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Friday, July 31, 2026

The US Q2 GDP is worse than Q1 and the US consumption is no longer sustainable.


Let's break down the GDP to see what had changed from the previous quarter.

GDP growth = G + I + C + NE
NE=Export - Import
Q1 GDP (Final) = 0.74 + 1.35 + 0.37+ (-0.37) = 2.09 (2.1)
Q2 GDP (1st estimate) = (-0.14) + 0.53 + 2.12 + (-1.01) = 1.5
The Q2 GDP was worse than Q1 because 3 GDP components (G, I, NE) fell and only 1 GDP component (C) rose.
The US government cut its spending because it was low in budget.  The investment fell because of the poor outlook and AI capex couldn't had dropped.  The consumption and import rose becausethe US consumers were frontloading their purchases due to the high inflation expectations caused by the Iran war.  The core inflation is still above 3% and is nowhere near the Fed target rate of 2%.

The frontloading purchases had caused the US saving rate to drop further to 2.7%.  Therefore, this kind of consumption is unsustainable due to the low saving rate.

The Iran war situation report. - Part 97

The US had carried out heavy strikes against Iran but Iran had retaliated hard on the US base in Jordan that caused heavy losses to the US.

Iranian missiles had destroyed 3 F35 and damaged another 3 F35 severely which rendered 6 F35 losses for the US.  Moreover, Iran had also destroyed US radars and killed some US soldiers.  This was the fundamental reason that the Iranian missiles could penetrate the air defence in Jordan-US military base.

We had stated numerous times that the US couldn't defeat Iran and Iran could outlast the US in this war.

As these losses would disgrace Trump, the CENTCOM had to deny everything to save Trump's face.

Far East Hospitality - Stock calls


Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

08/04/25

CIMB

Far East Hospitality

0.595

0.74

Add

DDM

09/30/25

UOB Kay Hian

Far East Hospitality

0.6

0.81

Buy

DDM

10/06/25

Lim & Tan

Far East Hospitality

0.61

0.66

Accumulate


10/30/25

DBS Vickers

Far East Hospitality

0.615

0.7

Buy

DCF

10/31/25

CIMB

Far East Hospitality

0.615

0.76

Add

DDM

12/08/25

DBS Vickers

Far East Hospitality

0.61

0.7

Buy

DCF

02/12/26

DBS Vickers

Far East Hospitality

0.625

0.7

Buy

DCF

02/12/26

Lim & Tan

Far East Hospitality

0.625

0.71

Accumulate


02/13/26

CIMB

Far East Hospitality

0.62

0.72

Add

DDM

02/16/26

UOB Kay Hian

Far East Hospitality

0.625

0.85

Buy

DDM

03/17/26

DBS Vickers

Far East Hospitality

0.565

0.75

Buy

RNAV (15% disc)

05/04/26

Kim Eng

Far East Hospitality

0.575

0.65

Buy

DDM

05/04/26

Lim & Tan

Far East Hospitality

0.575

0.71

Accumulate


06/29/26

JPM

Far East Hospitality

0.57

0.69

Neutral


07/30/26

DBS Vickers

Far East Hospitality

0.59

0.75

Buy

RNAV (15% disc)

07/30/26

Lim & Tan

Far East Hospitality

0.59

0.73

Accumulate




F&N - Stock calls


Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

01/05/26

Lim & Tan

F&N

1.5

1.5

Hold


02/09/26

uSMART

F&N

1.5

1.91

Hold




Ever Glory Uinited Holdings - Stock calls


Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

08/12/25

phillip

Ever Glory Uinited Holdings

0.57

0.81

Buy

PER

09/03/25

Lim & Tan

Ever Glory Uinited Holdings

0.74

0.81

Watchlist


11/20/25

CIMB

Ever Glory Uinited Holdings

0.7

0.87

Add


12/17/25

Amfrasers

Ever Glory Uinited Holdings

0.7

1.2

Outperform

DCF

02/05/26

CIMB

Ever Glory Uinited Holdings

0.685

0.87

Add

PER

03/03/26

CIMB

Ever Glory Uinited Holdings

0.76

0.9

Add

PER

03/09/26

phillip

Ever Glory Uinited Holdings

0.77

1.05

Buy

PER18x FY27

03/17/26

Amfrasers

Ever Glory Uinited Holdings

0.745

1.28

Outperform

DCF

04/24/26

CIMB

Ever Glory Uinited Holdings

0.955

1.13

Add

PER

05/06/26

phillip

Ever Glory Uinited Holdings

0.8

1.05

Buy

PER18x FY27

05/22/26

CIMB

Ever Glory Uinited Holdings

0.845

0.9

Add

PER, Ex-bonus

07/08/26

CIMB

Ever Glory Uinited Holdings

0.775

0.9

Add

PER, Ex-bonus



Stock calls for 31 July 2026


Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

07/31/26

DBS Vickers

AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit

1.63

1.68

Hold

DCF

07/31/26

Kim Eng

AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit

1.63

1.68

Buy

DDM

07/31/26

CIMB

CDL Hospitality

0.795

0.89

Add

DDM

07/31/26

DBS Vickers

Frasers Logistics

1

1.05

Buy

DCF

07/31/26

Lim & Tan

Jardine C&C

28.33

35

Buy


07/31/26

DBS Vickers

Jardine Matheson

67.59

90

Buy

Sum of parts (25% disc)

