ECB: Cryptocurrencies are complete loads of nonsense!

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/virtual-currencies-down-load-nonsense-171051159.html

The strongest condemnation of Crypto by the ECB!

The crypto market will start to disintegrate if the crypto prices are below the mining costs for a considerable long period such as 1 year or more.  This is because the crypto miners will collapse first due to the unprofitable mining, followed by the crypto exchanges because of the low liquidity and security risks and then the crypto investors for their unrealistic thinkings.

Please read our posting below for more information.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/a-financial-analysis-on-initial-coin.html

The US is stirring up South China Sea issue again!

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/u-navy-ship-sails-disputed-south-china-sea-062311985.html

What's the purpose of this freedom of navigation when only the US naval vessels will sail through this area?  No other country will dare to sail through this region.

Whenever the US naval vessel sailed through this region, they would get chased away by the Chinese navy.  Look like the US navy likes to play a mouse and cat game because the US navy doesn't dare to stay put to confront the Chinese navy as it knows that the region belongs to the Chinese.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/a-1947-map-showed-that-south-china-sea.html

Avi-Tech - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/24/18	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.48	0.59	Buy	DCF, PER12x FY18
02/20/18	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.49	0.59	Buy
05/08/18	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.455	0.46	Neutral	DCF, PER11.5x FY19
05/16/18	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.44	0.43	Neutral	DCF, PER11.5x FY19
06/27/18	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.39	0.43	Neutral
09/12/18	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.355	0.38	Neutral	DCF
11/13/18	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.32	0.34	Neutral	DCF
01/07/19	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.3	0.34	Neutral

Aspen - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
04/02/18	CIMB	Aspen	0.215	0.29	Add	RNAV (45% discount)

Asian Healthcare - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
06/18/18	NRA	Asian Healthcare	0.27	0.355	Not Rated	PER24.2x FY19, EV/Ebitda16.18x FY19, Mid-point of target $0.33-$0.38
07/11/18	UOB Kay Hian	Asian Healthcare	0.24	0.33	Buy	PER19.4x FY19
10/22/18	UOB Kay Hian	Asian Healthcare	0.265	0.33	Buy

Stock calls for 7 January 2019

-->

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/07/19	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.3	0.34	Neutral
01/07/19	CIMB	Capitaland	3.06	3.55	Add	RNAV (35% discount)
01/07/19	DMG & Partners	CSE Global	0.395	0.59	Buy
01/07/19	DMG & Partners	GSS Energy	0.097	0.19	Buy
01/07/19	DMG & Partners	Kimly	0.24	0.27	Neutral
01/07/19	DMG & Partners	Moya Asia	0.06	0.11	Buy
01/07/19	UOB Kay Hian	SIA Engineering	2.39	2.7	Buy	DCF
01/07/19	DBS Vickers	Silverlake	0.425	0.62	Buy	PER21x FY19
01/07/19	OCBC	SPH Reit	1.01	0.99	Hold
01/07/19	Kim Eng	SPH Reit	1.01	1.02	Hold	DDM
01/07/19	DBS Vickers	SPH Reit	1.01	1.05	Buy	DCF
01/07/19	Lim & Tan	SPH Reit	1.01	0	Hold
01/07/19	CIMB	SPH Reit	1.01	1.02	Hold	DDM
01/07/19	DMG & Partners	Talkmed	0.59	0.64	Neutral
01/07/19	DMG & Partners	Valuetronics	0.675	0.82	Buy
01/07/19	UOB Kay Hian	Venture	13.71	12.9	Hold
01/07/19	Lim & Tan	Venture	13.71	0	Buy
01/07/19	CIMB	Yongnam	0.183	0.41	Add	PB0.8x FY19

Taiwan president is making a ridiculous call for international support.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-taiwan-china/taiwan-president-calls-for-international-support-to-defend-democracy-idUSKCN1OZ058

First of all, Taiwan is part of China as stated by the UN resolution 2758 under the one-China policy.

