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Monday, November 18, 2019

Keppel Corp - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/19 OCBC Keppel Corp 5.81 7.25 Buy Sum of parts
01/10/19 DIR Keppel Corp 6.18 7.15 Buy Cut from $7.86, Sum of parts
01/23/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.17 8.28 Add
01/25/19 OCBC Keppel Corp 6.13 7.55 Buy
01/25/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.13 8.41 Add Sum of parts
01/28/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 6.2 0 Hold
01/29/19 Amfrasers Keppel Corp 6.14 7.5 Hold
01/29/19 Macquarie Keppel Corp 6.14 8.2 Outperform Sum of parts
02/21/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.32 8.41 Add Sum of parts
03/12/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 6.1 0 Hold
03/26/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.17 8.41 Add
04/15/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.62 8.41 Add Sum of parts
04/22/19 OCBC Keppel Corp 6.74 7.83 Buy
04/22/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 6.74 0 Hold
05/08/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.72 8.41 Add Sum of parts
06/10/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Corp 6.05 7.33 Buy Sum of parts, Cut from $7.92
06/21/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Corp 6.57 9 Buy
06/28/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.67 8.41 Add Sum of parts
07/03/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Corp 6.77 9.2 Buy
07/03/19 OCBC Keppel Corp 6.77 7.83 Buy
07/19/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Corp 6.59 7.3 Buy Sum of parts
07/19/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.59 8.41 Add Sum of parts
07/19/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Corp 6.59 7.61 Buy Sum of parts
07/19/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 6.59 0 Hold
07/22/19 Amfrasers Keppel Corp 6.57 7.43 Neutral Sum of parts
07/22/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Corp 6.57 8.5 Buy Sum of parts
08/22/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 5.9 0 Buy
08/26/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Corp 5.88 7.61 Buy Sum of parts
09/24/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 6.04 0 Buy
09/30/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 5.98 8.41 Add Sum of parts
10/01/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Corp 5.93 7.61 Buy Sum of parts
10/08/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 5.91 8.41 Add
10/08/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Corp 5.91 7.3 Buy
10/09/19 OCBC Keppel Corp 5.93 7.58 Buy
10/09/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Corp 5.93 8.5 Buy
10/17/19 Macquarie Keppel Corp 5.98 7.5 Outperform Sum of parts
10/18/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 5.96 8.36 Add Sum of parts
10/18/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Corp 5.96 7.18 Buy Sum of parts (20% disc)
10/18/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 5.96 0 Hold
10/18/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Corp 5.96 7.5 Buy Sum of parts, PB1.2x FY19
10/21/19 Amfrasers Keppel Corp 5.84 7.44 Overweight Sum of parts
10/21/19 OCBC Keppel Corp 5.84 7.58 Buy
10/22/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Corp 5.84 7.8 Buy Sum of parts (13% disc)
11/12/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Corp 6.86 7.61 Buy

Jumbo - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/15/19 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.415 0.44 Hold PER23x FY19
02/15/19 CIMB Jumbo 0.415 0.52 Add PER21x FY20
02/18/19 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.415 0.41 Hold Buy @ $0.37
03/14/19 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.405 0.41 Hold PER20x FY19, Buy @ $0.37
03/29/19 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.395 0.5 Buy PER23x FY19/20
05/16/19 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.405 0.51 Buy PER23x FY19
05/16/19 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.405 0.41 Hold PER20x FY19, Buy @ $0.32
05/16/19 CIMB Jumbo 0.405 0.52 Add PER21x FY20
06/21/19 DMG & Partners Jumbo 0.38 0.47 Buy DCF, PER23x FY19
08/07/19 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.38 0.47 Buy PER23x FY20
08/08/19 DMG & Partners Jumbo 0.375 0.47 Buy DCF
08/08/19 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.375 0.37 Hold
08/27/19 CIMB Jumbo 0.37 0.47 Add
09/26/19 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.38 0.37 Hold Buy @ $0.33
10/01/19 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.375 0.47 Buy

JEP - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
10/21/19 Phillip JEP 0.162 0.2 Buy PER10x FY19

