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Friday, January 24, 2020

ESR-Reit - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/18/19 Lim & Tan ESR-Reit 0.53 0 Hold
01/21/19 CIMB ESR-Reit 0.53 0.62 Add DDM
01/21/19 OCBC ESR-Reit 0.53 0.575 Buy
01/22/19 DBS Vickers ESR-Reit 0.53 0.59 Buy
02/12/19 DMG & Partners ESR-Reit 0.515 0.61 Buy DDM
03/07/19 CIMB ESR-Reit 0.53 0.62 Add
03/13/19 DMG & Partners ESR-Reit 0.53 0.61 Buy
04/10/19 OCBC ESR-Reit 0.54 0.55 Hold
04/25/19 CIMB ESR-Reit 0.51 0.6 Add DDM
04/25/19 OCBC ESR-Reit 0.51 0.565 Buy
06/18/19 CIMB ESR-Reit 0.565 0.6 Add DDM
06/19/19 OCBC ESR-Reit 0.53 0.56 Buy
07/24/19 OCBC ESR-Reit 0.535 0.58 Buy
07/24/19 CIMB ESR-Reit 0.535 0.61 Add DDM
08/21/19 Citibank ESR-Reit 0.51 0.57 Buy
10/25/19 OCBC ESR-Reit 0.54 0.58 Buy
10/29/19 DMG & Partners ESR-Reit 0.53 0.6 Buy DDM
12/10/19 DMG & Partners ESR-Reit 0.545 0.6 Buy
01/07/20 DMG & Partners ESR-Reit 0.545 0.6 Buy DDM
01/24/20 DBS Vickers ESR-Reit 0.56 0.59 Buy DCF

EC World Reit - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/09/19 DMG & Partners EC World Reit 0.7 0.81 Buy
02/15/19 phillip EC World Reit 0.745 0.82 Buy
02/22/19 DBS Vickers EC World Reit 0.745 0.86 Buy DCF
02/25/19 DMG & Partners EC World Reit 0.755 0.84 Buy DDM
03/04/19 phillip EC World Reit 0.76 0.85 Buy DDM, PB0.84x FY19
03/18/19 DMG & Partners EC World Reit 0.77 0.84 Buy
05/07/19 DMG & Partners EC World Reit 0.77 0.84 Buy
05/14/19 DMG & Partners EC World Reit 0.79 0.85 Buy DDM
05/14/19 DBS Vickers EC World Reit 0.79 0.86 Buy
05/15/19 phillip EC World Reit 0.785 0.87 Buy DDM, PB0.93x
06/19/19 phillip EC World Reit 0.775 0.87 Buy
07/04/19 DMG & Partners EC World Reit 0.78 0.85 Buy
07/22/19 phillip EC World Reit 0.755 0.87 Buy
08/08/19 phillip EC World Reit 0.735 0.87 Buy DDM
08/08/19 DMG & Partners EC World Reit 0.735 0.82 Buy DDM
09/24/19 phillip EC World Reit 0.735 0.87 Buy
10/18/19 phillip EC World Reit 0.735 0.87 Buy
11/12/19 phillip EC World Reit 0.74 0.84 Buy DDM
11/12/19 DBS Vickers EC World Reit 0.74 0.86 Buy DCF
11/26/19 Amfrasers EC World Reit 0.74 0.84 outperform DDM
12/02/19 Amfrasers EC World Reit 0.745 0.84 outperform DDM
12/10/19 DMG & Partners EC World Reit 0.765 0.82 Buy