If you want to have democracy, you need to change the UN resolution 2758 first but it cannot be changed without 2/3 approvals from the UN members.

Please also look at the western map in 1947 which showed the true ownership of Taiwan.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/a-1947-map-showed-that-south-china-sea.html

Baltic dry index - 1260

Today, Friday, January 04 2019, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 7 points, reaching 1260 points.

Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.

==================

Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan Ocean.

US rig count - 1075

The US rig count fell 8 units during the week ended Jan. 4 to reach 1,075 units working, according to Baker Hughes data (OGJ Online, Dec. 28, 2018). This count was up 151 units from the 924 units working in the US this week a year ago.

US rigs drilling on land fell 6 units to 1,050 vs. last week. Offshore rigs dropped 2 units to 22, and there also were 22 rigs drilling in the Gulf of Mexico, also down 2 units.

US rigs targeting oil reached 877 this week, 8 fewer than a week ago. Gas-focused rigs remained unchanged at 198 units.

In Canada, there were 76 rigs working, 6 more than a week ago. This count is down 98 units from the 174 rigs working this week a year ago.

The number of oil-directed rigs in Canada rose 5 units, bringing the count to 20 rigs for the week. Gas-targeted rigs in Canada were up 1 unit to 56.

Among the major oil and gas-producing states, California, at 10 rigs, was down 5 units this week. Louisiana, down 2 rigs, reached 65 units working. New Mexico and Wyoming, with respective counts of 105 and 33 this week, were down 1 unit each.

Colorado gained 1 rig to reach 35 units working. Texas, at 534 units, and Alaska, at 9 units, each gained 2 rigs this week.

All other states were unchanged this week. These counts were Oklahoma, 140; North Dakota, 53; Pennsylvania, 47; Ohio, 15; West Virginia, 12; Utah, 6; and Kansas, 2.

In the Permian basin, a total of 487 rigs were drilling, up 1 unit from a week ago and 87 more than this week a year ago. The Eagle Ford had 80 rigs drilling this week, unchanged from last week but up 10 from this week a year ago.

=====================

Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

The stock markets are in a precarious situation now.

The US-China trade talk will convene on 7-8 Jan 2019 in China.

If the trade talk breaks down, the stock markets will pummel again!

Ascendas India Trust (AIT) - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/30/18	DBS Vickers	Ascendas India Trust	1.13	1.25	Buy
04/26/18	DBS Vickers	Ascendas India Trust	1.01	1.22	Buy	DDM
04/26/18	Jefferies	Ascendas India Trust	1.01	1.2	Buy
05/15/18	DBS Vickers	Ascendas India Trust	1.05	1.22	Buy
06/26/18	DBS Vickers	Ascendas India Trust	1.02	1.25	Buy	DDM
07/26/18	DBS Vickers	Ascendas India Trust	1.09	1.25	Buy	DDM
10/25/18	DBS Vickers	Ascendas India Trust	1.06	1.25	Buy	DDM

Ascendas Hospitality Trust (AHT) - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/30/18	DBS Vickers	Ascendas Hospitality Trust	0.875	0.91	Buy
02/02/18	Lim & Tan	Ascendas Hospitality Trust	0.895	0	Hold
02/05/18	DBS Vickers	Ascendas Hospitality Trust	0.885	0.97	Buy	DCF
04/17/18	DBS Vickers	Ascendas Hospitality Trust	0.8	0.97	Buy
06/26/18	DBS Vickers	Ascendas Hospitality Trust	0.775	0.98	Buy	DCF
07/06/18	DBS Vickers	Ascendas Hospitality Trust	0.785	0.98	Buy
11/02/18	DBS Vickers	Ascendas Hospitality Trust	0.805	0.98	Buy	DCF

