http://thehackernews.com/2017/03/cia-marble-framework.html
Wikileaks revealed that CIA could create false intelligence to set up or frame others. This is not uncommon as CIA did that to Iraq by creating false intelligence of WMDs in Iraq but couldn't find any after Iraq invasion.
Thursday, April 6, 2017
China had revealed an alien base on the moon last year.
http://beforeitsnews.com/alternative/2016/06/china-reveals-a-massive-alien-outpost-and-mining-facility-is-operating-on-the-moon-video-3374741.html
We can see a massive man-made structure on the moon from the video.
US will take action against syria if UN doesn't.
http://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/us-action-syrian-chemical-attacks-46600897
If we allow any country to attack another country without UN endorsement, we will be changing the rule of engagement which is might is the new rule.
We're a strong proponent of the rules-based system. If we don't stop any unilateral action by any country, we're supporting the notion that MIGHT IS THE RULE. In other words, if you are a super power country, you can basically do anything.
If we allow any country to attack another country without UN endorsement, we will be changing the rule of engagement which is might is the new rule.
We're a strong proponent of the rules-based system. If we don't stop any unilateral action by any country, we're supporting the notion that MIGHT IS THE RULE. In other words, if you are a super power country, you can basically do anything.
Another land banking scheme exposed!
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/property-investment-company-under-fire-042156218.html
When a deal seems too good to be true, it is usually too good to be true. Gold investment, Diamond (Jewel) and Land banking schemes are just too good to be true.
When a deal seems too good to be true, it is usually too good to be true. Gold investment, Diamond (Jewel) and Land banking schemes are just too good to be true.
UFO spotted in Spain sky!
Wednesday, April 5, 2017
Another oil & gas company in trouble - RH Petrogas
http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/rh-petrogas-auditor-flags-cashflow-concern
When the water rises, all boats rise. When the water subsides, we'll know who's naked. Heehee!
When the water rises, all boats rise. When the water subsides, we'll know who's naked. Heehee!
North Korea is still as defiant as ever.
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/north-korea-fires-missile-sea-japan-001038144.html
China-USA summit will take place on April 6-7 2017 and this summit will mostly be discussing how to handle North Korea. China & USA will decide the fate of NK and whether there'll be a war against NK. A war against NK will affect South Korea the most, followed by Japan & China.
NK's mobile rocket launchers (more than 10,000) can hit Seoul which has about 25m citizens and NK will use its long-range missiles to attack USA military bases in Japan. China will have to deal with millions of war refugees at its borders and may have to take control of NK for the time being before the installation of new NK government. The repercussions are huge and far reaching when a war happens.
China-USA summit will take place on April 6-7 2017 and this summit will mostly be discussing how to handle North Korea. China & USA will decide the fate of NK and whether there'll be a war against NK. A war against NK will affect South Korea the most, followed by Japan & China.
NK's mobile rocket launchers (more than 10,000) can hit Seoul which has about 25m citizens and NK will use its long-range missiles to attack USA military bases in Japan. China will have to deal with millions of war refugees at its borders and may have to take control of NK for the time being before the installation of new NK government. The repercussions are huge and far reaching when a war happens.
East China Sea tension.
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/news/world-war-iii-nightmare-scenario-133000438.html
USA planted this seed of conflict after WW2 knowing that Diaoyu islands belonged to China but gave the administrative right to Japan. However, the sovereignty was not given to Japan. Oxford's library archives show that Diaoyu islands belong to China. China also has its own documentations to proof that it is the real owner of Diaoyu islands.
There'll be no peace with USA presence in the region.
USA planted this seed of conflict after WW2 knowing that Diaoyu islands belonged to China but gave the administrative right to Japan. However, the sovereignty was not given to Japan. Oxford's library archives show that Diaoyu islands belong to China. China also has its own documentations to proof that it is the real owner of Diaoyu islands.
There'll be no peace with USA presence in the region.
Tuesday, April 4, 2017
Will WTO give China market economy status?
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/wto-creates-panel-decide-china-172608645.html
Will WTO give China market economy status after Trump's insistence to ignore WTO ruling? What will happen if WTO also loses China's support when China is not given the market economy status it deserves? Where will WTO stand if it doesn't honour its words?
Will WTO be relegated to a secondary organisation in the future? This is a possibility as China & USA begin to foster better relationship in April 2017.
