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Tuesday, August 6, 2019

Frencken - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/12/19 Amfrasers Frencken 0.51 0.67 Buy PER10x FY19
04/15/19 DBS Vickers Frencken 0.6 0.75 Buy PER8.5x FY19/20
04/17/19 CIMB Frencken 0.635 0.9 Add PER10x FY20
05/09/19 DMG & Partners Frencken 0.615 0.82 Buy DCF
05/10/19 DBS Vickers Frencken 0.615 0.75 Buy PER8.5x FY19/20
05/10/19 Lim & Tan Frencken 0.615 0 Buy
05/10/19 CIMB Frencken 0.615 0.9 Add
05/14/19 Amfrasers Frencken 0.595 0.67 Buy PER10x FY19
06/12/19 DMG & Partners Frencken 0.625 0.82 Buy DCF

Stock calls for 6 August 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/06/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.525 0.65 Buy DCF
08/06/19 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.525 0.48 Hold PER10x FY20
08/06/19 UOB Kay Hian First Resources 1.53 1.6 Hold
08/06/19 Kim Eng Genting 0.885 0.99 Hold
08/06/19 Citibank Genting 0.885 1.07 Buy
08/06/19 CIMB Genting 0.885 1 Add EV/Ebitda8x CY20
08/06/19 DBS Vickers Genting 0.885 1.2 Buy
08/06/19 Lim & Tan Genting 0.885 0 Hold
08/06/19 CIMB Hongkong Land 5.74 7.4 Add
08/06/19 Citibank Hongkong Land 5.74 5.85 Sell
08/06/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.2 1.45 Buy
08/06/19 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 0.88 0.92 Buy DCF
08/06/19 Phillip Netlink 0.88 0.93 Accumulate DCF
08/06/19 CIMB OCBC 11.08 12.59 Hold GGM, PB1.3x
08/06/19 Macquarie Sembcorp Marine 1.28 1.4 Neutral PB
08/06/19 Amfrasers Sheng Siong 1.16 1.27 Outperform
08/06/19 OCBC Starhill 0.775 0.81 Buy
08/06/19 CIMB UOB 25.91 29.58 Add GGM, PB1.3x

How did the US end up on the receiving end of the US-China trade war?

How did the US end up on the receiving end instead of China?

1. The US underestimated Zhong Shan. Zhong Shan is a hawkish hardliner and we've given a brief description of him in our previous post.


2. The US didn’t understand the implicit message that was sent by China in Shanghai.


3. The US didn’t understand China economic structure.



4. The US flip-flopped on many issues and created distrust in the trade talk.

How many cards can China use against the US?

The other play cards that China can use against the US:

1. Iran oil
2. Venezuela oil
3. Rare earth
4. RMB depreciation
5. Tariffs
6. North Korea

A few of these will create big headaches for the US already.

The US is trying to raise tension in Asia with its missiles deployment. - Part 2

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/china-counter-u-deployment-intermediate-014010978.html

China has started to warn Asian countries about hosting the US missiles that are targeting China.

We were very concerned about this and did a post recently.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/the-us-is-trying-to-raise-tension-in.html

The US has labelled China as a currency manipulator.

There is no doubt that the US-China trade war will escalate.

What will China do after being labelled as a currency manipulator?

China may ban US oil imports and start to import more Iran oil.  This will definitely irk the US and render US sanctions against Iran as ineffective.  When China imports more Iran oil, it will disrupt the oil market because China will be cutting back oil purchases from other oil producers.  This will cause oil prices to fall and impact the US shale oil industry.

China has more cards to play with the US and China has not announced its own tariffs yet.

Inverse relationship between China A50 and RMB. - Part 3

Black line: USD/CNY
Green line: China A50

Look at what a falling RMB has done to China A50! China has allowed RMB to breach the 7 mark without any FX intervention.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/inverse-relationship-between-china-a50.html

Monday, August 5, 2019

The US is trying to raise tension in Asia with its missiles deployment.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/us-wants-quickly-deploy-missiles-asia-esper-103048072.html

The US wants to deploy its missiles in Asia to target China.  This will definitely raise tension between Asian countries and China.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/australia-wont-host-u-missiles-063447999.html

The new Aussie PM understood the danger of hosting the US missiles and won't allow it in Australia.

