When the US and the rest of the world are in a rate-cutting frenzy, China cannot alienate itself and hold its rates perpetually. Thus, it is a question of when will China do it instead.
In order for our readers to understand this better, it is best that the readers read and understand the rationale and logic of China not reducing its interest rates at this moment.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/06/china-has-started-to-sell-us-treasuries.html
What had China done insofar to stimulate its economy after the US cut the FED rates?
China had implemented the new LPR and reduced the RRR.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/why-is-renminbi-rmb-depreciating-again.html
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/china-has-just-cut-banks-rrr-by-50bp.html
Please read our post on RRR to understand its impact.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/how-china-rrr-cut-will-impact-its.html
China does not have runaway inflation, so China can afford to cut its interest rates. However, China is not doing it now. Why?
If you think that China doesn't cut its interest rates because of its simmering inflation, then I must say that you are wrong because you do not understand China's economic structure well enough.
The properties constitute a large part of the people's assets and the property sector is the Achilles heel of China. Therefore, any disruption to the property sector will disrupt the economy severely.
As we can see, China has been trying to avoid any disruption to the property sector by implementing LPR and reducing RRR instead of cutting its interest rates because these 2 policies have minimal impacts on the property sector.
China will only cut its interest rates after it has figured out how to rein in the property prices with new property policies and measures because cutting the interest rates will create a buying frenzy to inflate the property prices. A skyrocketing property market will create social unrest and China is trying to maintain stability in the country.
Sunday, September 8, 2019
Saturday, September 7, 2019
Baltic dry index - 2462
Today, Friday, September 06 2019, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 37 points, reaching 2462 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
================
Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.
The Hong Kong protest continues after HK CE's telecast.
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/hong-kong-protesters-aim-stress-test-airport-210048026.html
We had already stated that the HK protest would not end because the protestors were paid to protest. Those protestors are not interested in the extradition bill because it is never the goal of their protests. Their goal is to make quick money out of these protests.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/latest-hk-chief-executives-telecast.html
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/the-hk-protestors-have-rejected-hk-ces.html
We hate to be right in our analysis for this kind of situation.
We had already stated that the HK protest would not end because the protestors were paid to protest. Those protestors are not interested in the extradition bill because it is never the goal of their protests. Their goal is to make quick money out of these protests.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/latest-hk-chief-executives-telecast.html
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/the-hk-protestors-have-rejected-hk-ces.html
We hate to be right in our analysis for this kind of situation.
China has just cut the bank's RRR by 50bp!
https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3026064/china-cuts-banks-reserve-requirements-latest-effort-boost
China has just cut the bank's RRR by 50bp to stimulate its economy.
Many analysts had expected China to cut its interest rates to stimulate its economy and they were proven to be wrong when China didn't do as they concluded. We had stated in June 2019 that China wouldn't cut its interest rates but would reduce its RRR further.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/07/will-china-cut-its-bank-interest-rates.html
Please read our economic analysis in June to understand the rationale for China not to cut its interest rates.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/06/china-has-started-to-sell-us-treasuries.html
China has just cut the bank's RRR by 50bp to stimulate its economy.
Many analysts had expected China to cut its interest rates to stimulate its economy and they were proven to be wrong when China didn't do as they concluded. We had stated in June 2019 that China wouldn't cut its interest rates but would reduce its RRR further.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/07/will-china-cut-its-bank-interest-rates.html
Please read our economic analysis in June to understand the rationale for China not to cut its interest rates.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/06/china-has-started-to-sell-us-treasuries.html
Friday, September 6, 2019
Will the US Fed reduce its interest rates in September 2019?
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/the-us-fed-has-cut-interest-rate-by-025.html
We got it right when we predicted a US FED rate cut in July by analyzing the 4 important rates in US.
Let's do it again to see what will happen in September 2019.
Iorr: 2.10% (Falling), Max is 2.25% as set by the FED.
Effr: 2.13% (Falling)
Ioer: 2.10% (Falling)
On RRP: 2%
The official US interest rates set by the FED range from 2% to 2.25% currently.
Effr: 2.13% (Loan rate offered by FED to US bank)
Ioer: 2.10% (Deposit rate offered by FED to US bank for the excess fund)
The spread between Effr and Ioer denotes the monetary supply condition in the US banking system. In other words, the lesser the spread, the looser the monetary supply and vice versa. A shrinking spread describes an easing while a widening spread describes a tightening condition. This spread has not widened which means that there is no monetary tightening in the US. However, the 10-year treasury yield (risk-free rate) is only around 1.5% currently which is below the Ioer (2.1%). Thus, the US FED has to cut its rates to make the Ioer less attractive to the banks in order to stimulate the economy.