Will WTO give China market economy status after Trump's insistence to ignore WTO ruling? What will happen if WTO also loses China's support when China is not given the market economy status it deserves? Where will WTO stand if it doesn't honour its words?
Will WTO be relegated to a secondary organisation in the future? This is a possibility as China & USA begin to foster better relationship in April 2017.
Monday, April 3, 2017
Zombies captured by Russian military helicopter.
High interest rate environment is coming! - Part 3
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/ready-higher-interest-rates-says-080808872.html
EU is warning about higher interest rates now!
However, we've been warning about higher interest rates much earlier.
How is canning done in Singapore?
Do your crime and you pay for it!
USA and China are fostering better relationship.
http://en.people.cn/n3/2017/0402/c90000-9198274.html
USA and China are fostering better relationship without involving middleman like SG. When the 2 titans can talk to each other directly, SG has no strategic role to play anymore except to be used as a pawn for whipping when these 2 titans squabble.
USA and China are fostering better relationship without involving middleman like SG. When the 2 titans can talk to each other directly, SG has no strategic role to play anymore except to be used as a pawn for whipping when these 2 titans squabble.
Another China-Europe rail freight has started.
http://en.people.cn/n3/2017/0401/c90000-9198268.html
Another rail freight route has started from China to Budapest by bypassing Asean sea route. China is progressing ahead while we are regressing.
Another rail freight route has started from China to Budapest by bypassing Asean sea route. China is progressing ahead while we are regressing.
Saturday, April 1, 2017
FED is expected to reduce its massive treasuries holdings in 2017 - Part 2
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-signals-could-promptly-start-shedding-bonds-portfolio-163001902--sector.html
Interest rates will continue to rise in 2017 & 2018 because of inflation and also dumping of US treasuries. Companies which leverage on debts for growth will be badly affected by rising interest rates. One such company is Amazon.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/02/fed-is-expected-to-reduce-its-massive.html
Interest rates will continue to rise in 2017 & 2018 because of inflation and also dumping of US treasuries. Companies which leverage on debts for growth will be badly affected by rising interest rates. One such company is Amazon.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/02/fed-is-expected-to-reduce-its-massive.html
Baltic dry index - 1297
Today, Friday, March 31 2017, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 27 points, reaching 1297 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
======================
Related stocks: Cosco, Sembcorp Marine & Pan Ocean.
US rig count - 824
HOUSTON (AP) — The number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. increased by 15 this week to 824.
A year ago, 450 rigs were active.
Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes Inc. said Friday that 662 rigs sought oil and 160 explored for natural gas this week. Two were listed as miscellaneous.
Texas increased by seven rigs and Louisiana added six. Alaska rose by three while New Mexico gained two.
Colorado declined by two. North Dakota and Utah were off one each.
Arkansas, California, Kansas, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Wyoming were all unchanged.
The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out last May at 404.
==========================
Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine, Cosco.
Friday, March 31, 2017
Germany VS USA in world trade.
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/germany-urges-eu-file-wto-081445679.html
It is useless for Germany to file a complaint against USA in WTO because Trump had said it would ignore WTO ruling. There is pretty much nothing to be done. If Germany antagonizes USA too much, USA will demand more money from NATO or even pull out of NATO.
Germany can only sit in a corner to suck its own thumb.
It is useless for Germany to file a complaint against USA in WTO because Trump had said it would ignore WTO ruling. There is pretty much nothing to be done. If Germany antagonizes USA too much, USA will demand more money from NATO or even pull out of NATO.
Germany can only sit in a corner to suck its own thumb.
Wilmar has lost its prerogative to sell sugar processed by its mills
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-australia-sugar-politics-idUSKBN17105H
Wilmar can no longer force farmers to let it sells sugar after processing the sugar in its mills. This is a business setback for Wilmar because farmers can sell the sugar themselves. Wilmar will definitely lose some businesses after processing the sugar.
Wilmar can no longer force farmers to let it sells sugar after processing the sugar in its mills. This is a business setback for Wilmar because farmers can sell the sugar themselves. Wilmar will definitely lose some businesses after processing the sugar.
Thursday, March 30, 2017
Beware! Police scam going around in Singapore now!
Zika is back in Singapore again!
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/first-zika-cluster-of-2017-detected-at-simon-place-nea-113735820.html
Be careful! Zika will have permanent effects on males.
Be careful! Zika will have permanent effects on males.
