Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/03/19 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.56 | 1.6 | Hold | |
02/20/19 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.72 | 1.85 | Hold | PER13x FY19, Buy @ $1.65 |
02/21/19 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.69 | 2.1 | Buy | |
03/01/19 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.71 | 2.03 | Buy | PER17x |
03/04/19 | DMG & Partners | First Resources | 1.72 | 1.6 | Neutral | PER13x FY19 |
03/04/19 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.72 | 1.97 | Buy | DCF |
03/05/19 | CIMB | First Resources | 1.7 | 2.12 | Add | |
03/12/19 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.69 | 1.85 | Hold | Buy @ $1.65 |
04/09/19 | CIMB | First Resources | 1.79 | 2.12 | Add | |
04/22/19 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.85 | 1.85 | Hold | |
05/06/19 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.82 | 2.03 | Buy | PER17x FY19 |
05/09/19 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.79 | 1.85 | Hold | PER13x FY19, Buy @ $1.65 |
Thursday, May 9, 2019
First Resources - Stock calls
Stock calls for 9 May 2019
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
05/09/19 | Kim Eng | AEM | 1.05 | 1.4 | Buy | |
05/09/19 | UOB Kay Hian | CSE Global | 0.485 | 0.62 | Buy | |
05/09/19 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.79 | 1.85 | Hold | PER13x FY19, Buy @ $1.65 |
05/09/19 | DMG & Partners | Frencken | 0.615 | 0.82 | Buy | DCF |
05/09/19 | DMG & Partners | Kimly | 0.245 | 0.23 | Neutral | DCF |
05/09/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Koufu | 0.75 | 0.95 | Buy | |
05/09/19 | DBS Vickers | Netlink | 0.82 | 0.87 | Buy | |
05/09/19 | OCBC | Roxy-Pacific | 0.405 | 0.41 | Hold | |
05/09/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Singapore Post | 0.99 | 1.06 | Hold | Buy @ $0.95 |
05/09/19 | DBS Vickers | Singtel | 3.11 | 3.55 | Buy | |
05/09/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Sunningdale | 1.32 | 1.22 | Hold | PER11x FY20, Buy @ $1.10 |
05/09/19 | CIMB | Sunningdale | 1.32 | 1.38 | Hold | PB0.69x FY19 |
Bonitas Research: Best World is a fraud! - Part 2
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China's CPI has risen to 6-month high.
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/chinas-factory-gate-inflation-hits-four-month-high-025321639--business.html
China CPI is at 2.5% in April, a 6-month high.
This is not unexpected as we've expected CPI to rise in China in our previous post.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/03/global-inflation-or-deflation.html
US-China trade tariffs will also contribute to higher CPI in the 2nd half of 2019 in the US & China.
We need to understand the chain of events in a real economy, starting with the CPI below.
CPI/PPI ----->> M1-M2 spread/3m-10y yield spread ----->> PMI ----->> GDP
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/04/the-us-economy-has-flipped-and-fissures.html
China CPI is at 2.5% in April, a 6-month high.
This is not unexpected as we've expected CPI to rise in China in our previous post.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/03/global-inflation-or-deflation.html
US-China trade tariffs will also contribute to higher CPI in the 2nd half of 2019 in the US & China.
We need to understand the chain of events in a real economy, starting with the CPI below.
