Accumulate DCF
10/31/17 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.125 1.34 Buy DCF
10/31/17 DMG & Partners Raffles Medical 1.125 1.1 Neutral DCF
10/31/17 OCBC Raffles Medical 1.125 1.26 Buy
10/31/17 DBS Vickers Raffles Medical 1.125 1 Fully Valued PER26x FY18, PER30x FY19
10/31/17 Lim & Tan Raffles Medical 1.125 0 Hold
11/29/17 DMG & Partners Raffles Medical 1.06 1.1 Neutral
01/08/18 CIMB Raffles Medical 1.12 1.24 Add Sum of parts
02/13/18 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.08 1.34 Buy
02/27/18 Phillip Raffles Medical 1.1 1.32 Accumulate DCF
02/27/18 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.1 1.32 Buy DCF
02/27/18 OCBC Raffles Medical 1.1 1.26 Buy Sum of parts
02/27/18 Kim Eng Raffles Medical 1.1 1.13 Hold DCF
02/27/18 DMG & Partners Raffles Medical 1.1 1.02 Neutral DCF
02/28/18 DBS Vickers Raffles Medical 1.16 1 Fully Valued Sum of parts, PER26x FY18
03/13/18 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.17 1.32 Buy DCF
05/02/18 Phillip Raffles Medical 1.15 1.32 Accumulate DCF
05/02/18 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.15 1.32 Buy DCF
05/02/18 DMG & Partners Raffles Medical 1.15 1.02 Sell DCF
05/02/18 OCBC Raffles Medical 1.15 1.26 Buy
05/02/18 CIMB Raffles Medical 1.15 1.24 Hold Sum of parts
05/02/18 Kim Eng Raffles Medical 1.15 1.13 Hold
06/29/18 DMG & Partners Raffles Medical 1.01 1.02 Neutral DCF
07/24/18 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.1 1.28 Buy DCF, PER34.8x FY18
08/07/18 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.09 1.28 Buy DCF, PER34.8x FY18
08/07/18 DMG & Partners Raffles Medical 1.09 1.02 Neutral
08/07/18 CIMB Raffles Medical 1.09 1.19 Hold Sum of parts
08/07/18 OCBC Raffles Medical 1.09 1.26 Buy
08/08/18 Phillip Raffles Medical 1.11 1.32 Accumulate DCF
09/24/18 OCBC Raffles Medical 1.1 1.26 Buy
10/30/18 OCBC Raffles Medical 1.09 1.26 Buy Sum of parts
10/30/18 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.09 1.27 Buy DCF
10/30/18 DMG & Partners Raffles Medical 1.09 1.02 Neutral DCF
10/30/18 CIMB Raffles Medical 1.09 1.19 Hold Sum of parts

QAF - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/02/17 OCBC QAF 1.41 1.46 Hold Buy @ $1.36 or lower
05/08/17 OCBC QAF 1.34 1.46 Hold

Stock calls for 20 November 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
11/20/18 Lim & Tan Capitaland 3.14 0 Buy
11/20/18 DMG & Partners Fu Yu 0.182 0.23 Buy
11/20/18 CIMB Jubilee 0.034 0.051 Add
11/20/18 CIMB MM2 Asia 0.345 0.5 Add Sum of parts
11/20/18 DMG & Partners Starhill 0.665 0.8 Buy
11/20/18 DMG & Partners UOB 24.25 30.8 Buy

MAS new payment services bill will hit the ICO and Cryptocurrency industries.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/mas-finalises-framework-payment-services-singapore-094922413.html

This new payment services bill will definitely douse the flames of the ICO and crypto developments in Singapore because they will be subjected to more costs, rules, and regulations.

Goodbye ICO & Crypto!

Monday, November 19, 2018

Apple has cut production orders by 1/3 officially!

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/apple-cuts-production-orders-three-iphone-models-wsj-094545386--finance.html

No wonder Apple refuses to disclose its unit sales figures anymore. A 1/3 cut is very significant and it will impact its earnings.  There is no way to continue to sell iPhones at higher prices because iPhones do not have an inelastic demand.  Apple will definitely be impacted by the 1/3 cut.

Q & M - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/03/17 CIMB Q & M 0.71 0.6 Reduce PER28x
03/06/17 Kim Eng Q & M 0.705 0.77 Hold PER36x FY18
03/06/17 phillip Q & M 0.705 0.65 Reduce PER38.2x FY17
05/12/17 CIMB Q & M 0.705 0.6 Reduce PER28x CY18
05/15/17 phillip Q & M 0.7 0.65 Reduce PER38.2x FY17
06/05/17 Kim Eng Q & M 0.685 0.6 Hold PER28x FY18
08/21/17 phillip Q & M 0.63 0.61 Neutral PER32x
01/08/18 CIMB Q & M 0.65 0.61 Reduce PER28x CY19
03/02/18 phillip Q & M 0.635 0.625 Hold PER27x FY18
05/16/18 phillip Q & M 0.605 0.625 Neutral PER27x FY18
08/16/18 phillip Q & M 0.51 0.649 Buy PER28x FY18
11/19/18 phillip Q & M 0.21 0.513 Neutral PER25x FY18/19

Propnex - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
09/12/18 UOB Kay Hian Propnex 0.535 0.65 Buy DCF, PER10x FY19
10/22/18 UOB Kay Hian Propnex 0.535 0.65 Buy DCF, PER10x FY19
11/15/18 UOB Kay Hian Propnex 0.56 0.65 Buy DCF, PER10x FY19