Stock calls for 18 November 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
11/18/19 Phillip APAC Realty 0.5 0.55 Accumulate DCF
11/18/19 CIMB BRC Asia 1.47 1.9 Add
11/18/19 Lim & Tan BRC Asia 1.47 1.8 Buy DCF
11/18/19 Amfrasers Eagle Hospitality Trust 0.535 0.61 Buy DDM
11/18/19 Citibank Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.72 3 Buy
11/18/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.82 2.05 Buy
11/18/19 Amfrasers Frencken 0.92 0.93 Neutral PER10x FY20
11/18/19 DMG & Partners ISOTeam 0.24 0.31 Buy DCF
11/18/19 UOB Kay Hian ISOTeam 0.24 0.34 Buy
11/18/19 phillip Propnex 0.515 0.59 Buy DCF
11/18/19 Kim Eng Sasseur 0.845 1 Buy DDM
11/18/19 UOB Kay Hian Sasseur 0.845 0.97 Buy
11/18/19 DBS Vickers Sasseur 0.845 0.97 Buy
11/18/19 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 2.26 2.19 Hold Buy @ $2
11/18/19 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 2.26 2.9 Buy RNAV (10% discount), PB0.7x
11/18/19 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.43 0.46 Neutral DCF
11/18/19 Phillip Singtel 3.18 3.31 Accumulate Sum of parts
11/18/19 DMG & Partners Singtel 3.18 3.5 Neutral Sum of parts
11/18/19 CIMB Singtel 3.18 3.6 Add Sum of parts
11/18/19 DBS Vickers Singtel 3.18 3.12 Hold
11/18/19 OCBC Singtel 3.18 3.53 Buy
11/18/19 DBS Vickers Yangzijiang 1 1.68 Buy Sum of parts

Singapore Nodx fell 12.3% in October.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/singapore-exports-shrink-eighth-month-023305843.html

Singapore has 9 negative growth months insofar in 2019.

Year on year changes (YOY):
October 2019 - 12.3%
September 2019: -8.1%
August 2019: - 8.9%
July 2019: -11.2%
June 2019: -17.3%
May 2019: -15.9%
April 2019: -10%
March 2019: -11.7%
February 2019: 4.9%
January 2019: -10.1%
December 2018: -8.5%
November 2018: -2.6%
October 2018: 8.3%
September 2018: 8.3%
August 2018: 5%
July 2018: 11.8% (Corrected)
June 2018: 1.1%
May 2018: 15.5%
April 2018: 11.8%
March 2018: -2.7%
February 2018: -5.9%
January 2018: 13%
December 2017: 3.1%
November 2017: 9.1%
October 2017: 20.9%
September 2017: -1.1%
August 2017: 16.7%
July 2017: 8.5%
June 2017: 8.2%
May 2017: -1.2%
Apr 2017: -0.7%
Mar 2017: 16.5%
Feb 2017: 21.1%
Jan 2017: 8.6%

China cut repo rate after its MLF's cut.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/china-cuts-key-liquidity-rate-035639279.html

China has cut its repo rate after the MLF's cut.

China is more willing to ease its rates and embark on fiscal stimulus policy after implementing its new property measure and getting a recent benign property growth.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/11/china-has-cut-its-loan-rate-finally.html

Sunday, November 17, 2019

France is using police brutality on its yellow vest protestors.

Let me relate how hypocritical France is.

France used excessive forces on Catalan protestors and yellow vest protestors while telling China to communicate with HK protestors to resolve the issues during Macron's visit.

France, why are you not communicating with Catalan protestors and yellow vest protestors.  Instead, you chose to use excessive police forces on them while they're just doing some peaceful protests.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/11/the-french-police-beat-up-catalan.html

Fight for democracy! Stand with yellow vest!

Saturday, November 16, 2019

Ordinary HK citizens are fighting back. Get out, black tees!

As I've said before, when the government and police are weak, the rioters and protestors will rule the streets.

The black tees alleged the HK government of police brutality.  If there was indeed police brutality, the black tees would not be able to rule the streets.  If there was indeed police brutality, ordinary HK citizens would not need to fight off the black tees on their own because the police could deter the black tees.

The ordinary HK citizens have had enough of the black tees terrorizing them and are fighting back by clearing the streets.  When more and more ordinary HK citizens are fighting back and protecting their own communities, the black tees will have no place to run and hide.  This is why the black tees are retreating into campuses and turning the campuses into their forts.  This development usually becomes the last battleground.

