Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/14/19 | OCBC | Wing Tai | 2.03 | 2.41 | Buy | |
04/17/19 | OCBC | Wing Tai | 2.06 | 2.41 | Buy | |
05/14/19 | OCBC | Wing Tai | 2.01 | 2.41 | Buy | |
06/27/19 | OCBC | Wing Tai | 2.05 | 2.41 | Buy | |
07/15/19 | OCBC | Wing Tai | 2.07 | 2.41 | Buy |
Monday, September 30, 2019
Wing Tai - Stock calls
Wilmar - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/02/19 | DMG & Partners | Wilmar | 3.16 | 3.58 | Buy | |
01/03/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Wilmar | 3.13 | 3.9 | Buy | |
02/20/19 | OCBC | Wilmar | 3.37 | 3.42 | Hold | |
02/20/19 | UBS | Wilmar | 3.37 | 3.8 | Buy | |
02/22/19 | DMG & Partners | Wilmar | 3.39 | 3.58 | Buy | |
02/22/19 | CIMB | Wilmar | 3.39 | 3.96 | Add | Sum of parts |
02/22/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Wilmar | 3.39 | 3.9 | Buy | |
02/25/19 | DMG & Partners | Wilmar | 3.26 | 3.63 | Buy | Sum of parts |
02/25/19 | DBS Vickers | Wilmar | 3.26 | 3.6 | Buy | DCF, PER15.4x FY19 |
03/12/19 | CIMB | Wilmar | 3.2 | 3.96 | Add | Sum of parts |
03/12/19 | DBS Vickers | Wilmar | 3.2 | 3.6 | Buy | |
03/13/19 | DMG & Partners | Wilmar | 3.24 | 3.63 | Buy | |
03/20/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Wilmar | 3.3 | 3.9 | Buy | |
04/08/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Wilmar | 3.48 | 3.9 | Buy | |
04/09/19 | OCBC | Wilmar | 3.49 | 3.44 | Hold | PB0.9x |
04/09/19 | CIMB | Wilmar | 3.49 | 3.96 | Add | |
05/02/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Wilmar | 3.64 | 3.9 | Buy | |
05/13/19 | DMG & Partners | Wilmar | 3.51 | 3.8 | Buy | Sum of parts |
05/13/19 | DBS Vickers | Wilmar | 3.51 | 3.86 | Buy | DCF, PER15.6x FY19 |
05/16/19 | DMG & Partners | Wilmar | 3.5 | 3.94 | Buy | Sum of parts |
05/16/19 | OCBC | Wilmar | 3.5 | 3.66 | Hold | PB0.95x |
05/16/19 | CIMB | Wilmar | 3.5 | 3.96 | Add | Sum of parts |
06/06/19 | DMG & Partners | Wilmar | 3.3 | 3.94 | Buy | |
06/13/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Wilmar | 3.41 | 3.9 | Buy | PER12.8x FY20 |
07/03/19 | Kim Eng | Wilmar | 3.73 | 4.21 | Buy | DCF & PER17.5x FY20 |
07/09/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Wilmar | 3.79 | 3.9 | Buy | |
07/09/19 | UBS | Wilmar | 3.79 | 4.5 | Buy | |
07/15/19 | DMG & Partners | Wilmar | 3.76 | 4.5 | Buy | Sum of parts |
07/16/19 | CIMB | Wilmar | 3.83 | 5.54 | Add | Normal target price is $3.96 |
07/16/19 | DBS Vickers | Wilmar | 3.83 | 4.3 | Buy | Sum of parts, PER16.2x FY20 |
07/17/19 | OCBC | Wilmar | 3.83 | 4.26 | Buy | Sum of parts |
07/26/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Wilmar | 4.06 | 4.5 | Buy | Sum of parts |
08/14/19 | DMG & Partners | Wilmar | 4.05 | 4.5 | Buy | Sum of parts |
08/14/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Wilmar | 4.05 | 4.5 | Buy | |
08/15/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Wilmar | 3.86 | 4.4 | Buy | |
08/16/19 | OCBC | Wilmar | 3.78 | 4.26 | Buy | |
08/16/19 | DBS Vickers | Wilmar | 3.78 | 4.25 | Buy | Sum of parts, PER16.3x FY20 |
08/22/19 | CIMB | Wilmar | 3.81 | 4.58 | Add | |
08/22/19 | Kim Eng | Wilmar | 3.81 | 3.89 | Hold | |
09/04/19 | Kim Eng | Wilmar | 3.8 | 3.89 | Hold | DCF |
09/11/19 | DMG & Partners | Wilmar | 3.8 | 4.5 | Buy | Sum of parts |
