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Friday, March 29, 2019

SPH - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/15/18 CIMB SPH 2.63 2.49 Hold Sum of parts, PER18.6x FY19
01/15/18 UOB Kay Hian SPH 2.63 2.42 Sell Sum of parts
01/15/18 Lim & Tan SPH 2.63 0 Hold
01/16/18 DBS Vickers SPH 2.71 2.78 Hold Sum of parts
01/17/18 OCBC SPH 2.71 2.51 Hold Sum of parts (10% discount)
03/05/18 UOB Kay Hian SPH 2.55 2.42 Sell
03/14/18 UOB Kay Hian SPH 2.56 2.39 Sell Sum of parts
04/11/18 UOB Kay Hian SPH 2.49 2.41 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $2.30
04/11/18 Lim & Tan SPH 2.49 0 Hold
04/12/18 OCBC SPH 2.49 2.52 Hold
04/12/18 DBS Vickers SPH 2.49 2.6 Hold Sum of parts
06/13/18 UOB Kay Hian SPH 2.69 2.46 Hold Buy @ $2.40
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian SPH 2.59 2.46 Hold
07/05/18 CIMB SPH 2.59 2.85 Add Sum of parts
07/06/18 DBS Vickers SPH 2.67 2.6 Hold
07/12/18 DBS Vickers SPH 2.75 2.58 Hold Sum of parts
07/12/18 UOB Kay Hian SPH 2.75 2.58 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $2.40
07/12/18 Lim & Tan SPH 2.75 0 Hold
07/13/18 OCBC SPH 2.76 2.52 Hold
07/13/18 CIMB SPH 2.76 2.88 Add Sum of parts
09/04/18 UOB Kay Hian SPH 2.81 2.58 Hold DCF, Buy @ $2.45
09/10/18 DBS Vickers SPH 2.73 2.58 Hold
09/11/18 OCBC SPH 2.79 2.52 Hold
09/11/18 Lim & Tan SPH 2.79 0 Hold
09/13/18 CIMB SPH 2.74 2.88 Add Sum of parts
10/16/18 OCBC SPH 2.62 2.55 Hold
10/16/18 UOB Kay Hian SPH 2.62 2.75 Hold Buy @ $2.50
10/16/18 CIMB SPH 2.62 2.74 Hold Sum of parts
10/16/18 Lim & Tan SPH 2.62 0 Hold
01/14/19 CIMB SPH 2.49 2.64 Hold Sum of parts
01/14/19 Lim & Tan SPH 2.49 0 Hold
01/15/19 OCBC SPH 2.47 2.55 Hold

Stock calls for 29 March 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/29/19 Lim & Tan ART 1.18 0 Hold BV
03/29/19 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.395 0.5 Buy PER23x FY19/20
03/29/19 UOB Kay Hian ST Engineering 3.73 4.4 Buy EV/Invested capital basis
03/29/19 OCBC ST Engineering 3.73 4.07 Buy
03/29/19 DBS Vickers ST Engineering 3.73 4.15 Buy
03/29/19 DBS Vickers Venture 17.8 21.7 Buy

Hyflux's white knight is trying to wiggle itself out of the deal.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/white-knight-investor-throws-singapores-083341266.html

Hahaha! The white knight is regretting its own decision to invest in Hyflux and wants a way out after realizing that Hyflux is beyond hope.

Thursday, March 28, 2019

A big blow to Boeing!

https://www.news.com.au/travel/travel-advice/flights/inside-the-aircraft-boneyard-thats-now-housing-boeings-max-8s/news-story/00fd9b3a093893d2454e2a7fadd1d504

The US Southwest airlines will be sending its Boeing 737-Max planes to the remote desert graveyard for parking.  This means that Boeing 737-Max won't be returned to flying in the short run.

Furthermore, this move also shows that Boeing 737-Max is really an unsafe plane as it is expensive to park the planes in a desert graveyard.  The planes need to be sand-proof and the airline will also suffer from loss of incomes for not using the planes.

