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Saturday, September 18, 2010

DBS - How is this bank stock performing?

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/05/10 CIMB DBS 14.2 16.28 Neutral PB1.4x
02/08/10 CIMB DBS 14.04 14.88 Underperform PB1.3x
04/30/10 CIMB DBS 15.3 14.88 Underperform
05/06/10 CIMB DBS 14.64 14.88 Underperform
05/18/10 CIMB DBS 14.36 14.88 Underperform
06/03/10 CIMB DBS 13.52 13.97 Underperform PB1.23x
07/30/10 CIMB DBS 14.5 13.97 Underperform PB1.23x
08/02/10 CIMB DBS 14.4 14.03 Underperform PB1.28x
08/05/10 CIMB DBS 14.5 14.03 Underperform PB1.28x

01/27/10 DMG & Partners DBS 14.7 14 Neutral BV1.3x
02/05/10 DMG & Partners DBS 14.2 14 Neutral
03/31/10 DMG & Partners DBS 14.56 14 Neutral
04/30/10 DMG & Partners DBS 15.3 14 Neutral PB1.3x
05/07/10 DMG & Partners DBS 14.36 13.6 Neutral PB1.25x
05/10/10 DMG & Partners DBS 14.36 13.6 Neutral PB1.25x
05/11/10 DMG & Partners DBS 14.36 13.6 Neutral PB1.25x
06/01/10 DMG & Partners DBS 13.78 13.6 Neutral
07/15/10 DMG & Partners DBS 14.78 13.6 Neutral
07/30/10 DMG & Partners DBS 14.5 13.6 Neutral
08/02/10 DMG & Partners DBS 14.4 13.4 Neutral PB1.25x
08/05/10 DMG & Partners DBS 14.4 13.4 Neutral PB1.25x

02/08/10 Kim Eng DBS 14.04 17.4 Buy PB1.5x
03/08/10 Kim Eng DBS 14.06 17.4 Buy PB1.5x
05/10/10 Kim Eng DBS 14.36 17.8 Buy PB1.58x
08/02/10 Kim Eng DBS 14.4 17.4 Buy PB1.58x

06/07/10 Lim & Tan DBS 13.78 0 Buy
07/30/10 Lim & Tan DBS 14.5 0 Buy

02/02/10 OCBC DBS 14.16 16.6 Buy PB1.5x
02/08/10 OCBC DBS 14.04 16.6 Buy
05/10/10 OCBC DBS 14.36 16.6 Buy
09/02/10 OCBC DBS 13.88 16 Buy

01/19/10 phillip DBS 15.14 14.55 Hold NAV1.31x
02/08/10 phillip DBS 14.04 14.55 Hold NAV1.32x, Gordon Growth Model
05/03/10 phillip DBS 15.3 14.55 Hold Gordon Growth Model
05/10/10 phillip DBS 14.36 14.55 Hold Gordon Growth Model
08/02/10 phillip DBS 14.4 14.55 Hold

Friday, September 17, 2010

Datapulse - Lim & Tan upgraded this stock.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

03/03/10 Lim & Tan Datapulse 0.235 0 Sell
09/13/10 Lim & Tan Datapulse 0.215 0 Neutral

Dapai - CIMB had ceased coverage on this stock

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

08/13/10 CIMB Dapai 0.23 0.36 Outperform PER5x, Cease coverage

Thursday, September 16, 2010

Baltic Dry Index - 2940!

Quote:

The index dropped 1.2 per cent, the most since Aug 26, to 2,940 points, according to the Baltic Exchange in London.

End Quote

Dairy Farm - Hold call by citigroup

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

03/29/10 Citigroup Dairy Farm 6.53 6.7 Hold

CWT - A good warehousing & logistical stock to invest in?

04/13/10 CIMB CWT 1.09 1 Underperform PER14x
05/07/10 CIMB CWT 0.9 1.03 Neutral PER14x
05/18/10 CIMB CWT 0.96 1.03 Neutral
06/11/10 CIMB CWT 0.88 1.03 Outperform PER14x
08/06/10 CIMB CWT 1.01 1.03 Neutral PER14x

01/28/10 DMG & Partners CWT 0.875 1.19 Buy PER16.6x
03/19/10 DMG & Partners CWT 1.04 1.19 Buy
05/10/10 DMG & Partners CWT 0.87 1.1 Buy PER18.1x
07/20/10 DMG & Partners CWT 0.91 1.1 Buy PER18x
08/06/10 DMG & Partners CWT 1.01 1.16 Buy PER16.6x

