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Friday, April 3, 2020

APAC Realty - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/04/19DMG & PartnersAPAC Realty0.6150.72BuyRNAV
05/07/19DMG & PartnersAPAC Realty0.5550.72Buy
05/14/19DMG & PartnersAPAC Realty0.5450.67BuyDCF
05/16/19DBS VickersAPAC Realty0.5250.58HoldPER10x
06/03/19PhillipAPAC Realty0.50.65BuyDCF
06/06/19DMG & PartnersAPAC Realty0.50.67Buy
06/07/19CIMBAPAC Realty0.510.67Add
07/15/19PhillipAPAC Realty0.5450.65BuyDCF
08/06/19DMG & PartnersAPAC Realty0.5250.65BuyDCF
08/06/19DBS VickersAPAC Realty0.5250.48HoldPER10x FY20
08/08/19PhillipAPAC Realty0.5150.58BuyDCF
08/13/19CIMBAPAC Realty0.510.6AddPER10x FY20
09/12/19DMG & PartnersAPAC Realty0.4950.65Buy
11/14/19CIMBAPAC Realty0.5150.66AddDCF
11/14/19DMG & PartnersAPAC Realty0.5150.6BuyDCF
11/14/19DBS VickersAPAC Realty0.5150.46HoldPER12x FY20
11/18/19PhillipAPAC Realty0.50.55AccumulateDCF
12/16/19DMG & PartnersAPAC Realty0.5050.6Buy
02/25/20DMG & PartnersAPAC Realty0.470.6BuyDCF
02/25/20DBS VickersAPAC Realty0.470.52HoldPER12x FY20
02/25/20CIMBAPAC Realty0.470.61Add
02/26/20PhillipAPAC Realty0.490.55AccumulateDCF

Amara - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
12/11/19DMG & PartnersAmara0.450.88Buy
03/04/20DMG & PartnersAmara0.40.78BuyRNAV (44% discount)

AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/25/19Kim EngAIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit1.421.5BuyDDM
04/25/19DBS VickersAIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit1.421.5BuyDCF
05/16/19DBS VickersAIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit1.41.5BuyDCF
07/19/19DBS VickersAIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit1.461.5BuyDCF
07/25/19Lim & TanAIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit1.470Hold
07/26/19Kim EngAIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit1.471.6BuyDDM
11/07/19DBS VickersAIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit1.41.5BuyDCF
01/31/20Lim & TanAIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit1.430Hold
02/03/20Kim EngAIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit1.461.6BuyDDM
03/02/20DBS VickersAIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit1.41.5BuyDCF
03/05/20MacquarieAIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit1.421.55Outperform

Stock calls for 3 April 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/03/20DBS VickersMapletree North Asia0.781.05BuyDCF
04/03/20CIMBSIA5.656.27Hold
04/03/20DIRSIA5.655.54Hold
04/03/20UOB Kay HianSingtel2.623BuyDCF
04/03/20DMG & PartnersSuntec Reit1.11.78BuyDDM

The US embarked on a smearing campaign when it handled the covid outbreak very badly.

https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/covid-19/chinese-covid-19-numbers-not-fake-berkley-professor

It is very difficult to understate the covid statistics by 15x to 40x without being discovered.  The US and UK had been alleging that China had understated its cases by 15-40x which was ridiculous.  These 2 western countries just wanted to deflect their incapabilities from their own countries to falsified statistics in China so that their own statistics would look much better.

https://www.dailywire.com/news/british-scientific-advisers-claim-chinas-outbreak-could-be-15-to-40-times-worse-than-reported-report-says

China's statistics were much lower because the communist government took a hardline approach in containing the virus outbreak while the UK took a herd immunity approach and the US took a relaxed approach.  The western countries also didn't like to wear masks.

Who to blame now? The western countries like to blame China except themselves.

Luckin Coffee crashed and burnt in hell.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/luckin-coffee-suspends-coo-for-fabricated-transaction-143725441.html

Luckin is currently facing a class-action suit now for fraud.

We had warned about this company since its Ipo.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/do-not-subscribe-to-luckin-coffee-ipo.html

The US is showing its true colours during the virus outbreak.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/spies-hijacks-export-bans-global-165134674.html

The US is hijacking medical supplies from its Nato friends.

The US hijacked 500,000 covid test kits in Italy.