Wednesday, March 29, 2017
Tuesday, March 28, 2017
Monday, March 27, 2017
Trump is extorting money from Germany!
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/donald-trump-printed-made-300bn-132015850.html
Relationship between EU and USA will be rocky as long as Trump is the president.
Relationship between EU and USA will be rocky as long as Trump is the president.
Saturday, March 25, 2017
Baltic dry index - 1240
Today, Friday, March 24 2017, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 44 points, reaching 1240 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
=========================
Related Stocks: Cosco, Sembcorp Marine.
US rig count - 809
HOUSTON (AP) — The number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. increased by 20 this week to 809.
A year ago, 464 rigs were active.
Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes Inc. said Friday that 652 rigs sought oil and 155 explored for natural gas this week. Two were listed as miscellaneous.
Texas increased by eight rigs and Oklahoma added seven. New Mexico rose by three while Alaska, California, North Dakota, Pennsylvania and West Virginia gained one each.
Louisiana declined by two and Wyoming by one.
Arkansas, Colorado, Kansas, Ohio, and Utah were all unchanged.
The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out last May at 404.
======================
Related Stocks: Keppe Corp, Sembcorp Marine, Cosco.
Friday, March 24, 2017
Japan is trying to stir troubles in South China Sea.
http://en.people.cn/n3/2017/0317/c90000-9191403.html
Japan will regret this military move because it will give China the legitimate reason to send its aircraft carrier to Japan's sea.
Japan will regret this military move because it will give China the legitimate reason to send its aircraft carrier to Japan's sea.
Oxford's archives reveal Diaoyu islands belong to China.
Historical texts from Oxford's Bodleian Library show Diaoyu islands belong to China.
Japan! Please stop lying to the world anymore when China can prove that it is the real owner from its own documentations and also from Oxford's archives.
China is advancing in artificial intelligence technology.
http://en.people.cn/n3/2017/0321/c90000-9193008.html
China is focusing on AI technology because it has wide applications in quantitive finance, complementary medicine, self-driving, etc. China manages to win the AI tournament in such a short span of development denotes its rapid advancement in this industry.
China is focusing on AI technology because it has wide applications in quantitive finance, complementary medicine, self-driving, etc. China manages to win the AI tournament in such a short span of development denotes its rapid advancement in this industry.
Thursday, March 23, 2017
Poor APL! Taking the rap for Singapore.
http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asiapacific/prosecution-started-against-apl-vessel-captain-over-saf-armoured/3616394.html
Companies will be careful in dealing with Singapore government from now on especially when the business takes place in China territory. Businesses will get whipped on behalf of Singapore whenever the relationship is rocky between SG & China.
Companies will be careful in dealing with Singapore government from now on especially when the business takes place in China territory. Businesses will get whipped on behalf of Singapore whenever the relationship is rocky between SG & China.
USA is doing the same thing (fabricated intelligence) to North Korea now!
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/u-may-accuse-n-korea-030927059.html
USA is building up a case to attack NK just like it did for Iraq.
USA is building up a case to attack NK just like it did for Iraq.
Wednesday, March 22, 2017
First Ship Lease Trust is in trouble too.
FSLT's auditor has raised financial concerns because liability has exceeded current assets by about USD$180m.
We've been warning about shipping trusts. Please read our previous posts to understand more about shipping trust.
We've been warning about shipping trusts. Please read our previous posts to understand more about shipping trust.
Triyards falls about 20% today!
Triyards is also affected by Ezra's bankruptcy. We raised this concern in our previous posting.
What could WTO do for South Korea?
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/south-korea-complains-wto-over-chinas-response-anti-033217183--business.html
SK had filed a complaint about China in WTO but could WTO do anything for SK?
WTO back-stabbed China by not granting market economy status automatically to China but China still supported WTO when USA stated it would ignore any WTO ruling.
WTO would be a useless organization if China also declared overtly that WTO had no jurisdiction. USA and China are trying to establish a cordial relationship in April 2017 when the 2 countries meet in USA. They will charter how the relationship will be for the next 50 years which will be of paramount importance for the world.
If WTO rules against China, China may retaliate by standing behind USA to ignore WTO ruling. This will definitely make WTO look bad.
SK had filed a complaint about China in WTO but could WTO do anything for SK?
WTO back-stabbed China by not granting market economy status automatically to China but China still supported WTO when USA stated it would ignore any WTO ruling.
