Stock calls for 15 October 2019

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
10/15/19	UOB Kay Hian	Golden Agri	0.21	0.16	Sell
10/15/19	DMG & Partners	HRnetGroup	0.58	0.94	Buy
10/15/19	DMG & Partners	Hyphens Pharma	0.199	0.25	Buy
10/15/19	DMG & Partners	ISOTeam	0.225	0.31	Buy
10/15/19	DBS Vickers	Keppel Infrastructure	0.545	0.58	Buy
10/15/19	DMG & Partners	Kimly	0.225	0.23	Neutral
10/15/19	DIR	Lendlease Reit	0.94	1.01	outperform
10/15/19	DMG & Partners	Moya Asia	0.065	0.08	Buy
10/15/19	DMG & Partners	Oxley	0.325	0.43	Buy
10/15/19	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	4.82	5.3	Buy
10/15/19	DMG & Partners	Singapore Medical	0.305	0.48	Buy
10/15/19	OCBC	SPH Reit	1.15	1.1	Hold
10/15/19	DMG & Partners	Talkmed	0.515	0.62	Buy
10/15/19	DMG & Partners	Unusual	0.27	0.42	Buy

Trump has fallen into China's gambit.

Trump was so happy with the trade truce that he had asked his farmers to buy more lands and machinery to increase the soybean production and yield.

Unbeknownst to him, this was actually a tactical gambit by the Chinese.

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3031579/new-soybean-could-make-china-more-self-reliant-during-trade-war

China had, in fact, produced a new soybean hybrid called Henong 71.  This hybrid soybean was being tested in Xinjiang with a real production yield of 6.7 tonnes per hectare compared to the average US yield of 3 tonnes per hectare.

China has started to plant this new breed massively in China with the intention to replace US imports.  When the US farmers start to commit heavily to plant their soybeans, China could reduce the US imports substantially as its retaliatory action in the future without affecting the local supply.

CapitaRetail China - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
02/04/19	OCBC	CapitaRetail China	1.48	1.42	Hold
02/04/19	DBS Vickers	CapitaRetail China	1.48	1.65	Buy	DCF
02/15/19	Phillip	CapitaRetail China	1.39	1.66	Accumulate
03/21/19	Amfrasers	CapitaRetail China	1.52	1.61	Buy	DDM
04/03/19	DBS Vickers	CapitaRetail China	1.57	1.65	Buy
04/26/19	OCBC	CapitaRetail China	1.51	1.5	Hold
06/11/19	OCBC	CapitaRetail China	1.56	1.5	Hold
06/12/19	OCBC	CapitaRetail China	1.53	1.35	Sell
06/12/19	DBS Vickers	CapitaRetail China	1.53	1.65	Buy
06/12/19	Lim & Tan	CapitaRetail China	1.53	0	Hold
06/14/19	OCBC	CapitaRetail China	1.5	1.38	Hold
06/19/19	Phillip	CapitaRetail China	1.55	1.66	Accumulate
07/22/19	Phillip	CapitaRetail China	1.59	1.66	Accumulate
08/01/19	OCBC	CapitaRetail China	1.59	1.45	Hold
08/01/19	DBS Vickers	CapitaRetail China	1.59	1.8	Buy
08/02/19	Amfrasers	CapitaRetail China	1.55	1.68	Outperform
08/26/19	Phillip	CapitaRetail China	1.54	1.66	Accumulate
09/24/19	Phillip	CapitaRetail China	1.53	1.66	Accumulate