ART - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/29/18	UOB Kay Hian	ART	1.26	1.23	Hold
01/29/18	OCBC	ART	1.26	1.16	Hold
01/29/18	DBS Vickers	ART	1.26	1.34	Buy	DCF
03/15/18	UOB Kay Hian	ART	1.16	1.23	Hold
04/17/18	DBS Vickers	ART	1.14	1.34	Buy
04/18/18	Lim & Tan	ART	1.13	0	Neutral
04/19/18	UOB Kay Hian	ART	1.14	1.23	Hold	DDM
04/19/18	DBS Vickers	ART	1.14	1.3	Buy	DCF
07/06/18	DBS Vickers	ART	1.09	1.3	Buy
07/25/18	OCBC	ART	1.13	1	Sell
07/25/18	UOB Kay Hian	ART	1.13	1.18	Hold	DDM
07/25/18	CIMB	ART	1.13	1.16	Hold	DDM
07/25/18	DBS Vickers	ART	1.13	1.25	Buy	DCF
08/30/18	DBS Vickers	ART	1.08	1.25	Buy	DCF
09/17/18	Kim Eng	ART	1.07	1.15	Hold	DDM
09/20/18	Lim & Tan	ART	1.09	0	Hold
09/21/18	CIMB	ART	1.09	1.12	Hold
09/21/18	DBS Vickers	ART	1.09	1.25	Buy
10/25/18	UOB Kay Hian	ART	1.07	1.18	Hold
11/02/18	Kim Eng	ART	1.05	1.15	Hold	DDM
11/02/18	OCBC	ART	1.05	1.03	Hold
11/02/18	UOB Kay Hian	ART	1.05	1.15	Hold	DDM, Buy @ $1.05
11/02/18	CIMB	ART	1.05	1.12	Hold
11/02/18	Lim & Tan	ART	1.05	0	Buy

Stock calls for 4 January 2019

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
11/04/19	phillip	China Sunsine	1.2	1.68	Buy
01/04/19	Phillip	A-Reit	2.57	2.78	Accumulate
01/04/19	Phillip	CapitaCommercial	1.75	1.9	Accumulate
01/04/19	Lim & Tan	City Developments	7.94	0	Buy
01/04/19	UOB Kay Hian	CSE Global	0.385	0.59	Buy
01/04/19	UOB Kay Hian	Fu Yu	0.186	0.27	Buy
01/04/19	phillip	Geo Energy	0.176	0.245	Buy
01/04/19	DBS Vickers	Jardine C&C	35.28	43.1	Buy
01/04/19	OCBC	Keppel Corp	5.81	7.25	Buy	Sum of parts
01/04/19	Phillip	Keppel DC Reit	1.36	1.45	Accumulate
01/04/19	Phillip	M1	2.08	2.06	Accept Offer	Offer $2.06
01/04/19	UOB Kay Hian	OCBC	11.03	14.05	Buy
01/04/19	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	4.59	5.6	Buy
01/04/19	phillip	SGX	7.15	9.01	Buy
01/04/19	phillip	Sheng Siong	1.07	1.13	Accumulate
01/04/19	Phillip	Singtel	2.86	3.4	Buy	Sum of parts
01/04/19	Phillip	Starhub	1.71	1.88	Accumlate	EV/Ebitda6x FY19
01/04/19	phillip	UOB	23.99	32.52	Buy
01/04/19	Lim & Tan	UOL	6	0	Buy
01/04/19	UOB Kay Hian	Valuetronics	0.66	0.87	Buy
01/04/19	CIMB	Yongnam	0.183	0.4	Add	PB0.8x FY19

Iphone sales in China won't be good in these 2 years. Why?

Apple won't be performing well in China in these 2 years. Why?

This is because China will be deploying Huawei 5G in 2020 and Huawei will be pushing out its 5G mobile phones with its own 5G chips to tap on the super fast 5G network.  Many China mobile manufacturers like Xiaomi, Oppo, Vivo, etc will be producing their own 5G phones too.

Huawei 5G network is super fast and cheap.  Please see below for more information.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/01/the-real-reason-behind-ban-of-huaweis-5g.html

Therefore, consumers won't be upgrading their phones now and will be delaying their purchases because they will want the 5G phones for the fast network.  As the current Iphones are not 5G ready since they don't have 5G chips, Iphones' sales will be bad in China for these 2 years.