Please read the post below to understand the 4 interest rates better.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/04/whats-happening-to-usd-now-why-is-it.html
The falling rates are signaling that the US FED is likely to cut rates again for it to stay relevant. Furthermore, the US FED is being held hostage by Trump and wall street to cut rates now. Therefore, the US Fed has no choice now, especially the PMI is weakening.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/ism-pmi-analysis-for-us-economy-in.html
If the US Fed dares to defy Trump and Wall Street, the stock markets will crash. I don't see the US Fed having the guts or gumption to fight for its independence and risk crashing the stock markets by putting the rates on hold.
We got it right when we predicted a US FED rate cut in July by analyzing the 4 important rates in US.
Let's do it again to see what will happen in September 2019.
Iorr: 2.10% (Falling), Max is 2.25% as set by the FED.
Effr: 2.13% (Falling)
Ioer: 2.10% (Falling)
On RRP: 2%
The official US interest rates set by the FED range from 2% to 2.25% currently.
Effr: 2.13% (Loan rate offered by FED to US bank)
Ioer: 2.10% (Deposit rate offered by FED to US bank for the excess fund)
The spread between Effr and Ioer denotes the monetary supply condition in the US banking system. In other words, the lesser the spread, the looser the monetary supply and vice versa. A shrinking spread describes an easing while a widening spread describes a tightening condition. This spread has not widened which means that there is no monetary tightening in the US. However, the 10-year treasury yield (risk-free rate) is only around 1.5% currently which is below the Ioer (2.1%). Thus, the US FED has to cut its rates to make the Ioer less attractive to the banks in order to stimulate the economy.
Please read the post below to understand the 4 interest rates better.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/04/whats-happening-to-usd-now-why-is-it.html
The falling rates are signaling that the US FED is likely to cut rates again for it to stay relevant. Furthermore, the US FED is being held hostage by Trump and wall street to cut rates now. Therefore, the US Fed has no choice now, especially the PMI is weakening.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/ism-pmi-analysis-for-us-economy-in.html
If the US Fed dares to defy Trump and Wall Street, the stock markets will crash. I don't see the US Fed having the guts or gumption to fight for its independence and risk crashing the stock markets by putting the rates on hold.
Penguin - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
04/26/19 | phillip | Penguin | 0.45 | 0.61 | Buy | PER5x FY19 (ex-cash) |
05/21/19 | phillip | Penguin | 0.44 | 0.61 | Buy | PER5x FY19 (ex-cash) |
05/27/19 | CIMB | Penguin | 0.445 | 0.72 | Add | PB1x FY19 |
08/07/19 | phillip | Penguin | 0.495 | 0.61 | Buy | PER5x FY19 (ex-cash) |
Parkway Life - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/30/19 | DBS Vickers | Parkway Life | 2.8 | 3.1 | Buy | |
03/18/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.88 | 3.25 | Buy | DDM |
04/01/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.92 | 3.25 | Buy | DDM |
05/02/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.89 | 3.25 | Buy | |
07/31/19 | Lim & Tan | Parkway Life | 3.06 | 0 | Hold | |
08/01/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 3.06 | 3.25 | Buy | |
08/01/19 | DBS Vickers | Parkway Life | 3.06 | 3.35 | Buy |
Pacific Century - Stock calls
Date
|
Analyst
|
Company
|
Last
|
Target
|
Call
|
Valuation
|
03/04/19
|
Lim & Tan
|
Pacific Century
|
0.385
|
0
|
Buy
|
|
Stock calls for 6 September 2019
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
09/06/19 | DBS Vickers | Capitaland | 3.51 | 4 | Buy | |
09/06/19 | phillip | Clearbridge | 0.142 | 0.26 | Buy | DCF |
09/06/19 | DBS Vickers | CSE Global | 0.47 | 0.65 | Buy | PER12x FY20 |
09/06/19 | DMG & Partners | DBS | 24.63 | 25.3 | Neutral | GGM, PB1.23x FY20 |
09/06/19 | OCBC | Hutchison Port | 0.22 | 0.17 | Hold | |
09/06/19 | DMG & Partners | Keppel Pacific | 0.74 | 0.88 | Buy | DDM |
Thursday, September 5, 2019
The US-China trade war is not subsiding.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/us-imposes-duties-on-structural-steel-from-china--mexico-11874126
The US has imposed duties on China's structural steel.