WTO would be a useless organization if China also declared overtly that WTO had no jurisdiction. USA and China are trying to establish a cordial relationship in April 2017 when the 2 countries meet in USA. They will charter how the relationship will be for the next 50 years which will be of paramount importance for the world.
If WTO rules against China, China may retaliate by standing behind USA to ignore WTO ruling. This will definitely make WTO look bad.
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
Rickmers will have a hard time to restructure its loans.
http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/rickmers-has-until-april-15-to-give-bankers-a-plan
Brilliant analysts will know that the shipping industry cannot withstand economic downturns. Many shippers will renege on its long-term chartering contracts with shipping trusts during economic downturns because many shippers cannot survive the downturns and have to downsize. Shipping trusts can't do anything or sue their customers because their customers won't use shipping reits anymore if they get sued.
When shipping trusts are losing customers and ship values are declining simultaneously, banks will demand the shipping trusts to top up the difference in ship values or recall the ship loans. Therefore, it's very difficult for the shipping trusts to restructure their loans unless creditors are willing to take heavy writedowns.
Brilliant analysts will know that the shipping industry cannot withstand economic downturns. Many shippers will renege on its long-term chartering contracts with shipping trusts during economic downturns because many shippers cannot survive the downturns and have to downsize. Shipping trusts can't do anything or sue their customers because their customers won't use shipping reits anymore if they get sued.
When shipping trusts are losing customers and ship values are declining simultaneously, banks will demand the shipping trusts to top up the difference in ship values or recall the ship loans. Therefore, it's very difficult for the shipping trusts to restructure their loans unless creditors are willing to take heavy writedowns.
Emas Offshore gives bankruptcy warning!
http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/emas-offshore-warns-against-going-concern-issue-after-ezras-chapter-11-filing
Ezra owns about 75% of Emas and Emas is affected by Ezra's bankruptcy. Let's see Triyards will declare the same concern or not as Ezra owns about 61%.
Ezra owns about 75% of Emas and Emas is affected by Ezra's bankruptcy. Let's see Triyards will declare the same concern or not as Ezra owns about 61%.
What happened to Nam Cheong today?
Nam Cheong tanked about 33% earlier in the day because of financial concerns raised by its auditor.
Let's look at Nam Cheong stock calls.
There is not a single BUY call for Nam Cheong except from Amfraser in the past. Therefore, there is no real reason to buy Nam Cheong and retail investors would have avoided this company and suffer no real losses. Avoid oil & gas companies because their customers cannot withstand economic downturns based on qualitative analysis.
Let's look at Nam Cheong stock calls.
There is not a single BUY call for Nam Cheong except from Amfraser in the past. Therefore, there is no real reason to buy Nam Cheong and retail investors would have avoided this company and suffer no real losses. Avoid oil & gas companies because their customers cannot withstand economic downturns based on qualitative analysis.
What led to Ezra's bankruptcy in USA?
2 ship owners cancelled chartering agreements with Ezra and Ezra's invoices were piling up fast. The shipping industry is a precarious environment and many shippers cannot withstand recessions or economic downturns. However, this is often not highlighted by analysts in their qualitative section of their research reports.
Monday, March 20, 2017
Stock calls for Ezra.
Lim & Tan had warned about Ezra in Oct 2016 by giving an AVOID call, CIMB gave a REDUCE call in June 2016 and UOB gave a SELL call as early as August 2016. Therefore, investors would have avoided Ezra as early as June 2016 without suffering from this mayhem (Bankruptcy).
DBS economists are so optimistic about Singapore GDP growth in 2017.
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/singapores-gdp-growth-forecast-hit-022600862.html
Let's hope DBS economists don't make the same mistake as their CEO regarding swiber and ezra.
Let's hope DBS economists don't make the same mistake as their CEO regarding swiber and ezra.
Saturday, March 18, 2017
Crude oil spa is the latest fashion now!
Germany may file WTO suit against USA but it's just a wishful thinking.
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/could-file-suit-against-trump-072829873.html
Trump had already said he would ignore WTO ruling and Germany couldn't do anything about it unless Germany wanted to start a trade war with USA. If Germany makes Trump too furious, Trump will no longer support NATO and other EU members will blame Germany for USA withdrawal from NATO. The ensuing outcome will be Germany will have to swallow this border tax thing and suck its thumb in a corner.