I hope that SG won't allow it too because China will aim its missiles at SG when we've US missiles targeting China.  The Sino-SG relationship will also turn south because of the US missiles.

Frasers Property - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/18 Lim & Tan Frasers Property 2.08 0 Buy
02/12/18 CIMB Frasers Property 1.96 2.4 Add RNAV (30% discount)
02/12/18 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.96 2.35 Buy RNAV (20% discount), PB1x
04/13/18 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.96 2.35 Buy
05/11/18 CIMB Frasers Property 1.95 2.4 Add
07/06/18 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.67 2.35 Buy
07/09/18 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.58 1.9 Buy RNAV (35% discount)
08/13/18 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.71 1.98 Buy RNAV (35% discount)
08/13/18 CIMB Frasers Property 1.71 2.02 Add RNAV (35% discount)
11/12/18 CIMB Frasers Property 1.62 2.08 Add RNAV (35% discount)
11/13/18 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.63 1.98 Buy RNAV (35% discount)
01/17/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.74 1.98 Buy RNAV (35% discount)
02/14/19 CIMB Frasers Property 1.7 2.08 Add
02/14/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.7 1.98 Buy RNAV (35% discount)
03/22/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.77 1.98 Buy RNAV (35% discount)
04/08/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.81 1.98 Buy
04/10/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.84 2.3 Buy RNAV (35% discount)
05/06/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.89 2.3 Buy RNAV (35% discount)
05/07/19 CIMB Frasers Property 1.85 2.08 Add

Frasers Logistics - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/28/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Logistics 1.06 1.2 Buy DCF
01/28/19 OCBC Frasers Logistics 1.06 1.19 Buy
01/28/19 CIMB Frasers Logistics 1.06 1.19 Add
02/08/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Logistics 1.09 1.2 Buy
04/03/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Logistics 1.16 1.2 Buy
04/30/19 OCBC Frasers Logistics 1.18 1.2 Hold
05/02/19 CIMB Frasers Logistics 1.18 1.21 Hold DDM
06/28/19 OCBC Frasers Logistics 1.19 1.2 Hold
07/04/19 OCBC Frasers Logistics 1.23 1.2 Hold
07/04/19 Lim & Tan Frasers Logistics 1.23 0 Hold
07/04/19 CIMB Frasers Logistics 1.23 1.25 Hold

Frasers Hospitality Trust - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/01/19 Kim Eng Frasers Hospitality Trust 0.735 0.8 Buy DDM
02/01/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Hospitality Trust 0.735 0.78 Buy
02/04/19 UOB Kay Hian Frasers Hospitality Trust 0.74 0.82 Buy
05/03/19 Kim Eng Frasers Hospitality Trust 0.745 0.85 Buy
05/03/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Hospitality Trust 0.745 0.77 Hold DCF
07/12/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Hospitality Trust 0.72 0.77 Hold DCF