China has to recognize that the US cannot be trusted and will renege on its promises like a thug.
There is no need to be a gentleman when it comes to dealing with the US because the US will not show any goodwill gesture prior to the October meeting.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/the-us-china-trade-talk-is-deferred-to.html
The US has imposed duties on China's structural steel.
China has to recognize that the US cannot be trusted and will renege on its promises like a thug.
There is no need to be a gentleman when it comes to dealing with the US because the US will not show any goodwill gesture prior to the October meeting.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/the-us-china-trade-talk-is-deferred-to.html
PACC Offshore - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/26/19 | DBS Vickers | PACC Offshore | 0.183 | 0.2 | Hold | PB0.8x FY19 |
05/14/19 | DBS Vickers | PACC Offshore | 0.173 | 0.2 | Hold | PB0.8x FY19 |
Oxley - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
05/02/19 | DBS Vickers | Oxley | 0.325 | 0.68 | Buy | |
06/13/19 | DMG & Partners | Oxley | 0.31 | 0.41 | Buy | RNAV (45% discount) |
Overseas Education - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
04/23/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Overseas Edu | 0.33 | 0.46 | Buy | EV/Ebitda10.4x |
05/08/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Overseas Edu | 0.3 | 0.46 | Buy | EV/Ebitda10.4x |
05/08/19 | Lim & Tan | Overseas Edu | 0.3 | 0.48 | Buy | DDM & DCF |
08/19/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Overseas Edu | 0.285 | 0.46 | Buy |
Stock calls for 5 September 2019
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
09/05/19 | Lim & Tan | Capitaland | 3.49 | 0 | Accumulate | |
09/05/19 | phillip | DBS | 24.54 | 27.6 | Accumulate | |
09/05/19 | UOB Kay Hian | OCBC | 10.71 | 14.48 | Buy | GGM |
09/05/19 | DMG & Partners | Silverlake | 0.455 | 0.56 | Buy | DCF |
09/05/19 | phillip | UOB | 25.1 | 28.6 | Accumulate |
The HK protestors have rejected the HK CE's pacification.
Just as we expected, the HK protectors have rejected her compromise and pacification.
The HK protestors are paid to protest and they will not accept any favourable outcome even if the government relented.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/latest-hk-chief-executives-telecast.html
They claimed the relentment came too little and too late but they never thought that late was better than never. Eventually, they will push themselves into a corner and regret this later.
The HK protestors are paid to protest and they will not accept any favourable outcome even if the government relented.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/latest-hk-chief-executives-telecast.html
They claimed the relentment came too little and too late but they never thought that late was better than never. Eventually, they will push themselves into a corner and regret this later.
The US-China trade talk is deferred to October 2019.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-u-hold-trade-talks-014856242.html
The US-China trade talk is deferred to October 2019 from September 2019. Will the October meeting take place? The US will impose another set of tariffs on 1 October and China will definitely retaliate against that.
The US has to end this trade war fast because its bleak economic numbers are showing up in the PMI now.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/ism-pmi-analysis-for-us-economy-in.html
The weakening PMI will cause the GDP number to dive and Trump has to stop the hemorrhage before he loses his election.
The US-China trade talk is deferred to October 2019 from September 2019. Will the October meeting take place? The US will impose another set of tariffs on 1 October and China will definitely retaliate against that.
The US has to end this trade war fast because its bleak economic numbers are showing up in the PMI now.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/ism-pmi-analysis-for-us-economy-in.html
The weakening PMI will cause the GDP number to dive and Trump has to stop the hemorrhage before he loses his election.
Wednesday, September 4, 2019
Latest HK Chief Executive's telecast.
No! This is because she is not eradicating the root cause of the problems (protests). This uprising of the Hongkongers is engineered by the US, UK and Taiwan. She must uproot those paid lackeys to end the protests. The protestors don't even understand what they're protesting. Therefore, it is useless to pacify the protestors as they will keep shifting their goal poles.
Cathy Pacific is a high risk airliner! Fly at your own risk!
https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/politics/article/3025421/cathay-pacific-suspends-cabin-crew-two-flights-found
Cathy Pacific employees committed a terrorist act by depleting the oxygen bottles.