Hot news! NTUC Fairprice will sign a 3-year contract with Kaohsiung for its farm products.

I've just watched the online news announced by Kaohsiung Mayor Han.  He announced that Kaohsiung would be signing a 3-year contract with NTUC Fairprice for its farm products.

NTUC Fairprice will be selling a lot of Taiwanese farm products soon.

The real reason behind the ban of Huawei's 5G.

When the western countries cannot compete with Huawei's 5G, they will embark on smearing campaign to discredit Huawei.

Nokia and A1 5G speed are 1.4gbps.

https://www.telegeography.com/products/commsupdate/articles/2018/06/12/a1-and-nokia-5g-trial-achieves-speeds-of-1-4gbps/

AT&T 5G speed is 625mbps.

https://www.androidpolice.com/2018/12/31/atts-first-5g-speed-tests-are-here-and-theyre-not-great/

Huawei 5G speed is 2.7gbps.

https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/huawei-successfully-completed-5g-network-speed-test-in-italy-speed-up-to-2-7g-sec.594137/

The real reason that the western countries ban Huawei's 5G is that it is cheaper and faster.  They simply cannot compete with Huawei because Huawei has the most 5G patents in the world.

Does STI really generate 9.2% annualised total return from 2009-2018?

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/sti-generates-92-annualised-total-return-in-2009-2018-period-sgx

This is a pseudo analysis generated by an inexperienced person with limited financial knowledge.

STI components had been changing over the last decade and the weaker stocks had been kicked out of the STI constituents.  STI is downsized to 30 stocks now compared to the original 50 stocks.  The STI was downsized to 45 and 30 respectively.  Even the 30 stocks had been changed a few times as the weaker stocks were removed from the STI.

Therefore, it is irrelevant to do the annualised total return on STI because the current 30 stocks are not the original 30 stocks.  We are not comparing apples to apples now.

Do not get deceived by this pseudo analysis!

APTV - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
02/28/18	Phillip	APTV	0.575	0.62	Accumulate
05/17/18	Phillip	APTV	0.465	0.52	Buy
07/16/18	Phillip	APTV	0.425	0.52	Buy
08/07/18	Phillip	APTV	0.405	0.35	Reduce
11/19/18	Phillip	APTV	0.167	0.17	Accumulate	DCF

APAC Realty - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/12/18	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.94	1.2	Buy
02/19/18	DBS Vickers	APAC Realty	1.02	1.12	Buy
02/20/18	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	1.06	1.2	Buy
02/26/18	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	1.1	1.35	Buy	DCF
02/26/18	DBS Vickers	APAC Realty	1.1	1.25	Buy	DCF & PER15x FY18
03/20/18	DBS Vickers	APAC Realty	1.19	1.42	Buy	DCF & PER15x FY18
04/10/18	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	1.17	1.35	Buy
05/10/18	DBS Vickers	APAC Realty	1.03	1.32	Buy	DCF & PER15x FY18
05/30/18	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.905	1.35	Buy	DCF
06/06/18	DBS Vickers	APAC Realty	0.925	1.32	Buy
06/18/18	DBS Vickers	APAC Realty	0.815	1.22	Buy	DCF
07/03/18	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.785	1.35	Buy
07/09/18	DBS Vickers	APAC Realty	0.58	0.66	Fully Valued	PER10x FY18
07/13/18	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.605	0.77	Buy	DCF
08/08/18	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.63	0.77	Buy	DCF
08/08/18	DBS Vickers	APAC Realty	0.63	0.62	Hold	PER10x FY19
09/03/18	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.57	0.77	Buy	DCF
09/07/18	DBS Vickers	APAC Realty	0.565	0.62	Hold	PER10x FY19
11/13/18	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.495	0.72	Buy	DCF
11/14/18	DBS Vickers	APAC Realty	0.5	0.56	Hold	PER10x FY19