Stock calls for 5 August 2019

Date Analyst Code Company Last Target Call Percent Valuation
08/05/19 DMG & Partners 5DA Breadtalk 0.69 0.71 Neutral 2.90 Sum of parts
08/05/19 DMG & Partners D01 Dairy Farm 7.6 7.38 Neutral -2.89 DCF
08/05/19 DMG & Partners G13 Genting 0.9 0.97 Neutral 7.78 EV/Ebitda7x FY19
08/05/19 UOB Kay Hian G13 Genting 0.9 1.11 Buy 23.33
08/05/19 DBS Vickers H17 Hi-P 1.34 1.32 Hold -1.49 PER12x FY20
08/05/19 DBS Vickers H78 Hongkong Land 6.02 7.7 Buy 27.91 RNAV (40% discount)
08/05/19 DBS Vickers 5JS Indofood Agri 0.32 0.29 Hold -9.38 DCF
08/05/19 DBS Vickers UD2 Japfa 0.5 0.53 Hold 6.00 Sum of parts (10% discount), PER12.5x FY19
08/05/19 phillip O39 OCBC 11.21 12.5 Accumulate 11.51 GGM, PB1.3x
08/05/19 DMG & Partners O39 OCBC 11.21 11.8 Neutral 5.26 GGM, PB1.1x FY20
08/05/19 UOB Kay Hian O39 OCBC 11.21 14.48 Buy 29.17
08/05/19 DBS Vickers O39 OCBC 11.21 11.5 Hold 2.59
08/05/19 DBS Vickers E8Z Roxy-Pacific 0.39 0.39 Hold 0.00 RNAV (55% discount)
08/05/19 CIMB S68 SGX 7.98 8.1 Hold 1.50 PER21.5x
08/05/19 UOB Kay Hian S08 Singapore Post 0.965 1.04 Hold 7.77 Sum of parts
08/05/19 DBS Vickers S08 Singapore Post 0.965 0.96 Hold -0.52
08/05/19 Lim & Tan S08 Singapore Post 0.965 0 Hold -100.00
08/05/19 phillip U11 UOB 26 28.6 Accumulate 10.00 GGM, PB1.3x
08/05/19 DBS Vickers U11 UOB 26 29.2 Buy 12.31
08/05/19 Kim Eng U11 UOB 26 29.13 Buy 12.04 DDM

China has suspended US agricultural purchases and depreciated its yuan.

https://www.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/dow-futures-dive-as-china-retaliates-on-trade-yuan-falls-to-decade-low-v-dollar-15044374?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO&yptr=yahoo

China has not retaliated with its own tariffs yet but suspended the US agricultural purchases.  China doesn't want to show hand its tariff card yet.  This will create more uncertainty in the stock market because investors don't want to catch a falling knife.

We had already stated that China was no longer interested in US agricultural purchases in our previous post.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/trump-is-in-trouble-because-china-is-no.html

China had stipulated its tough stance on the wall during the US-China trade talk in Shanghai but the US team didn't get it.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/the-us-trade-talk-team-didnt-get.html

The US doesn't understand that the US tariffs don't impact China's economy much nowadays and China has learnt how to cope with the tariffs already.  Therefore, additional tariffs won't force China to bend over.

Hong Kong economy will be heavily impacted by these protests.

The latest information I've gathered from China is that China has issued HK travel restriction to Guangzhou for safety reason.  As the majority of the Chinese visitors are from Guangzhou, this will impact tourism in HK.

I do not support these protestors for the reasons cited in my previous post below.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/hong-kong-pro-democracy-activists-are.html

Many inbound and outbound flights are cancelled in HK today because of the protest today.  When HK economy collapses, HK will still need China to bail it out again by directing Chinese companies to invest in HK.  There is no way for HK to be independent and yet it wants China to be its saviour whenever it faces an economic collapse.  Nobody can accept this!

Sunday, August 4, 2019

The US trade-talk team didn't get the message that China was sending in Shanghai.


A picture tells a thousand words!  How true it is!

The ancient Chinese poetry on the wall had a hidden message which China was trying to send to the US team but the US team didn't understand the implied meaning because there was no Chinese expert on its team.

The poetry was depicting a magnificent mountain and the cloud came along to create a more picturesque view.  The cloud could come and go but the mountain would still be magnificent and picturesque as ever without the cloud.

The implied meaning from the poetry was that China didn't care about whether the US team did come for the trade talk because China would still be doing fine without the trade deal.

The US team didn't understand the poetry on the wall and the meeting broke down in less than 4 hours because it continued with its unreasonable US demands.

Trump is in trouble because China is no longer interested to buy US agricultural products.