01/26/10 Kim Eng CWT 0.895 1.08 Buy PER15x
02/02/10 Kim Eng CWT 0.93 1.23 Buy
02/26/10 Kim Eng CWT 0.9 1.32 Buy PER18x
03/25/10 Kim Eng CWT 1.07 1.3 Buy
05/07/10 Kim Eng CWT 0.895 1.25 Buy PER18x
08/06/10 Kim Eng CWT 1.01 1.4 Buy Sum of parts
09/06/10 Kim Eng CWT 0.91 1.34 Buy

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

CSE Global - Buy calls from CIMB & DBS Vickers

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

01/07/10 CIMB CSE Global 0.96 1.37 Outperform PER11x
02/26/10 CIMB CSE Global 0.88 1.37 Outperform PER11x
03/25/10 CIMB CSE Global 0.97 1.42 Outperform PER11x
04/05/10 CIMB CSE Global 1.02 1.42 Outperform PER11x
04/08/10 CIMB CSE Global 1.16 1.55 Outperform PER12x
04/15/10 CIMB CSE Global 1.19 1.55 Outperform PER12x
05/10/10 CIMB CSE Global 0.95 1.55 Outperform PER12x
05/14/10 CIMB CSE Global 1.01 1.55 Outperform
05/18/10 CIMB CSE Global 0.98 1.55 Outperform
05/18/10 CIMB CSE Global 1 1.55 Outperform
05/31/10 CIMB CSE Global 0.865 1.55 Outperform PER12x
08/12/10 CIMB CSE Global 0.94 1.55 Outperform PER12x

01/04/10 DBS Vickers CSE Global 0.85 1.18 Buy
02/26/10 DBS Vickers CSE Global 0.88 1.18 Buy PER12.5x
03/25/10 DBS Vickers CSE Global 0.97 1.25 Buy PER11x
05/11/10 DBS Vickers CSE Global 0.98 1.27 Buy PER12x
08/12/10 DBS Vickers CSE Global 0.935 1.27 Buy PER12x

CSC - DMG supports this stock!

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/09/10 DMG & Partners CSC 0.16 0.29 Buy PER12x
04/07/10 DMG & Partners CSC 0.165 0.29 Buy
04/19/10 DMG & Partners CSC 0.175 0.29 Buy PER12x
05/24/10 DMG & Partners CSC 0.155 0.265 Buy PER12x
06/17/10 DMG & Partners CSC 0.16 0.265 Buy
07/01/10 DMG & Partners CSC 0.155 0.265 Buy
08/12/10 DMG & Partners CSC 0.16 0.265 Buy PER12x

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Creative Tech - Not creative anymore?

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/04/10 DBS Vickers Creative Tech 5.93 5.46 Hold PB1x
08/10/10 DBS Vickers Creative Tech 4.01 3.51 Fully Valued PB0.8x

05/06/10 Lim & Tan Creative Tech 5.03 0 Sell

Cosco - Not as promising as before?

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/23/10 AmFraser Cosco 1.28 1.17 Hold PER17x
03/08/10 AmFraser Cosco 1.21 1.17 Hold PER17x

02/23/10 CIMB Cosco 1.28 0.67 Underperform Sum of parts
03/15/10 CIMB Cosco 1.23 0.87 Underperform Sum of parts
06/03/10 CIMB Cosco 1.33 1.41 Underperform Sum of parts
06/16/10 CIMB Cosco 1.45 1.24 Underperform Sum of parts
07/23/10 CIMB Cosco 1.61 1.24 Underperform Sum of parts
08/03/10 CIMB Cosco 1.68 1.41 Underperform

01/08/10 DBS Vickers Cosco 1.26 0.78 Fully Valued
02/23/10 DBS Vickers Cosco 1.28 1 Fully Valued Sum of parts
04/07/10 DBS Vickers Cosco 1.35 1.6 Buy Sum of parts
04/13/10 DBS Vickers Cosco 1.65 1.8 Buy Sum of parts
04/16/10 DBS Vickers Cosco 1.75 1.8 Buy
05/07/10 DBS Vickers Cosco 1.56 1.8 Buy Sum of parts
06/16/10 DBS Vickers Cosco 1.45 1.8 Buy Sum of parts
06/18/10 DBS Vickers Cosco 1.5 1.8 Buy Sum of parts
07/23/10 DBS Vickers Cosco 1.61 1.8 Buy Sum of parts
08/02/10 DBS Vickers Cosco 1.64 1.8 Buy
08/03/10 DBS Vickers Cosco 1.68 1.88 Buy Sum of parts