Cathy Pacific chairman has resigned after the terrorist act was committed by his employees.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/hong-kong-cathay-pacific-chairman-resigns-11872184
We had warned about a flight risk with Cathy Pacific previously in our post below.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/cathy-pacific-suspends-ticket-sales-at.html
China is right to scrutinize Cathy Pacific employees flying in and out of China airspace.
Cathy Pacific employees committed a terrorist act by depleting the oxygen bottles.
Cathy Pacific chairman has resigned after the terrorist act was committed by his employees.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/hong-kong-cathay-pacific-chairman-resigns-11872184
We had warned about a flight risk with Cathy Pacific previously in our post below.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/cathy-pacific-suspends-ticket-sales-at.html
China is right to scrutinize Cathy Pacific employees flying in and out of China airspace.
Hot news! Singapore general election is coming!
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/pm-lee-convenes-electoral-boundaries-review-committee-091256644.html
It looks like SG GE is coming in a few months time according to the historical record.
Why?
This is because the economy will be so bad next year that there will be more opposition voices.
It looks like SG GE is coming in a few months time according to the historical record.
Why?
This is because the economy will be so bad next year that there will be more opposition voices.
OUE Lippo HC - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
03/11/19 | Soochow SSD | OUE Lippo HC | 0.066 | 0.088 | Buy | Sum of parts |
OUE Hospitality - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/02/19 | CIMB | OUE Hospitality | 0.67 | 0.85 | Add | DDM |
01/16/19 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.685 | 0.79 | Buy | |
01/30/19 | DBS Vickers | OUE Hospitality | 0.695 | 0.85 | Buy | DCF |
01/31/19 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.725 | 0.82 | Buy | |
03/18/19 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.725 | 0.77 | Buy | |
04/09/19 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.735 | 0.76 | Take Profit | Accept offer |
04/09/19 | DBS Vickers | OUE Hospitality | 0.735 | 0.85 | Buy | |
04/10/19 | CIMB | OUE Hospitality | 0.725 | 0.85 | Add | |
05/03/19 | CIMB | OUE Hospitality | 0.72 | 0.85 | Add | |
06/06/19 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.68 | 0.76 | Take Profit | |
07/04/19 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.72 | 0.76 | Take Profit |
OUE Commercial - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/31/19 | OCBC | OUE Commercial | 0.49 | 0.5 | Hold | |
01/31/19 | DBS Vickers | OUE Commercial | 0.49 | 0.6 | Buy | DCF |
02/04/19 | CIMB | OUE Commercial | 0.515 | 0.57 | Hold | |
02/08/19 | DBS Vickers | OUE Commercial | 0.51 | 0.6 | Buy | |
04/03/19 | DBS Vickers | OUE Commercial | 0.52 | 0.6 | Buy | |
04/10/19 | CIMB | OUE Commercial | 0.51 | 0.57 | Hold | |
05/10/19 | CIMB | OUE Commercial | 0.5 | 0.57 | Hold |
Stock calls for 4 September 2019
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
09/04/19 | DMG & Partners | Breadtalk | 0.65 | 0.67 | Neutral | Sum of parts, EV/Ebitda7.64x |
09/04/19 | DBS Vickers | Comfortdelgro | 2.46 | 2.59 | Hold | |
09/04/19 | UOB Kay Hian | CSE Global | 0.455 | 0.65 | Buy | PER15x FY19 |
09/04/19 | DMG & Partners | CSE Global | 0.455 | 0.69 | Buy | DCF, PER11.9x FY20 |
09/04/19 | Kim Eng | Wilmar | 3.8 | 3.89 | Hold | DCF |
The Hong Kong protestors are daft youngsters.
The HK stock market goes up almost 1,000 points today because the HK government is expected to announce the withdrawal of the extradition bill.
The HK protestors are daft youngsters because they exude stupidity beyond my comprehension. Why?
HK Lam announced that the extradition bill was dead in July 2019 which meant that it couldn't be resuscitated. In other words, she meant it to be scrapped and gave the protestors more than what they had bargained for. The law is very specific and must not be a subject of contention. However, the protestors didn't understand the legality of the term and insisted on withdrawal in which the bill could be reintroduced in the future. This is the stupidity that I cannot comprehend.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/hong-kong-protests-carrie-lam-extradition-bill-dead-withdraw-11703542
The HK protestors had shortchanged themselves unknowingly and the stock investors joined in without a proper understanding of the legal term.