China has increased agricultural and farming products from Russia and Argentina recently and the purchases are spearheaded by Zhong Shan, the commence minister.

https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3019187/china-and-russia-vow-deepen-trade-soybeans-after-tariff-war

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-argentina-soyproducts-china-exclusive/exclusive-china-to-inspect-argentine-crushers-could-unlock-no-1-soymeal-market-idUSKCN1UP1WT

Zhong Shan is a hawkish Chinese and is ordered by President Xi to take over the US-China trade talk from Liu He who is dovish.  The US team must be regretting now for not concluding the trade talk with Liu He.  The US team is facing Zhong Shan now and the trade talk will be very difficult to reach a settlement because he will walk away from any unfair and unreasonable US demand.  Zhong Shan will take on the additional US tariffs and impose China tariffs too.

Trump is foolish to think that China will back down now.  I believe Trump will back down instead because his tariffs will affect the upcoming festivals such as Thanksgiving and Christmas.  He will lose a lot of votes when his supporters cannot enjoy their festivals since consumer good prices will rise tremendously after the tariffs.

Saturday, August 3, 2019

The Strait Times Index (STI) has a high probability to close in the red in August.


I took the effort to compile the monthly gains for the past years and realized that the STI always performed badly in August since 2012.

This pattern looks set to repeat itself in August after Trump's china tariffs announcement.

Baltic dry index - 1788

Today, Friday, August 02 2019, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 24 points, reaching 1788 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean

US rig count - 942

Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco

Friday, August 2, 2019

ISM PMI analysis for the US economy in July 2019.


The price of a product is affected by raw material and labour costs.  Although the imported raw materials were supposed to be cheaper than local materials, the producers chose to reduce the imported materials and purchase more local materials.  This behaviour might be tariff-related.  However, the reduction in employment had helped to defray the cost and reduced the PMI prices from 47.9 to 45.1.  The upcoming employment data will fall, judging from the PMI employment sub-index number.

The new export and local orders will crumble if Trump imposes the additional tariffs on 1 September since consumer goods are being targeted this time and China has not announced its retaliatory US tariffs.  This July PMI is no longer relevant because of the escalating tariffs from both countries.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/trump-to-impose-additional-tariffs-on.html

In conclusion, the headline PMI figure has been falling for 4 consecutive months already.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/07/ism-pmi-analysis-for-us-economy-in-june.html

Frasers Commercial Trust - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/18/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Commercial Trust 1.47 1.7 Buy
01/21/19 OCBC Frasers Commercial Trust 1.45 1.56 Buy
01/21/19 CIMB Frasers Commercial Trust 1.45 1.5 Hold DDM
01/21/19 Lim & Tan Frasers Commercial Trust 1.45 0 Hold
03/18/19 DMG & Partners Frasers Commercial Trust 1.47 1.5 Neutral
04/08/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Commercial Trust 1.47 1.7 Buy
04/24/19 DMG & Partners Frasers Commercial Trust 1.49 1.5 Neutral DDM
04/24/19 OCBC Frasers Commercial Trust 1.49 1.58 Buy
04/24/19 CIMB Frasers Commercial Trust 1.49 1.5 Hold DDM
06/06/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Commercial Trust 1.51 1.7 Buy
06/26/19 OCBC Frasers Commercial Trust 1.58 1.69 Buy
06/26/19 CIMB Frasers Commercial Trust 1.58 1.64 Add DDM
06/27/19 DMG & Partners Frasers Commercial Trust 1.66 1.65 Neutral DDM
07/04/19 DMG & Partners Frasers Commercial Trust 1.68 1.65 Neutral
07/12/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Commercial Trust 1.65 1.7 Hold DCF
07/22/19 OCBC Frasers Commercial Trust 1.64 1.7 Hold