How is that so?

When you don't have a fort, it is difficult to crumble you.  When you have a fort, this makes it very easy to decimate you.

Baltic dry index - 1357

Today, Friday, November 15 2019, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 7 points, reaching 1357 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 806


Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

How the HK rioters terrorize ordinary citizens on the street! - Part 2

HK citizens are living in fear everyday now.  Fearful of the black tees!

Going out on HK streets means getting bashed up and burnt if unlucky.

Friday, November 15, 2019

How the HK rioters terrorize ordinary citizens on the street!

When ordinary people and shop owners saw the HK rioters approaching, they quickly rushed into the shops and pulled down the shutters.  I can see that these ordinary citizens are being terrified and terrorized by the HK rioters.  Furthermore, these HK rioters also stole their goods.

How the 70-year old HK man was killed by HK rioters!

The old man was just filming and he was killed by the HK rioters who threw bricks at him.

Jardine C&C - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/19 DBS Vickers Jardine C&C 35.28 43.1 Buy
05/02/19 DBS Vickers Jardine C&C 35.52 39.1 Buy Sum of parts (16% discount)

Japfa - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/29/19 CIMB Japfa 0.82 0.9 Add Sum of parts
01/30/19 Kim Eng Japfa 0.81 0.99 Buy
03/01/19 CIMB Japfa 0.765 0.9 Add Sum of parts
03/05/19 UOB Kay Hian Japfa 0.705 0.98 Buy Sum of parts, PER10.7x FY19
03/05/19 DBS Vickers Japfa 0.705 0.8 Buy Sum of parts (15% discount), PER11.4x FY19
03/14/19 CIMB Japfa 0.715 0.63 Reduce Sum of parts
03/21/19 Kim Eng Japfa 0.65 1.05 Buy Sum of parts
04/02/19 Kim Eng Japfa 0.665 1.05 Buy
05/03/19 UOB Kay Hian Japfa 0.605 0.73 Buy Sum of parts
05/03/19 DBS Vickers Japfa 0.605 0.61 Hold Sum of parts (10% discount), PER14x FY19
05/27/19 Kim Eng Japfa 0.575 0.93 Buy Sum of parts
07/31/19 UOB Kay Hian Japfa 0.515 0.48 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $0.42
08/01/19 Kim Eng Japfa 0.51 0.73 Buy Sum of parts
08/05/19 DBS Vickers Japfa 0.5 0.53 Hold Sum of parts (10% discount), PER12.5x FY19
09/13/19 Kim Eng Japfa 0.485 0.73 Buy Sum of parts
11/01/19 UOB Kay Hian Japfa 0.49 0.5 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $0.44
11/01/19 DBS Vickers Japfa 0.49 0.53 Hold
11/01/19 CIMB Japfa 0.49 0.56 Add

Japan Foods - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/12/19 Amfrasers Japan Foods 0.415 0.57 Hold DCF
03/08/19 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.43 0.45 Neutral
04/05/19 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.435 0.45 Neutral
05/22/19 Amfrasers Japan Foods 0.44 0.55 Neutral DCF
05/23/19 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.44 0.4 Hold
06/06/19 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.43 0.4 Neutral
08/22/19 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.435 0.4 Neutral Sum of parts
11/08/19 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.435 0.4 Neutral Sum of parts
11/11/19 Amfrasers Japan Foods 0.425 0.46 Neutral

Stock calls for 15 November 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
11/15/19 Amfrasers Accordia Golf Trust 0.61 0.67 Outperform
11/15/19 OCBC Golden Agri 0.245 0.26 Hold
11/15/19 DBS Vickers MM2 Asia 0.285 0.3 Hold Sum of parts, PER12.8x FY20
11/15/19 DBS Vickers OUE Commercial 0.54 0.6 Buy DCF
11/15/19 UOB Kay Hian Propnex 0.525 0.62 Buy
11/15/19 OCBC Sembcorp Industries 2.29 2.51 Hold Sum of parts
11/15/19 DMG & Partners Sembcorp Industries 2.29 2.68 Buy Sum of parts (20% discount), PER10x FY20
11/15/19 Macquarie Sembcorp Marine 1.28 1.4 Neutral DCF
11/15/19 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.28 1.4 Hold PB1.3x FY20
11/15/19 DBS Vickers Silverlake 0.44 0.57 Buy PER21x FY20
11/15/19 Lim & Tan Singtel 3.3 0 Hold
11/15/19 DMG & Partners Talkmed 0.505 0.62 Buy DCF
11/15/19 DBS Vickers Yoma 0.375 0.5 Buy RNAV (45% discount)