CPI/PPI ----->> M1-M2 spread/3m-10y yield spread ----->> PMI ----->> GDP
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/04/the-us-economy-has-flipped-and-fissures.html
Wednesday, May 8, 2019
First Reit - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/16/19 | phillip | First Reit | 1.04 | 0.88 | Neutral | DDM |
01/17/19 | Lim & Tan | First Reit | 1.03 | 0 | Neutral | |
01/18/19 | OCBC | First Reit | 1.01 | 0.97 | Hold | |
01/18/19 | CIMB | First Reit | 1.01 | 1.2 | Add | DDM |
02/11/19 | OCBC | First Reit | 1.14 | 0.97 | Sell | |
04/11/19 | CIMB | First Reit | 0.99 | 1.2 | Add | DDM |
Far East Hospitality - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/16/19 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.625 | 0.675 | Buy | |
02/07/19 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.66 | 0.675 | Buy | |
02/13/19 | Lim & Tan | Far East Hospitality | 0.64 | 0 | Buy | |
02/14/19 | DBS Vickers | Far East Hospitality | 0.635 | 0.7 | Buy | DCF |
02/14/19 | CIMB | Far East Hospitality | 0.635 | 0.68 | Add | DDM |
02/14/19 | Kim Eng | Far East Hospitality | 0.635 | 0.75 | Buy | DDM |
02/14/19 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.635 | 0.68 | Buy | |
04/15/19 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.685 | 0.68 | Hold | |
04/26/19 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.66 | 0.67 | Hold | |
04/26/19 | DBS Vickers | Far East Hospitality | 0.66 | 0.7 | Buy | |
04/29/19 | CIMB | Far East Hospitality | 0.665 | 0.71 | Add | |
04/29/19 | Kim Eng | Far East Hospitality | 0.665 | 0.8 | Buy |
Ezion - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/07/19 | DBS Vickers | Ezion | 0.05 | 0.06 | Hold | PB0.3x FY19 |
03/11/19 | DBS Vickers | Ezion | 0.043 | 0.05 | Hold | PER10x F20 |
04/05/19 | DBS Vickers | Ezion | 0.043 | 0.05 | Hold | PB1.4x |
Stock calls for 8 May 2019
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
05/08/19 | DMG & Partners | Breadtalk | 0.825 | 0.81 | Neutral | Sum of parts |
05/08/19 | CIMB | Comfortdelgro | 2.61 | 2.88 | Add | DCF |
05/08/19 | CIMB | Keppel Corp | 6.72 | 8.41 | Add | Sum of parts |
05/08/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Overseas Edu | 0.3 | 0.46 | Buy | EV/Ebitda10.4x |
05/08/19 | Lim & Tan | Overseas Edu | 0.3 | 0 | Buy | |
05/08/19 | OCBC | Singapore Post | 1.01 | 1 | Hold | |
05/08/19 | CIMB | Singapore Post | 1.01 | 1.17 | Add | DCF |
05/08/19 | DBS Vickers | Singapore Post | 1.01 | 0.96 | Hold | DCF |
Tuesday, May 7, 2019
ESR-Reit - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/18/19 | Lim & Tan | ESR-Reit | 0.53 | 0 | Hold | |
01/21/19 | CIMB | ESR-Reit | 0.53 | 0.62 | Add | DDM |
01/21/19 | OCBC | ESR-Reit | 0.53 | 0.575 | Buy | |
01/22/19 | DBS Vickers | ESR-Reit | 0.53 | 0.59 | Buy | |
02/12/19 | DMG & Partners | ESR-Reit | 0.515 | 0.61 | Buy | DDM |
03/07/19 | CIMB | ESR-Reit | 0.53 | 0.62 | Add | |
03/13/19 | DMG & Partners | ESR-Reit | 0.53 | 0.61 | Buy | |
04/10/19 | OCBC | ESR-Reit | 0.54 | 0.55 | Hold | |
04/25/19 | CIMB | ESR-Reit | 0.51 | 0.6 | Add | DDM |
04/25/19 | OCBC | ESR-Reit | 0.51 | 0.565 | Buy |
EC World Reit - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/09/19 | DMG & Partners | EC World Reit | 0.7 | 0.81 | Buy | |
02/15/19 | phillip | EC World Reit | 0.745 | 0.82 | Buy | |
02/22/19 | DBS Vickers | EC World Reit | 0.745 | 0.86 | Buy | DCF |
02/25/19 | DMG & Partners | EC World Reit | 0.755 | 0.84 | Buy | DDM |
03/04/19 | phillip | EC World Reit | 0.76 | 0.85 | Buy | DDM, PB0.84x FY19 |
03/18/19 | DMG & Partners | EC World Reit | 0.77 | 0.84 | Buy | |
05/07/19 | DMG & Partners | EC World Reit | 0.77 | 0.84 | Buy |
Duty Free - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/10/19 | Lim & Tan | Duty Free | 0.192 | 0 | Accumulate |
Stock calls for 7 May 2019
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
05/07/19 | DMG & Partners | APAC Realty | 0.555 | 0.72 | Buy | |
05/07/19 | DBS Vickers | Breadtalk | 0.835 | 0.92 | Hold | |
05/07/19 | DMG & Partners | CSE Global | 0.475 | 0.61 | Buy | DCF, PER13.7x FY19 |