Stock calls for 24 January 2020

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/24/20 DBS Vickers AEM 2.05 2.38 Buy PER12.1x FY20
01/24/20 Kim Eng Cache Logistics 0.725 0.8 Buy DDM
01/24/20 DBS Vickers CapitaCommercial 2.12 2.3 Buy
01/24/20 Phillip Capitamall Trust 2.57 2.7 Accumulate DDM
01/24/20 DBS Vickers Capitamall Trust 2.57 2.95 Buy
01/24/20 DBS Vickers ESR-Reit 0.56 0.59 Buy DCF
01/24/20 DBS Vickers Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.86 2.95 Buy
01/24/20 DBS Vickers Frencken 0.91 1.06 Buy PER10x FY20
01/24/20 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Corp 6.74 7.75 Buy Sum of parts
01/24/20 DBS Vickers Keppel Pacific 0.785 0.9 Buy DCF
01/24/20 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.27 1.45 Buy DCF
01/24/20 DBS Vickers Mapletree Commercial 2.43 2.6 Buy
01/24/20 Lim & Tan Mapletree Commercial 2.43 0 Hold
01/24/20 DBS Vickers SGX 8.82 9.6 Buy DDM, PER21x FY21
01/24/20 DBS Vickers Soilbuild Reit 0.52 0.55 Hold DCF
01/24/20 DBS Vickers Starhub 1.49 1.72 Buy DCF
01/24/20 Citibank Starhub 1.49 1.22 Sell
01/24/20 DBS Vickers Suntec Reit 1.85 2.15 Buy DCF
01/24/20 DBS Vickers UMS 0.98 1.16 Buy PER14.9x FY20

Thursday, January 23, 2020

Eagle Hospitality Trust - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/30/19 UOB Kay Hian Eagle Hospitality Trust 0.675 1.02 Buy DDM
10/02/19 Amfrasers Eagle Hospitality Trust 0.68 0.84 outperform DDM
10/25/19 UOB Kay Hian Eagle Hospitality Trust 0.645 1.02 Buy DDM
10/29/19 Amfrasers Eagle Hospitality Trust 0.545 0.72 outperform DDM
11/18/19 Amfrasers Eagle Hospitality Trust 0.535 0.61 Buy DDM
12/02/19 Amfrasers Eagle Hospitality Trust 0.525 0.61 outperform DDM

Duty Free - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/10/19 Lim & Tan Duty Free 0.192 0 Accumulate

Delfi - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Delfi 1.32 1.59 Buy
03/01/19 DMG & Partners Delfi 1.45 1.68 Buy DCF, PER28x FY19
04/05/19 DMG & Partners Delfi 1.3 1.68 Buy
05/07/19 DMG & Partners Delfi 1.3 1.68 Buy DCF, PER28x FY19
08/14/19 DMG & Partners Delfi 1.24 1.68 Buy DCF, PER28x FY19
10/31/19 DBS Vickers Delfi 0.995 1.49 Buy PER23.7x FY20
11/13/19 DMG & Partners Delfi 0.955 1.68 Buy DCF
11/14/19 DBS Vickers Delfi 0.96 1.51 Buy PER23.1x FY20
12/11/19 DMG & Partners Delfi 1 1.68 Buy
01/06/20 DBS Vickers Delfi 1 1.51 Buy

Stock calls for 23 January 2020

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/23/20 UOB Kay Hian CapitaCommercial 2.13 2.3 Buy
01/23/20 UOB Kay Hian Capitamall Trust 2.59 2.88 Buy
01/23/20 Kim Eng Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.8 2.85 Hold DDM
01/23/20 Lim & Tan Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.8 0 Hold
01/23/20 UOB Kay Hian Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.8 3.05 Buy
01/23/20 DBS Vickers Keppel DC Reit 2.22 2.4 Buy DCF
01/23/20 Kim Eng Mapletree Commercial 2.44 2.45 Hold DDM
01/23/20 UOB Kay Hian Mapletree Industrial 2.77 2.9 Buy
01/23/20 DBS Vickers Sheng Siong 1.26 1.41 Buy PER25x FY20

The recession constellation is aligning in the US! - Part 3

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/01/the-recession-constellation-is-aligning.html

1. Tltro II will expire in March 2020.
2. ISM PMI reported its first contraction for August (Below 50) in September. The US recession may happen at the earliest 6 months later which is in March 2020.
3. The Republicans want to remove its President by March 2020. Nancy Pelosi just needs to get some Republicans to deflect to impeach Trump.
4. The opec+ will end the oil production cut in March 2020.  This will affect the US shale oil industry because the US has been gaining the oil market share at the expense of opec+.
5. Iran's retaliation against the US for the latest airstrike.
6. Wuhan virus.