By withdrawing the bill, the HK government can rehash and reintroduce the bill later and this will create an overhang among the protestors. Therefore, the HK protests won't stop even after this withdrawal announcement.
The HK protestors are daft youngsters because they exude stupidity beyond my comprehension. Why?
HK Lam announced that the extradition bill was dead in July 2019 which meant that it couldn't be resuscitated. In other words, she meant it to be scrapped and gave the protestors more than what they had bargained for. The law is very specific and must not be a subject of contention. However, the protestors didn't understand the legality of the term and insisted on withdrawal in which the bill could be reintroduced in the future. This is the stupidity that I cannot comprehend.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/hong-kong-protests-carrie-lam-extradition-bill-dead-withdraw-11703542
The HK protestors had shortchanged themselves unknowingly and the stock investors joined in without a proper understanding of the legal term.
By withdrawing the bill, the HK government can rehash and reintroduce the bill later and this will create an overhang among the protestors. Therefore, the HK protests won't stop even after this withdrawal announcement.
ISM PMI analysis for the US economy in August 2019.
The ISM PMI is in a contraction mode now at 49.1 and this is lower than China's PMI (49.5). China's PMI is at the doldrum already and is ready to expand soon but the US PMI is still sliding after 5 consecutive months.
The US was unable to export to China because of the high tariffs and this caused the new export order to decline further. However, the frontloading by the US consumers prior to the 1 Sept tariffs was helping to hold up the new local order. I don't see the rise to be sustainable as consumer demand is elastic.
The reduction in new orders is causing declines in customers' inventories, production, employment and supplier's deliveries.
The high tariffs were affecting imports and the producers were turning to local raw materials which were cheaper.
This is a very bad PMI report as many sub-indexes are in the red. The next GDP figure will be very bad despite the US recent revision to 2% from 2.1%.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/ism-pmi-analysis-for-us-economy-in-july.html
The US was unable to export to China because of the high tariffs and this caused the new export order to decline further. However, the frontloading by the US consumers prior to the 1 Sept tariffs was helping to hold up the new local order. I don't see the rise to be sustainable as consumer demand is elastic.
The reduction in new orders is causing declines in customers' inventories, production, employment and supplier's deliveries.
The high tariffs were affecting imports and the producers were turning to local raw materials which were cheaper.
This is a very bad PMI report as many sub-indexes are in the red. The next GDP figure will be very bad despite the US recent revision to 2% from 2.1%.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/ism-pmi-analysis-for-us-economy-in-july.html
Tuesday, September 3, 2019
OUE - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/28/19 | OCBC | OUE | 1.66 | 2.32 | Buy | |
04/17/19 | OCBC | OUE | 1.79 | 2.32 | Buy |
OCBC - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/03/19 | CIMB | OCBC | 11.1 | 14 | Add | PER10.8x FY20 |