05/07/19 | Lim & Tan | CSE Global | 0.475 | 0 | Buy | |
05/07/19 | OCBC | DBS | 26.53 | 27.5 | Hold | |
05/07/19 | DMG & Partners | Delfi | 1.3 | 1.68 | Buy | DCF, PER28x FY19 |
05/07/19 | DMG & Partners | EC World Reit | 0.77 | 0.84 | Buy | |
05/07/19 | CIMB | Frasers Property | 1.85 | 2.08 | Add | |
05/07/19 | DMG & Partners | Fu Yu | 0.21 | 0.24 | Buy | DCF |
05/07/19 | DMG & Partners | HRnetGroup | 0.77 | 1.06 | Buy | DCF |
05/07/19 | DBS Vickers | Koufu | 0.77 | 0.8 | Hold | PER17x FY19 |
05/07/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Netlink | 0.825 | 0.92 | Buy | DCF |
05/07/19 | DMG & Partners | Silverlake | 0.61 | 0.65 | Buy | DCF |
05/07/19 | DMG & Partners | Starhill | 0.74 | 0.78 | Buy | DDM |
05/07/19 | Lim & Tan | Sunningdale | 1.35 | 0 | Hold | |
05/07/19 | DMG & Partners | UG Healthcare | 0.18 | 0.32 | Buy | PER10x FY20 |
05/07/19 | OCBC | UOB | 25.85 | 27.3 | Hold |
Do not subscribe to Luckin coffee ipo! Why?
https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/consumer/gic-backed-luckin-coffee-seeks-to-raise-up-to-us510m-in-us-ipo
I've heard too many news about this coffee startup.
Do you know where does this startup source its coffee beans?
It sources its coffee beans from Taiwan which is not a coffee producing country and the coffee beans are not of good quality. A real coffee company will source its coffee beans from coffee producing countries and not from Taiwan. Why is this company sourcing coffee beans from Taiwan? I leave it to your imagination.
This coffee startup is burning cash like hell, just like the bike sharing business. It has to offer discounts and deals just to sell its coffee. Without these discounts and deals, it cannot sell at all.
The short-sellers will target and publish SELL reports on this coffee startup in the future because it has weak fundamentals and a flawed business concept.
Hopefully, GIC is able to get out of this company soon before it suffers from a great burnout.
I've heard too many news about this coffee startup.
Do you know where does this startup source its coffee beans?
It sources its coffee beans from Taiwan which is not a coffee producing country and the coffee beans are not of good quality. A real coffee company will source its coffee beans from coffee producing countries and not from Taiwan. Why is this company sourcing coffee beans from Taiwan? I leave it to your imagination.
This coffee startup is burning cash like hell, just like the bike sharing business. It has to offer discounts and deals just to sell its coffee. Without these discounts and deals, it cannot sell at all.
The short-sellers will target and publish SELL reports on this coffee startup in the future because it has weak fundamentals and a flawed business concept.
Hopefully, GIC is able to get out of this company soon before it suffers from a great burnout.
How the China RRR cut will impact its economy?
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-steers-credit-small-firms-034303771.html
The China RRR cut will release RMB$280b into the economy.
Let me offer a simple explanation of RRR.
The RRR is imposed on banks by the central bank to prevent liquidity and bankruptcy issues such as bank run.
When a bank takes a deposit of $100, it is a debt owed to the bank customer and the bank will pay the bank customer a deposit interest. The bank will use the debt (deposit) for bank lending to earn a higher loan interest so that the bank can cover the deposit interest and earn a profit. However, the central bank will not allow the bank to make a full loan of the deposit ($100) because it will create a liquidity risk. Therefore, the central bank imposes a required reserve ratio (RRR) on the bank and limits the bank lending on its deposit.
For example:
If the RRR is 20%, the bank can only make a loan of $80 out of every $100 deposit.
If the bank pays a $2 interest on every $100 deposit, its cost of debt (deposit) is 2%.
When the RRR is 20% and the bank still pays a $2 interest, its cost of debt is 2.5% (2/80). Therefore, the cost of debt for the bank increases with higher RRR.
