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Wednesday, January 9, 2019

Boustead - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
05/24/18 Lim & Tan Boustead 0.785 0 Hold

Stock calls for 9 January 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Percent Valuation
01/09/19 DMG & Partners EC World Reit 0.7 0.81 Buy 15.71

Apple cuts its Q1 production plan by 10%.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/apple-cuts-q1-production-plan-iphones-10-percent-020022653--finance.html

As expected, Apple sales are worse than forecast.

We have been warning our viewers about it.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/01/iphone-sales-in-china-wont-be-good-in.html

Tuesday, January 8, 2019

Best World - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/27/18 Kim Eng Best World 1.37 2.06 Buy
02/28/18 DBS Vickers Best World 1.44 1.79 Buy PER17x FY18
02/28/18 CIMB Best World 1.44 1.7 Add PER14x CY19
04/02/18 Kim Eng Best World 1.84 2.06 Buy
05/15/18 DBS Vickers Best World 1.45 1.29 Fully Valued PER15x FY18/19
05/16/18 CIMB Best World 1.29 1.39 Hold PER12.5x CY19
08/10/18 CIMB Best World 1.25 1.39 Hold PER12.5x CY19
08/10/18 DBS Vickers Best World 1.25 1.15 Fully Valued PER15x FY18
10/23/18 DMG & Partners Best World 1.49 1.97 Buy PER13x FY19
11/12/18 DMG & Partners Best World 1.85 2.13 Buy PER13x FY19
11/12/18 CIMB Best World 1.85 1.9 Hold PER12.5x CY20

Banyan Tree - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/11/18 UOB Kay Hian Banyan Tree 0.63 0.92 Buy Sum of parts
02/28/18 UOB Kay Hian Banyan Tree 0.62 0.92 Buy Sum of parts
03/01/18 phillip Banyan Tree 0.605 0.71 Accumulate Sum of parts
03/05/18 UOB Kay Hian Banyan Tree 0.585 0.92 Buy
04/20/18 UOB Kay Hian Banyan Tree 0.605 1 Buy Sum of parts
05/16/18 UOB Kay Hian Banyan Tree 0.58 1 Buy Sum of parts
05/17/18 phillip Banyan Tree 0.575 0.73 Accumulate Sum of parts, PB0.94x FY18
07/16/18 phillip Banyan Tree 0.525 0.73 Accumulate Sum of parts, PB0.94x FY18
08/15/18 UOB Kay Hian Banyan Tree 0.535 1 Buy Sum of parts
08/24/18 phillip Banyan Tree 0.54 0.73 Accumulate Sum of parts, PB0.94x FY18

Ayonda - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/31/18 phillip Ayonda 0.009 0.22 Buy Price to sales 6x FY18

Stock calls for 8 January 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/08/19 UOB Kay Hian DBS 23.75 28.5 Buy
01/08/19 Kim Eng Hi-P 0.965 0.68 Sell
01/08/19 OCBC M1 2.06 2.06 Accept Offer Offer $2.06
01/08/19 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 11.37 13.82 Buy
01/08/19 Kim Eng Valuetronics 0.69 0.9 Buy PB1.9x FY19
01/08/19 Kim Eng Venture 14.44 17.48 Buy PB2x FY19, PER14.4x FY19

The US is using WSJ to smear China now.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/china-offered-bail-malaysias-1mdb-fund-wsj-says-032724189.html

After the failure of Bloomberg to smear China on so-called China's spy microchip which was never found and presented to the public, the US is using WSJ to launch another smearing campaign against China.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/10/the-us-is-embarking-on-anti-china.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/10/apple-urged-bloomberg-to-retract-fake.html

The US government is adept at using media channels to discredit other people or countries and the US is also good at fabricating intelligence such as the Iraq's WMD's which are still not found yet.

There is no need for China to bail out 1MDB in exchange for the stakes in railway and pipelines. Why?  This is because China can just offer to berth all its ships in Malaysia in exchange for the stakes in the OBR initiative since more than 70% of the ships plying the Strait of Malacca are from China.  This offer is more lucrative and attractive than the so-called 1MDB offer.

