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Tuesday, July 21, 2026

Red alert: The AI bloodbath is not over yet!

The US has just announced that it can sanction China AI companies for distillation theft.  Why is the real reason for the US to do this?

The truth is not to punish China for the distillation theft but the US is losing the AI competition to China.  The US AI industry will collapse when more americans are using China AI (see below) because many americans won't pay for the higher prices of US AI when the cheaper or free China AI is on par or better (look at the below chart).

Therefore, there will be heavy knee-jerk reactions to the AI stocks when the US and China start to sanction each other.  Let's watch how this will unfold.

The Iran war situation report. - Part 90


Just as we've projected in Part 89, Iran will outlast the US and the US can't defeat Iran.

The US is facing huge difficulties to sustain this illegal Iran war because it is running out of cash and missiles.

Trump will be compelled to reinstate the ceasefire deal to replenish its missiles in the middle east and also to buy more time to get more Iran war money from the congress.

Furthermore, Saudi is facing maritime blockage imposed by Houthis in the red sea.  This will reduce crude oil exports via the red sea and also will push up the crude oil prices.

Capitaland Investment - Stock calls


Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

08/13/25

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Investment

2.75

3.42

Buy


08/13/25

Citi Research

Capitaland Investment

2.75

3.4

Buy


08/15/25

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Investment

2.72

3.49

Buy

Sum of parts

08/15/25

DBS Vickers

Capitaland Investment

2.72

3.65

Buy

Sum of parts

08/15/25

CIMB

Capitaland Investment

2.72

4.3

Add

RNAV

08/15/25

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Investment

2.72

3.38

Buy


08/18/25

Phillip

Capitaland Investment

2.7

3.65

Buy

Sum of parts

09/25/25

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Investment

2.68

3.4

Buy


10/17/25

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Investment

2.65

3.39

Buy


11/04/25

DBS Vickers

Capitaland Investment

2.66

3.65

Buy

Sum of parts

11/07/25

CIMB

Capitaland Investment

2.65

4.3

Add

RNAV

11/07/25

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Investment

2.65

3.41

Buy


11/10/25

Phillip

Capitaland Investment

2.68

3.65

Buy

Sum of parts

11/14/25

Kim Eng

Capitaland Investment

2.69

3.3

Buy

Sum of parts

11/25/25

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Investment

2.63

3.39

Buy


12/08/25

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Investment

2.61

3.39

Buy


12/23/25

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Investment

2.67

3.5

Accumulate


01/05/26

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Investment

2.74

3.49

Buy

Sum of parts

01/07/26

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Investment

2.76

3.39

Accumulate


01/08/26

DBS Vickers

Capitaland Investment

2.78

3.65

Buy

Sum of parts

02/10/26

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Investment

3.16

3.3

Hold


02/11/26

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Investment

3.17

3.49

Buy

Sum of parts

02/11/26

DBS Vickers

Capitaland Investment

3.17

3.65

Buy

Sum of parts

02/12/26

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Investment

3.06

4.05

Buy

Sum of parts

02/12/26

CIMB

Capitaland Investment

3.06

4.19

Add

RNAV

02/12/26

CIMB

Capitaland Investment

3.06

3.4

Buy

RNAV (20% disc)