07/31/26

UOB Kay Hian

Keppel Corp

11.48

13.26

Buy

PER18.9x FY27

07/31/26

DBS Vickers

Mapletree Commercial

1.36

1.65

Buy

Sum of parts

07/31/26

CIMB

Mapletree Commercial

1.36

1.52

Add

DDM

07/31/26

Citi Research

OCBC

29.1

28.4

Neutral

GGM, PB1.9x

07/31/26

Kim Eng

Raffles Medical

0.885

1.09

Buy


07/31/26

DMG & Partners

Raffles Medical

0.885

1.15

Buy


07/31/26

Lim & Tan

Seatrium

2.12

2.6

Accumulate


07/31/26

UOB Kay Hian

Sheng Siong

3.34

3.71

Buy

PER32x FY27

07/31/26

phillip

Sheng Siong

3.34

3.31

Neutral

PER28x FY27

07/31/26

OCBC

Sheng Siong

3.34

2.89

Hold


07/31/26

Phillip

SIA

7.61

7.35

Neutral

PB2x



Thursday, July 30, 2026

ESR Reit - Stock calls


Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

08/04/25

CIMB

ESR-Reit

2.74

3.55

Add

DDM

10/28/25

DBS Vickers

ESR-Reit

2.87

3.2

Buy

DCF

10/30/25

CIMB

ESR-Reit

2.91

3.64

Add

DDM

10/30/25

DMG & Partners

ESR-Reit

2.91

3.15

Buy


11/06/25

Kim Eng

ESR-Reit

2.82

3

Buy

DDM

12/15/25

Lim & Tan

ESR-Reit

2.74

3.3

Accumulate


02/04/26

DBS Vickers

ESR-Reit

2.71

3.2

Buy

DCF

02/05/26

CIMB

ESR-Reit

2.75

3.43

Add

DDM

02/05/26

Kim Eng

ESR-Reit

2.75

3

Buy

DDM

04/29/26

CIMB

ESR-Reit

2.47

3.43

Add

DDM

07/08/26

DBS Vickers

ESR-Reit

2.34

3.2

Buy

DCF

07/28/26

DBS Vickers

ESR-Reit

2.48

3.1

Buy

DCF

07/29/26

CIMB

ESR-Reit

2.57

3.43

Add

DDM



Elite ComReit - Stock calls


Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

08/01/25

phillip

Elite ComReit

0.345

0.39

Buy

DDM

08/04/25

DBS Vickers

Elite ComReit

0.35

0.4

Buy

DCF

08/06/25

DMG & Partners

Elite ComReit

0.345

0.37

Buy


09/19/25

UOB Kay Hian

Elite ComReit

0.35

0.39

Buy

DDM

09/22/25

phillip

Elite ComReit

0.35

0.39

Buy

DDM

10/23/25

phillip

Elite ComReit

0.355

0.39

Buy

DDM

11/04/25

Lim & Tan

Elite ComReit

0.36

0.4

Hold


11/19/25

Amfrasers

Elite ComReit

0.36

0.41

Outperform

DDM

11/24/25

phillip

Elite ComReit

0.355

0.39

Buy

DDM

12/23/25

phillip

Elite ComReit

0.355

0.39

Buy

DDM

01/07/26

phillip

Elite ComReit

0.36

0.39

Buy

DDM

02/06/26

DBS Vickers

Elite ComReit

0.355

0.4

Buy

DCF

02/10/26

DMG & Partners

Elite ComReit

0.365

0.4

Buy


02/12/26

phillip

Elite ComReit

0.36

0.41

Buy

DDM

03/23/26

phillip

Elite ComReit

0.34

0.41

Buy

DDM

03/30/26

DBS Vickers

Elite ComReit

0.335

0.4

Buy

DCF

04/23/26

DMG & Partners

Elite ComReit

0.345

0.41

Buy


04/27/26

phillip

Elite ComReit

0.345

0.41

Buy

DDM

05/25/26

phillip

Elite ComReit

0.34

0.41

Buy

DDM

06/08/26

Kim Eng

Elite ComReit

0.34

0.41

Buy


06/17/26

Lim & Tan

Elite ComReit

0.34

0.42

Buy


06/22/26

phillip

Elite ComReit

0.34

0.41

Buy

DDM

07/27/26

phillip

Elite ComReit

0.31

0.41

Buy

DDM