Spackman - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
05/16/18 DMG & Partners Spackman 0.073 0.1 Buy DCF, PER14x FY18

Soilbuild Reit - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/18/18 OCBC Soilbuild Reit 0.695 0.68 Hold
01/19/18 DBS Vickers Soilbuild Reit 0.7 0.62 Hold DCF
01/19/18 Lim & Tan Soilbuild Reit 0.7 0 Hold
01/19/18 Jefferies Soilbuild Reit 0.7 0.7 Buy
03/29/18 OCBC Soilbuild Reit 0.645 0.7 Buy
04/17/18 OCBC Soilbuild Reit 0.66 0.7 Buy
04/18/18 DBS Vickers Soilbuild Reit 0.66 0.62 Hold
04/18/18 OCBC Soilbuild Reit 0.66 0.71 Buy
04/18/18 Jefferies Soilbuild Reit 0.66 0.7 Hold
05/24/18 OCBC Soilbuild Reit 0.665 0.71 Buy
07/18/18 OCBC Soilbuild Reit 0.65 0.69 Buy
07/18/18 DBS Vickers Soilbuild Reit 0.65 0.62 Hold DCF
09/10/18 DBS Vickers Soilbuild Reit 0.625 0.62 Hold
09/10/18 OCBC Soilbuild Reit 0.625 0.69 Buy
10/19/18 DBS Vickers Soilbuild Reit 0.585 0.65 Buy DCF
10/19/18 OCBC Soilbuild Reit 0.585 0.665 Buy
10/19/18 Jefferies Soilbuild Reit 0.585 0.62 Hold
01/23/19 DBS Vickers Soilbuild Reit 0.62 0.65 Buy DCF
01/23/19 OCBC Soilbuild Reit 0.62 0.62 Hold
01/23/19 Jefferies Soilbuild Reit 0.62 0.62 Hold

SLB Dev - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
06/01/18 SAC Advisors SLB Dev 0.215 0.28 Buy

Stock calls for 28 March 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/28/19 UOB Kay Hian Ho Bee 2.5 2.79 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
03/28/19 UOB Kay Hian ST Engineering 3.75 4.06 Buy
03/28/19 Lim & Tan ST Engineering 3.75 0 Hold
03/28/19 CIMB UOL 6.78 8.45 Add