02/16/26

Phillip

Capitaland Investment

3.12

3.69

Buy

Sum of parts

03/10/26

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Investment

2.82

4.05

Buy

Sum of parts

04/20/26

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Investment

2.85

3.5

Accumulate


04/29/26

DBS Vickers

Capitaland Investment

2.81

3.4

Buy

Sum of parts

04/30/26

Phillip

Capitaland Investment

2.8

3.69

Buy

Sum of parts

04/30/26

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Investment

2.8

3.93

Buy

Sum of parts

06/25/26

DBS Vickers

Capitaland Investment

2.51

3.4

Buy

Sum of parts

06/25/26

JPM

Capitaland Investment

2.51

4

Overweight




Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust - Stock calls


Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

08/01/25

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.2

2.72

Buy

DDM

08/06/25

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.24

2.79

Buy

DDM

08/06/25

CIMB

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.24

2.45

Add

DDM

08/06/25

DMG & Partners

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.24

2.44

Buy

DDM

08/26/25

DBS Vickers

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.26

2.5

Buy


09/01/25

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.28

2.79

Buy

DDM

10/13/25

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.34

2.79

Buy

DDM

10/28/25

DBS Vickers

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.41

2.5

Buy


10/29/25

CIMB

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.4

2.71

Add

DDM

10/30/25

DMG & Partners

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.41

2.44

Buy

DDM

11/25/25

DBS Vickers

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.36

2.5

Buy


11/26/25

DMG & Partners

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.37

2.69

Buy

DDM

12/17/25

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.33

0

Accumulate


12/22/25

DMG & Partners

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.34

2.69

Buy

DDM

01/07/26

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.39

2.54

Accumulate


01/15/26

DBS Vickers

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.42

2.5

Buy


01/19/26

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.42

2.56

Accumulate


02/06/26

DBS Vickers

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.38

2.5

Buy


02/06/26

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.38

2.84

Accumulate


02/09/26

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.45

2.95

Buy

DDM

02/09/26

DBS Vickers

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.45

2.8

Buy


02/09/26

Kim Eng

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.45

2.6

Buy


02/09/26

DMG & Partners

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.45

2.69

Buy

DDM

02/13/26

DMG & Partners

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.47

2.73

Buy

DDM

02/23/26

JPM

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.42

2.75

Buy

Up from $2.60

03/05/26

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.4

2.95

Buy

DDM

04/01/26

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.35

2.95

Buy

DDM

04/10/26

DMG & Partners

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.34

2.73

Buy

DDM

04/21/26

CIMB

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.39

2.74

Add

DDM

04/21/26

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.39

2.67

Accumulate


04/21/26

Citi Research

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.39

2.81

Buy

Sum of parts

05/04/26

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.36

2.95

Buy

DDM

05/19/26

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.25

3.06

Buy

DDM

06/02/26

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.27

3.06

Buy

DDM

06/11/26

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.33

2.7

Accumulate on weakness


06/29/26

DMG & Partners

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.4

2.75

Buy

DDM

07/01/26

Uob Kay Hian

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.37

3.06

Buy

DDM

07/01/26

Lim & Tan

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.37

0

Buy


07/09/26

CIMB

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.41

2.74

Add

DDM

07/15/26

DMG & Partners

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.43

2.75

Buy

DDM

07/21/26

DBS Vickers

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.45

2.8

Buy




Bumitama - Stock calls


Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

08/12/25

DBS Vickers

Bumitama

0.84

1.3

Buy

DCF

08/12/25

OCBC

Bumitama

0.84

1.05

Buy


08/13/25

Kim Eng

Bumitama

0.92

0.94

Buy


08/27/25

OCBC

Bumitama

1.12

1.2

Buy


08/28/25

OCBC

Bumitama

1.09

1.2

Hold


08/28/25

DMG & Partners

Bumitama

1.09

0.88

Neutral


08/28/25

UOB Kay Hian

Bumitama

1.09

0.9

Hold


09/22/25

DMG & Partners

Bumitama

1.13

1.1

Neutral


10/17/25

UOB Kay Hian

Bumitama

1.28

1.2

Hold

PER9.5x FY26

10/23/25

OCBC

Bumitama

1.33

1.3

Hold


10/23/25

DBS Vickers

Bumitama

1.33

1.9

Buy

DCF

11/14/25

UOB Kay Hian

Bumitama

1.48

1.4

Hold

PER11x FY26

11/14/25

DBS Vickers

Bumitama

1.48

1.9

Buy

PER16.4x FY26

01/14/26

DBS Vickers

Bumitama

1.3

1.9

Buy

PER16.4x FY26

02/27/26

OCBC

Bumitama

1.33

1.5

Buy


03/02/26

UOB Kay Hian

Bumitama

1.32

1.45

Buy

PER11x FY27

03/19/26

DBS Vickers

Bumitama

1.66

1.9

Buy

PER16.4x FY26

04/07/26

DBS Vickers

Bumitama

1.9

2.3

Buy

PER20.4x FY26

04/23/26

DMG & Partners

Bumitama

1.94

1.44

Sell


05/13/26

UOB Kay Hian

Bumitama

1.82

2.01

Buy

PER14x FY26

05/13/26

DBS Vickers

Bumitama

1.82

2.3

Buy

PER20.4x FY26

05/13/26

OCBC

Bumitama

1.82

2.2

Buy

PER

05/14/26

DMG & Partners

Bumitama

1.87

1.7

Neutral


06/15/26

UOB Kay Hian

Bumitama

1.67

2.01

Buy

PER14x FY26

07/13/26

DBS Vickers

Bumitama

1.69

2.3

Buy

PER20.4x FY26