A billion dollar question: Will the US enter a recession?

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/economists-survey-34-expect-us-040446403.html

2% of economists expect a US recession in 2019.
38% of economists expect a US recession in 2020.
34% of economists expect a US recession in 2021.

Mohammad El Erian doesn't expect a US recession.
Janet Yellen doesn't expect a US recession.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/15/mohamed-el-erian-inverted-yield-curve-recession-signal-distorted.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/14/janet-yellen-say-yield-curve-inversion-may-be-false-recession-signal-this-time.html

What's our stance?

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/does-us-2-10y-inverted-yield-curve.html

We also expect a US recession and is most probably happening after Q1 2020.

Let's see who will be right.