09/13/19 | DBS Vickers | Wilmar | 3.86 | 4.25 | Buy | Sum of parts, PER16.3x FY20 |
09/24/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Wilmar | 3.72 | 4.4 | Buy | |
09/30/19 | DMG & Partners | Wilmar | 3.72 | 4.75 | Buy | Sum of parts |
Venture - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/02/19 | DMG & Partners | Venture | 13.85 | 19 | Buy | PER14x FY19 |
01/07/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Venture | 13.71 | 12.9 | Hold | |
01/07/19 | Lim & Tan | Venture | 13.71 | 0 | Buy | |
01/08/19 | Kim Eng | Venture | 14.44 | 17.48 | Buy | PB2x FY19, PER14.4x FY19 |
02/11/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Venture | 15.72 | 12.9 | Hold | PER11x FY19, Buy @ $12.40 |
02/12/19 | CIMB | Venture | 15.97 | 17.44 | Add | PER12.56x FY20 |
02/25/19 | CIMB | Venture | 16.12 | 17.88 | Add | PER12.56x FY20 |
02/25/19 | Kim Eng | Venture | 16.12 | 19.23 | Buy | Roe-g/Coe-g, PB2.2x FY19 |
02/25/19 | DMG & Partners | Venture | 16.12 | 19 | Buy | |
02/25/19 | DBS Vickers | Venture | 16.12 | 21.7 | Buy | PER15.8x FY19 |
02/25/19 | Lim & Tan | Venture | 16.12 | 0 | Buy | |
02/25/19 | OCBC | Venture | 16.12 | 20.89 | Buy | PER15x |
03/19/19 | DMG & Partners | Venture | 18 | 19 | Buy | |
03/29/19 | DBS Vickers | Venture | 17.8 | 21.7 | Buy | |
04/03/19 | Lim & Tan | Venture | 18.6 | 0 | Hold | |
04/26/19 | OCBC | Venture | 19.29 | 20.89 | Buy | PER15x FY19/20 |
04/26/19 | DMG & Partners | Venture | 19.29 | 19 | Neutral | |
04/26/19 | DBS Vickers | Venture | 19.29 | 21.7 | Buy | PER15.8x FY19 |
04/29/19 | CIMB | Venture | 17.52 | 17.88 | Hold | PER12.5x |
04/29/19 | Kim Eng | Venture | 17.52 | 19.74 | Hold | Roe-g/Coe-g, PB2.2x FY19 |
05/02/19 | Lim & Tan | Venture | 16.97 | 0 | Buy on weakness | |
05/03/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Venture | 17.4 | 19.01 | Hold | Buy @ $17 |
06/11/19 | Kim Eng | Venture | 15.7 | 19.74 | Buy | Roe-g/Coe-g, PB2.2x FY19 |
06/25/19 | Lim & Tan | Venture | 17.3 | 0 | Hold | |
06/26/19 | DMG & Partners | Venture | 16.46 | 16.3 | Neutral | PER13x FY19 |
06/26/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Venture | 16.46 | 17.91 | Hold | PER14x FY19, Buy at $15 |
06/26/19 | CLSA | Venture | 16.46 | 17.3 | Underperform | |
07/05/19 | Lim & Tan | Venture | 16.35 | 0 | Hold | |
07/15/19 | DBS Vickers | Venture | 14.9 | 18.6 | Buy | PER13.7x FY20 |
07/15/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Venture | 14.9 | 17.91 | Hold | |
07/16/19 | CIMB | Venture | 15 | 15.73 | Hold | PER12.5x CY20 |
07/22/19 | Kim Eng | Venture | 15.54 | 19.74 | Buy | Roe-g/Coe-g |
08/13/19 | Kim Eng | Venture | 14.76 | 18.88 | Buy | Roe-g/Coe-g, PB2.2x FY19 |
08/13/19 | DMG & Partners | Venture | 14.76 | 16.3 | Buy | PER13x FY19 |
08/13/19 | CIMB | Venture | 14.76 | 16.28 | Add | PER12,5x |
08/13/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Venture | 14.76 | 17.7 | Buy | PER14x |
08/13/19 | DBS Vickers | Venture | 14.76 | 18.6 | Buy | PER13.7x FY20 |
08/13/19 | Lim & Tan | Venture | 14.76 | 0 | Hold | |
08/14/19 | DIR | Venture | 15.28 | 17.9 | Outperform | |
08/14/19 | OCBC | Venture | 15.28 | 18.42 | Buy | PER14x |
09/09/19 | Kim Eng | Venture | 15.48 | 18.88 | Buy | Roe-g/Coe-g, PB2.2x FY19 |
09/11/19 | Macquarie | Venture | 15.33 | 17.7 | Outperform | Roe-g/Coe-g,PER14x FY19 |
