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Wednesday, March 20, 2019

Sembcorp Marine - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.84 2.1 Buy
01/02/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.84 2.49 Add PB2x FY18
01/03/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.87 1.78 Hold PB1.85x
01/05/18 Amfrasers Sembcorp Marine 1.83 2.05 Hold
01/22/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 2.3 2.37 Hold PB2x FY18
01/23/18 UBS Sembcorp Marine 2.39 3.06 Buy
01/23/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 2.39 3.1 Buy PB2.4x FY18
02/02/18 Deutsche Sembcorp Marine 2.57 2.9 Buy
02/02/18 Credit Suisse Sembcorp Marine 2.57 3 Outperform
02/07/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 2.71 2.49 Neutral Buy @ $2
02/13/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 2.37 3.1 Buy
02/22/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 2.63 2.43 Hold
02/22/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 2.63 1.9 Hold PB1.6x FY19, Buy @ $1.80
02/22/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 2.63 2.9 Buy PB2.4x FY18
02/22/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 2.63 3.01 Add PB2.5x FY18
02/26/18 phillip Sembcorp Marine 2.23 1.91 Reduce PER43.4x FY18
02/27/18 Amfrasers Sembcorp Marine 2.18 2.06 Hold
03/05/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 2.02 3.01 Add PB2.5x FY18
03/05/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 2.02 2.07 Hold PB1.7x FY18/19
03/06/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.9 2.9 Buy PB2.4x FY18
03/26/18 Morgan Stanley Sembcorp Marine 2.09 2.45 Overweight PB2.2x FY18, Up from $1.48 ({PB1.2x)
03/28/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 2.21 2.78 Buy
04/03/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 2.22 2.9 Buy
04/06/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 2.17 3.01 Add PB2.5x FY18
04/11/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 2.23 2.07 Hold
04/23/18 Macquarie Sembcorp Marine 2.32 1.8 Underperform PB1.5x
04/26/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 2.23 2.52 Add PB
04/26/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 2.23 2.05 Hold PB1.7x FY19, Buy @ $1.90
04/26/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 2.23 2.1 Hold PB1.75x FY18/19
04/26/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 2.23 2.52 Add PB2.2x CY18
04/26/18 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Marine 2.23 0 Hold
04/27/18 phillip Sembcorp Marine 2.11 1.85 Reduce PER51.4x
04/27/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 2.11 2.9 Buy PB2.4x FY18
05/08/18 Amfrasers Sembcorp Marine 2.1 2.64 Buy PB2.4x FY18
05/08/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 2.1 2.1 Hold
05/22/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 2.27 2.52 Add PB2.2x CY18
06/05/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 2.11 2.9 Buy
06/25/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.96 2.05 Hold
07/11/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.97 2.52 Add PB2.2x CY18
07/13/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.95 2.9 Buy
07/23/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.96 1.83 Hold PB1.7x FY19, Buy @ $1.73
07/23/18 Credit Suisse Sembcorp Marine 1.96 2.4 Outperform
07/23/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.96 2.1 Hold
07/23/18 phillip Sembcorp Marine 1.96 1.78 Reduce PB1.6x FY19
07/24/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.83 2.5 Buy
07/24/18 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Marine 1.83 0 Hold
08/20/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.67 1.74 Hold PB1.75x FY19
08/30/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.69 2.52 Add PB2.2x CY18
09/06/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.68 2.5 Buy
10/18/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.87 2.52 Add PB2.2x CY18
10/26/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.72 2.46 Add PB2.2x CY18
10/26/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.72 1.83 Hold PB1.7x FY18, Buy @ $1.65
10/26/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.72 1.73 Hold
10/29/18 phillip Sembcorp Marine 1.61 1.65 Neutral PB1.6x FY19
10/29/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.61 2.4 Buy PB2.1x FY18
10/29/18 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Marine 1.61 0 Hold
01/10/19 DIR Sembcorp Marine 1.62 1.62 Hold Cut from $1.78, PB1.8x FY19
01/22/19 Amfrasers Sembcorp Marine 1.66 2.5 Buy
02/01/19 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.6 1.83 Hold PB1.7x FY19, Buy @ $1.50
02/04/19 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.59 2.4 Buy PB2.1x FY19
02/21/19 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.68 2.21 Add PB2x CY19
02/21/19 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.68 1.77 Hold
02/21/19 phillip Sembcorp Marine 1.68 1.76 Neutral PB1.6x
02/21/19 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Marine 1.68 0 Hold
02/26/19 Amfrasers Sembcorp Marine 1.72 2.48 Buy

