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Thursday, April 25, 2024

US economy is hit with a double whammy (low GDP growth and high inflation)!

US Q1 GDP: 1.6% (Lower than expected)

Let's break the GDP down to see what had happened.
GDP growth = G + I + C + NE (net export)
Q1 GDP = 0.21 + 0.56 + 1.68 + (-0.86) = 1.59 (1.6)

We can immediately see that there's significant declines in G, C and NE when compared with the previous Q4 below.

Q4 2023 GDP Growth (3.4) = 0.79 (G)+0.15 (I)+2.2 (C)+0.25 (NE) = 3.39(3.4)

While the US GDP growth was weakening in Q1 2024, the US inflation was rising significantly in the same period.  This means that the US Fed can't reduce its rates to boost its GDP growth.  There is a possibility now that the US is facing a stagflation situation which is very difficult to resolve.



City Developments - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

01/05/23

phillip

City Developments

7.97

8.86

Accumulate


01/06/23

DMG & Partners

City Developments

8.02

9.75

Buy


01/17/23

CIMB

City Developments

7.89

8.97

Add

RNAV

02/23/23

DBS Vickers

City Developments

7.95

10.5

Buy

RNAV (35% discount)

02/24/23

UOB Kay Hian

City Developments

7.84

9.7

Buy

RNAV (30% discount)

02/27/23

CIMB

City Developments

7.83

8.97

Add


02/27/23

Citi Research

City Developments

7.83

10.29

Buy


03/10/23

DBS Vickers

City Developments

7.38

10.5

Buy


03/16/23

CIMB

City Developments

7.08

8.97

Add

RNAV

03/29/23

Lim & Tan

City Developments

7.33

9.27

Accumulate


03/31/23

DMG & Partners

City Developments

7.37

9.75

Buy

RNAV (45% disc)

04/06/23

DMG & Partners

City Developments

7.35

9.75

Buy

RNAV (45% disc)

04/27/23

OCBC

City Developments

7.32

8.97

Buy


04/27/23

CLSA

City Developments

7.32

6.68

Sell

Cut from $9.86, RNAV (45% disc)

04/28/23

UOB Kay Hian

City Developments

6.91

8

Buy

RNAV (40% disc)

05/22/23

CIMB

City Developments

6.89

8.97

Add

RNAV

05/23/23

DBS Vickers

City Developments

6.84

10.5

Buy


05/23/23

Lim & Tan

City Developments

6.84

8.59

Accumulate


06/19/23

phillip

City Developments

7.14

8.33

Accumulate

RNAV (45% disc)

06/23/23

CIMB

City Developments

6.8

8.97

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RNAV

06/23/23

DMG & Partners

City Developments

6.8

8.8

Buy


07/04/23

DBS Vickers

City Developments

6.77

10.5

Buy


07/05/23

Lim & Tan

City Developments

6.77

8.43

Accumulate


08/01/23

OCBC

City Developments

7.39

8.91

Buy


08/10/23

DBS Vickers

City Developments

7.12

10.5

Buy


08/11/23

UOB Kay Hian

City Developments

6.99

8

Buy

RNAV (40% disc)

08/15/23

OCBC

City Developments

6.79

8.87

Buy

RNAV (25% disc)

08/16/23

phillip

City Developments

6.79

8.22

Buy

RNAV (45% disc)

08/30/23

DMG & Partners

City Developments

6.7

8.2

Buy

RNAV (45% disc)

09/29/23

DBS Vickers

City Developments

6.55

10.5

Buy


09/29/23

CIMB

City Developments

6.55

8.97

Add

RNAV

11/24/23

DBS Vickers

City Developments

6.21

10.5

Buy


11/24/23

Citi Research

City Developments

6.21

10.45

Buy


11/24/23

CIMB

City Developments

6.21

8.97

Add

RNAV

11/24/23

Lim & Tan

City Developments

6.21

7.95

Accumulate


11/29/23

phillip

City Developments

6.1

8.22

Buy

RNAV (45% disc)

12/22/23

Lim & Tan

City Developments

6.41

8.07

Accumulate


12/22/23

JPM

City Developments

6.41

8.85

Overweight


01/15/24

DMG & Partners

City Developments

6.41

8.2

Buy


02/01/24

OCBC

City Developments

6.11

7.2

Buy


02/19/24

DMG & Partners

City Developments

6.08

8.2

Buy


02/28/24

DBS Vickers

City Developments

5.96

10.5

Buy


02/29/24

UOB Kay Hian

City Developments

5.78

8.2

Buy

RNAV (45% disc)

03/01/24

DMG & Partners

City Developments

5.67

8

Buy

RNAV (45% disc)

03/05/24

phillip

City Developments

5.62

6.87

Buy

RNAV (45% disc)

03/12/24

Citi Research

City Developments

5.93

9.51

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03/12/24

JPM

City Developments

5.93

7.4

Overweight


03/26/24

Lim & Tan

City Developments

5.82

7.39

Accumulate


04/19/24

UOB Kay Hian

City Developments

5.69

8.2

Buy

RNAV (30% discount)