09/27/19 | CIMB | Venture | 15.26 | 16.28 | Add | |
09/30/19 | Phillip | Venture | 15.27 | 17.68 | Buy | PER14x |
Stock calls for 30 September 2019
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
09/30/19 | DMG & Partners | Bumitama | 0.58 | 0.6 | Neutral | PER16x FY20 |
09/30/19 | DMG & Partners | First Resources | 1.6 | 1.9 | Buy | PER18x FY20 |
09/30/19 | DMG & Partners | Golden Agri | 0.23 | 0.25 | Neutral | Sum of parts |
09/30/19 | CIMB | Keppel Corp | 5.98 | 8.41 | Add | Sum of parts |
09/30/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Mapletree Commercial | 2.34 | 2.38 | Hold | DDM |
09/30/19 | Kim Eng | Mapletree Commercial | 2.34 | 2.1 | Hold | |
09/30/19 | CIMB | Mapletree Commercial | 2.34 | 2.38 | Hold | DDM |
09/30/19 | DBS Vickers | Mapletree North Asia | 1.33 | 1.65 | Buy | DCF |
09/30/19 | Phillip | Venture | 15.27 | 17.68 | Buy | PER14x |
09/30/19 | DMG & Partners | Wilmar | 3.72 | 4.75 | Buy | Sum of parts |
Sunday, September 29, 2019
The US aircraft carrier was expelled from South China Sea by China recently.
The recent satellite image in September 2019. The yellow circle was the US aircraft carrier.
The image showed that the US aircraft carrier was surrounded by several China warships in the South China Sea recently.
This shocked the US navy because China responded fast and furious in numbers to oust the US navy from the South China Sea.
The US navy also has to watch out for DF-17 missiles in the South China Sea too.
The image showed that the US aircraft carrier was surrounded by several China warships in the South China Sea recently.
This shocked the US navy because China responded fast and furious in numbers to oust the US navy from the South China Sea.
The US navy also has to watch out for DF-17 missiles in the South China Sea too.
Saturday, September 28, 2019
Baltic dry index - 1857
Today, Friday, September 27 2019, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 106 points, reaching 1857 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.
The US government is eyeing to delist Chinese firms from US stock markets.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-eyeing-possibility-delisting-chinese-161819351.html
The US government has taken a harder stance against China now.
Maybe the US thinks that it can force China to bend over for the upcoming trade talk but China has stated that it won't succumb to any threat or coercion.
I already suspected something was amiss when China was asked to cancel the US farm visits by Mnuchin. Look like my hunch is right now.
The US government has taken a harder stance against China now.
Maybe the US thinks that it can force China to bend over for the upcoming trade talk but China has stated that it won't succumb to any threat or coercion.
I already suspected something was amiss when China was asked to cancel the US farm visits by Mnuchin. Look like my hunch is right now.
The US congressional committees have approved the HK human rights and democracy act.
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3030403/beijing-vows-retaliate-after-us-hong-kong-human-rights-bill
This is a blatant interference of HK internal affairs or rather the China's internal affairs which will severely strain the US-Sino relationship.