Capitamall Trust - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/22/19	CIMB	Capitamall Trust	2.26	2.29	Hold	DDM
01/23/19	OCBC	Capitamall Trust	2.27	2.12	Hold
01/24/19	Phillip	Capitamall Trust	2.31	2.09	Neutral	DDM, PB1.06x FY19
01/24/19	Kim Eng	Capitamall Trust	2.31	2.25	Hold	DDM
01/24/19	OCBC	Capitamall Trust	2.31	2.25	Hold
01/24/19	DBS Vickers	Capitamall Trust	2.31	2.44	Buy
01/28/19	UOB Kay Hian	Capitamall Trust	2.36	2.02	Hold	Buy @ $1.84
02/15/19	Phillip	Capitamall Trust	2.38	2.09	Neutral
02/28/19	Kim Eng	Capitamall Trust	2.42	2.25	Hold
03/14/19	DMG & Partners	Capitamall Trust	2.39	2.2	Neutral	DDM
04/04/19	Kim Eng	Capitamall Trust	2.41	2.4	Hold	DDM
04/24/19	OCBC	Capitamall Trust	2.32	2.25	Hold
04/25/19	DBS Vickers	Capitamall Trust	2.36	2.55	Buy
04/25/19	OCBC	Capitamall Trust	2.36	2.32	Hold
04/26/19	Phillip	Capitamall Trust	2.39	2.21	Neutral	DDM
04/26/19	CIMB	Capitamall Trust	2.39	2.39	Hold	DDM
05/27/19	UOB Kay Hian	Capitamall Trust	2.44	2.65	Buy	DDM
06/06/19	OCBC	Capitamall Trust	2.46	2.33	Hold
06/19/19	Phillip	Capitamall Trust	2.57	2.21	Neutral
06/21/19	UOB Kay Hian	Capitamall Trust	2.58	2.65	Hold
06/25/19	Kim Eng	Capitamall Trust	2.6	2.4	Hold
07/04/19	DMG & Partners	Capitamall Trust	2.71	2.2	Neutral
07/04/19	DBS Vickers	Capitamall Trust	2.71	2.95	Buy
07/22/19	Phillip	Capitamall Trust	2.64	2.36	Neutral
07/23/19	Lim & Tan	Capitamall Trust	2.6	0	Hold
07/24/19	UOB Kay Hian	Capitamall Trust	2.64	2.65	Hold	DDM, Buy @ $2.42
07/24/19	OCBC	Capitamall Trust	2.64	2.51	Hold
07/24/19	Kim Eng	Capitamall Trust	2.64	2.6	Hold	DDM
07/24/19	DMG & Partners	Capitamall Trust	2.64	2.38	Neutral	DDM
07/24/19	CIMB	Capitamall Trust	2.64	2.6	Hold	DDM
07/25/19	Phillip	Capitamall Trust	2.62	2.68	Neutral	DDM, PB1.09x
08/26/19	Phillip	Capitamall Trust	2.64	2.68	Neutral
09/24/19	Phillip	Capitamall Trust	2.62	2.68	Neutral

Capitaland - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/02/19	DMG & Partners	Capitaland	3.11	4	Buy
01/03/19	OCBC	Capitaland	3.07	3.96	Buy	RNAV (20% discount)
01/07/19	CIMB	Capitaland	3.06	3.55	Add	RNAV (35% discount)
01/15/19	DBS Vickers	Capitaland	3.27	3.62	Buy
01/15/19	Phillip	Capitaland	3.27	4	Accumulate	RNAV (20% discount), PB0.75x FY18
02/20/19	Lim & Tan	Capitaland	3.39	0	Buy
02/21/19	OCBC	Capitaland	3.43	3.98	Buy	RNAV
02/21/19	Phillip	Capitaland	3.43	4	Accumulate	PB0.75x FY19
02/21/19	CIMB	Capitaland	3.43	3.56	Add	RNAV (35% discount)
02/21/19	DBS Vickers	Capitaland	3.43	3.62	Buy
03/18/19	OCBC	Capitaland	3.44	3.98	Buy
03/21/19	Lim & Tan	Capitaland	3.47	0	Buy
03/26/19	CIMB	Capitaland	3.44	3.56	Add
04/01/19	UOB Kay Hian	Capitaland	3.65	4.4	Buy
04/02/19	Macquarie	Capitaland	3.69	3.9	Outperform	RNAV (30% discount)
04/02/19	OCBC	Capitaland	3.69	3.98	Buy
05/02/19	Phillip	Capitaland	3.53	4	Accumulate	RNAV (20% discount)
05/02/19	Lim & Tan	Capitaland	3.53	0	Hold
05/03/19	OCBC	Capitaland	3.54	4.04	Buy
05/03/19	CIMB	Capitaland	3.54	3.56	Add
05/27/19	DBS Vickers	Capitaland	3.28	4	Buy	RNAV (25% discount)
06/12/19	DBS Vickers	Capitaland	3.41	4	Buy
06/18/19	Macquarie	Capitaland	3.42	4.1	Outperform	RNAV (25% discount)
07/05/19	DBS Vickers	Capitaland	3.69	4	Buy
07/15/19	Phillip	Capitaland	3.69	4	Accumulate
07/15/19	CIMB	Capitaland	3.69	4.15	Add	RNAV (35% discount)
07/15/19	OCBC	Capitaland	3.69	4.04	Buy
08/07/19	OCBC	Capitaland	3.48	4.04	Buy
08/14/19	Macquarie	Capitaland	3.42	4.15	Outperform
08/19/19	Phillip	Capitaland	3.4	4.2	Buy	PB0.75x FY19
08/20/19	CIMB	Capitaland	3.46	4.15	Add	RNAV (35% discount)
08/22/19	DIR	Capitaland	3.5	4.1	Buy	RNAV (20% discount)
09/05/19	Lim & Tan	Capitaland	3.49	0	Accumulate
09/06/19	DBS Vickers	Capitaland	3.51	4	Buy
10/11/19	Phillip	Capitaland	3.51	4.2	Buy