Trump had already said he would ignore WTO ruling and Germany couldn't do anything about it unless Germany wanted to start a trade war with USA. If Germany makes Trump too furious, Trump will no longer support NATO and other EU members will blame Germany for USA withdrawal from NATO. The ensuing outcome will be Germany will have to swallow this border tax thing and suck its thumb in a corner.
Baltic dry index - 1196
Today, Friday, March 17 2017, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 24 points, reaching 1196 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
====================
Related stocks: Cosco & Sembcorp Marine.
US rig count - 789
HOUSTON (AP) — The number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. increased by 21 this week to 789.
A year ago, 476 rigs were active.
Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes Inc. said Friday that 631 rigs sought oil and 157 explored for natural gas this week. One was listed as miscellaneous.
Oklahoma increased by 10 rigs, North Dakota added five, Texas gained four, Colorado and Utah were each up two, and Alaska gained one.
Wyoming lost two. Louisiana and New Mexico dropped one each.
Arkansas, California, Kansas, Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia were all unchanged.
The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out last May at 404.
===================
Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.
Friday, March 17, 2017
South Korea is so ignorant about THAAD.
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/south-korea-says-china-lacks-understanding-thaad-060127296.html
Military experts know that THAAD is useless against NK because NK will use mobile rockets launchers against SK as NK has more than 10,000 such launchers. THAAD is useless against rockets launchers. NK's rockets launchers can target Seoul because of the close proximity.
http://38north.org/2016/03/jlewis030716/
Military experts know that THAAD is useless against NK because NK will use mobile rockets launchers against SK as NK has more than 10,000 such launchers. THAAD is useless against rockets launchers. NK's rockets launchers can target Seoul because of the close proximity.
http://38north.org/2016/03/jlewis030716/
Singapore non-oil domestic exports surge significantly.
http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/february-exports-surge-21-5-in-4th-straight-month-of-growth/3602896.html
Singapore is doing well because of China as China is our biggest export destination. February is an exceptional month because of CNY exports to Chinese countries like Taiwan and China. This is just an aberration which will not be repeated after February. This CNY export was definitely better than last year's CNY as there's burgeoning growth in the Chinese middle class. China is changing its economy structurally into a consuming nation.
We have to be wary of our dependent on China as SK's lesson is what we will encounter in the future when we offend China.
Singapore is doing well because of China as China is our biggest export destination. February is an exceptional month because of CNY exports to Chinese countries like Taiwan and China. This is just an aberration which will not be repeated after February. This CNY export was definitely better than last year's CNY as there's burgeoning growth in the Chinese middle class. China is changing its economy structurally into a consuming nation.
We have to be wary of our dependent on China as SK's lesson is what we will encounter in the future when we offend China.
Thursday, March 16, 2017
Corruption is still rampant in KLIA. Taiwanese girl was detained wrongfully.
http://focustaiwan.tw/news/aipl/201703150010.aspx
This incident is widely reported on Taiwan news channels and China.
How could a Taiwanese girl be detained for 35 hours for no offence? To detain someone for 35 hours is no small matter and require a high ranking officer to approve such detention. Malaysia should just refuse entry and close the case if this to be handled properly. However, the Malaysian custom officer saw this as an opportunity to demand money from the traveller.
Malaysia Boleh!
This incident is widely reported on Taiwan news channels and China.
How could a Taiwanese girl be detained for 35 hours for no offence? To detain someone for 35 hours is no small matter and require a high ranking officer to approve such detention. Malaysia should just refuse entry and close the case if this to be handled properly. However, the Malaysian custom officer saw this as an opportunity to demand money from the traveller.
Malaysia Boleh!
Japan navy carrier is sailing to Singapore.
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-japan-navy-southchinasea-china-idUSKBN16L0UM
Singapore has angered China that China commercial ships have stopped coming to our port. Instead of welcoming commercial vessels, SG is welcoming military vessel instead which doesn't contribute economically to SG.
Sigh! What is our government doing! Japan invaded and attacked SG before and we're welcoming its naval vessel to SG.
Singapore has angered China that China commercial ships have stopped coming to our port. Instead of welcoming commercial vessels, SG is welcoming military vessel instead which doesn't contribute economically to SG.
Sigh! What is our government doing! Japan invaded and attacked SG before and we're welcoming its naval vessel to SG.