No sovereign country can accept a long-arm jurisdiction of a foreign country in its own internal affairs.
This move will definitely make China take a harder stance against the US-China trade issues.
This is a blatant interference of HK internal affairs or rather the China's internal affairs which will severely strain the US-Sino relationship.
No sovereign country can accept a long-arm jurisdiction of a foreign country in its own internal affairs.
This move will definitely make China take a harder stance against the US-China trade issues.
Friday, September 27, 2019
Valuetronics - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/04/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Valuetronics | 0.66 | 0.87 | Buy | |
01/07/19 | DMG & Partners | Valuetronics | 0.675 | 0.82 | Buy | |
01/08/19 | Kim Eng | Valuetronics | 0.69 | 0.9 | Buy | PB1.9x FY19 |
02/14/19 | Kim Eng | Valuetronics | 0.74 | 1.05 | Buy | ROE-g/COE-g, PB2.1x FY20 |
02/14/19 | DMG & Partners | Valuetronics | 0.74 | 0.78 | Neutral | DCF |
02/14/19 | CIMB | Valuetronics | 0.74 | 0.73 | Hold | PER8.5x CY19 |
02/15/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Valuetronics | 0.71 | 0.87 | Buy | |
03/19/19 | DMG & Partners | Valuetronics | 0.69 | 0.78 | Neutral | |
03/21/19 | Kim Eng | Valuetronics | 0.685 | 1.05 | Buy | PB2.1x FY20 |
04/09/19 | Kim Eng | Valuetronics | 0.7 | 1.05 | Buy | |
05/27/19 | DMG & Partners | Valuetronics | 0.61 | 0.67 | Neutral | DCF |
05/31/19 | DMG & Partners | Valuetronics | 0.625 | 0.61 | Neutral | DCF |
05/31/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Valuetronics | 0.625 | 0.8 | Buy | |
06/03/19 | CIMB | Valuetronics | 0.605 | 0.63 | Hold | PER8x CY20 |
06/11/19 | Kim Eng | Valuetronics | 0.64 | 0.99 | Buy | PB2x FY20 |
08/16/19 | Kim Eng | Valuetronics | 0.62 | 0.94 | Buy | ROE-g/COE-g, PB1.9x FY20 |
08/16/19 | DMG & Partners | Valuetronics | 0.62 | 0.61 | Neutral | DCF |
08/16/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Valuetronics | 0.62 | 0.8 | Buy |
UOL - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/03/19 | OCBC | UOL | 6.07 | 8.41 | Buy | |
01/04/19 | Lim & Tan | UOL | 6 | 0 | Buy | |
01/17/19 | DBS Vickers | UOL | 6.65 | 7.15 | Hold | |
02/12/19 | Lim & Tan | UOL | 6.57 | 0 | Buy | |
02/27/19 | CIMB | UOL | 6.77 | 8.45 | Add | RNAV |
02/27/19 | OCBC | UOL | 6.77 | 8.45 | Buy | RNAV |
02/27/19 | Lim & Tan | UOL | 6.77 | 0 | Buy | |
02/28/19 | DBS Vickers | UOL | 6.75 | 7.15 | Hold | RNAV (40% discount) |
03/18/19 | OCBC | UOL | 6.45 | 8.45 | Buy | RNAV |
03/28/19 | CIMB | UOL | 6.78 | 8.45 | Add | |
04/02/19 | OCBC | UOL | 7.11 | 8.45 | Buy | RNAV |
04/16/19 | DBS Vickers | UOL | 7.36 | 8.53 | Buy | RNAV (35% discount) |
05/13/19 | Lim & Tan | UOL | 7.26 | 0 | Buy | |
