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Thursday, May 5, 2022

Singapore Post - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

08/11/21

CIMB

Singapore Post

0.65

0.77

Add

PER18.8x CY22

09/03/21

DBS Vickers

Singapore Post

0.655

0.69

Hold


09/08/21

OCBC

Singapore Post

0.66

0.78

Buy


11/05/21

CIMB

Singapore Post

0.665

0.9

Add


11/05/21

DBS Vickers

Singapore Post

0.665

0.69

Hold


11/08/21

UOB Kay Hian

Singapore Post

0.675

0.75

Hold

Sum of parts

02/28/22

CIMB

Singapore Post

0.635

0.9

Add


03/01/22

DBS Vickers

Singapore Post

0.63

0.7

Hold

DCF

03/02/22

UOB Kay Hian

Singapore Post

0.635

0.78

Buy

Buy @ $0.62, Sum of parts

04/26/22

UOB Kay Hian

Singapore Post

0.685

0.86

Buy

Sum of parts

04/27/22

CIMB

Singapore Post

0.715

0.9

Add


Singapore o&g - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

03/08/22

Lim & Tan

Singapore o&g

2.5

0

Accept offer


Singapore Medical - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

08/04/21

UOB Kay Hian

Singapore Medical

0.33

0.48

Buy


03/10/22

UOB Kay Hian

Singapore Medical

0.305

0.53

Buy

PER14x FY22

04/28/22

Lim & Tan

Singapore Medical

0.33

0.5

Buy


Stock calls for 4 May 2022

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

05/04/22

UOB Kay Hian

AEM

4.81

5.6

Buy

PER15.6x FY22

05/04/22

Phillip

ART

1.16

1.24

Accumulate

DDM

05/04/22

OCBC

CapitaRetail China

1.17

1.4

Buy


05/04/22

Kim Eng

CDL Hospitality

1.34

1.45

Buy

DDM

05/04/22

Lim & Tan

Civmec

0.65

1.05

Buy


05/04/22

CIMB

DBS

33.92

40.2

Add


05/04/22

Phillip

Fortress Minerals

0.455

0.66

Buy

PER11x FY23

05/04/22

UOB Kay Hian

Genting

0.81

1.08

Buy


05/04/22

OCBC

Mapletree Logistics

1.79

2

Buy


05/04/22

Jefferies

Mapletree Logistics

1.79

2

Buy


05/04/22

DBS Vickers

Micro-Mechanics

3.17

3.42

Hold

PER27x FY22

05/04/22

UOB Kay Hian

OCBC

12.39

14.88

Buy

GGM, PB1.2x FY23

05/04/22

CIMB

OCBC

12.39

14.2

Add


05/04/22

Phillip

Starhub

1.26

1.35

Accumulate

EV/Ebitda8x FY22

05/04/22

CIMB

UOB

29.99

35.6

Add


05/04/22

Phillip

Venture

18.15

20

Buy

PER16x FY22

05/04/22

DBS Vickers

Venture

18.15

22.7

Buy

PER19x FY22

Tuesday, May 3, 2022

The US ISM PMI had fallen to 1 year low in April 2022.

 

The prices subindex had eased to 84.6 (-2.5) but still remained at an elevated level based on the historical average. In view of the sky-high inflation, the producers reduced their inventories to 51.6 (-3.9) by purchasing lesser local raw material (Est’d -3.5) and importing lesser (51.4, -0.4).

The supplier’s deliveries increased to 67.2 (+1.8) which meant slower deliveries because of supply disruption from China. The producers still had difficulties finding workers because of a huge job mismatch between job demand and supply which caused a decrease in employment to 50.9 (-5.4).

The producers reduced their production (53.6, -0.9) because of declines in new orders (53.5, -0.3) and new export orders (52.7, -0.5). However, the slight increase in the new local order (Est’d +0.2) couldn’t reverse the downtrend in new orders.

Consequently, the declines in the new orders caused customers’ inventories to rise to 37.1 (+3) and the backlog of order to decrease to 56 (-4) since there were lesser unfilled orders.

Therefore, all these factors caused the PMI to decrease to 55.3 (-1.7) in April 2022. The front-loading orders phenomenon which was caused by the skyrocketing inflation seemed to be over as the consumers had cut back on their spending. Overall, the US PMI is expected to have a downward trajectory in 2022.

The number of producers anticipating higher new orders had fallen to 25.1 in April which meant that consumers were cutting back on their spending.


The number of producers expecting higher production had increased to 27.5%.  This meant that they would try to ramp up their production to replenish the low customers' inventories.


The number of producers who wanted to hire more workers had dropped to 21% because of the huge mismatch in job demand and supply.

Silverlake - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

07/12/21

CIMB

Silverlake

0.28

0.35

Add

PER16x CY22

08/27/21

DBS Vickers

Silverlake

0.265

0.38

Buy

PER19x FY22

08/30/21

CIMB

Silverlake

0.26

0.37

Add

PER16x CY22

02/15/22

CIMB

Silverlake

0.27

0.41

Add


02/15/22

DBS Vickers

Silverlake

0.27

0.39

Buy

PER18x