CNY is approaching and there will be massive festive travellers in China.  If there is an outbreak during the CNY, the global economy will suffer soon.  Just look at the SARS outbreak and its economic impacts and you will know where the global economies are heading.

Canada and the US are trying to twist and turn the charge against Huawei Meng.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/canadian-prosecutor-set-defend-u-111334522.html

Yes, bank fraud is a criminal charge in the US and Canada.  However, the so-called "bank fraud" was committed in HK and HSBC never reported the bank fraud in HK.  Therefore, the US and Canada have no legitimate reason to put Meng under arrest.

If Meng is extradited to the US based on bank fraud committed in HK, then all the bank frauds in the world can be extradited to the US.  Meng was first arrested because she violated US sanction against Iran but Canada didn't have Iran sanction at that moment.  Thus, there was no double criminality issue at all in the US & Canada.

The US and Canada have a weak case over Meng.  If these 2 countries continue with their antics, they will lose their credibilities.

Many analysts are casting doubts on the viability of the phase 1 deal between the US and China.

https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3047018/chinas-trade-war-deal-may-be-doomed-start-scepticism-mounts

We had stated much earlier (April 2019) that the US-China trade deal wouldn't work.  It would be impossible for China to fulfill the terms in phase 1 deal since it had to be done based on market principles.  In other words, many US products are not competitive enough for China to import more.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/01/the-phase-1-us-china-trade-deal-can-be.html

Wednesday, January 22, 2020

Del Monte - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
06/21/19 Lim & Tan Del Monte 0.12 0 Buy