05/13/19 | CIMB | UOL | 7.26 | 8.45 | Add | RNAV (30% discount) |
05/13/19 | OCBC | UOL | 7.26 | 8.5 | Buy | |
05/14/19 | DBS Vickers | UOL | 7.08 | 8.53 | Buy | RNAV (35% discount) |
06/07/19 | CIMB | UOL | 6.8 | 8.45 | Add | |
07/15/19 | OCBC | UOL | 7.61 | 8.5 | Buy | |
08/13/19 | OCBC | UOL | 7.2 | 8.5 | Buy | |
08/13/19 | DBS Vickers | UOL | 7.2 | 8.53 | Buy | PB0.8x |
08/13/19 | Lim & Tan | UOL | 7.2 | 0 | Buy on weakness | |
09/10/19 | DBS Vickers | UOL | 7.47 | 8.53 | Buy | RNAV (35% discount) |
UOB - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/02/19 | DMG & Partners | UOB | 24.57 | 30.8 | Buy | GGM, PB1.41x FY19 |
01/03/19 | CIMB | UOB | 24.31 | 31 | Add | PER11.4x FY20 |
01/03/19 | JP Morgan | UOB | 24.31 | 30 | Overweight | |
01/04/19 | phillip | UOB | 23.99 | 32.52 | Buy | |
01/04/19 | Jefferies | UOB | 23.99 | 31 | Buy | |
01/29/19 | DMG & Partners | UOB | 25.83 | 29.8 | Buy | GGM, PB1.37x FY19 |
01/29/19 | CIMB | UOB | 25.83 | 32 | Add | GGM, PB1.4x CY19 |
01/31/19 | Kim Eng | UOB | 25.3 | 30.5 | Buy | DDM |
02/01/19 | phillip | UOB | 25.19 | 32.52 | Buy | |
02/12/19 | Kim Eng | UOB | 25.34 | 30.5 | Buy | |
02/22/19 | DMG & Partners | UOB | 25.98 | 29.8 | Buy | PB1.35x FY19 |
02/25/19 | Jefferies | UOB | 25.58 | 30 | Buy | PER12.3x FY19 |
02/25/19 | OCBC | UOB | 25.58 | 28.3 | Buy | PB1.2x FY19 |
02/25/19 | DBS Vickers | UOB | 25.58 | 29.2 | Buy | GGM, PB1.2x |
02/25/19 | phillip | UOB | 25.58 | 32.51 | Buy | GGM, PB1.4x FY19 |
02/25/19 | Kim Eng | UOB | 25.58 | 29.71 | Buy | DDM |
02/25/19 | CIMB | UOB | 25.58 | 29 | Add | GGM, PB1.3x FY19 |
02/26/19 | Macquarie | UOB | 25.39 | 30.5 | Outperform | PB |
03/04/19 | phillip | UOB | 25 | 32.5 | Buy | |
03/07/19 | Kim Eng | UOB | 25.1 | 29.71 | Buy | |
03/11/19 | CIMB | UOB | 24.91 | 29 | Add | |
03/13/19 | DMG & Partners | UOB | 25.04 | 29.8 | Buy | PB1.35x FY19 |
03/26/19 | OCBC | UOB | 24.95 | 28.3 | Buy | |
04/02/19 | phillip | UOB | 25.42 | 32.5 | Buy | |
04/02/19 | DBS Vickers | UOB | 25.42 | 29.2 | Buy | |
04/11/19 | CIMB | UOB | 26.56 | 29 | Add | |
04/12/19 | Kim Eng | UOB | 26.53 | 29.71 | Buy | |
04/18/19 | phillip | UOB | 26.87 | 32.02 | Buy | GGM, PB1.4x FY19 |
04/22/19 | DMG & Partners | UOB | 26.8 | 29.8 | Buy | |
04/24/19 | DMG & Partners | UOB | 26.99 | 30.8 | Buy | PB1.29x FY20 |
05/03/19 | phillip | UOB | 27.75 | 32.5 | Buy | |
05/03/19 | DMG & Partners | UOB | 27.75 | 30.8 | Buy | GGM, PB1.29x FY20 |
05/03/19 | DBS Vickers | UOB | 27.75 | 29.2 | Buy | GGM, PB1.2x FY19 |
05/03/19 | CIMB | UOB | 27.75 | 29 | Add | GGM |
05/06/19 | Jefferies | UOB | 27.77 | 31 | Buy | PER12.4x FY19 |
05/06/19 | OCBC | UOB | 27.77 | 28.9 | Hold | GGM, PB1.2x |
05/06/19 | phillip | UOB | 27.77 | 30.87 | Accumulate | GGM, PB1.4x FY19 |