Wednesday, March 27, 2019

Singtel - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.59 4.53 Buy DCF
01/10/18 DMG & Partners Singtel 3.63 4.1 Neutral
01/26/18 DBS Vickers Singtel 3.62 4.3 Buy Sum of parts
02/07/18 OCBC Singtel 3.42 4.19 Buy
02/08/18 DMG & Partners Singtel 3.44 4.1 Buy Sum of parts
02/08/18 DBS Vickers Singtel 3.44 4.3 Buy
02/08/18 Lim & Tan Singtel 3.44 0 Buy on weakness
02/09/18 OCBC Singtel 3.4 4.15 Buy
02/09/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.4 4.4 Buy DCF
02/09/18 CIMB Singtel 3.4 4 Add
03/02/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.36 4.4 Buy
03/14/18 Kim Eng Singtel 3.41 3.69 Hold Sum of parts
03/15/18 CIMB Singtel 3.4 4 Add Sum of parts
03/15/18 DMG & Partners Singtel 3.4 4.1 Buy Sum of parts
04/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.39 4.4 Buy
04/03/18 Kim Eng Singtel 3.39 3.69 Hold
04/16/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.37 4.35 Buy
05/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.5 4.35 Buy DCF
05/04/18 Kim Eng Singtel 3.52 3.69 Hold
05/07/18 DBS Vickers Singtel 3.5 3.85 Buy Sum of parts
05/17/18 Lim & Tan Singtel 3.42 0 Buy
05/18/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.44 4.22 Buy DCF
05/18/18 DMG & Partners Singtel 3.44 3.9 Buy Sum of parts
05/18/18 CIMB Singtel 3.44 3.9 Add Sum of parts
05/18/18 OCBC Singtel 3.44 4.1 Buy
05/18/18 Kim Eng Singtel 3.44 3.57 Hold Sum of parts
06/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.25 4.22 Buy DCF
06/05/18 DBS Vickers Singtel 3.27 3.85 Buy
06/18/18 CIMB Singtel 3.19 3.9 Add
06/19/18 DBS Vickers Singtel 3.19 3.7 Buy Sum of parts
06/19/18 Kim Eng Singtel 3.19 3.57 Hold
06/20/18 OCBC Singtel 3.18 4.1 Buy PER18.3x FY19
06/27/18 DMG & Partners Singtel 3.12 4.05 Buy
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.05 4.22 Buy
08/10/18 OCBC Singtel 3.2 4.08 Buy
08/10/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.2 4.05 Buy DCF
08/10/18 CIMB Singtel 3.2 3.7 Add Sum of parts
08/10/18 DBS Vickers Singtel 3.2 3.7 Buy Sum of parts
08/10/18 DMG & Partners Singtel 3.2 3.7 Buy Sum of parts
08/13/18 Lim & Tan Singtel 3.14 0 Hold
08/20/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.11 3.98 Buy DCF
08/24/18 Kim Eng Singtel 3.28 3.46 Hold Sum of parts
09/03/18 DIR Singtel 3.23 3.47 Outperform Sum of parts
09/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.23 3.98 Buy
09/25/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.15 3.94 Buy DCF
10/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.23 3.94 Buy DCF
10/11/18 DMG & Partners Singtel 3.14 3.7 Buy
10/24/18 DBS Vickers Singtel 3.13 3.64 Buy Sum of parts
11/02/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.18 3.94 Buy
11/02/18 DBS Vickers Singtel 3.18 3.64 Buy Sum of parts
11/07/18 CIMB Singtel 3.17 3.7 Add Sum of parts
11/09/18 DBS Vickers Singtel 3.08 3.59 Buy Sum of parts
11/09/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.08 3.9 Buy DCF
11/09/18 Kim Eng Singtel 3.08 3.39 Hold DCF
11/09/18 OCBC Singtel 3.08 3.95 Buy
11/09/18 CIMB Singtel 3.08 3.4 Add Sum of parts
11/09/18 DMG & Partners Singtel 3.08 3.22 Neutral
11/14/18 Macquarie Singtel 3.03 3.14 Outperform
12/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.09 3.9 Buy DCF
12/06/18 DMG & Partners Singtel 3.08 3.22 Neutral
12/10/18 OCBC Singtel 3.08 3.95 Buy
12/20/18 DBS Vickers Singtel 2.96 3.59 Buy
01/02/19 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 2.83 3.58 Buy DCF
01/02/19 Kim Eng Singtel 2.83 3.39 Hold
01/04/19 Phillip Singtel 2.86 3.4 Buy Sum of parts
01/14/19 DMG & Partners Singtel 3.05 3.22 Neutral
01/15/19 DBS Vickers Singtel 3.05 3.59 Buy Sum of parts
02/08/19 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.05 3.58 Buy
02/12/19 DBS Vickers Singtel 3.05 3.5 Buy Sum of parts
02/12/19 Kim Eng Singtel 3.05 3.39 Hold Sum of parts
02/15/19 OCBC Singtel 3.03 3.79 Buy
02/15/19 DMG & Partners Singtel 3.03 3.22 Neutral Sum of parts
02/18/19 Phillip Singtel 2.99 3.27 Accumulate Sum of parts
02/18/19 CIMB Singtel 2.99 3.4 Add Sum of parts
03/11/19 OCBC Singtel 2.94 3.79 Buy
03/11/19 DMG & Partners Singtel 2.94 3.09 Neutral Sum of parts
03/11/19 Lim & Tan Singtel 2.94 0 Hold
03/12/19 CIMB Singtel 2.93 3.4 Add Sum of parts
03/21/19 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 2.99 3.58 Buy DCF
03/22/19 DMG & Partners Singtel 2.97 3.06 Neutral
03/26/19 CIMB Singtel 2.97 3.3 Add Sum of parts