When the RRR is lowered, the cost of debt is lowered too and the bank can earn a profit more easily with lower loan interest.
In conclusion, a lower RRR is meant to boost monetary supply and local consumption in the economy. In other words, this is a QE policy.
The China RRR cut will release RMB$280b into the economy.
Let me offer a simple explanation of RRR.
The RRR is imposed on banks by the central bank to prevent liquidity and bankruptcy issues such as bank run.
When a bank takes a deposit of $100, it is a debt owed to the bank customer and the bank will pay the bank customer a deposit interest. The bank will use the debt (deposit) for bank lending to earn a higher loan interest so that the bank can cover the deposit interest and earn a profit. However, the central bank will not allow the bank to make a full loan of the deposit ($100) because it will create a liquidity risk. Therefore, the central bank imposes a required reserve ratio (RRR) on the bank and limits the bank lending on its deposit.
For example:
If the RRR is 20%, the bank can only make a loan of $80 out of every $100 deposit.
If the bank pays a $2 interest on every $100 deposit, its cost of debt (deposit) is 2%.
When the RRR is 20% and the bank still pays a $2 interest, its cost of debt is 2.5% (2/80). Therefore, the cost of debt for the bank increases with higher RRR.
When the RRR is lowered, the cost of debt is lowered too and the bank can earn a profit more easily with lower loan interest.
In conclusion, a lower RRR is meant to boost monetary supply and local consumption in the economy. In other words, this is a QE policy.
Monday, May 6, 2019
France has done the right thing for its pedestrians.
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/france-ban-e-scooters-pavements-september-090821006.html
Well done! France is doing the right thing.
E-scooters put pedestrians in danger on the pavements.
They ride recklessly at high speeds and don't give way to pedestrians on the pavements. They are a nuisance as they expect pedestrians to give way to them by honking.
Well done! France is doing the right thing.
E-scooters put pedestrians in danger on the pavements.
They ride recklessly at high speeds and don't give way to pedestrians on the pavements. They are a nuisance as they expect pedestrians to give way to them by honking.
DISA - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/19/19 | Amfrasers | DISA | 0.003 | 0 | Cease Coverage |
Delfi - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/02/19 | DMG & Partners | Delfi | 1.32 | 1.59 | Buy | |
03/01/19 | DMG & Partners | Delfi | 1.45 | 1.68 | Buy | DCF, PER28x FY19 |
04/05/19 | DMG & Partners | Delfi | 1.3 | 1.68 | Buy |
DBS - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/02/19 | DMG & Partners | DBS | 23.69 | 29.8 | Buy | GGM, PB1.54x FY19 |
01/03/19 | CIMB | DBS | 23.49 | 27 | Hold | PER10.7x FY20 |
01/03/19 | JP Morgan | DBS | 23.49 | 29 | Overweight | |
01/08/19 | UOB Kay Hian | DBS | 23.75 | 28.5 | Buy | |
01/08/19 | Jefferies | DBS | 23.75 | 28.5 | Buy | |
01/29/19 | CIMB | DBS | 24.22 | 29 | Add | GGM, PB1.4x CY19 |
01/31/19 | Kim Eng | DBS | 23.94 | 30.18 | Buy | DDM |
02/01/19 | phillip | DBS | 23.92 | 29.02 | Buy | |
02/08/19 | UOB Kay Hian | DBS | 24.33 | 28.5 | Buy | |
02/12/19 | Kim Eng | DBS | 24.36 | 30.18 | Buy | |