05/06/19 | CIMB | UOB | 27.77 | 29.58 | Add | GGM, PB1.3x |
05/06/19 | Lim & Tan | UOB | 27.77 | 0 | Buy on weakness | |
05/07/19 | OCBC | UOB | 25.85 | 27.3 | Hold | |
05/16/19 | CIMB | UOB | 25.1 | 29.58 | Add | GGM |
05/22/19 | Kim Eng | UOB | 24.83 | 28.97 | Buy | |
06/03/19 | CIMB | UOB | 23.5 | 29.58 | Add | |
06/06/19 | phillip | UOB | 24 | 30.9 | Accumulate | |
06/06/19 | DMG & Partners | UOB | 24 | 30.8 | Buy | |
06/17/19 | Kim Eng | UOB | 24.99 | 28.97 | Buy | |
06/20/19 | OCBC | UOB | 26.14 | 28.9 | Buy | |
06/25/19 | DBS Vickers | UOB | 25.86 | 29.2 | Buy | |
07/01/19 | Kim Eng | UOB | 26.13 | 28.97 | Buy | |
07/02/19 | OCBC | UOB | 26.61 | 29.4 | Buy | GGM, PB1.3x, PER11.3x |
07/03/19 | phillip | UOB | 26.55 | 30.9 | Accumulate | |
07/08/19 | DMG & Partners | UOB | 26.26 | 30.8 | Buy | PB1.29x FY20 |
07/22/19 | CIMB | UOB | 26.94 | 29.58 | Add | |
07/23/19 | DBS Vickers | UOB | 26.8 | 29.2 | Buy | |
08/02/19 | DMG & Partners | UOB | 26.28 | 29.5 | Buy | GGM, PB1.24x FY20 |
08/02/19 | Lim & Tan | UOB | 26.28 | 0 | Buy on weakness | |
08/05/19 | phillip | UOB | 26 | 28.6 | Accumulate | GGM, PB1.3x |
08/05/19 | DBS Vickers | UOB | 26 | 29.2 | Buy | GGM, PB1.2x FY19 |
08/05/19 | Kim Eng | UOB | 26 | 29.13 | Buy | DDM |
08/06/19 | CIMB | UOB | 25.91 | 29.58 | Add | GGM, PB1.3x |
08/20/19 | CIMB | UOB | 25.15 | 29.54 | Add | |
08/29/19 | Macquarie | UOB | 24.41 | 27.2 | Neutral | PB |
09/02/19 | CIMB | UOB | 24.96 | 29.54 | Add | |
09/05/19 | phillip | UOB | 25.1 | 28.6 | Accumulate | |
09/11/19 | DMG & Partners | UOB | 25.77 | 29.5 | Buy | |
09/26/19 | Kim Eng | UOB | 25.38 | 29.13 | Buy |
Stock calls for 27 September 2019
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
09/27/19 | CIMB | DBS | 24.82 | 27.59 | Hold | |
09/27/19 | Lim & Tan | Mapletree Commercial | 2.36 | 0 | Hold | |
09/27/19 | CIMB | OCBC | 10.82 | 12.53 | Hold | |
09/27/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Singtel | 3.13 | 3.32 | Hold | DCF, Buy @ $3 |
09/27/19 | CIMB | Venture | 15.26 | 16.28 | Add |
Thursday, September 26, 2019
China's beidou has 48 satellites now!
http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2019-09/23/c_138414889.htm
China's beidou navigation system has 48 satellites now.
This BDS provides almost free SMS for its marine users because China doesn't want its marine users to use its BDS for chatting. BDS will provide voice call and internet services in the future too.
Kudos to China for providing such services!
China's beidou navigation system has 48 satellites now.
This BDS provides almost free SMS for its marine users because China doesn't want its marine users to use its BDS for chatting. BDS will provide voice call and internet services in the future too.
Kudos to China for providing such services!