Sembcorp Industries - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 3.03 3.87 Buy
01/23/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 3.38 4.5 Buy Sum of parts (10% discount), PB1.1x
02/05/18 OCBC Sembcorp Industries 3.57 3.95 Buy Sum of parts
02/13/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 3.21 4.5 Buy
02/19/18 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Industries 3.22 0 Buy
02/20/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 3.3 3.87 Buy
02/21/18 CIMB Sembcorp Industries 3.28 3.87 Add Sum of parts
02/26/18 OCBC Sembcorp Industries 3.24 3.84 Buy
02/26/18 phillip Sembcorp Industries 3.24 3.86 Accumulate Sum of parts
02/26/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 3.24 3.28 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $2.90
02/26/18 CIMB Sembcorp Industries 3.24 4.13 Add Sum of parts, PER8x FY18, PB0.63x FY18
02/27/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 3.2 4.4 Buy Sum of parts (10% discount), PB1.1x
03/05/18 OCBC Sembcorp Industries 3.12 3.59 Buy
03/07/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 3.08 4.4 Buy RNAV (10% discount), PB1.1x
03/26/18 Morgan Stanley Sembcorp Industries 3.04 2.77 Underweight Sum of parts, Up from $2.39
04/03/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 3.11 4.4 Buy
04/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 3.06 3.28 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $3
04/12/18 CIMB Sembcorp Industries 3.11 4.13 Add Sum of parts
04/23/18 Macquarie Sembcorp Industries 3.24 3.6 Outperform
05/04/18 OCBC Sembcorp Industries 3.06 3.59 Buy
05/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 3.06 3.6 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $2.90
05/04/18 CIMB Sembcorp Industries 3.06 3.49 Add Sum of parts
05/07/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 3.04 4.4 Buy Sum of parts (10% discount), PB1.1x
05/09/18 phillip Sembcorp Industries 3.06 3.83 Buy Sum of parts (10% discount)
06/04/18 CIMB Sembcorp Industries 2.93 3.49 Add
06/04/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 2.93 4.5 Buy
06/25/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 2.76 3.6 Hold PER8.5x FY19
06/25/18 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Industries 2.76 0 Accumulate
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 2.72 3.6 Buy
07/11/18 CIMB Sembcorp Industries 2.67 3.49 Add
08/06/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 2.63 3.9 Buy RNAV (10% discount), PB1x
08/06/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 2.63 3.41 Buy
08/06/18 CIMB Sembcorp Industries 2.63 3.49 Add Sum of parts
08/07/18 phillip Sembcorp Industries 2.7 3.7 Buy Sum of parts
08/07/18 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Industries 2.7 0 Buy
09/06/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 2.75 3.9 Buy
09/19/18 CIMB Sembcorp Industries 2.9 3.49 Add Sum of parts
09/24/18 phillip Sembcorp Industries 3.03 3.7 Buy
09/24/18 OCBC Sembcorp Industries 3.03 3.53 Buy
10/02/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 3.07 3.9 Buy Sum of parts (10% discount), PER19.2x FY18, PB1x FY18
10/02/18 CIMB Sembcorp Industries 3.07 3.49 Add Sum of parts
10/09/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 2.96 3.41 Buy
10/11/18 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Industries 2.95 0 Buy
11/01/18 Macquarie Sembcorp Industries 2.82 3.6 Buy
11/05/18 OCBC Sembcorp Industries 2.84 3.3 Buy Sum of parts
11/05/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 2.84 3.41 Buy Sum of parts
11/05/18 CIMB Sembcorp Industries 2.84 3.49 Add Sum of parts
11/05/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 2.84 3.7 Buy RNAV (10% discount), PB1x
11/08/18 phillip Sembcorp Industries 2.67 3.6 Buy Sum of parts
11/08/18 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Industries 2.67 0 Hold
12/13/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 2.61 3.41 Buy
12/21/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 2.54 3.7 Buy
01/10/19 DIR Sembcorp Industries 2.64 3.05 Outperform Sum of parts, cut from $3.26
01/15/19 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 2.63 3.2 Buy Sum of parts
01/23/19 CIMB Sembcorp Industries 2.69 3.49 Add
02/01/19 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 2.59 3.2 Buy
02/04/19 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 2.58 3.7 Buy
02/21/19 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Industries 2.66 0 Hold
02/25/19 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 2.67 3.9 Buy RNAV (10% discount), PB1x
03/13/19 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 2.57 2.8 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $2.35
03/18/19 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Industries 2.52 0 Hold