Stock calls for 14 October 2019

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
10/14/19	UOB Kay Hian	Propnex	0.49	0.56	Buy	PER12x FY20
10/14/19	Kim Eng	Sheng Siong	1.15	0.96	Sell	DCF
10/14/19	OCBC	SPH Reit	1.13	1.05	Hold
10/14/19	CIMB	ST Engineering	4.02	4.36	Add

Baltic dry index - 1924

Today, Friday, October 11 2019,  the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 5 points, reaching 1924 points.

Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.

====================

Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 856

Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Is the US going to abandon Hong Kong soon?

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/10/the-us-and-china-have-reached-hollow.html

The US and China had just reached a partial trade deal.

In order for this partial trade deal to materialize, the US and China will have to negotiate and put in writing the details.  However, if the US were to continue to create chaos in HK, this trade deal might not materialize.

Therefore, the US is highly likely to abandon HK to get the trade deal done.  The US will not hesitate to abandon HK because it has just abandoned its staunch Kurds.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/10/the-usa-has-abandoned-syrian-kurds-part.html

Do not take Boeing 737 because it is a flying coffin.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/aviation-experts-blast-faa-over-131707003.html

FAA is just trying to get Boeing 737 off the ground because it is in cahoots with Boeing.  FAA is ignoring passengers' safety now.

HK finance chief is really brainless.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/hong-kong-urges-property-developers-092703886.html

How can the HK finance chief ask the landlords and property developers to cut rents for retailers when the banks don't cut the mortgage instalments for these landlords and developers?  This is a back-to-back problem.

The HK finance chief is just trying to protect the banking sector by asking the property owners to sacrifice themselves for the greater good.

My observations of the HK protests. - Part 2

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/news/no-one-showed-hong-kongs-070141921.html

Our previous analysis had come to fruition.  The protest size has shrunk!

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/my-observations-of-hk-protests.html

Without getting paid, these so-called protestors are no longer interested to protest.

The US FED will start to purchase $60b T-bills per month in mid October 2019.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-fed-buy-60-bln-153937503.html

The overnight RRP had been in chaos since September 2019 and spiked above its set range.

Why is this happening?

First of all, overnight RRP is a short-term agreement to purchase securities in order to sell back the same securities the next day (overnight) at a profit (interest earned).

When the overnight RRP spikes, it means that the buyers/investors do not have faith in the securities being offered as collaterals or there are not enough buyers/investors around in the market.

Whatever is the case, this spike denotes a bad economic or financial situation that can spill over to other financial assets and destabilize the financial market.  Therefore, the US government has to step in to stabilize the short-term situation by purchasing the T-bills to show that the securities offered are not non-performing collateralized loans.

The US and China have reached a hollow partial trade deal.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/10/11/us-stocks-poised-big-bounce-expectations-grow-us-china-trade-deal/

Nothing concrete is being announced except that China will buy more US agricultural products and the US will hold back the 15 October tariff but all the existing tariffs will still be in effect.

Therefore, this US-China trade truce is just a hollow deal and it can change anytime since Trump likes to flip-flop a lot.

Let's see how this will pan out in the future.