Unusual - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
09/17/19 | DMG & Partners | Unusual | 0.28 | 0.42 | Buy | DCF |
Uni-Asia - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
03/14/19 | Amfrasers | Uni-Asia | 1.2 | 2.07 | Buy | Sum of parts, PB0.6x FY19, PER9.5x FY19 |
04/09/19 | Amfrasers | Uni-Asia | 1.16 | 1.86 | Buy | Sum of parts, PB0.6x FY19, PER9.5x FY19 |
05/17/19 | Amfrasers | Uni-Asia | 1.13 | 1.86 | Buy | Sum of parts, PB0.6x FY19, PER9.5x FY19 |
08/28/19 | Amfrasers | Uni-Asia | 0.73 | 1.24 | Buy | Sum of parts, PB0.6x FY20, PER8.5x FY20 |
09/26/19 | Amfrasers | Uni-Asia | 0.71 | 1.24 | Buy | Sum of parts, PB0.6x FY20, PER8.5x FY20 |
UMS - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/26/19 | DBS Vickers | UMS | 0.71 | 0.55 | Fully Valued | PER8x FY19 |
02/28/19 | CIMB | UMS | 0.74 | 0.62 | Reduce | PB1.37x CY19 |
05/14/19 | DBS Vickers | UMS | 0.615 | 0.55 | Fully Valued | PER8x FY19 |
05/16/19 | DBS Vickers | UMS | 0.64 | 0.45 | Fully Valued | PER8x FY19/20 |
05/21/19 | CIMB | UMS | 0.62 | 0.55 | Reduce | |
08/16/19 | DBS Vickers | UMS | 0.585 | 0.49 | Fully Valued | PER9x FY20 |
Stock calls for 26 September 2019
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
09/26/19 | Kim Eng | DBS | 24.73 | 28.05 | Hold | |
09/26/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Jumbo | 0.38 | 0.37 | Hold | Buy @ $0.33 |
09/26/19 | CIMB | Mapletree Industrial | 2.49 | 2.44 | Add | DDM |
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09/26/19 | DMG & Partners | OCBC | 10.77 | 11.5 | Neutral | GGM, PB1.07x FY20 |
09/26/19 | Amfrasers | Uni-Asia | 0.71 | 1.24 | Buy | Sum of parts, PB0.6x FY20, PER8.5x FY20 |
09/26/19 | Kim Eng | UOB | 25.38 | 29.13 | Buy |
Simple explanation of the relationship between an interest rate and GDP.
I understand that many people don't understand the relationship between an interest rate and GDP. Therefore, I will try to explain it in a simple way with my recalled economic knowledge.
I will use the IS-LM (investment-saving & liquidity preference money supply) model to explain this relationship between the interest rate and GDP. However, this IS-LM model is conceived in a perfect world environment which means that the aggregate demand and supply are a zero-sum game (equal balance) and this perfect world is not true in the real world.
The X-axis represents the interest rate and the Y-axis represents the real GDP output.
The IS-LM diagram is showing that a cut in interest rate will increase the real GDP output (Y) before the interest rate must be raised to prevent an overheating GDP (Y) which will cause the GDP (Y) to decline again. Basically, the black dot on the IS-LM diagram will move in a cycle accordingly to the interest rate movements.
Since we have a visual understanding of the relationship between the interest rate and the real GDP output, we can move on to understand the real GDP output growth. There is only real GDP output growth when there is additional production of goods and services.
Thus, the real GDP output growth formula (production function) is:
Y = A * f(K, L)
A=Productivity
K=Capital
L=Labour quantity
As we can see from the production function, K is affected by the interest rate movement because a cut in interest rate will lower the cost of capital which will encourage business investments in machinery and equipment to improve productivity (A). The lower cost of capital will also encourage the hiring of labour to operate and maintain the additional equipment and new machinery. In other words, K will affect A and L which in turn will push up Y. This manipulation of K also applies to the service sector.
I hope our viewers will have a better understanding of the monetary policy (Interest rate) now after reading my post.
I will use the IS-LM (investment-saving & liquidity preference money supply) model to explain this relationship between the interest rate and GDP. However, this IS-LM model is conceived in a perfect world environment which means that the aggregate demand and supply are a zero-sum game (equal balance) and this perfect world is not true in the real world.