China raises money market rates after FED move.
http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/2079352/china-raises-money-market-rates-second-time-year-pumps-new
What does this mean in the real economic term?
This action means China is draining cheap money out of the monetary system and replacing it with more expensive money.
This will help to curtail excessive spending and investment but also increase inflation.
What does this mean in the real economic term?
This action means China is draining cheap money out of the monetary system and replacing it with more expensive money.
This will help to curtail excessive spending and investment but also increase inflation.
Empty shopping malls are springing up in USA! The real economy is not doing well.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-03-07/third-all-shopping-malls-are-projected-close-space-available-signs-go-all-over-ameri
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-01-24/malls
The real economy in USA is not doing as well as projected on wall street. QE only helps to propel wall street but not main street. Empty shopping malls have started to spring up in USA which depicts the real economic situation. Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) have also started to default significantly and commercial reits' prices have fallen. Mortgage-backed Securities (MBS) are worse than 2008 (lehman bros' collapse) now and will explode anytime in USA. If China investors pull out of USA commercial properties, it will have a huge ripple effect that will cripple USA economy. This recession will be worse than in 2008.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-01-24/malls
The real economy in USA is not doing as well as projected on wall street. QE only helps to propel wall street but not main street. Empty shopping malls have started to spring up in USA which depicts the real economic situation. Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) have also started to default significantly and commercial reits' prices have fallen. Mortgage-backed Securities (MBS) are worse than 2008 (lehman bros' collapse) now and will explode anytime in USA. If China investors pull out of USA commercial properties, it will have a huge ripple effect that will cripple USA economy. This recession will be worse than in 2008.
FED has hiked interest rate in march and 2 more hikes are expected in 2017.
The market reacted positively because of FED dovish statement of gradual pace of tightening in its future actions. Some were anticipating 4 hikes this year but FED only wanted 3 hikes instead which was a relief for the market. Furthermore, there may be some headwinds which will affect the economy like Trump's policies, North Korea, EU, etc. Therefore, FED is having a wait-and-see attitude and will play by ear to determine its interest rate policy.
Wednesday, March 15, 2017
More financial experts are predicting a correction or crash for Dow Jones!
http://www.cnbc.com/2017/03/15/trader-talk-are-you-ready-for-a-2000-point-drop-in-the-dow.html?__source=yahoo%7Cfinance%7Cheadline%7Cheadline%7Cstory&par=yahoo&doc=104341874&yptr=yahoo
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/crash-guru-warns-the-dow-could-plunge-to-14800-and-todays-a-date-to-watch-2017-03-13
One said dow jones would drop 2,000 and another said dow jones would fall to 14,800 level. Look like the clairvoyants are in synchronization for once. They had a common consensus on the direction or trajectory of dow jones but not on the magnitude of the fall.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/crash-guru-warns-the-dow-could-plunge-to-14800-and-todays-a-date-to-watch-2017-03-13
One said dow jones would drop 2,000 and another said dow jones would fall to 14,800 level. Look like the clairvoyants are in synchronization for once. They had a common consensus on the direction or trajectory of dow jones but not on the magnitude of the fall.
Swiber defaults on its bond for 20 March 2017.
http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/swiber-defaults-on-its-bond-coupon-payout-due-on-march-20
If swiber cannot even pay for this bond coupon, we can expect swiber to default on its DBS loan too. Look like DBS has more to write down for Swiber.
If swiber cannot even pay for this bond coupon, we can expect swiber to default on its DBS loan too. Look like DBS has more to write down for Swiber.
MAS warning: Do not trade in binary options
http://news.asiaone.com/news/business/mas-dont-trade-binary-options-unregulated-platforms
Only trade in those derivatives by brokerages registered with MAS in Singapore. Skip those who are registered in overseas no matter how low is the brokerage fee.
Only trade in those derivatives by brokerages registered with MAS in Singapore. Skip those who are registered in overseas no matter how low is the brokerage fee.
Huat ah! Great news for Singapore!
http://news.asiaone.com/news/business/economists-upgrade-singapores-2017-growth-forecast-15-23
I hope that our government won't revise down the GDP growth forecast in the next quarter. I rather have no hope than to have a false hope.
I hope that our government won't revise down the GDP growth forecast in the next quarter. I rather have no hope than to have a false hope.