HK rioters can kill ordinary citizen but police cannot kill any rioter.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/hong-kong-protests-elderly-man-injured-by-brick-dies-12095948

The HK rioters are insane now.  They're attacking ordinary residents to the extent that they're not afraid to kill anybody.

The aftermath of Mapletree NAC's mall in HK.

Please take a look at the extensive damage of Mapletree NAC's mall.

Is this a protest for democracy or destruction?

How did UK deal with riots in HK in 1967?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hong_Kong_1967_leftist_riots

The current HK riot is not the first in HK history.  There was a leftist riot in HK in 1967 under the UK ruling.

In 1967, HK had about 3m population and 51 people were killed and close to 5,000 people were arrested.

In 2019, HK has about 7.5m population.  If the HK police were not restrained under China ruling, more people would have to die and more would be arrested.  If HK was still under the UK ruling, at least 100 people would die and 10,000 people would be arrested.

Therefore, Hongkongers should be thankful that they're under China's ruling now.

The HK riots rationalize the Tiananmen incident.

The violent riots and protests in HK have changed the mindsets of Chinese in China.  What the Chinese had seen in HK recently had reinforced their belief that the communist party had done the right thing for the Tiananmen incident because they would suffer hardships and couldn't walk safely on the street if there was no violent crackdown by the communist party.

When the government and police are weak, the rioters and protestors will rule the streets and ordinary citizens cannot live a peaceful and orderly life.  The ordinary citizens have lost their freedom to go out for fear of being beaten up and burnt, and they cannot go to work to support their livelihoods.

The tourism industry is severely disrupted and affected by such violent acts.

https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/20191112_06/

Once again, I would like to urge Singaporeans to be very careful in HK because we're being specifically targeted.


Thursday, November 14, 2019

Singaporeans, please be very careful in HK!

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/dbs-branch-in-hong-kong-vandalised-with-vulgar-messages-directed-at-pm-lee-pap-091705028.html

HK DBS was targeted and PM Lee and PAP were named as the cause.

Singaporeans have to be extremely careful in HK since we'll be specifically targeted because of PM Lee and PAP.

Jadason - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/19 CIMB Jadason 0.02 0.066 Add
05/13/19 CIMB Jadason 0.038 0.059 Add PB1x CY19

ISOTeam - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/18/19 DMG & Partners ISOTeam 0.22 0.23 Neutral DCF
05/15/19 DMG & Partners ISOTeam 0.22 0.29 Buy DCF
06/06/19 DMG & Partners ISOTeam 0.23 0.29 Buy
07/11/19 UOB Kay Hian ISOTeam 0.245 0.3 Buy PER12.4x FY20
07/25/19 DMG & Partners ISOTeam 0.245 0.31 Buy DCF
07/25/19 UOB Kay Hian ISOTeam 0.245 0.34 Buy PER12.4x FY20
08/29/19 UOB Kay Hian ISOTeam 0.23 0.34 Buy
08/29/19 DMG & Partners ISOTeam 0.23 0.31 Buy DCF
09/23/19 UOB Kay Hian ISOTeam 0.225 0.34 Buy
09/25/19 DMG & Partners ISOTeam 0.235 0.31 Buy DCF
10/15/19 DMG & Partners ISOTeam 0.225 0.31 Buy

ISDN - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
05/23/19 CIMB ISDN 0.215 0.32 Add PER10x CY20
07/01/19 CIMB ISDN 0.235 0.32 Add
08/19/19 CIMB ISDN 0.192 0.27 Add