Singapore Post - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/10/18 OCBC Singapore Post 1.23 1.26 Hold
02/02/18 OCBC Singapore Post 1.3 1.26 Hold
02/05/18 CIMB Singapore Post 1.38 1.58 Add DCF
02/05/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Post 1.38 1.62 Buy Sum of parts
02/05/18 Kim Eng Singapore Post 1.38 1.5 Buy DCF
02/05/18 DBS Vickers Singapore Post 1.38 1.61 Buy DCF
03/06/18 DBS Vickers Singapore Post 1.33 1.61 Buy
03/16/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Post 1.37 1.6 Buy Sum of parts
04/02/18 Kim Eng Singapore Post 1.37 1.5 Buy DCF
04/24/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Post 1.31 1.6 Buy Sum of parts
05/14/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Post 1.36 1.59 Buy Sum of parts
05/14/18 Kim Eng Singapore Post 1.36 1.5 Buy DCF
05/14/18 CIMB Singapore Post 1.36 1.59 Add DCF
05/14/18 OCBC Singapore Post 1.36 1.5 Buy
05/15/18 DBS Vickers Singapore Post 1.37 1.55 Buy DCF
06/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Post 1.32 1.59 Buy
06/11/18 CIMB Singapore Post 1.36 1.59 Add
07/02/18 Kim Eng Singapore Post 1.26 1.5 Buy DCF
07/06/18 DBS Vickers Singapore Post 1.27 1.55 Buy DCF
07/13/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Post 1.3 1.59 Buy
08/03/18 OCBC Singapore Post 1.23 1.53 Buy
08/06/18 DBS Vickers Singapore Post 1.25 1.28 Hold DCF
08/06/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Post 1.25 1.45 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $1.23
08/06/18 OCBC Singapore Post 1.25 1.5 Buy
08/07/18 CIMB Singapore Post 1.23 1.27 Hold DCF
11/05/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Post 1.03 1.04 Hold Sum of parts, PER24x FY19, Buy @ $0.90
11/05/18 CIMB Singapore Post 1.03 1.12 Hold DCF, PER20.3x FY20
11/05/18 DBS Vickers Singapore Post 1.03 1.04 Hold DCF
02/04/19 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Post 0.965 1.04 Hold Sum of parts
02/04/19 CIMB Singapore Post 0.965 1.03 Hold DCF
02/04/19 DBS Vickers Singapore Post 0.965 0.92 Hold DCF
02/04/19 Lim & Tan Singapore Post 0.965 0 Hold
02/04/19 OCBC Singapore Post 0.965 1.23 Buy
02/08/19 OCBC Singapore Post 0.955 1 Hold
02/08/19 CLSA Singapore Post 0.955 1.17 Buy

Singapore O&G - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/20/18 phillip Singapore O&G 0.385 0.42 Accumulate PER23.2x
05/15/18 phillip Singapore O&G 0.38 0.42 Accumulate PER23.2x
08/14/18 phillip Singapore O&G 0.36 0.42 Accumulate PER23.2x
01/23/19 phillip Singapore O&G 0.34 0.42 Buy
02/21/19 phillip Singapore O&G 0.355 0 Cease Coverage

Stock calls for 27 March 2017


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/27/19 CIMB Biolidics 0.27 0.32 Add EV/Sales 12x
03/27/19 DMG & Partners China Aviation Oil 1.27 1.6 Buy DCF, PER10x, PB1.2x, Ev/Ebitda6.5x
03/27/19 Lim & Tan MIT 0.36 0.405 Buy Mid-point of $0.4-0.41
03/27/19 Phillip Netlink 0.825 0.89 Accumulate DCF

Boeing 737-Max may not be able to fly to china for at least 1 year.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/china-not-taking-boeing-737-max-8-airworthiness-certificate-11382038

China won't give certification to Boeing 737-Max now and it may take up to 15 months to get the certification in China.

Therefore, no Boeing 737-Max will be able to fly in and out of China since it doesn't have the airworthiness certification.

Tuesday, March 26, 2019

Singapore Medical - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/24/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.605 0.79 Buy
01/26/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Medical 0.63 0.83 Buy PER26.8x FY18, PEG0.3x
02/06/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.58 0.79 Buy DCF, PER27x FY18
03/01/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Medical 0.56 0.83 Buy PER26.8x FY18
03/02/18 DBS Vickers Singapore Medical 0.56 0.73 Buy
03/02/18 Kim Eng Singapore Medical 0.56 0.7 Buy PER27x FY18
03/02/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.56 0.68 Buy DCF, PER26x FY18
03/19/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Medical 0.51 0.74 Buy PER25.8x FY18
05/16/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Medical 0.505 0.74 Buy PER26.8x FY18
05/16/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.505 0.68 Buy DCF
05/16/18 DBS Vickers Singapore Medical 0.505 0.73 Buy PER25x FY19
06/06/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Medical 0.495 0.74 Buy
06/27/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.46 0.68 Buy
07/31/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.425 0.56 Buy DCF, PER21.5x
08/15/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.43 0.56 Buy DCF
08/16/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Medical 0.425 0.74 Buy
11/07/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Medical 0.4 0.74 Buy PER22.2x FY19
11/08/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.41 0.56 Buy DCF
12/14/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.405 0.56 Buy
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.4 0.56 Buy
02/21/19 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Medical 0.47 0.65 Buy PER23x FY19
02/21/19 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.47 0.54 Buy DCF