DBS - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/19 DMG & Partners DBS 23.69 29.8 Buy GGM, PB1.54x FY19
01/03/19 CIMB DBS 23.49 27 Hold PER10.7x FY20
01/03/19 JP Morgan DBS 23.49 29 Overweight
01/08/19 UOB Kay Hian DBS 23.75 28.5 Buy
01/08/19 Jefferies DBS 23.75 28.5 Buy
01/29/19 CIMB DBS 24.22 29 Add GGM, PB1.4x CY19
01/31/19 Kim Eng DBS 23.94 30.18 Buy DDM
02/01/19 phillip DBS 23.92 29.02 Buy
02/08/19 UOB Kay Hian DBS 24.33 28.5 Buy
02/12/19 Kim Eng DBS 24.36 30.18 Buy
02/18/19 DMG & Partners DBS 24.74 29.8 Buy
02/18/19 Lim & Tan DBS 24.74 0 Buy
02/19/19 Jefferies DBS 25.2 28.5 Buy
02/19/19 OCBC DBS 25.2 29.31 Buy
02/19/19 DMG & Partners DBS 25.2 28.8 Buy GGM, PB1.5x FY19
02/19/19 phillip DBS 25.2 29 Buy GGM, PB1.5x FY19
02/19/19 Kim Eng DBS 25.2 29.56 Buy DDM
02/19/19 CIMB DBS 25.2 29 Add GGM
02/19/19 UOB Kay Hian DBS 25.2 28.4 Buy
02/20/19 Macquarie DBS 25.1 27 Neutral PB
02/26/19 Amfrasers DBS 25.18 27.7 Buy RIM
03/04/19 phillip DBS 25.08 29 Buy
03/07/19 Kim Eng DBS 25.36 29.56 Buy
03/11/19 CIMB DBS 25.06 29 Add
03/13/19 DMG & Partners DBS 25.3 28.8 Buy GGM, PB1.5x FY19
03/26/19 OCBC DBS 25.12 29.31 Buy
04/01/19 UOB Kay Hian DBS 25.23 28.4 Buy
04/02/19 phillip DBS 25.59 29 Buy
04/10/19 DMG & Partners DBS 27 29.6 Buy PB1.43x FY20
04/11/19 CIMB DBS 26.97 29 Add
04/22/19 UOB Kay Hian DBS 27.4 30.3 Buy GGM, PB1.57x FY19
04/22/19 Kim Eng DBS 27.4 29.56 Buy
04/29/19 Lim & Tan DBS 27.41 0 Buy
04/29/19 Citibank DBS 27.41 31.1 Buy
04/30/19 Macquarie DBS 28.4 27 Neutral
04/30/19 phillip DBS 28.4 29 Accumulate GGM, PB1.5x FY19
04/30/19 OCBC DBS 28.4 29.18 Hold Buy @ $27.50 or lower
04/30/19 CIMB DBS 28.4 30 Add GGM, PB1.54x
04/30/19 DMG & Partners DBS 28.4 30.8 Buy PB1.5x FY20
04/30/19 Lim & Tan DBS 28.4 30 Hold
05/02/19 Amfrasers DBS 28.25 27.7 Hold
05/02/19 Jefferies DBS 28.25 31.5 Buy PER13.1x FY20
05/07/19 OCBC DBS 26.53 27.5 Hold
05/13/19 UOB Kay Hian DBS 26.55 30.5 Buy
05/13/19 Citibank DBS 26.55 27 Neutral
05/14/19 DMG & Partners DBS 26 30.8 Buy GGM, PB1.5x FY20
05/22/19 CIMB DBS 25.74 27.64 Hold
05/22/19 Kim Eng DBS 25.74 29.46 Buy
06/03/19 CIMB DBS 24.29 27.64 Hold
06/06/19 phillip DBS 24.27 29 Accumulate
06/13/19 UOB Kay Hian DBS 24.7 30.5 Buy
06/17/19 Kim Eng DBS 24.81 29.46 Buy
06/19/19 OCBC DBS 24.8 29.18 Buy Buy @ $27.50 or lower
07/01/19 Kim Eng DBS 25.96 29.46 Buy
07/01/19 UOB Kay Hian DBS 25.96 30.5 Buy GGM, PB1.59x FY19
07/02/19 OCBC DBS 26.6 29.2 Buy GGM, PB1.4x, PER14.7x
07/03/19 phillip DBS 26.5 29 Accumulate
07/08/19 DMG & Partners DBS 25.63 30.8 Buy PB1.5x FY20
07/12/19 DMG & Partners DBS 25.61 30.3 Buy PB1.47x FY20
07/29/19 Lim & Tan DBS 26.88 0 Buy
07/30/19 DMG & Partners DBS 26.54 28.3 Hold GGM, PB1.37x FY20
07/30/19 CIMB DBS 26.54 27.59 Hold GGM
07/30/19 Kim Eng DBS 26.54 28.05 Hold DDM
07/30/19 OCBC DBS 26.54 28 Hold
07/30/19 phillip DBS 26.54 30.9 Accumulate
07/30/19 UOB Kay Hian DBS 26.54 31.3 Buy
07/31/19 Macquarie DBS 26.49 25.8 Neutral PB
07/31/19 phillip DBS 26.49 27.6 Accumulate GGM, PB1.4x
08/23/19 DMG & Partners DBS 24.59 28.3 Neutral
08/29/19 Macquarie DBS 24.02 25.8 Neutral PB
09/05/19 phillip DBS 24.54 27.6 Accumulate
09/06/19 DMG & Partners DBS 24.63 25.3 Neutral GGM, PB1.23x FY20
09/26/19 Kim Eng DBS 24.73 28.05 Hold
09/27/19 CIMB DBS 24.82 27.59 Hold
10/01/19 UOB Kay Hian DBS 25 31.3 Buy
10/04/19 phillip DBS 24.57 27.6 Accumulate
10/29/19 UOB Kay Hian DBS 25.18 29.75 Buy
11/05/19 phillip DBS 26.13 27.6 Accumulate
11/11/19 DMG & Partners DBS 26.61 25.3 Neutral GGM, PB1.23x FY20
11/11/19 Lim & Tan DBS 26.61 0 Buy on weakness
11/12/19 Macquarie DBS 26.64 25.8 Neutral PB
11/12/19 phillip DBS 26.64 27.3 Accumulate GGM, PB1.4x
11/12/19 DMG & Partners DBS 26.64 25.8 Neutral GGM, PB1.28x FY20
11/12/19 Kim Eng DBS 26.64 29.92 Buy DDM
11/12/19 UOB Kay Hian DBS 26.64 30 Buy
12/02/19 CIMB DBS 25.25 28.29 Hold
12/02/19 Kim Eng DBS 25.25 29.92 Buy
12/03/19 DMG & Partners DBS 25.13 25.8 Neutral
12/04/19 phillip DBS 24.98 27.3 Accumulate
01/03/20 UOB Kay Hian DBS 26.11 30 Buy
01/08/20 CIMB DBS 26.05 28.29 Add
01/08/20 Kim Eng DBS 26.05 29.92 Buy
01/14/20 DMG & Partners DBS 26.1 25.8 Neutral GGM, PB1.28x FY20