02/23/10 Kim Eng Cosco 1.28 0.81 Sell PB1.7x
03/16/10 Kim Eng Cosco 1.25 0.81 Sell
04/20/10 Kim Eng Cosco 1.79 1.17 Sell PB2.4x
04/21/10 Kim Eng Cosco 1.79 1.17 Sell PB2.5x
06/16/10 Kim Eng Cosco 1.45 1.44 Hold PB3x
07/06/10 Kim Eng Cosco 1.45 1.44 Hold BV3x
07/23/10 Kim Eng Cosco 1.61 2.1 Buy BV4.2x
08/03/10 Kim Eng Cosco 1.68 2.1 Buy PB4.2x
08/05/10 Kim Eng Cosco 1.63 2.1 Buy

02/23/10 phillip Cosco 1.28 1.03 Sell BV2.01x
03/16/10 phillip Cosco 1.25 1.45 Buy PB2.8x
05/07/10 phillip Cosco 1.56 1.86 Buy BV3.6x
07/01/10 phillip Cosco 1.49 1.65 Hold BV3.2x
08/03/10 phillip Cosco 1.68 1.65 Hold

A perfect storm is brewing in Europe!

A country is on the verge of bankrupt in Europe in the near future. Why?

When a country is having a recession, colossal debts, very high unemployment (around 20%) and draconian austerity measures, the only ensuing outcome would be a total collapse as all these factors are a perfect recipe for bankruptcy.

Any economist would know that austerity measures are only meant for overheating economies, not for those in recession and especially for country with high unemployment.  Having austerity measures will mean that the country doesn't encourage investments and business expansions which in turn will not reduce high unemployment rate.  More businesses are expected to close down and unemployment rate will spiral up which will engender into a vicious cycle.  Under these conditions, there will be more protests in the country.

When this country collapses, the banking industry will suffer a direct blow which will cause people to lose faith in banks and/or financial instruments. All these will cause another financial crisis to resurface and some banks will go bankrupt too.  Maybe more than 1 country in Europe will turn belly up when this happens.

I am not here to talk down on the market but I leave it to the smart investors like you to ponder on what I have said so far.  Just remember "Caveat Emptor"!

Monday, September 13, 2010

Contel - Sell at all cost as it is insolvent!

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

06/17/10 Lim & Tan Contel 0.01 0 Sell Insolvent

Comfortdelgro - A good defensive stock?

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

01/27/10 AmFraser Comfortdelgro 1.61 1.89 Buy
04/21/10 AmFraser Comfortdelgro 1.59 1.9 Buy
05/18/10 AmFraser Comfortdelgro 1.5 1.89 Buy
08/16/10 AmFraser Comfortdelgro 1.57 1.89 Buy

02/11/10 CIMB Comfortdelgro 1.57 1.73 Underperform DCF (10% discount)
04/21/10 CIMB Comfortdelgro 1.59 1.73 Underperform DCF
05/17/10 CIMB Comfortdelgro 1.49 1.73 Underperform DCF (10% discount)
05/18/10 CIMB Comfortdelgro 1.49 1.73 Underperform
08/16/10 CIMB Comfortdelgro 1.55 1.83 Outperform DCF

05/17/10 DBS Vickers Comfortdelgro 1.49 1.64 Hold DCF, PER15x
08/17/10 DBS Vickers Comfortdelgro 1.55 1.65 Hold

02/10/10 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 1.57 1.78 Buy DCF, PER16.5x
02/11/10 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 1.57 1.78 Neutral DCF, PER16.5x
04/01/10 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 1.57 1.78 Buy
05/03/10 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 1.57 1.78 Buy PER13x
05/14/10 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 1.49 1.78 Buy DCF
05/17/10 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 1.49 1.78 Buy DCF
06/01/10 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 1.45 1.78 Buy
06/21/10 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 1.45 1.78 Buy
08/02/10 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 1.6 1.78 Buy
08/16/10 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 1.55 1.78 Buy DCF
08/17/10 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 1.55 1.78 Buy
09/03/10 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 1.53 1.78 Buy