SATS - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/16/18 OCBC SATS 5.78 5.5 Hold Buy @ $5.05 or lower
01/16/18 Citi Research SATS 5.78 6.1 Buy Up from $5.63
02/14/18 Kim Eng SATS 5.25 6.1 Buy PER21x FY20
02/14/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.25 5.9 Buy DCF, PER25.2x FY18
02/14/18 OCBC SATS 5.25 5.5 Hold Buy @ $5.05 or lower
02/14/18 CIMB SATS 5.25 5.17 Hold PER20x FY19
02/14/18 phillip SATS 5.25 5.33 Neutral DCF, PER23.3x FY18
02/14/18 DBS Vickers SATS 5.25 5.67 Buy DCF, PER22x FY19
03/09/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.03 5.9 Buy
04/13/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.18 5.8 Buy PER25.3x FY19
04/19/18 CIMB SATS 5.45 5.17 Hold
05/30/18 Lim & Tan SATS 5.35 0 Hold
05/31/18 phillip SATS 5.28 5.58 Accumulate DCF
05/31/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.28 5.7 Buy DCF, PER24.3x FY19
05/31/18 DBS Vickers SATS 5.28 5.64 Buy
05/31/18 OCBC SATS 5.28 5.5 Hold
06/11/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.13 5.7 Buy
06/14/18 OCBC SATS 5.06 5.5 Buy
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.91 5.7 Buy
07/20/18 phillip SATS 5.1 5.58 Accumulate DCF, PER24.7x FY19
07/20/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.1 6.1 Buy DCF, PER23x FY20
07/20/18 Kim Eng SATS 5.1 5.9 Buy PER21x FY20
07/20/18 CIMB SATS 5.1 5.06 Hold PER20x CY19
07/20/18 DBS Vickers SATS 5.1 5.65 Buy DCF & PER22x FY19
08/17/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.1 6.1 Buy
09/10/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.01 6.1 Buy
09/18/18 OCBC SATS 4.93 5.39 Buy
11/08/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.99 5.6 Buy EV/Invested Capital
11/09/18 phillip SATS 5.11 5.47 Accumulate DCF, PER24.3x FY19
11/09/18 OCBC SATS 5.11 5.39 Hold
11/09/18 CIMB SATS 5.11 5.06 Hold PER20x CY19
11/12/18 DBS Vickers SATS 4.88 5.6 Buy DCF, PER22x FY20
11/12/18 Citi Research SATS 4.88 6 Buy
11/29/18 OCBC SATS 4.65 5.34 Buy FCFE
11/30/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.83 5.4 Buy
12/10/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.65 5.6 Buy
01/04/19 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.59 5.6 Buy
01/11/19 OCBC SATS 4.94 5.23 Hold DCF
02/08/19 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.8 5.6 Buy
02/14/19 phillip SATS 4.98 5.47 Accumulate DCF, PER24.6x FY19
02/14/19 OCBC SATS 4.98 5.23 Hold
02/14/19 CIMB SATS 4.98 5.46 Add PER20.3x
02/14/19 Lim & Tan SATS 4.98 0 Hold
02/14/19 DBS Vickers SATS 4.98 5.59 Buy DCF & PER22x FY19
02/14/19 Kim Eng SATS 4.98 5.8 Buy
02/15/19 Citi Research SATS 5.08 6 Buy