Sing Holdings - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/05/18 Amfrasers Sing Holdings 0.42 0.68 Buy RNAV (30% discount), PB1x FY17

Silverlake - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/25/18 CIMB Silverlake 0.53 0.58 Add DCF
05/16/18 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.55 0.65 Buy DCF, PER21x FY19
05/16/18 CIMB Silverlake 0.55 0.56 Add DCF
05/24/18 DBS Vickers Silverlake 0.545 0.65 Not Rated PER22x FY19
06/20/18 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.52 0.65 Buy DCF, PERf21x FY19
07/27/18 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.515 0.65 Buy DCF, PER23x FY19
08/27/18 CIMB Silverlake 0.455 0.56 Add DCF
08/28/18 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.46 0.57 Buy DCF
09/07/18 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.445 0.57 Buy
09/14/18 CIMB Silverlake 0.42 0.56 Add DCF
11/14/18 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.41 0.65 Buy DCF
11/14/18 CIMB Silverlake 0.41 0.56 Add Sum of parts, PER17.6x FY20
12/14/18 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.415 0.65 Buy
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.415 0.65 Buy DCF
01/03/19 DBS Vickers Silverlake 0.405 0.6 Buy PER21x FY19
01/07/19 DBS Vickers Silverlake 0.425 0.62 Buy PER21x FY19
02/01/19 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.485 0.65 Buy DCF
02/15/19 DBS Vickers Silverlake 0.515 0.62 Buy PER21x FY19
03/01/19 CIMB Silverlake 0.57 0.62 Add Sum of parts, PER19x CY20
03/13/19 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.555 0.65 Buy

Stock calls for 26 March 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/26/19 UOB Kay Hian CapitaCommercial 1.92 2.16 Buy
03/26/19 CIMB Capitaland 3.44 3.56 Add
03/26/19 CIMB CDL Hospitality 1.64 1.8 Add
03/26/19 CIMB City Developments 8.87 10.66 Add
03/26/19 UOB Kay Hian CSE Global 0.54 0.62 Buy
03/26/19 DMG & Partners CSE Global 0.54 0.61 Buy DCF
03/26/19 CIMB CSE Global 0.54 0.6 Add
03/26/19 OCBC DBS 25.12 29.31 Buy
03/26/19 UOB Kay Hian Fu Yu 0.2 0.285 Buy
03/26/19 CIMB Genting 1.03 1.28 Add
03/26/19 Amfrasers Geo Energy 0.182 0.19 Hold DCF
03/26/19 CIMB HRnetGroup 0.765 1.03 Add
03/26/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.17 8.41 Add
03/26/19 Kim Eng MM2 Asia 0.315 0.34 Buy PEG0.93x
03/26/19 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 10.99 13.85 Buy
03/26/19 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.06 5.6 Buy
03/26/19 CIMB Singtel 2.97 3.3 Add Sum of parts
03/26/19 CIMB ST Engineering 3.75 4.08 Add
03/26/19 CIMB Starhub 1.51 1.65 Hold DCF (10% discount)
03/26/19 OCBC UOB 24.95 28.3 Buy

Global inflation or deflation? - Part 2

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/03/global-inflation-or-deflation.html

Our latest analysis is that inflation will rear its head in the 2nd half of 2019.

What caused the sudden change from our previous analysis whereby Asia would face deflation?

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/03/asian-deflation-is-happening.html

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/01/deflation-will-start-in-asia-soon.html

Well, our change stemmed from the US political will to depreciate the USD to create inflation which ran counter tour previous deflation analysis.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/03/usd-is-likely-to-depreciate-soon-why.html

Furthermore, the pork prices in China will appreciate in the 2nd half of 2019 because of swine disease.  This forces China to import pigs in huge numbers which will boost the pork prices as pork is a staple food in China.  It also forms part of the CPI calculation.

https://www.porkbusiness.com/article/chinas-pork-imports-double-2019-rabobank-analyst-predicts

As the USD is expected to depreciate and worldwide food prices (including China) are expected to increase, we have decided to change our stance from deflation to inflation in the 2nd half of 2019.

China has cut back on Boeing planes after 737-Max saga.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/airbus-seals-long-awaited-aircraft-163320433.html

China has just ordered a US$35b deal from Airbus which is a blow to Boeing.

It is ridiculous to solve a defective structural design with new anti-stall software.  Buying more from Airbus means buying less from Boeing.  Nobody will buy from both manufacturers at the same time!