02/18/19 | DMG & Partners | DBS | 24.74 | 29.8 | Buy | |
02/18/19 | Lim & Tan | DBS | 24.74 | 0 | Buy | |
02/19/19 | Jefferies | DBS | 25.2 | 28.5 | Buy | |
02/19/19 | OCBC | DBS | 25.2 | 29.31 | Buy | |
02/19/19 | DMG & Partners | DBS | 25.2 | 28.8 | Buy | GGM, PB1.5x FY19 |
02/19/19 | phillip | DBS | 25.2 | 29 | Buy | GGM, PB1.5x FY19 |
02/19/19 | Kim Eng | DBS | 25.2 | 29.56 | Buy | DDM |
02/19/19 | CIMB | DBS | 25.2 | 29 | Add | GGM |
02/19/19 | UOB Kay Hian | DBS | 25.2 | 28.4 | Buy | |
02/20/19 | Macquarie | DBS | 25.1 | 27 | Neutral | PB |
02/26/19 | Amfrasers | DBS | 25.18 | 27.7 | Buy | RIM |
03/04/19 | phillip | DBS | 25.08 | 29 | Buy | |
03/07/19 | Kim Eng | DBS | 25.36 | 29.56 | Buy | |
03/11/19 | CIMB | DBS | 25.06 | 29 | Add | |
03/13/19 | DMG & Partners | DBS | 25.3 | 28.8 | Buy | GGM, PB1.5x FY19 |
03/26/19 | OCBC | DBS | 25.12 | 29.31 | Buy | |
04/01/19 | UOB Kay Hian | DBS | 25.23 | 28.4 | Buy | |
04/02/19 | phillip | DBS | 25.59 | 29 | Buy | |
04/10/19 | DMG & Partners | DBS | 27 | 29.6 | Buy | PB1.43x FY20 |
04/11/19 | CIMB | DBS | 26.97 | 29 | Add | |
04/22/19 | UOB Kay Hian | DBS | 27.4 | 30.3 | Buy | GGM, PB1.57x FY19 |
04/22/19 | Kim Eng | DBS | 27.4 | 29.56 | Buy | |
04/29/19 | Lim & Tan | DBS | 27.41 | 0 | Buy | |
04/30/19 | Macquarie | DBS | 28.4 | 27 | Neutral | |
04/30/19 | phillip | DBS | 28.4 | 29 | Accumulate | GGM, PB1.5x FY19 |
04/30/19 | OCBC | DBS | 28.4 | 29.18 | Hold | Buy @ $27.50 or lower |
04/30/19 | CIMB | DBS | 28.4 | 30 | Add | GGM, PB1.54x |
04/30/19 | DMG & Partners | DBS | 28.4 | 30.8 | Buy | PB1.5x FY20 |
04/30/19 | Lim & Tan | DBS | 28.4 | 30 | Hold | |
05/02/19 | Amfrasers | DBS | 28.25 | 27.7 | Hold | |
05/02/19 | Jefferies | DBS | 28.25 | 31.5 | Buy | PER13.1x FY20 |
Stock calls for 6 May 2019
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
05/06/19 | Phillip | ART | 1.21 | 1.36 | Buy | DDM |
05/06/19 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.82 | 2.03 | Buy | PER17x FY19 |
05/06/19 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Property | 1.89 | 2.3 | Buy | |
05/06/19 | DBS Vickers | Hi-P | 1.44 | 1.41 | Hold | PER12x FY19 |
05/06/19 | Kim Eng | Hi-P | 1.44 | 1.22 | Sell | PB1.5x FY19 |
05/06/19 | Tayrona | Sanli Env | 0.18 | 0.234 | Overweight | |
05/06/19 | phillip | Sembcorp Marine | 1.67 | 1.76 | Neutral | PB1.6x |
05/06/19 | OCBC | Sembcorp Marine | 1.67 | 1.77 | Hold | |
05/06/19 | Amfrasers | Sembcorp Marine | 1.67 | 2.48 | Buy | |
05/06/19 | DBS Vickers | Sembcorp Marine | 1.67 | 2.4 | Buy | PB2.1x FY19 |
05/06/19 | Phillip | Starhub | 1.58 | 1.62 | Neutral | |
05/06/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Starhub | 1.58 | 1.45 | Sell | DCF |
05/06/19 | CIMB | Starhub | 1.58 | 1.65 | Hold | DCF (10% discount) |
05/06/19 | DMG & Partners | Starhub | 1.58 | 1.72 | Neutral | DCF |
05/06/19 | OCBC | Starhub | 1.58 | 1.64 | Hold | |
05/06/19 | Kim Eng | Starhub | 1.58 | 2 | buy | DCF |
05/06/19 | Jefferies | UOB | 27.77 | 31 | Buy | PER12.4x FY19 |
05/06/19 | OCBC | UOB | 27.77 | 28.9 | Hold | GGM, PB1.2x |
05/06/19 | phillip | UOB | 27.77 | 30.87 | Accumulate | GGM, PB1.4x FY19 |
05/06/19 | CIMB | UOB | 27.77 | 29.58 | Add | GGM, PB1.3x |
05/06/19 | Lim & Tan | UOB | 27.77 | 0 | Buy on weakness |
China VP Liu has changed his US travel plan.