Dasin Retail - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/15/19 phillip Dasin Retail 0.885 0.95 Accumulate DDM
02/28/19 phillip Dasin Retail 0.885 0.94 Accumulate DDM, PB0.64x
05/15/19 phillip Dasin Retail 0.87 0.94 Accumulate DDM, PB0.6x
06/19/19 phillip Dasin Retail 0.88 0.94 Accumulate
07/22/19 phillip Dasin Retail 0.875 0.94 Accumulate
08/16/19 phillip Dasin Retail 0.87 0.94 Accumulate DDM, PB0.65x
09/24/19 phillip Dasin Retail 0.845 0.94 Accumulate
10/18/19 phillip Dasin Retail 0.845 0.94 Accumulate
11/25/19 phillip Dasin Retail 0.84 0.94 Accumulate
11/27/19 phillip Dasin Retail 0.84 0.88 Accumulate DDM, PB0.62x FY19

Stock calls for 22 January 2020

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/22/20 Jefferies CapitaCommercial 2.13 2.3 Buy
01/22/20 Phillip Ireit 0.815 0.885 Accumulate DDM
01/22/20 CIMB Keppel DC Reit 2.25 2.03 Hold DDM
01/22/20 DBS Vickers Keppel Infrastructure 0.55 0.58 Buy DDM
01/22/20 DMG & Partners Keppel Pacific 0.765 0.88 Buy DDM
01/22/20 OCBC Mapletree Industrial 2.78 2.87 Hold
01/22/20 DBS Vickers Mapletree Industrial 2.78 3 Buy
01/22/20 DBS Vickers Mapletree Logistics 1.82 1.9 Buy DCF
01/22/20 CIMB Mapletree Logistics 1.82 1.56 Hold DDM
01/22/20 CIMB Mapletree North Asia 1.24 1.31 Add DDM
01/22/20 DBS Vickers Mapletree North Asia 1.24 1.35 Buy DCF
01/22/20 Lim & Tan Parkway Life 3.4 0 Hold

Dairy Farm - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/04/19 DMG & Partners Dairy Farm 8.57 8.64 Neutral DCF
03/04/19 DBS Vickers Dairy Farm 8.57 8.44 Hold Sum of parts
03/06/19 CIMB Dairy Farm 8.33 8.54 Hold PER23.5x FY20
03/20/19 DMG & Partners Dairy Farm 7.41 8.25 Buy DCF
04/05/19 DMG & Partners Dairy Farm 8.14 8.25 Buy
05/30/19 DMG & Partners Dairy Farm 7.83 8.25 Neutral DCF
07/02/19 DMG & Partners Dairy Farm 7.29 8.25 Neutral
08/02/19 DBS Vickers Dairy Farm 7.38 7.99 Hold Sum of parts
08/05/19 DMG & Partners Dairy Farm 7.6 7.38 Neutral DCF
08/13/19 CIMB Dairy Farm 6.98 7.29 Hold PER23x CY20
09/23/19 DMG & Partners Dairy Farm 6.65 6.63 Neutral DCF
11/29/19 CIMB Dairy Farm 5.93 5.4 Reduce PER22x CY20
12/11/19 DMG & Partners Dairy Farm 5.9 6.63 Neutral