Alternatively, China can buy Malaysia's bonds to prop up its currency.  There are so many avenues to help Malaysia which are better than bailing out 1MDB since 1MDB has a bad name already.  Why would China want to associate itself with a corrupted entity?



ECB: Cryptocurrencies are complete loads of nonsense!

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/virtual-currencies-down-load-nonsense-171051159.html

The strongest condemnation of Crypto by the ECB!

The crypto market will start to disintegrate if the crypto prices are below the mining costs for a considerable long period such as 1 year or more.  This is because the crypto miners will collapse first due to the unprofitable mining, followed by the crypto exchanges because of the low liquidity and security risks and then the crypto investors for their unrealistic thinkings.

Please read our posting below for more information.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/a-financial-analysis-on-initial-coin.html

Monday, January 7, 2019

The US is stirring up South China Sea issue again!

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/u-navy-ship-sails-disputed-south-china-sea-062311985.html

What's the purpose of this freedom of navigation when only the US naval vessels will sail through this area?  No other country will dare to sail through this region.

Whenever the US naval vessel sailed through this region, they would get chased away by the Chinese navy.  Look like the US navy likes to play a mouse and cat game because the US navy doesn't dare to stay put to confront the Chinese navy as it knows that the region belongs to the Chinese.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/a-1947-map-showed-that-south-china-sea.html

Avi-Tech - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/24/18 DMG & Partners Avi-Tech 0.48 0.59 Buy DCF, PER12x FY18
02/20/18 DMG & Partners Avi-Tech 0.49 0.59 Buy
05/08/18 DMG & Partners Avi-Tech 0.455 0.46 Neutral DCF, PER11.5x FY19
05/16/18 DMG & Partners Avi-Tech 0.44 0.43 Neutral DCF, PER11.5x FY19
06/27/18 DMG & Partners Avi-Tech 0.39 0.43 Neutral
09/12/18 DMG & Partners Avi-Tech 0.355 0.38 Neutral DCF
11/13/18 DMG & Partners Avi-Tech 0.32 0.34 Neutral DCF
01/07/19 DMG & Partners Avi-Tech 0.3 0.34 Neutral

Aspen - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/02/18 CIMB Aspen 0.215 0.29 Add RNAV (45% discount)

Asian Healthcare - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
06/18/18 NRA Asian Healthcare 0.27 0.355 Not Rated PER24.2x FY19, EV/Ebitda16.18x FY19, Mid-point of target $0.33-$0.38
07/11/18 UOB Kay Hian Asian Healthcare 0.24 0.33 Buy PER19.4x FY19
10/22/18 UOB Kay Hian Asian Healthcare 0.265 0.33 Buy

Stock calls for 7 January 2019


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Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/07/19 DMG & Partners Avi-Tech 0.3 0.34 Neutral
01/07/19 CIMB Capitaland 3.06 3.55 Add RNAV (35% discount)
01/07/19 DMG & Partners CSE Global 0.395 0.59 Buy
01/07/19 DMG & Partners GSS Energy 0.097 0.19 Buy
01/07/19 DMG & Partners Kimly 0.24 0.27 Neutral
01/07/19 DMG & Partners Moya Asia 0.06 0.11 Buy
01/07/19 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 2.39 2.7 Buy DCF
01/07/19 DBS Vickers Silverlake 0.425 0.62 Buy PER21x FY19
01/07/19 OCBC SPH Reit 1.01 0.99 Hold
01/07/19 Kim Eng SPH Reit 1.01 1.02 Hold DDM
01/07/19 DBS Vickers SPH Reit 1.01 1.05 Buy DCF
01/07/19 Lim & Tan SPH Reit 1.01 0 Hold
01/07/19 CIMB SPH Reit 1.01 1.02 Hold DDM
01/07/19 DMG & Partners Talkmed 0.59 0.64 Neutral
01/07/19 DMG & Partners Valuetronics 0.675 0.82 Buy
01/07/19 UOB Kay Hian Venture 13.71 12.9 Hold
01/07/19 Lim & Tan Venture 13.71 0 Buy
01/07/19 CIMB Yongnam 0.183 0.41 Add PB0.8x FY19