The US hijacked 6m N95 masks from Germany in Kenya.  The 6m N95 masks bought by Germany and stored in Kenya were lost.  Germany had requested the US to provide the serial numbers of the 39m N95 masks found in the US but this request was rejected by the US.

https://www.newser.com/story/288734/union-uses-elbow-grease-to-rustle-up-39m-n95-masks.html

The latest hijack victim was France that lost its medical supplies to the US.

This is how the US is treating its Nato friends.

MS: The US GDP will shrink 5.5% in 2020.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/u-economy-shrink-fastest-rate-071059385.html

We had already given this 2020 recession warning in August last year.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/a-billion-dollar-question-will-us-enter.html

We had also reiterated this numerous times thereafter.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/12/the-wall-street-analysts-are-starting.html?showComment=1576822097373#c7821513851698794977

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/12/the-recession-constellation-are.html

Those who had heeded our warnings would be prepared for this 2020 recession.

Thursday, April 2, 2020

China and Russia are setting up new internet protocol to replace the US standard.

https://www.ft.com/content/ba94c2bc-6e27-11ea-9bca-bf503995cd6f

The dichotomy in the internet world is happening and the US is losing its hegemony in the internet arena.  The TCP/IP will be ditched in the future as pro-China nations will adopt the new IP standard set up by China & Russia.

The new IP standard will start its trial test in 2021 and China will move to adopt this new IP standard after the trial test.  China has a big population to make this new IP standard successful and other pro-China nations will follow suit after seeing the advantages of using it.

The US ISM PMI for March 2020 is showing a significant deterioration in the US economy.


The ISM PMI for March 2020 declined to 49.1 because of the covid-19 impacts.  The prices declined by 8.5 to 37.4 as producers used more local raw material instead.  The new order was down significantly by 7.6 to 42.2 because of declines in new export and local orders which showed that consumer spending was pulling back.


The customers’ inventories increased because producers were replenishing their stocks to meet the backlog of order.  However, the actual production decreased to 47.7 (-2.6) as the producers had no confidence in the future outlook that had resulted in a reduction in employment.  The supplier’s deliveries went up to 65 because of slower delivery time since the sub-index had an inverse relationship with the delivery period.

In conclusion, this ISM PMI was reporting deflation, declining production, weakening local consumption and deteriorating employment situation.

AEM - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/26/19CIMBAEM1.161.21HoldPER10x FY20
05/09/19Kim EngAEM1.051.4BuyPB3.1x FY19/20
06/11/19Kim EngAEM0.9451.4BuyPB3.1x FY19/20
07/18/19CIMBAEM1.041.23AddPER10x FY20
07/29/19Kim EngAEM1.221.4BuyPB3x FY19/20
08/14/19Kim EngAEM1.091.4BuyRoe-g/Coe-g
09/16/19Kim EngAEM1.191.5BuyRoe-g/Coe-g
10/03/19Kim EngAEM1.121.5BuyRoe-g/Coe-g, PB3.2x FY19/20
10/11/19AmfrasersAEM1.161.34OutperformPER11x FY20
10/22/19CIMBAEM1.31.44Add
11/04/19AmfrasersAEM1.531.8OutperformPER12x FY20
11/25/19CIMBAEM1.82.12Add
11/29/19DBS VickersAEM1.712.38BuyPER12.1x FY20
12/10/19DBS VickersAEM1.912.38BuyPER12.1x FY20
12/10/19Kim EngAEM1.912.12Buy
12/31/19CIMBAEM1.992.12Add
01/15/20AmfrasersAEM2.162.57BuyPER14x FY20
01/15/20Kim EngAEM2.162.58Buy
01/24/20DBS VickersAEM2.052.38BuyPER12.1x FY20
02/11/20AmfrasersAEM1.882.57Outperform
02/11/20Kim EngAEM1.882.58Buy
02/28/20DBS VickersAEM2.242.52BuyPER11.2x FY20
03/10/20Kim EngAEM1.832.82BuyPB3x FY20/21
03/10/20AmfrasersAEM1.832.6OutperformPER12x FY20
03/19/20CIMBAEM1.492.71AddGGM, PB4.05x
04/02/20DBS VickersAEM1.642.29Buy

Accordia Golf Trust - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/04/19AmfrasersAccordia Golf Trust0.590.72Buy
05/31/19AmfrasersAccordia Golf Trust0.5850.7Buy
08/16/19AmfrasersAccordia Golf Trust0.5350.67OutperformDDM
11/15/19AmfrasersAccordia Golf Trust0.610.67Outperform
12/02/19AmfrasersAccordia Golf Trust0.70.67Outperform