01/04/19 | UOB Kay Hian | OCBC | 11.03 | 14.05 | Buy | |
01/08/19 | UOB Kay Hian | OCBC | 11.37 | 13.82 | Buy | |
01/31/19 | Kim Eng | OCBC | 11.39 | 10.95 | Hold | DDM |
02/01/19 | phillip | OCBC | 11.51 | 13.7 | Buy | GGM, PB1.4x FY19 |
02/08/19 | UOB Kay Hian | OCBC | 11.49 | 13.82 | Buy | |
02/13/19 | Kim Eng | OCBC | 11.41 | 10.95 | Hold | |
02/25/19 | CIMB | OCBC | 11.39 | 12 | Hold | PB1.2x CY19 |
02/25/19 | UOB Kay Hian | OCBC | 11.39 | 13.85 | Buy | |
02/25/19 | DBS Vickers | OCBC | 11.39 | 12.9 | Buy | GGM, PB1.2x FY19 |
02/25/19 | Kim Eng | OCBC | 11.39 | 10.73 | Hold | DDM |
02/27/19 | Macquarie | OCBC | 11.2 | 13 | Outperform | PB |
03/04/19 | phillip | OCBC | 11.1 | 13.7 | Buy | |
03/07/19 | Kim Eng | OCBC | 11.22 | 10.73 | Hold | |
03/11/19 | CIMB | OCBC | 11.05 | 12 | Hold | |
03/26/19 | UOB Kay Hian | OCBC | 10.99 | 13.85 | Buy | |
04/02/19 | phillip | OCBC | 11.21 | 13.7 | Buy | |
04/02/19 | DBS Vickers | OCBC | 11.21 | 12.9 | Buy | |
04/11/19 | CIMB | OCBC | 11.72 | 12 | Hold | |
04/22/19 | DMG & Partners | OCBC | 11.77 | 12.2 | Neutral | PB1.12x FY20, Up from $10.96 |
04/23/19 | Kim Eng | OCBC | 11.78 | 10.73 | Hold | |
04/24/19 | UOB Kay Hian | OCBC | 11.83 | 14.12 | Buy | GGM, PB1.39x FY19 |
05/03/19 | phillip | OCBC | 12.04 | 13.7 | Buy | |
05/10/19 | DMG & Partners | OCBC | 11.31 | 12.2 | Neutral | PB1.12x FY20 |
05/10/19 | CIMB | OCBC | 11.31 | 12 | Hold | |
05/13/19 | Macquarie | OCBC | 11.39 | 13 | Outperform | |
05/13/19 | phillip | OCBC | 11.39 | 12.68 | Accumulate | GGM, PB1.3x FY19 |
05/13/19 | UOB Kay Hian | OCBC | 11.39 | 14.62 | Buy | GGM, PB1.42x FY19 |
05/13/19 | CIMB | OCBC | 11.39 | 12.59 | Hold | GGM, PB1.26x |
05/22/19 | Kim Eng | OCBC | 11.09 | 11.07 | Hold | |
06/03/19 | CIMB | OCBC | 10.57 | 12.59 | Hold | |
06/06/19 | phillip | OCBC | 10.63 | 12.7 | Accumulate | |
06/13/19 | UOB Kay Hian | OCBC | 10.8 | 14.62 | Buy | |
06/17/19 | Kim Eng | OCBC | 10.78 | 11.07 | Hold | |
06/25/19 | DBS Vickers | OCBC | 11.28 | 11.5 | Hold | GGM, PB1.1x FY20 |
07/01/19 | UOB Kay Hian | OCBC | 11.4 | 14.62 | Buy | |
07/02/19 | Kim Eng | OCBC | 11.59 | 11.07 | Hold | |
07/03/19 | phillip | OCBC | 11.54 | 12.7 | Accumulate | |
07/08/19 | DMG & Partners | OCBC | 11.39 | 12.2 | Neutral | GGM, PB1.12x FY20 |
07/23/19 | DBS Vickers | OCBC | 11.64 | 11.5 | Hold | |
08/02/19 | Lim & Tan | OCBC | 11.42 | 0 | Buy on weakness | |
08/05/19 | phillip | OCBC | 11.21 | 12.5 | Accumulate | GGM, PB1.3x |
08/05/19 | DMG & Partners | OCBC | 11.21 | 11.8 | Neutral | GGM, PB1.1x FY20 |
08/05/19 | UOB Kay Hian | OCBC | 11.21 | 14.48 | Buy | GGM, PB1.4x FY19 |
08/05/19 | DBS Vickers | OCBC | 11.21 | 11.5 | Hold | GGM, PB1.1x FY20 |
08/06/19 | CIMB | OCBC | 11.08 | 12.59 | Hold | GGM, PB1.3x |
08/06/19 | Kim Eng | OCBC | 11.08 | 11.05 | Hold | DDM |
08/20/19 | DMG & Partners | OCBC | 10.71 | 11.5 | Neutral | GGM, PB1.07x FY20 |
08/21/19 | CIMB | OCBC | 10.69 | 12.53 | Hold | |
09/02/19 | phillip | OCBC | 10.65 | 12.32 | Accumulate | GGM |
Netlink - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/02/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Netlink | 0.765 | 0.99 | Buy | DCF |
01/02/19 | Kim Eng | Netlink | 0.765 | 0.93 | Buy | |
01/15/19 | DBS Vickers | Netlink | 0.77 | 0.87 | Buy | DCF |
02/07/19 | Kim Eng | Netlink | 0.785 | 0.93 | Buy | DDM, PER38.8x FY21 |
02/08/19 | DBS Vickers | Netlink | 0.79 | 0.87 | Buy | DCF, PER32.6x FY21 |