CSE Global - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/19 UOB Kay Hian CSE Global 0.385 0.59 Buy
01/07/19 DMG & Partners CSE Global 0.395 0.59 Buy DCF
01/11/19 Lim & Tan CSE Global 0.395 0 Buy
01/15/19 CIMB CSE Global 0.405 0.56 Add PER13.5x FY20
01/22/19 Amfrasers CSE Global 0.43 0.57 Buy
02/08/19 UOB Kay Hian CSE Global 0.455 0.59 Buy
02/22/19 DMG & Partners CSE Global 0.465 0.6 Buy DCF
02/22/19 CIMB CSE Global 0.465 0.6 Add PER13.5x FY19
02/22/19 UOB Kay Hian CSE Global 0.465 0.62 Buy
03/05/19 Amfrasers CSE Global 0.505 0.58 Buy
03/26/19 UOB Kay Hian CSE Global 0.54 0.62 Buy
03/26/19 DMG & Partners CSE Global 0.54 0.61 Buy DCF
03/26/19 CIMB CSE Global 0.54 0.6 Add
04/02/19 Lim & Tan CSE Global 0.545 0 Buy
05/07/19 DMG & Partners CSE Global 0.475 0.61 Buy DCF, PER13.7x FY19
05/07/19 Lim & Tan CSE Global 0.475 0 Buy
05/09/19 UOB Kay Hian CSE Global 0.485 0.62 Buy
05/21/19 Amfrasers CSE Global 0.49 0.58 Buy Sum of parts, PER12.5x FY19, PB2.1x FY19
05/28/19 CIMB CSE Global 0.475 0.6 Add
06/06/19 DMG & Partners CSE Global 0.48 0.61 Buy
08/15/19 Lim & Tan CSE Global 0.435 0 Buy
08/16/19 DMG & Partners CSE Global 0.44 0.61 Buy DCF
08/16/19 UOB Kay Hian CSE Global 0.44 0.62 Buy
08/29/19 CIMB CSE Global 0.425 0.6 Add PER13.5x FY20
09/03/19 Lim & Tan CSE Global 0.44 0 Buy
09/04/19 UOB Kay Hian CSE Global 0.455 0.65 Buy PER15x FY19
09/04/19 DMG & Partners CSE Global 0.455 0.69 Buy DCF, PER11.9x FY20
09/06/19 DBS Vickers CSE Global 0.47 0.65 Buy PER12x FY20
09/09/19 CIMB CSE Global 0.465 0.68 Add
09/10/19 Amfrasers CSE Global 0.46 0.64 Outperform Sum of parts, PER12x, PB2x
10/02/19 DMG & Partners CSE Global 0.46 0.69 Buy
10/11/19 UOB Kay Hian CSE Global 0.465 0.65 Buy
10/31/19 CIMB CSE Global 0.525 0.68 Buy
11/01/19 DMG & Partners CSE Global 0.525 0.69 Buy DCF
11/07/19 Lim & Tan CSE Global 0.54 0 Buy
11/08/19 UOB Kay Hian CSE Global 0.53 0.7 Buy
11/08/19 Amfrasers CSE Global 0.53 0.61 Outperform Sum of parts
11/08/19 DBS Vickers CSE Global 0.53 0.69 Buy PER12x FY20
11/25/19 CIMB CSE Global 0.54 0.73 Add
12/02/19 Amfrasers CSE Global 0.525 0.61 Outperform Sum of parts
12/09/19 Lim & Tan CSE Global 0.525 0 Buy
12/10/19 DMG & Partners CSE Global 0.535 0.69 buy
12/27/19 CIMB CSE Global 0.545 0.73 Add
01/08/20 UOB Kay Hian CSE Global 0.56 0.7 Buy
01/08/20 DMG & Partners CSE Global 0.56 0.69 Buy

Cromwell Reit (EUR) - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/15/19 DBS Vickers Cromwell Reit (EUR) 0.49 0.59 Buy DCF
06/24/19 Lim & Tan Cromwell Reit (EUR) 0.505 0 Hold