02/11/10 Kim Eng Comfortdelgro 1.57 1.72 Hold
04/21/10 Kim Eng Comfortdelgro 1.59 1.72 Hold
05/17/10 Kim Eng Comfortdelgro 1.49 1.87 Buy PER17x
07/19/10 Kim Eng Comfortdelgro 1.51 1.87 Buy PER17x
08/16/10 Kim Eng Comfortdelgro 1.55 1.87 Buy PER17x

03/18/10 phillip Comfortdelgro 1.58 1.68 Hold
05/17/10 phillip Comfortdelgro 1.49 1.73 Buy DCF
06/04/10 phillip Comfortdelgro 1.41 1.73 Buy
08/12/10 phillip Comfortdelgro 1.58 1.73 Hold
08/16/10 phillip Comfortdelgro 1.55 1.75 Buy

Saturday, September 11, 2010

CitySpring - Is Spring coming?

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/17/10 DBS Vickers CitySpring 0.62 0.62 Hold DDM
05/25/10 DBS Vickers CitySpring 0.595 0.67 Buy DDM

02/17/10 Kim Eng CitySpring 0.615 0.69 Buy

01/05/10 OCBC CitySpring 0.595 0.68 Buy DDM
02/12/10 OCBC CitySpring 0.61 0.68 Buy DDM
05/25/10 OCBC CitySpring 0.595 0.6 Hold DDM
06/24/10 OCBC CitySpring 0.595 0.6 Hold DDM

City Developments - Confusing analysts or confusing market?

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

05/13/10 AmFraser City Developments 10.86 12.72 Buy RNAV
08/13/10 AmFraser City Developments 12 13.82 Buy RNAV
08/30/10 AmFraser City Developments 11.96 13.82 Buy

01/11/10 CIMB City Developments 11.78 12.04 Neutral RNAV (10% premium)
02/05/10 CIMB City Developments 10.64 12.16 Neutral RNAV (10% premium)
04/16/10 CIMB City Developments 11.46 12.16 Neutral
05/10/10 CIMB City Developments 10.46 12.16 Neutral
05/18/10 CIMB City Developments 10.48 12.09 neutral
05/20/10 CIMB City Developments 10.4 11.46 Neutral RNAV
06/14/10 CIMB City Developments 10.82 11.46 Neutral
06/15/10 CIMB City Developments 10.9 11.46 Neutral

07/20/10 Credit Suisse City Developments 11.4 13.18 Outperform

02/26/10 DBS Vickers City Developments 10.34 11.38 Hold RNAV (15% premium)
03/08/10 DBS Vickers City Developments 10.36 11.38 Hold
03/16/10 DBS Vickers City Developments 10.66 11.85 Buy RNAV (15% premium)
03/30/10 DBS Vickers City Developments 10.98 11.85 Buy
04/08/10 DBS Vickers City Developments 11.4 11.85 Buy
05/13/10 DBS Vickers City Developments 10.86 12.04 Buy RNAV (15% premium)
06/16/10 DBS Vickers City Developments 10.9 12.04 Hold
07/16/10 DBS Vickers City Developments 11.34 12.04 Buy
08/13/10 DBS Vickers City Developments 12 12.52 Hold RNAV (15% premium)

02/05/10 DMG & Partners City Developments 10.64 12.44 Buy RNAV (20% premium)
02/26/10 DMG & Partners City Developments 10.34 12.44 Buy RNAV (20% premium)
03/15/10 DMG & Partners City Developments 10.46 12.44 Buy
04/06/10 DMG & Partners City Developments 10.98 12.44 Buy RNAV (20% premium)
04/16/10 DMG & Partners City Developments 11.46 12.44 Buy
04/23/10 DMG & Partners City Developments 11 12.45 Buy RNAV (20% premium)
04/28/10 DMG & Partners City Developments 10.86 12.48 Buy RNAV (20% premium)
05/13/10 DMG & Partners City Developments 10.86 12.48 Buy RNAV (20% premium)
06/01/10 DMG & Partners City Developments 10.28 12.48 Buy
08/12/10 DMG & Partners City Developments 11.92 10.6 Neutral RNAV
08/13/10 DMG & Partners City Developments 11.92 10.6 Neutral RNAV