CapitaCommercial - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/04/19	Phillip	CapitaCommercial	1.75	1.9	Accumulate
01/14/19	UOB Kay Hian	CapitaCommercial	1.82	2.11	Buy	DDM
01/24/19	OCBC	CapitaCommercial	1.83	1.68	Hold
01/25/19	UOB Kay Hian	CapitaCommercial	1.85	2.16	Buy	DDM
01/25/19	DMG & Partners	CapitaCommercial	1.85	1.86	Neutral	DDM
01/25/19	DBS Vickers	CapitaCommercial	1.85	2	Buy	DCF
01/25/19	Lim & Tan	CapitaCommercial	1.85	0	Hold
01/28/19	OCBC	CapitaCommercial	1.9	1.83	Hold
01/28/19	CIMB	CapitaCommercial	1.9	1.94	Add
02/15/19	Phillip	CapitaCommercial	1.86	1.93	Accumulate
03/18/19	DMG & Partners	CapitaCommercial	1.98	1.86	Neutral
03/26/19	UOB Kay Hian	CapitaCommercial	1.92	2.16	Buy
04/22/19	Phillip	CapitaCommercial	1.93	1.93	Neutral	DDM, PB1.05x
04/22/19	DMG & Partners	CapitaCommercial	1.93	1.86	Neutral	DDM
04/22/19	OCBC	CapitaCommercial	1.93	1.88	Hold
04/22/19	CIMB	CapitaCommercial	1.93	2.03	Add	DDM
04/22/19	UOB Kay Hian	CapitaCommercial	1.93	2.16	Buy
04/22/19	DBS Vickers	CapitaCommercial	1.93	2.1	Buy	DCF
04/22/19	Lim & Tan	CapitaCommercial	1.93	0	Hold
05/13/19	UOB Kay Hian	CapitaCommercial	1.9	2.16	Buy
05/17/19	DBS Vickers	CapitaCommercial	1.93	2.1	Buy	DCF, PB1.15x
05/30/19	UOB Kay Hian	CapitaCommercial	1.95	2.16	Buy
06/13/19	UOB Kay Hian	CapitaCommercial	2.05	2.16	Buy
06/19/19	Phillip	CapitaCommercial	2.11	1.93	Neutral
06/24/19	OCBC	CapitaCommercial	2.14	1.88	Sell
07/04/19	DMG & Partners	CapitaCommercial	2.23	1.86	Neutral
07/17/19	OCBC	CapitaCommercial	2.18	1.88	Sell
07/17/19	Lim & Tan	CapitaCommercial	2.18	0	Hold
07/18/19	UOB Kay Hian	CapitaCommercial	2.17	2.17	Hold	DDM, Buy @ $1.98
07/18/19	DBS Vickers	CapitaCommercial	2.17	2.4	Buy	DCF
07/18/19	Kim Eng	CapitaCommercial	2.17	1.8	Hold
07/18/19	OCBC	CapitaCommercial	2.17	1.92	Sell
07/18/19	CIMB	CapitaCommercial	2.17	2.25	Add
07/19/19	DMG & Partners	CapitaCommercial	2.15	1.98	Neutral	DDM
07/22/19	Phillip	CapitaCommercial	2.15	2.18	Neutral	DDM
08/26/19	Phillip	CapitaCommercial	2.07	2.18	Neutral
08/27/19	UOB Kay Hian	CapitaCommercial	2.08	2.04	Hold	Buy @ $1.85
08/30/19	DBS Vickers	CapitaCommercial	2.13	2.3	Buy	DCF
09/24/19	Phillip	CapitaCommercial	2.11	2.18	Neutral
10/04/19	DBS Vickers	CapitaCommercial	2.04	2.3	Buy

Cache Logistics - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/28/19	phillip	Cache Logistics	0.75	0.75	Neutral	DDM, PB1.14x FY19
01/28/19	DBS Vickers	Cache Logistics	0.75	0.75	Hold	DCF
01/28/19	OCBC	Cache Logistics	0.75	0.76	Hold
01/28/19	DMG & Partners	Cache Logistics	0.75	0.81	Buy	DDM
01/28/19	CIMB	Cache Logistics	0.75	0.74	Hold
01/28/19	Kim Eng	Cache Logistics	0.75	0.85	Buy
02/15/19	phillip	Cache Logistics	0.71	0.75	Neutral
03/18/19	DMG & Partners	Cache Logistics	0.72	0.81	Buy
04/18/19	OCBC	Cache Logistics	0.72	0.7	Hold
04/26/19	OCBC	Cache Logistics	0.745	0.74	Hold
04/26/19	Kim Eng	Cache Logistics	0.745	0.88	Buy
04/26/19	DBS Vickers	Cache Logistics	0.745	0.75	Hold	DCF
04/26/19	CIMB	Cache Logistics	0.745	0.74	Hold
06/17/19	DMG & Partners	Cache Logistics	0.77	0.83	Buy	DDM
06/17/19	CIMB	Cache Logistics	0.77	0.78	Hold	DDM
06/19/19	phillip	Cache Logistics	0.79	0.75	Neutral
07/04/19	DMG & Partners	Cache Logistics	0.785	0.83	Buy
07/19/19	DBS Vickers	Cache Logistics	0.78	0.75	Hold	DCF
07/22/19	phillip	Cache Logistics	0.785	0.75	Neutral
07/26/19	Kim Eng	Cache Logistics	0.765	0.9	Buy	DDM
07/26/19	DMG & Partners	Cache Logistics	0.765	0.8	Buy	DDM
07/26/19	CIMB	Cache Logistics	0.765	0.76	Hold	DDM
08/26/19	phillip	Cache Logistics	0.725	0.75	Neutral
09/24/19	phillip	Cache Logistics	0.735	0.75	Neutral