Tuesday, March 14, 2017
Chile has invited China to join TPP.
http://gbtimes.com/business/china-considers-joining-tpp-meeting-chile
Without USA, Japan will be the biggest economy in TPP and this gives Japan a lot of bargaining power. However, Chile has invited China to join TPP which will make China the largest economy in TPP and assume the leadership position.
If Japan makes things difficult for China to join TPP, China will not join TPP and focus on RCEP since it is leading RCEP.
Let's see how this will pan out.
Without USA, Japan will be the biggest economy in TPP and this gives Japan a lot of bargaining power. However, Chile has invited China to join TPP which will make China the largest economy in TPP and assume the leadership position.
If Japan makes things difficult for China to join TPP, China will not join TPP and focus on RCEP since it is leading RCEP.
Let's see how this will pan out.
Monday, March 13, 2017
China citizens are boycotting South Korea.
http://koreabizwire.com/thousands-of-chinese-cruise-passengers-refuse-to-disembark-in-jeju-amid-diplomatic-woes/77256
China cruise passengers refused to disembark in South Korea. Anti-sentiment has spread across Chinese citizens and they're not afraid to show it publicly.
China cruise passengers refused to disembark in South Korea. Anti-sentiment has spread across Chinese citizens and they're not afraid to show it publicly.
It's getting harder to save Ezra.
http://news.asiaone.com/news/business/latest-claim-ezra-raises-more-concerns
DBS will be hurt more than OCBC when Ezra goes bankrupt. DBS has not factored in the reality of Ezra's bankruptcy.
DBS will be hurt more than OCBC when Ezra goes bankrupt. DBS has not factored in the reality of Ezra's bankruptcy.
Trade war between 2 titans (China & USA) is never good.
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/china-says-trade-war-only-bring-pain-112926544.html
USA knows it won't win the trade war against China. Therefore, it is trying all avenues and prodding all weaknesses in China.
http://en.people.cn/n3/2017/0217/c90000-9179472.html
USA steel industry couldn't handle competition, so it tried to accuse China of stealing trade secrets with fabricated facts which the USA government always did especially for Iraq war (no weapon of mass destruction found until today). After realising that this won't work, the USA steel industry withdrew its allegation and move on to anti-trust allegation.
If China did steal trade secrets from USA steel industry, USA won't back down at all.
USA knows it won't win the trade war against China. Therefore, it is trying all avenues and prodding all weaknesses in China.
http://en.people.cn/n3/2017/0217/c90000-9179472.html
USA steel industry couldn't handle competition, so it tried to accuse China of stealing trade secrets with fabricated facts which the USA government always did especially for Iraq war (no weapon of mass destruction found until today). After realising that this won't work, the USA steel industry withdrew its allegation and move on to anti-trust allegation.
If China did steal trade secrets from USA steel industry, USA won't back down at all.
Sunday, March 12, 2017
What can Singapore learn from South Korea?
It is an extremely difficult and delicate balance to saunter the relationships between USA and China especially when these 2 titans are at odds with each other. Let’s look at the horrendous outcome for South Korea as our learning lesson for the future.
Synopsis:
South Korea tried to improve its economy by getting cozy with China with the intention to get favourable FTA from China but this economic motive angered USA especially when President Park visited China. In return, USA demanded South Korea to install THAAD to contain China in the name of self-defence against North Korea. South Korea was able to resist the USA pressure initially but cowered in because USA managed to get a handle on South Korea. In the end, South Korea was forced to install THAAD to pacify USA. However, the THAAD installation made China very furious and China retaliated with its economic prowess in staggered stages instead of full force with the hope of dissuading South Korea. Thereafter, South Korea president ended up being impeached.
The lesson learnt is we cannot follow South Korea’s footstep to get economic benefit from China and yet help USA to contain China. Nobody likes a snitch or a double-headed snake. China has shown the world blatantly that it won’t allow itself to be treated like that either.
China has deployed its long phased array radar to monitor South Korea.
China existing long phased array radar has a range of 3000km and its newest one is capable of 5500km range. China has deployed an existing long phased array radar with 3000km to monitor SK and Japan.
Picture of phased array radar
This kind of radar is capable of tracking multiple objects as small as a golf ball and is also able to jam other radar.
http://www.matthewaid.com/post/87975623676/china-may-be-jamming-new-long-range-surveillance
Picture of phased array radar
This kind of radar is capable of tracking multiple objects as small as a golf ball and is also able to jam other radar.
http://www.matthewaid.com/post/87975623676/china-may-be-jamming-new-long-range-surveillance
Saturday, March 11, 2017
China new shipping routes will bypass Singapore.
http://en.people.cn/n3/2017/0310/c90000-9188766.html
China shippers won't be using Singapore as a transition hub even before the operation of Malacca new port. No wonder our port handling volume is declining.