Stock calls for 20 March 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/20/19 DMG & Partners Dairy Farm 7.41 8.25 Buy DCF
03/20/19 CIMB Mapletree Commercial 1.83 1.94 Add DDM
03/20/19 DBS Vickers Starhill 0.695 0.75 Buy
03/20/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.3 3.9 Buy

Tommy Koh has an anti-China mindset and it's bad for Singapore.

https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/tommy-koh-urges-japan-to-be-top-asean-investor-again

I don't know what China did to him or his ancestors for him to be imbued with anti-China sentiment.  However, I knew what the Japanese did to Asia (raped and killed millions of people) for 3 years 8 months.

China is a growing economy (US$12T GDP now) and will surpass the USA (US$20T GDP now) by 2030 but Japan has only a GDP of US$4.5T now.  Furthermore, China has a much deeper pocket than Japan.

Anyone with a decent IQ will know that it is inevitable that we need to depend on China for our economic growth.  This is something we cannot walk away.  Even Japan has to depend on China for its own economic growth now.  Why do we need to rely on Japan when Japan has to depend on China too.  We might as well depend on China directly instead of via Japan.

We will face a steep slowdown if we lose our dependence on China as shown below.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/singapore-faces-steepest-growth-deceleration-030149598.html

I think we need to boot old people out of politics as an irrational mindset tends to develop in old age.  I am not being discriminative against old age but the fact speaks for itself.

USD is likely to depreciate soon. Why? - Part 2

The USD dollar index is below 96 now.

This is an update post for our previous post below.  In our previous post, we had stated the factors for USD depreciation.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/02/usd-is-likely-to-depreciate-soon-why.html

Tuesday, March 19, 2019

Sasseur - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
06/07/18 Kim Eng Sasseur 0.77 0.9 Buy
06/20/18 Citi Research Sasseur 0.76 0.92 Buy
08/07/18 Kim Eng Sasseur 0.75 0.9 Buy DDM
09/18/18 DBS Vickers Sasseur 0.71 0.91 Buy DCF
11/13/18 Kim Eng Sasseur 0.68 0.9 Buy
11/14/18 DBS Vickers Sasseur 0.68 0.91 Buy DCF
02/20/19 Kim Eng Sasseur 0.74 0.9 Buy DDM
02/20/19 DBS Vickers Sasseur 0.74 0.97 Buy DCF

Sarine - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/06/18 CIMB Sarine 1.05 1.56 Add PER17.2x CY19
02/27/18 CIMB Sarine 1.18 1.53 Add PER17.2x CY19
05/15/18 CIMB Sarine 1.03 1.53 Add PER17.2x CY19

Sanli Env - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/11/18 SAC Advisors Sanli Env 0.295 0.36 Buy PER15.9x FY18
05/25/18 SAC Advisors Sanli Env 0.25 0.36 Buy
12/20/18 SAC Advisors Sanli Env 0.22 0.36 Buy

Stock calls for 19 March 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/19/19 DMG & Partners Avi-Tech 0.29 0.3 Neutral
03/19/19 DBS Vickers Mermaid Maritime 0.084 0.06 Sell Sum of parts
03/19/19 CIMB Mermaid Maritime 0.084 0.158 Hold PB0.48x CY18
03/19/19 phillip SGX 7.31 8.17 Accumulate PER23.2x
03/19/19 Kim Eng Sheng Siong 1.08 0.95 Sell DCF, PER19.5x FY19
03/19/19 CIMB SIA 9.83 10.25 Hold
03/19/19 UOB Kay Hian SIA 9.83 10.1 Hold Buy @ $9
03/19/19 OCBC Starhill 0.7 0.75 Buy
03/19/19 DMG & Partners Valuetronics 0.69 0.78 Neutral
03/19/19 DMG & Partners Venture 18 19 Buy

WIPO showed that China didn't steal other technologies.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/huawei-leads-asian-domination-u-230100081.html

If China steals from others, it won't be able to file so many patents.  Furthermore, China will topple the US this year or next in the patent application.