02/08/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Netlink | 0.79 | 0.99 | Buy | |
02/15/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Netlink | 0.805 | 0.92 | Buy | DCF, PER40x FY21 |
02/18/19 | OCBC | Netlink | 0.805 | 0.9 | Buy | |
03/15/19 | OCBC | Netlink | 0.795 | 0.9 | Buy | |
03/27/19 | Phillip | Netlink | 0.825 | 0.89 | Accumulate | DCF |
04/01/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Netlink | 0.83 | 0.92 | Buy | |
04/01/19 | Kim Eng | Netlink | 0.83 | 0.93 | Buy | |
05/07/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Netlink | 0.825 | 0.92 | Buy | DCF |
05/09/19 | DBS Vickers | Netlink | 0.82 | 0.87 | Buy | |
05/15/19 | OCBC | Netlink | 0.835 | 0.95 | Buy | |
05/15/19 | DBS Vickers | Netlink | 0.835 | 0.9 | Buy | DCF |
05/15/19 | Phillip | Netlink | 0.835 | 0.93 | Accumulate | DCF |
05/15/19 | Kim Eng | Netlink | 0.835 | 0.94 | Buy | DDM |
06/03/19 | Phillip | Netlink | 0.83 | 0.93 | Buy | DCF |
06/06/19 | DBS Vickers | Netlink | 0.825 | 0.9 | Buy | |
06/12/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Netlink | 0.835 | 0.97 | Buy | |
06/27/19 | Kim Eng | Netlink | 0.89 | 0.94 | Buy | |
07/15/19 | Phillip | Netlink | 0.88 | 0.93 | Accumulate | DCF |
07/17/19 | Kim Eng | Netlink | 0.885 | 0.94 | Buy | |
08/06/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Netlink | 0.88 | 0.92 | Buy | DCF |
08/06/19 | Phillip | Netlink | 0.88 | 0.93 | Accumulate | DCF |
08/07/19 | Kim Eng | Netlink | 0.865 | 0.94 | Buy | DDM |
08/07/19 | DBS Vickers | Netlink | 0.865 | 0.95 | Buy | DCF |
Stock calls for 3 September 2019
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
09/03/19 | DMG & Partners | Breadtalk | 0.665 | 0.71 | Neutral | |
09/03/19 | Lim & Tan | CSE Global | 0.44 | 0 | Buy | |
09/03/19 | Phillip | Micro-Mechanics | 1.59 | 1.6 | Neutral | PER15x FY20 |
09/03/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Sembcorp Marine | 1.16 | 1.22 | Hold | |
09/03/19 | DMG & Partners | Sembcorp Marine | 1.16 | 1.63 | Buy | PB1.48x FY20 |
09/03/19 | OCBC | Soilbuild Reit | 0.55 | 0.58 | Accept offer |
Monday, September 2, 2019
Nera Telecom - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
03/04/19 | Lim & Tan | Nera Telecom | 0.285 | 0 | Buy |
Moya Asia - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/07/19 | DMG & Partners | Moya Asia | 0.06 | 0.11 | Buy | |
02/13/19 | DMG & Partners | Moya Asia | 0.082 | 0.11 | Buy | DCF |
03/05/19 | DMG & Partners | Moya Asia | 0.077 | 0.11 | Buy | DCF |
05/02/19 | DMG & Partners | Moya Asia | 0.081 | 0.095 | Buy | |
06/06/19 | DMG & Partners | Moya Asia | 0.076 | 0.1 | Buy | |
08/20/19 | DMG & Partners | Moya Asia | 0.068 | 0.083 | Buy | DCF |
MM2 Asia - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/14/19 | DBS Vickers | MM2 Asia | 0.3 | 0.33 | Hold | Sum of parts |
02/21/19 | CIMB | MM2 Asia | 0.3 | 0.37 | Add | Sum of parts |
02/21/19 | Kim Eng | MM2 Asia | 0.3 | 0.34 | Buy | PEG0.93x |
03/26/19 | Kim Eng | MM2 Asia | 0.315 | 0.34 | Buy | PEG0.93x |
05/31/19 | DBS Vickers | MM2 Asia | 0.24 | 0.34 | Buy | Sum of parts, PER16x FY20 |
06/04/19 | Kim Eng | MM2 Asia | 0.245 | 0.26 | Hold | |
07/19/19 | DBS Vickers | MM2 Asia | 0.23 | 0.34 | Buy | PER16x FY20 |
08/15/19 | DBS Vickers | MM2 Asia | 0.197 | 0.29 | Buy | Sum of parts |
08/20/19 | Kim Eng | MM2 Asia | 0.186 | 0.2 | Hold | PEG1x |
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