China shippers won't be using Singapore as a transition hub even before the operation of Malacca new port. No wonder our port handling volume is declining.
Baltic dry index - 1086
Today, Friday, March 10 2017, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 22 points, reaching 1086 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
=======================
Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
=======================
Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.
US rig count - 768
The number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. increased by 12 this week to 768.
A year ago, 480 rigs were active.
Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes Inc. said Friday that 617 rigs sought oil and 151 explored for natural gas this week.
Louisiana increased by five rigs, Colorado and Oklahoma each were up three, Ohio and Wyoming rose by two and California gained one.
Alaska declined by three and New Mexico dropped one.
Arkansas, Kansas, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah and West Virginia were all unchanged.
The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out last May at 404.
===========================
Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.
Friday, March 10, 2017
China stealth fighter J20 is officially in service now.
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/chinas-first-stealth-fighter-enters-media-080648703.html
A big thank to USA for stirring troubles in South China Sea, China has to defend itself by expediting the developments of its airplanes. J20 is in service now!
A big thank to USA for stirring troubles in South China Sea, China has to defend itself by expediting the developments of its airplanes. J20 is in service now!
South Korean President has been impeached!
http://www.cnbc.com/2017/03/09/south-korean-president-park-geun-hye-impeached-after-court-ruling-south-korean-president-park-geun-hye-avoids-impeachment-after-court-ruling.html
She has to leave the office immediately as the court has decided to impeach her. The deployment of THAAD defence system permanently in South Korea will rest on the next president.
She has to leave the office immediately as the court has decided to impeach her. The deployment of THAAD defence system permanently in South Korea will rest on the next president.
ECB is reducing bond purchases.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/ecb-further-reduce-bond-purchases-april-ifo-head-092935702--business.html
ECB is reducing bond purchases to contain inflation. In a nutshell, revising QE will increase interest rate.
EU's interest rate will increase, so will USA's interest rate. The high interest rate environment is coming.
ECB is reducing bond purchases to contain inflation. In a nutshell, revising QE will increase interest rate.
EU's interest rate will increase, so will USA's interest rate. The high interest rate environment is coming.
Thursday, March 9, 2017
We've been warning about rising inflation.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-february-producer-inflation-accelerates-fastest-since-september-014945289--finance.html
China inflation is rising fast and will emanate to the world. We've been warning about this since the last quarter of 2016.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2016/11/high-interest-rate-environment-is-coming.html
China inflation is rising fast and will emanate to the world. We've been warning about this since the last quarter of 2016.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2016/11/high-interest-rate-environment-is-coming.html
Wednesday, March 8, 2017
Building structure on mars erased by NASA. Why?
South Korea will enter economic downturn in 2017 - Part 4
Lotte has about USD$8.5b investments in China and Lotte is expected to suffer a big chunk of loss in China. The next to fall will be Samsung as China citizens are boycotting South Korean products.
Furthermore, Foxconn and TSMC are trying to decimate Samsung by combining efforts to buy Toshiba's nand flash business. Once nand flash business falls into the hands of TSMC & Foxconn, Samsung business will be greatly affected as Apple will no longer use Samsung as its supplier because Apple views Samsung as a competitor.
Tuesday, March 7, 2017
Israel! Please stop your aggression!
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/israeli-minister-us-warned-israel-annexing-west-bank-101039869--politics.html
After getting a UN's censure on Israel, USA had switched side finally.
After getting a UN's censure on Israel, USA had switched side finally.
Australia doesn't want to get involved in South China Sea patrol. Why?
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-southchinasea-indonesia-australia-idUSKBN16E0D0
The real reason is that Australia also ignored PCA ruling in favour of East Timor and didn't recognise PCA jurisdiction. Therefore, it's improper for Australia to continue to support PCA ruling in South China Sea or it would face a backlash.
The real reason is that Australia also ignored PCA ruling in favour of East Timor and didn't recognise PCA jurisdiction. Therefore, it's improper for Australia to continue to support PCA ruling in South China Sea or it would face a backlash.
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