Well done to China!

Monday, March 18, 2019

Roxy-Pacific - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/15/18 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.56 0.66 Buy
02/19/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.56 0.69 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
03/20/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.555 0.69 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
04/03/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.55 0.69 Buy
05/08/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.515 0.63 Buy
05/15/18 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.515 0.6 Buy
06/05/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.505 0.63 Buy
07/09/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.43 0.4 Fully Valued RNAV (55% discount)
08/01/18 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.44 0.44 Hold RNAV (35% discount)
08/01/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.44 0.4 Hold RNAV (55% discount)
08/02/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.44 0.4 Fully Valued RNAV (55% discount)
11/01/18 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.38 0.41 Hold RNAV (40% discount)
12/14/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.405 0.39 Hold RNAV (55% discount)
01/17/19 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.405 0.39 Hold
02/25/19 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.415 0.41 Hold

Riverstone - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/26/18 CIMB Riverstone 1.04 1.28 Add PER18.6x FY19
02/26/18 DBS Vickers Riverstone 1.04 1.27 Buy PER16x FY19
02/26/18 Kim Eng Riverstone 1.04 1.22 Buy PER18x FY18
05/09/18 DBS Vickers Riverstone 0.985 1.27 Buy
05/09/18 Lim & Tan Riverstone 0.985 0 Hold
05/14/18 CIMB Riverstone 1 1.28 Add
08/08/18 CIMB Riverstone 1.1 1.28 Add PER16.7x FY19
08/08/18 DBS Vickers Riverstone 1.1 1.25 Buy PER16x FY19
08/20/18 CIMB Riverstone 1.11 1.3 Add PER16.7x FY19
11/05/18 DBS Vickers Riverstone 1.18 1.17 Hold PER16x FY19
11/05/18 CIMB Riverstone 1.18 1.3 Add PER16.7x CY19
02/27/19 CIMB Riverstone 1.1 1.22 Add PER16.7x FY20
02/27/19 DBS Vickers Riverstone 1.1 1.19 Hold PER16x FY19

Religare Health Trust - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/14/18 CIMB Religare Health Trust 0.83 0.92 Hold DDM
03/20/18 DBS Vickers Religare Health Trust 0.775 0.85 Hold
06/14/18 CIMB Religare Health Trust 0.765 0.81 Hold DDM

Stock calls for 18 March 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/18/19 DMG & Partners Cache Logistics 0.72 0.81 Buy
03/18/19 DMG & Partners CapitaCommercial 1.98 1.86 Neutral
03/18/19 OCBC Capitaland 3.44 3.98 Buy
03/18/19 DMG & Partners EC World Reit 0.77 0.84 Buy
03/18/19 DMG & Partners Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.28 2.19 Neutral
03/18/19 DMG & Partners Frasers Commercial Trust 1.47 1.5 Neutral
03/18/19 phillip Geo Energy 0.183 0.245 Buy
03/18/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.23 1.06 Neutral
03/18/19 DMG & Partners OUE Hospitality 0.725 0.77 Buy
03/18/19 UOB Kay Hian Parkway Life 2.88 3.25 Buy DDM
03/18/19 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Industries 2.52 0 Hold
03/18/19 DMG & Partners Suntec Reit 1.93 1.9 Neutral
03/18/19 OCBC UOL 6.45 8.45 Buy RNAV

Singapore Nodx gained 4.9% in February 2019

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/government-economy/singapore-non-oil-exports-back-in-the-black-in-february-defying-economists

Although the economists get it wrong for Feb 2019, one month data do not make a trend.