https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/government-economy/china-vice-premier-liu-will-still-travel-to-us-this-week-but-will-shorten-trip
As Trump threatened to impose additional China tariffs on Friday (10 May), China VP Liu had decided to defer his US travel plan to Thursday (9 May) and would reach the US on Friday (10 May). He wanted to see if the US would impose the threat against China. Then, he would leave the US on Saturday.
Basically, there is nothing much VP Liu can discuss with the US as the time is too short to produce any productive outcome. This is a wasted trip unless Trump is willing to change his unreasonable threat.
As Trump threatened to impose additional China tariffs on Friday (10 May), China VP Liu had decided to defer his US travel plan to Thursday (9 May) and would reach the US on Friday (10 May). He wanted to see if the US would impose the threat against China. Then, he would leave the US on Saturday.
Basically, there is nothing much VP Liu can discuss with the US as the time is too short to produce any productive outcome. This is a wasted trip unless Trump is willing to change his unreasonable threat.
China is preparing a trade war with the US now.
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/china-central-bank-cut-requirements-banks-trade-tensions-034114168--sector.html
The China RRR cut deserves some attention because it is imposed after Trump's threat on Sunday.
The Chinese are preparing for a trade war with the US because China is trying to stimulate its local consumption with the RRR cut since it is a consuming nation now.
What's worrying to the global world is that the Chinese are consuming more local made products and reducing their imports in this trade war. This will cause a global recession and many export-oriented countries like SK, Japan, SG, etc will suffer tremendously.
The China RRR cut deserves some attention because it is imposed after Trump's threat on Sunday.
The Chinese are preparing for a trade war with the US because China is trying to stimulate its local consumption with the RRR cut since it is a consuming nation now.
What's worrying to the global world is that the Chinese are consuming more local made products and reducing their imports in this trade war. This will cause a global recession and many export-oriented countries like SK, Japan, SG, etc will suffer tremendously.
The US has issued a warning to anti-Israel countries such as Malaysia.
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/u-may-review-ties-countries-deemed-anti-israel-142945853.html
The US has issued a warning in public to anti-Israel countries like Malaysia.
Malaysia is one of the anti-Israel countries.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/sport/paralympics-malaysia-stripped-of-right-to-host-world-11172762
This will force Malaysia to kowtow to China because Malaysia is helpless against the US. Malaysia has to find a big country to join forces to fight off the US.
The US has issued a warning in public to anti-Israel countries like Malaysia.
Malaysia is one of the anti-Israel countries.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/sport/paralympics-malaysia-stripped-of-right-to-host-world-11172762
This will force Malaysia to kowtow to China because Malaysia is helpless against the US. Malaysia has to find a big country to join forces to fight off the US.
The US is playing a stupid political game with Iran.
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/u-deploying-carrier-bombers-middle-east-warning-iran-010502968.html
The US can send a carrier strike group to Iran but the Russian also can send its naval warships to Iran too. The US dares not attack the Russian warships as this will escalate into a WW3 since both countries have large arsenals of nuclear weapons. China also may get involved as it is a major customer of Iran.
The US can send a carrier strike group to Iran but the Russian also can send its naval warships to Iran too. The US dares not attack the Russian warships as this will escalate into a WW3 since both countries have large arsenals of nuclear weapons. China also may get involved as it is a major customer of Iran.
Trump threatens China with more tariffs again.
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/trump-vows-tariff-hike-chinese-goods-escalating-tension-004818460.html
China should just walk away from the trade talk because the US economy would just collapse if Trump imposed more tariffs. The trade war devastation is starting to creep up in the US economic data and the US government is trying to fudge the economic numbers now.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/discrepancies-in-us-employment-data.html
We've found discrepancies in the US manufacturing employment datum because it is not in sync with the PMI employment sub-index. The PMI employment sub-index fell but the manufacturing employment datum rose.