Stock calls for 14 November 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
11/14/19 CIMB APAC Realty 0.515 0.66 Add DCF
11/14/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.515 0.6 Buy DCF
11/14/19 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.515 0.46 Hold PER12x FY20
11/14/19 DMG & Partners Centurion 0.42 0.43 Neutral DCF
11/14/19 DBS Vickers Centurion 0.42 0.52 Buy DCF
11/14/19 DMG & Partners City Developments 10.47 10.5 Neutral RNAV (40% discount)
11/14/19 Kim Eng Comfortdelgro 2.38 2.7 Buy DCF
11/14/19 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 2.38 2.38 Neutral DCF
11/14/19 UOB Kay Hian Comfortdelgro 2.38 2.27 Hold Buy @ $2
11/14/19 DBS Vickers Comfortdelgro 2.38 2.48 Hold Sum of parts, PER17.8x FY20
11/14/19 CIMB Comfortdelgro 2.38 2.28 Hold DCF
11/14/19 DBS Vickers Delfi 0.96 1.51 Buy PER23.1x FY20
11/14/19 DMG & Partners Fu Yu 0.225 0.24 Buy DCF
11/14/19 Lim & Tan Fu Yu 0.225 0 Buy
11/14/19 DMG & Partners Golden Agri 0.265 0.25 Neutral Sum of parts
11/14/19 Amfrasers IFS Capital 0.225 0.3 Outperform PB0.6x FY20
11/14/19 DMG & Partners Oxley 0.345 0.43 Buy RNAV (45% discount)
11/14/19 DBS Vickers SATS 4.99 5.06 Hold DCF & PER22x FY21
11/14/19 DMG & Partners Sembcorp Marine 1.29 1.6 Buy PB1.47x FY20
11/14/19 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.29 1.17 Sell
11/14/19 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.29 1.26 Hold PB1.2x CY21
11/14/19 DMG & Partners Valuetronics 0.725 0.81 Buy DCF
11/14/19 Kim Eng Valuetronics 0.725 0.98 Buy PB2x FY20
11/14/19 UOB Kay Hian Valuetronics 0.725 0.91 Buy PER12x
11/14/19 DBS Vickers Wilmar 3.96 4.35 Buy Sum of parts, PER16.3x FY20

Wednesday, November 13, 2019

Mapletree NAC trust's mall was wrecked by rioters in HK.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/hong-kong-protesters-trash-mapletree-mall-christmas-tree-051541117.html

Mapletree has to renovate this mall but the rioters will come back to wreck it again.

This renovation decision is a difficult one because the rioters will come back again.  Big headache!

Interra Resources - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
10/10/19 SAC Advisors Interra Resources 0.026 0.089 Buy EV/IP reserves 6.4x

Innotek - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/14/19 Lim & Tan Innotek 0.5 0 Buy on weakness

Indofood Agri - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/01/19 DBS Vickers Indofood Agri 0.2 0.19 Hold DCF
04/12/19 DBS Vickers Indofood Agri 0.28 0.19 Accept offer offer price $0.28
05/02/19 DBS Vickers Indofood Agri 0.28 0.19 Accept offer offer price $0.28
07/16/19 DBS Vickers Indofood Agri 0.325 0.33 Hold
08/05/19 DBS Vickers Indofood Agri 0.32 0.29 Hold DCF

Stock calls for 13 November 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
11/13/19 DBS Vickers Bumitama 0.62 0.72 Buy DCF
11/13/19 Kim Eng Bumitama 0.62 0.8 Buy
11/13/19 UOB Kay Hian City Developments 10.67 12 Buy
11/13/19 DMG & Partners Delfi 0.955 1.68 Buy DCF
11/13/19 Kim Eng First Resources 1.78 1.86 Hold PER18x FY20
11/13/19 UOB Kay Hian First Resources 1.78 1.85 Buy
11/13/19 DBS Vickers First Resources 1.78 1.95 Buy DCF
11/13/19 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.09 5.3 Buy
11/13/19 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.34 1.24 Sell
11/13/19 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.325 0.36 Neutral DCF
11/13/19 DBS Vickers UMS 0.81 1 Buy PER13x FY20
11/13/19 OCBC UOL 7.91 9.25 Buy
11/13/19 Lim & Tan UOL 7.91 0 Buy on weakness
11/13/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.85 4.75 Buy Sum of parts