Frasers Centrepoint Trust - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/17/19 Kim Eng Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.27 2.55 Buy DDM
01/22/19 Lim & Tan Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.26 0 Hold
01/22/19 OCBC Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.26 2.5 Buy
01/23/19 Phillip Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.27 2.21 Neutral DDM, PB1.09x FY19
01/23/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.27 2.4 Buy
01/28/19 UOB Kay Hian Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.29 2.32 Buy
01/28/19 CIMB Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.29 2.35 Add DDM
02/15/19 Phillip Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.24 2.21 Neutral
02/28/19 Kim Eng Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.3 2.55 Buy
03/01/19 OCBC Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.29 2.5 Buy
03/01/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.29 2.4 Buy DCF
03/14/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.26 2.6 Buy
03/18/19 DMG & Partners Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.28 2.19 Neutral
04/03/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.38 2.6 Buy
04/04/19 Kim Eng Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.36 2.6 Buy
04/24/19 Lim & Tan Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.36 0 Buy
04/25/19 DMG & Partners Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.36 2.19 Neutral DDM
04/25/19 OCBC Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.36 2.61 Buy DDM
04/26/19 Phillip Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.37 2.31 Neutral DDM
05/17/19 OCBC Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.45 2.61 Buy
05/17/19 DMG & Partners Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.45 2.25 Neutral
05/17/19 CIMB Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.45 2.55 Add DDM
05/21/19 Kim Eng Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.4 2.6 Buy
05/23/19 UOB Kay Hian Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.41 2.71 Buy
05/24/19 Phillip Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.44 2.36 Neutral DDM
06/06/19 DMG & Partners Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.52 2.25 Neutral
06/10/19 UOB Kay Hian Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.52 2.71 Buy
06/19/19 Phillip Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.61 2.36 Neutral
06/21/19 UOB Kay Hian Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.55 2.72 Buy
06/24/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.54 2.85 Buy
06/24/19 Amfrasers Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.54 2.33 Neutral DDM
06/25/19 Kim Eng Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.59 2.6 Buy
07/04/19 DMG & Partners Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.64 2.25 Neutral
07/12/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.64 2.95 Buy
07/16/19 UOB Kay Hian Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.62 2.72 Buy
07/22/19 Phillip Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.65 2.36 Neutral
07/24/19 UOB Kay Hian Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.65 2.66 Hold DDM, Buy @ $2.42
07/24/19 Kim Eng Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.65 2.8 Buy DDM
07/24/19 OCBC Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.65 2.69 Hold
07/24/19 CIMB Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.65 2.79 Add DDM
07/24/19 Lim & Tan Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.65 0 Hold
07/26/19 Amfrasers Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.63 2.51 Neutral
07/29/19 Phillip Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.68 2.77 Accumulate DDM

Fortune Reit - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/25/19 DBS Vickers Fortune Reit 9.8 10.68 Buy
01/29/19 DBS Vickers Fortune Reit 9.7 10.76 Buy
03/06/19 DBS Vickers Fortune Reit 9.8 10.76 Buy
06/21/19 DBS Vickers Fortune Reit 10.66 11.8 Buy DDM

Stock calls for 2 August 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/02/19 Phillip A-Reit 3.04 3.31 Accumulate DDM
08/02/19 DIR ART 1.32 1.34 Outperform
08/02/19 Kim Eng ART 1.32 1.3 Hold
08/02/19 Phillip ART 1.32 1.36 Accumulate DDM
08/02/19 DBS Vickers Breadtalk 0.715 0.77 Hold Sum of parts
08/02/19 Amfrasers CapitaRetail China 1.55 1.68 Outperform
08/02/19 DBS Vickers Dairy Farm 7.38 7.99 Hold
08/02/19 Lim & Tan Hock Lian Seng 0.33 0 Buy on weakness
08/02/19 DBS Vickers Hongkong Land 6.09 7.93 Buy
08/02/19 Lim & Tan OCBC 11.42 0 Buy on weakness
08/02/19 phillip SGX 7.78 8.09 Accumulate PER21x
08/02/19 CIMB SIA 9.2 10.04 Hold PB0.9x CY19
08/02/19 DMG & Partners Starhill 0.78 0.78 Neutral DDM
08/02/19 DMG & Partners UOB 26.28 29.5 Buy GGM, PB1.24x FY20
08/02/19 Lim & Tan UOB 26.28 0 Buy on weakness

Trump to impose additional tariffs on US$300B of China goods on 1 September 2019.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/asian-markets-sink-as-us-china-trade-tensions-ramp-back-up-2019-08-01?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo

We warned our readers that the US-China trade talk broke down in July.  However, the politicians and media sugar-coated the trade fallout with a "Constructive" talk.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/us-china-trade-talk-broke-down-again-in.html

How did we come to the conclusion that the US-China trade talk broke down?