Year on year changes (YOY):
February 2019: 4.9%
January 2019: -10.1%
December 2018: -8.5%
November 2018: -2.6%
October 2018: 8.3%
September 2018: 8.3%
August 2018: 5%
July 2018: 11.8% (Corrected)
June 2018: 1.1%
May 2018: 15.5%
April 2018: 11.8%
March 2018: -2.7%
February 2018: -5.9%
January 2018: 13%
December 2017: 3.1%
November 2017: 9.1%
October 2017: 20.9%
September 2017: -1.1%
August 2017: 16.7%
July 2017: 8.5%
June 2017: 8.2%
May 2017: -1.2%
Apr 2017: -0.7%
Mar 2017: 16.5%
Feb 2017: 21.1%
Jan 2017: 8.6%

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/02/singapore-nodx-fell-101-in-january-2019.html

The semiconductor is facing a collapse.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/semiconductor-rally-faces-apos-collapse-182441248.html

This analyst has put up a very bearish outcome for the semiconductor industry.

This is not surprising as we've stated a gloomy outcome too.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/10/the-global-semiconductor-slowdown-is.html

Yuuzoo is the next company to collapse after Hyflux.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/yuuzoo-ceo-quits-says-company-234003509.html

Lim & Tan securities firm has been warning about this company.  It issued a fraud alert as early as in 2017 on this company.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/12/yuuzoo-stock-calls.html

A real company business operation won't be affected by a share trading suspension because the suspension has no effect on the physical operation unless the company has fraudulent business activities which require the share capital market for fundraising to sustain its businesses.

Saturday, March 16, 2019

Bitcoin price spikes are caused by the Philippines' investors.

The recent bitcoin price spikes are caused by the Philippines' investors.

How did we know? Our blog statistics are showing huge spikes in pageviews from the Philippines for bitcoin and crypto searches for the past few days and they are our top viewers now.

Look like they will be the next to be ensnared by the "pump and dump" tactics.

Baltic dry index - 677

Today, Thursday, March 14 2019, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 23 points, reaching 677 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean

US rig count - 1026

The U.S. rig count declined, albeit slightly, this week according to weekly data from Baker Hughes, a GE Company.
The nation’s oil rigs dropped by one while the gas rig count remained flat.
This is the fourth consecutive week of rig count declines. Last week, the U.S. dropped a total of 11 oil and gas rigs.
Alaska and North Dakota both added three rigs this week and New Mexico added one.
Oklahoma dropped the most rigs at five, while Louisiana and Texas dropped one rig apiece.
Among the major basins, the Cana Woodford saw the most declines at five, the Mississippian lost three rigs and the Arkoma Woodford, Granite Wash and Permian all scrapped one rig apiece.
The Williston and the Eagle Ford are the only basins who increased rigs, at three and one, respectively.
This week’s overall rig count total is 1,026. This is still higher than the count of 990 one year ago.
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Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco

Boeing 737-Max has a structural design flaw.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-03-15/piece-found-in-crash-wreckage-said-to-show-jet-was-set-to-dive

The US FAA was reluctant to ground Boeing 737-Max until the most important evidence (Jackscrew) showed otherwise.

The Boeing 737-Max has a structural design flaw that needs the software to implement a nose dive motion to make it fly normally but will make it difficult for the pilot to manage.  Therefore, the 2 recent crashes in Indonesia and Ethiopia were caused by the defective design of the plane.

Boeing is definitely liable for the defective design and will need to make huge compensation for the deceased passengers and crews.

Friday, March 15, 2019

What happened to Hibor after HKMA intervention?

HKD Hibor

CNY Hibor
The current one-month HKD Hibor is at 1.58% and the CNY Hibor is at 2.79%.


The previous 1-month HKD Hibor was at 1.33% and the CNY Hibor was at 2.72% as shown in the link above.

The HKMA sold USD and bought HKD to stabilize the HKD which caused the 1-month hibor to rise across the board.

Regal - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/10/18 Tayona Regal 0.13 0.3 Overweight
08/23/18 Tayona Regal 0.11 0.3 Overweight