China should just walk away from the trade talk because the US economy would just collapse if Trump imposed more tariffs. The trade war devastation is starting to creep up in the US economic data and the US government is trying to fudge the economic numbers now.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/discrepancies-in-us-employment-data.html
We've found discrepancies in the US manufacturing employment datum because it is not in sync with the PMI employment sub-index. The PMI employment sub-index fell but the manufacturing employment datum rose.
Saturday, May 4, 2019
Discrepancies in the US employment data.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/us-job-growth-surges--unemployment-rate-drops-to-3-6-percent-11499716
US job growth surged in April and the unemployment rate dropped.
However, the ISM Manufacturing PMI data in April showed otherwise.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/us-ism-manufacturing-pmi-fell-in-april.html
The employment sub-index under the April PMI showed it dropped from 57.5% to 52.4%, an almost 10% drop. A drop of such magnitude is serious!
This could only mean that the manufacturing industry was shedding workers but workers were increasing in other sectors. Right? No!
The US employment data showed that the manufacturing sector increased by 4,000 jobs in April and contradicted the April PMI data. A 4,000 job increase couldn't cause the employment sub-index under PMI to drop by 10%.
Something fishy is going here. Like I said before, the demon was hiding in the details.
US job growth surged in April and the unemployment rate dropped.
However, the ISM Manufacturing PMI data in April showed otherwise.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/us-ism-manufacturing-pmi-fell-in-april.html
The employment sub-index under the April PMI showed it dropped from 57.5% to 52.4%, an almost 10% drop. A drop of such magnitude is serious!
This could only mean that the manufacturing industry was shedding workers but workers were increasing in other sectors. Right? No!
The US employment data showed that the manufacturing sector increased by 4,000 jobs in April and contradicted the April PMI data. A 4,000 job increase couldn't cause the employment sub-index under PMI to drop by 10%.
Something fishy is going here. Like I said before, the demon was hiding in the details.
Baltic dry index - 1032
Today, Thursday, May 02 2019, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 1 point, reaching 1032 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.
Friday, May 3, 2019
Dasin Retail - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/15/19 | phillip | Dasin Retail | 0.885 | 0.95 | Accumulate | DDM |
02/28/19 | phillip | Dasin Retail | 0.885 | 0.94 | Accumulate | DDM, PB0.64x |
Dairy Farm - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
03/04/19 | DMG & Partners | Dairy Farm | 8.57 | 8.64 | Neutral | DCF |
03/04/19 | DBS Vickers | Dairy Farm | 8.57 | 8.44 | Hold | Sum of parts |
03/06/19 | CIMB | Dairy Farm | 8.33 | 8.54 | Hold | PER23.5x FY20 |
03/20/19 | DMG & Partners | Dairy Farm | 7.41 | 8.25 | Buy | DCF |
04/05/19 | DMG & Partners | Dairy Farm | 8.14 | 8.25 | Buy |
CSE Global - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/04/19 | UOB Kay Hian | CSE Global | 0.385 | 0.59 | Buy | |
01/07/19 | DMG & Partners | CSE Global | 0.395 | 0.59 | Buy | DCF |
01/11/19 | Lim & Tan | CSE Global | 0.395 | 0 | Buy | |
01/15/19 | CIMB | CSE Global | 0.405 | 0.56 | Add | PER13.5x FY20 |
01/22/19 | Amfrasers | CSE Global | 0.43 | 0.57 | Buy | |
02/08/19 | UOB Kay Hian | CSE Global | 0.455 | 0.59 | Buy | |
02/22/19 | DMG & Partners | CSE Global | 0.465 | 0.6 | Buy | DCF |
02/22/19 | CIMB | CSE Global | 0.465 | 0.6 | Add | PER13.5x FY19 |
02/22/19 | UOB Kay Hian | CSE Global | 0.465 | 0.62 | Buy | |
03/05/19 | Amfrasers | CSE Global | 0.505 | 0.58 | Buy | |
03/26/19 | UOB Kay Hian | CSE Global | 0.54 | 0.62 | Buy | |
03/26/19 | DMG & Partners | CSE Global | 0.54 | 0.61 | Buy | DCF |
03/26/19 | CIMB | CSE Global | 0.54 | 0.6 | Add | |
04/02/19 | Lim & Tan | CSE Global | 0.545 | 0 | Buy |
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