We always have this belief that the demon is hidden in the details and we look into the timeline of the US-China trade talk.  The US-China trade talk ended in just 4 hours in Shanghai and this was a tell-tale sign that both parties had a big fallout during the meeting because nothing could be settled in just 4 hours.  The US team left shanghai immediately after the fallout meeting and both parties started to accuse each other of flip-flopping thereafter.

However, the media just publicized that the US-China trade talk was constructive.

The US GDP will drop further in Q3 & Q4 after these additional tariffs against China since consumer goods are involved now.

Just look at the impact on the US below.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/07/the-us-china-trade-war-impacts-on-both_27.html

Russia is sending a strong signal to the USA in South China Sea.

https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2019/07/23/asia-pacific/south-korea-fires-warning-shots-russia-warplanes/#.XUPLmZMzaqA

Russia is telling the US that it will get involved in the South China Sea (SEA) when the US engages in any SEA military confrontation.  This incident has shown a strong military alliance between Russia and China.  Therefore, ASEAN better think twice before calling for a stronger US presence in the SEA because the US will only seek to raise the tensions for its own political interest.

We had stated previously in 2016 that Russia would get involved in the SEA confrontation if any.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2016/09/russia-supports-china-overtly-to-reject.html

Russia and China are the top 2 powerful countries after the USA and the USA cannot afford to fight with such an alliance.  The US can leave the SEA when it loses but ASEAN cannot.

Thursday, August 1, 2019

Food Empire - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/04/19 DMG & Partners Food Empire 0.58 0.69 Buy
04/05/19 DMG & Partners Food Empire 0.56 0.69 Buy

First Sponsor - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/22/19 DBS Vickers First Sponsor 1.27 1.62 Buy RNAV (35% discount)
07/26/19 DBS Vickers First Sponsor 1.31 1.62 Buy RNAV (35% discount)

First Resources - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/03/19 UOB Kay Hian First Resources 1.56 1.6 Hold
02/20/19 UOB Kay Hian First Resources 1.72 1.85 Hold PER13x FY19, Buy @ $1.65
02/21/19 Kim Eng First Resources 1.69 2.1 Buy
03/01/19 Kim Eng First Resources 1.71 2.03 Buy PER17x
03/04/19 DMG & Partners First Resources 1.72 1.6 Neutral PER13x FY19
03/04/19 DBS Vickers First Resources 1.72 1.97 Buy DCF
03/05/19 CIMB First Resources 1.7 2.12 Add
03/12/19 UOB Kay Hian First Resources 1.69 1.85 Hold Buy @ $1.65
04/09/19 CIMB First Resources 1.79 2.12 Add
04/22/19 UOB Kay Hian First Resources 1.85 1.85 Hold
05/06/19 Kim Eng First Resources 1.82 2.03 Buy PER17x FY19
05/09/19 UOB Kay Hian First Resources 1.79 1.85 Hold PER13x FY19, Buy @ $1.65
05/16/19 DMG & Partners First Resources 1.7 1.53 Neutral PER13x FY20
05/16/19 Kim Eng First Resources 1.7 1.93 Buy PER17x
05/16/19 DBS Vickers First Resources 1.7 1.95 Buy DCF, PER16.5x FY19
05/16/19 UOB Kay Hian First Resources 1.7 1.7 Hold Buy @ $1.50
06/06/19 DMG & Partners First Resources 1.56 1.53 Neutral
07/02/19 Kim Eng First Resources 1.6 1.93 Buy
07/16/19 DBS Vickers First Resources 1.55 1.82 Buy DCF