01/06/10 Kim Eng City Developments 12.04 12.42 Hold RNAV (15% premium)
02/26/10 Kim Eng City Developments 10.34 12.65 Buy RNAV (15% premium)
04/14/10 Kim Eng City Developments 11.22 11.39 Buy RNAV (15% premium)
05/13/10 Kim Eng City Developments 10.86 13.2 Buy RNAV (15% premium)
06/23/10 Kim Eng City Developments 10.9 13.2 Buy RNAV (15% premium)
08/13/10 Kim Eng City Developments 12 13.8 Buy RNAV (15% premium)

01/18/10 Lim & Tan City Developments 11.66 0 Buy
02/25/10 Lim & Tan City Developments 10.32 0 Buy
05/13/10 Lim & Tan City Developments 10.86 0 Buy
07/14/10 Lim & Tan City Developments 10.88 0 Buy
08/12/10 Lim & Tan City Developments 11.92 0 Buy

02/01/10 OCBC City Developments 10.72 10.43 Hold
02/08/10 OCBC City Developments 10.38 10.46 Hold RNAV
03/03/10 OCBC City Developments 10.18 10.95 Hold
03/12/10 OCBC City Developments 10.32 10.95 Hold
04/05/10 OCBC City Developments 10.86 10.95 Hold
04/30/10 OCBC City Developments 10.7 11 Hold RNAV
06/03/10 OCBC City Developments 10.24 11.11 Hold RNAV
06/07/10 OCBC City Developments 10.64 11.11 Hold RNAV
06/16/10 OCBC City Developments 10.9 11.11 Hold
07/05/10 OCBC City Developments 11.02 11.11 Hold
07/15/10 OCBC City Developments 11.04 11.16 Hold RNAV
07/16/10 OCBC City Developments 11.34 11.16 Hold
08/12/10 OCBC City Developments 11.92 11.16 Hold, Under Review RNAV

Friday, September 10, 2010

Chip Eng Seng - Buy call from Westcomb

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

03/25/10 Westcomb Chip Eng Seng 0.39 0.53 Buy Sum of parts

China Zaino - Outperform call by CIMB

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/25/10 CIMB China Zaino 0.24 0.34 Outperform PER4x
04/26/10 CIMB China Zaino 0.29 0.36 Outperform PER5x
04/29/10 CIMB China Zaino 0.27 0.36 Outperform PER5x

Thursday, September 9, 2010

China XLX Fertiliser - Buy calls from CIMB & DBS Vickers

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

01/08/10 CIMB China XLX Fertiliser 0.67 0.72 Neutral PER12x
02/24/10 CIMB China XLX Fertiliser 0.52 0.72 Outperform PER12x
03/18/10 CIMB China XLX Fertiliser 0.58 0.72 Outperform PER7x
03/29/10 CIMB China XLX Fertiliser 0.575 0.72 Outperform
04/28/10 CIMB China XLX Fertiliser 0.58 0.72 Outperform PER7x
05/21/10 CIMB China XLX Fertiliser 0.52 0.72 Outperform PER7x
06/10/10 CIMB China XLX Fertiliser 0.495 0.72 Outperform PER7x
07/29/10 CIMB China XLX Fertiliser 0.53 0.72 Outperform PER7x

01/04/10 DBS Vickers China XLX Fertiliser 0.68 0.35 Fully Valued
01/08/10 DBS Vickers China XLX Fertiliser 0.67 0.35 Fully Valued
02/24/10 DBS Vickers China XLX Fertiliser 0.52 0.54 Hold PER12x
07/30/10 DBS Vickers China XLX Fertiliser 0.53 0.68 Buy PER14x

China Sunsine - A shinning stock?

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

05/03/10 AmFraser China Sunsine 0.245 0.405 Buy
08/02/10 AmFraser China Sunsine 0.255 0.46 Buy

01/07/10 phillip China Sunsine 0.235 0.34 Buy PER7.5x
03/01/10 phillip China Sunsine 0.235 0.34 Buy PER7.5x
04/30/10 phillip China Sunsine 0.25 0.34 Buy PER7.5x
08/04/10 phillip China Sunsine 0.245 0.35 Buy PER7.5x

Wednesday, September 8, 2010

Market analysis for Singapore (Straits Times)

The chart above dated on 08/09/10 shows that investors have been pulling funds out from the market but the straits times index is still at a relatively high level.  This doesn't bode well for the market as there are lesser and lesser investors in the market and the market is only supported by institutional funds.  The institutional investors are now stucked in the market as there are lesser investors to buy stocks from them.  If any unexpected event were to happen, these institutional funds would just sell their stocks at low prices which would cause a big tsunami and STI would have a big crash.  Buyers beware!