The X-axis represents the interest rate and the Y-axis represents the real GDP output.
The IS-LM diagram is showing that a cut in interest rate will increase the real GDP output (Y) before the interest rate must be raised to prevent an overheating GDP (Y) which will cause the GDP (Y) to decline again. Basically, the black dot on the IS-LM diagram will move in a cycle accordingly to the interest rate movements.
Since we have a visual understanding of the relationship between the interest rate and the real GDP output, we can move on to understand the real GDP output growth. There is only real GDP output growth when there is additional production of goods and services.
Thus, the real GDP output growth formula (production function) is:
Y = A * f(K, L)
A=Productivity
K=Capital
L=Labour quantity
As we can see from the production function, K is affected by the interest rate movement because a cut in interest rate will lower the cost of capital which will encourage business investments in machinery and equipment to improve productivity (A). The lower cost of capital will also encourage the hiring of labour to operate and maintain the additional equipment and new machinery. In other words, K will affect A and L which in turn will push up Y. This manipulation of K also applies to the service sector.
I hope our viewers will have a better understanding of the monetary policy (Interest rate) now after reading my post.
How many deaths must happen before the government takes action against cyclists? - Part 2
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/65-yearold-woman-involved-in-escooter-accident-in-bedok-north-dies-151436494.html
Another avoidable death!
The death toll will only increase as long as our government doesn't ban e-scooters on pedestrian paths. This won't be the last death in SG.
We've stated this before. I hope that our government will ban e-scooter like what France did to safeguard pedestrians. Registration of e-scooter won't protect pedestrians from accidental death.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/06/how-many-deaths-must-happen-before.html
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/06/httpwww.html
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/france-has-done-right-thing-for-its.html
Another avoidable death!
The death toll will only increase as long as our government doesn't ban e-scooters on pedestrian paths. This won't be the last death in SG.
We've stated this before. I hope that our government will ban e-scooter like what France did to safeguard pedestrians. Registration of e-scooter won't protect pedestrians from accidental death.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/06/how-many-deaths-must-happen-before.html
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/06/httpwww.html
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/france-has-done-right-thing-for-its.html
Why did China cancel the US farm visits? - Part 2
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/23/trump-surprised-when-mnuchin-says-he-asked-china-to-cancel-farm-tour.html
If you look at the video carefully, you will notice that Trump is totally unaware of Mnuchin's doing. It was Mnuchin who asked China to cancel the US farm visits but the media reported widely that China was the one cancelling the US farm visits.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/why-did-china-cancel-us-farm-visits.html
It was pretty obvious that Mnuchin was trying to do some hanky panky things behind Trump's back and he was stuttering when Trump questioned him.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/why-did-china-cancel-us-farm-visits.html
It was pretty obvious that Mnuchin was trying to do some hanky panky things behind Trump's back and he was stuttering when Trump questioned him.
A billion dollar question: Will the US enter a recession? - Part 2
https://www.bangkokpost.com/opinion/opinion/1758639/fresh-qe-wont-stop-global-recession
A Thai PHD economist forecast that an unavoidable global recession was coming but a US PHD economist (Janet Yellen) didn't think so.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/a-billion-dollar-question-will-us-enter.html
Why is there such a discrepancy?
Well, different people interpret the same set of data differently and this is the drawback of empirical research which is interpretation based on observation. Thus, we can find economics noble laureates disagree amongst themselves too. In fact, scientific researches are empirical in nature too.
We had stated previously that QE or ME should be used as a last resort because it was a double-edge sword.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/monetary-easing-ma-policy-should-be.html
A Thai PHD economist forecast that an unavoidable global recession was coming but a US PHD economist (Janet Yellen) didn't think so.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/a-billion-dollar-question-will-us-enter.html
Why is there such a discrepancy?
Well, different people interpret the same set of data differently and this is the drawback of empirical research which is interpretation based on observation. Thus, we can find economics noble laureates disagree amongst themselves too. In fact, scientific researches are empirical in nature too.
We had stated previously that QE or ME should be used as a last resort because it was a double-edge sword.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/monetary-easing-ma-policy-should-be.html
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