Bumitama - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/03/19	UOB Kay Hian	Bumitama	0.67	0.81	Buy
02/12/19	UOB Kay Hian	Bumitama	0.685	0.81	Buy	PER11x FY19
02/21/19	Kim Eng	Bumitama	0.69	0.96	Buy
02/26/19	DMG & Partners	Bumitama	0.67	0.67	Neutral	PER11x FY19
02/27/19	Kim Eng	Bumitama	0.675	0.97	Buy	PER13x FY19
02/28/19	DBS Vickers	Bumitama	0.665	0.85	Buy	DCF, PER13.9x FY19
04/08/19	UOB Kay Hian	Bumitama	0.725	0.81	Buy
05/15/19	UOB Kay Hian	Bumitama	0.69	0.81	Buy
05/15/19	DBS Vickers	Bumitama	0.69	0.8	Buy	DCF, PER18x FY19
05/17/19	DMG & Partners	Bumitama	0.7	0.62	Neutral
05/24/19	UOB Kay Hian	Bumitama	0.69	0.81	Hold
06/06/19	DMG & Partners	Bumitama	0.665	0.62	Neutral
06/27/19	UOB Kay Hian	Bumitama	0.615	0.81	Buy
07/02/19	Kim Eng	Bumitama	0.63	1.01	Buy
07/16/19	DBS Vickers	Bumitama	0.605	0.75	Buy	DCF
08/14/19	DMG & Partners	Bumitama	0.6	0.54	Neutral	PER14x FY20
08/15/19	DBS Vickers	Bumitama	0.59	0.69	Buy	DCF, PER18.5x FY19
08/28/19	Kim Eng	Bumitama	0.575	0.8	Buy
09/30/19	DMG & Partners	Bumitama	0.58	0.6	Neutral	PER16x FY20

Stock calls for 11 October 2019

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
10/11/19	CIMB	A-Reit	3.15	3.12	Hold
10/11/19	Amfrasers	AEM	1.16	1.34	Outperform	PER11x FY20
10/11/19	Phillip	ART	1.31	1.42	Accumulate
10/11/19	Phillip	Capitaland	3.51	4.2	Buy
10/11/19	UOB Kay Hian	CSE Global	0.465	0.65	Buy
10/11/19	DMG & Partners	Genting	0.9	0.97	Neutral
10/11/19	DBS Vickers	Manulife US Reit	0.905	1.1	Buy	DCF
10/11/19	Phillip	Netlink	0.91	0.93	Accumulate
10/11/19	phillip	Propnex	0.49	0.59	Buy
10/11/19	phillip	Sheng Siong	1.16	1.3	Accumulate
10/11/19	Phillip	Singtel	3.15	3.45	Accumulate
10/11/19	CIMB	SPH Reit	1.11	1.09	Hold	DDM
10/11/19	DBS Vickers	SPH Reit	1.11	1.25	Buy	DCF
10/11/19	Kim Eng	SPH Reit	1.11	1.1	Hold	DDM
10/11/19	UOB Kay Hian	Valuetronics	0.615	0.8	Buy	PER11x FY20
10/11/19	Phillip	Venture	15.17	17.68	Buy

Breadtalk - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
02/21/19	DBS Vickers	Breadtalk	0.88	0.92	Hold	Sum of parts
02/21/19	DMG & Partners	Breadtalk	0.88	0.81	Neutral	Sum of parts
04/05/19	DMG & Partners	Breadtalk	0.87	0.81	Neutral
05/07/19	DBS Vickers	Breadtalk	0.835	0.92	Hold
05/08/19	DMG & Partners	Breadtalk	0.825	0.81	Neutral	Sum of parts
07/02/19	DMG & Partners	Breadtalk	0.75	0.81	Neutral
08/02/19	DBS Vickers	Breadtalk	0.715	0.77	Hold	Sum of parts
08/05/19	DMG & Partners	Breadtalk	0.69	0.71	Neutral	Sum of parts
09/03/19	DMG & Partners	Breadtalk	0.665	0.71	Neutral
09/04/19	DMG & Partners	Breadtalk	0.65	0.67	Neutral	Sum of parts, EV/Ebitda7.64x
09/06/19	DBS Vickers	Breadtalk	0.645	0.61	Hold	Sum of parts

BRC Asia - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
07/31/19	UOB Kay Hian	BRC Asia	1.37	1.75	Buy	PER11.5x FY20
08/08/19	UOB Kay Hian	BRC Asia	1.31	1.75	Buy	PER11.5x FY20
10/01/19	UOB Kay Hian	BRC Asia	1.34	1.75	Buy