Saturday, January 5, 2019

Taiwan president is making a ridiculous call for international support.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-taiwan-china/taiwan-president-calls-for-international-support-to-defend-democracy-idUSKCN1OZ058

First of all, Taiwan is part of China as stated by the UN resolution 2758 under the one-China policy.

If you want to have democracy, you need to change the UN resolution 2758 first but it cannot be changed without 2/3 approvals from the UN members.

Please also look at the western map in 1947 which showed the true ownership of Taiwan.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/a-1947-map-showed-that-south-china-sea.html

Baltic dry index - 1260

Today, Friday, January 04 2019, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 7 points, reaching 1260 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan Ocean.

US rig count - 1075

The US rig count fell 8 units during the week ended Jan. 4 to reach 1,075 units working, according to Baker Hughes data (OGJ Online, Dec. 28, 2018). This count was up 151 units from the 924 units working in the US this week a year ago.
US rigs drilling on land fell 6 units to 1,050 vs. last week. Offshore rigs dropped 2 units to 22, and there also were 22 rigs drilling in the Gulf of Mexico, also down 2 units.
US rigs targeting oil reached 877 this week, 8 fewer than a week ago. Gas-focused rigs remained unchanged at 198 units.
In Canada, there were 76 rigs working, 6 more than a week ago. This count is down 98 units from the 174 rigs working this week a year ago.
The number of oil-directed rigs in Canada rose 5 units, bringing the count to 20 rigs for the week. Gas-targeted rigs in Canada were up 1 unit to 56.
Among the major oil and gas-producing states, California, at 10 rigs, was down 5 units this week. Louisiana, down 2 rigs, reached 65 units working. New Mexico and Wyoming, with respective counts of 105 and 33 this week, were down 1 unit each.
Colorado gained 1 rig to reach 35 units working. Texas, at 534 units, and Alaska, at 9 units, each gained 2 rigs this week.
All other states were unchanged this week. These counts were Oklahoma, 140; North Dakota, 53; Pennsylvania, 47; Ohio, 15; West Virginia, 12; Utah, 6; and Kansas, 2.
In the Permian basin, a total of 487 rigs were drilling, up 1 unit from a week ago and 87 more than this week a year ago. The Eagle Ford had 80 rigs drilling this week, unchanged from last week but up 10 from this week a year ago.
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Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Friday, January 4, 2019

The stock markets are in a precarious situation now.

The US-China trade talk will convene on 7-8 Jan 2019 in China.

If the trade talk breaks down, the stock markets will pummel again!

Ascendas India Trust (AIT) - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/30/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas India Trust 1.13 1.25 Buy
04/26/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas India Trust 1.01 1.22 Buy DDM
04/26/18 Jefferies Ascendas India Trust 1.01 1.2 Buy
05/15/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas India Trust 1.05 1.22 Buy
06/26/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas India Trust 1.02 1.25 Buy DDM
07/26/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas India Trust 1.09 1.25 Buy DDM
10/25/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas India Trust 1.06 1.25 Buy DDM

Ascendas Hospitality Trust (AHT) - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/30/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas Hospitality Trust 0.875 0.91 Buy
02/02/18 Lim & Tan Ascendas Hospitality Trust 0.895 0 Hold
02/05/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas Hospitality Trust 0.885 0.97 Buy DCF
04/17/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas Hospitality Trust 0.8 0.97 Buy
06/26/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas Hospitality Trust 0.775 0.98 Buy DCF
07/06/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas Hospitality Trust 0.785 0.98 Buy
11/02/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas Hospitality Trust 0.805 0.98 Buy DCF