Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/14/17 | DBS Vickers | Pan-United | 0.665 | 0.63 | Hold | Sum of parts |
05/15/17 | DBS Vickers | Pan-United | 0.69 | 0.63 | Hold | Sum of parts |
08/14/17 | DBS Vickers | Pan-United | 0.565 | 0.51 | Fully Valued | |
11/14/17 | DBS Vickers | Pan-United | 0.575 | 0.51 | Fully Valued | |
12/06/17 | DBS Vickers | Pan-United | 0.545 | 0.51 | Fully Valued | Sum of parts |
Thursday, November 15, 2018
Pan-United - Stock calls
Pacific Radiance - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/28/17 | Amfrasers | Pacific Radiance | 0.153 | 0.17 | Hold | |
03/01/17 | DBS Vickers | Pacific Radiance | 0.153 | 0.16 | Hold | PB0.35x FY17 |
05/18/17 | DBS Vickers | Pacific Radiance | 0.12 | 0.1 | Fully Valued | PB0.2x FY17 |
05/19/17 | CIMB | Pacific Radiance | 0.115 | 0.11 | Reduce | PB0.22x FY17 |
08/15/17 | CIMB | Pacific Radiance | 0.085 | 0.073 | Reduce | PB0.15x |
08/15/17 | DBS Vickers | Pacific Radiance | 0.085 | 0.07 | Fully Valued | PB0.15x FY17 |
01/12/18 | CIMB | Pacific Radiance | 0.108 | 0.07 | Reduce |
Stock calls for 15 November 2018
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
11/15/18 | Amfrasers | Accordia Golf Trust | 0.49 | 0.61 | Hold | |
11/15/18 | OCBC | Capitaland | 3.08 | 3.96 | Buy | RNAV (20% discount) |
11/15/18 | DBS Vickers | Capitaland | 3.08 | 3.62 | Buy | RNAV (25% discount) |
11/15/18 | DMG & Partners | Capitaland | 3.08 | 4 | Buy | RNAV (20% discount) |
11/15/18 | CIMB | Capitaland | 3.08 | 3.55 | Add | RNAV (35% discount) |
11/15/18 | CIMB | Fu Yu | 0.17 | 0.17 | Hold | PB0.8x |
11/15/18 | DMG & Partners | Genting | 0.925 | 1.23 | Buy | DCF, EV/Ebitda9x |
11/15/18 | UOB Kay Hian | HMI | 0.550 | 0.77 | Buy | DCF |
11/15/18 | CIMB | HMI | 0.550 | 0.73 | Add | DCF, EV/Ebitda15.2x FY20 |
11/15/18 | DBS Vickers | Hong Leong Finance | 2.57 | 3.2 | buy | GGM, PB0.7x FY19 |
11/15/18 | CIMB | Jadason | 0.03 | 0.073 | Add | PB1x FY18 |
11/15/18 | DBS Vickers | Mermaid Maritime | 0.094 | 0.1 | Hold | PB0.5x |
11/15/18 | DBS Vickers | MM2 Asia | 0.37 | 0.5 | Buy | Sum of parts, PER16x FY19 |
11/15/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Propnex | 0.56 | 0.65 | Buy | DCF, PER10x FY19 |
11/15/18 | OCBC | SIA | 9.41 | 10.71 | Buy | PB0.85x FY19 |
11/15/18 | Lim & Tan | SIA | 9.41 | 0 | Hold | |
11/15/18 | DBS Vickers | SIIC | 0.28 | 0.32 | Hold | |
11/15/18 | DBS Vickers | ST Engineering | 3.5 | 4.15 | Buy | Sum of parts |
11/15/18 | Kim Eng | ST Engineering | 3.5 | 4.35 | Buy | DCF |
11/15/18 | CIMB | ST Engineering | 3.5 | 3.94 | Add | Sum of parts |
11/15/18 | DMG & Partners | Wilmar | 3.19 | 3.59 | Buy |
Canada has given Trump a tight slap in the face.
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/trudeau-says-canada-china-eventual-free-trade-deal-050049932--business.html
The "poison" clause in the new NAFTA amongst the 3 countries (US, Mexico & Canada) doesn't allow any party to sign a FTA with a non-market economy defined under WTO and China has a non-market economy status.
Any party who signs a FTA with a non-market economy will render the new NAFTA void in 6 months time. Look like Canada is going to void the new NAFTA and piss Trump off.
The "poison" clause in the new NAFTA amongst the 3 countries (US, Mexico & Canada) doesn't allow any party to sign a FTA with a non-market economy defined under WTO and China has a non-market economy status.
Any party who signs a FTA with a non-market economy will render the new NAFTA void in 6 months time. Look like Canada is going to void the new NAFTA and piss Trump off.
Yeah! SG PM Lee has been invited to attend OBR 2019 summit by China.
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/pm-lee-attend-china-apos-035508247.html
As PM Lee changes his anti-China mentality, SG-China relationship has reverted back to the good old days. PM Lee has been invited by China to attend the OBR 2019 summit.
Hopefully, SG can retake its ASEAN facilitator role back from the Philippines when SG-China relationship gets cozy again.
The chairman for ASEAN 2019 will be Thailand and Thailand is a pro-China country. Thus, I believe China-ASEAN relationship will get better in 2019.
As PM Lee changes his anti-China mentality, SG-China relationship has reverted back to the good old days. PM Lee has been invited by China to attend the OBR 2019 summit.
Hopefully, SG can retake its ASEAN facilitator role back from the Philippines when SG-China relationship gets cozy again.
The chairman for ASEAN 2019 will be Thailand and Thailand is a pro-China country. Thus, I believe China-ASEAN relationship will get better in 2019.
US-China trade war will hurt the Hong Kong economy badly.
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/hong-kong-housing-prices-could-055600239.html
If HK property prices were to crash 25% as predicted in the article above, the Hang Seng Index (HSI) would crash heavily too because of the heavy property composition in the HSI.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/10/danger-is-lurking-in-hong-kong-property.html
If HK property prices were to crash 25% as predicted in the article above, the Hang Seng Index (HSI) would crash heavily too because of the heavy property composition in the HSI.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/10/danger-is-lurking-in-hong-kong-property.html
Wednesday, November 14, 2018
The Germany economy shrinks for the 1st time since 2015.
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/german-industry-association-bdi-cuts-2018-export-forecast-094538270--sector.html
These are telltale signs that the Germany economy is slowing down.
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/german-economy-shrinks-first-time-085505460.html
The Germany economy shrinks for the 1st time since 2015.
Just this week alone, Japan, HK, and Germany economies have reported a slowdown.
These are telltale signs that the Germany economy is slowing down.
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/german-economy-shrinks-first-time-085505460.html
The Germany economy shrinks for the 1st time since 2015.
Just this week alone, Japan, HK, and Germany economies have reported a slowdown.
PACC Offshore - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/13/17 | DBS Vickers | PACC Offshore | 0.335 | 0.41 | Buy | |
02/22/17 | DBS Vickers | PACC Offshore | 0.365 | 0.42 | Buy | PB0.8x |
02/22/17 | OCBC | PACC Offshore | 0.365 | 0.33 | Sell | PB0.7x |
04/10/17 | DBS Vickers | PACC Offshore | 0.34 | 0.42 | Buy | |
04/12/17 | OCBC | PACC Offshore | 0.35 | 0.335 | Hold | PB0.7x |
05/08/17 | DBS Vickers | PACC Offshore | 0.32 | 0.41 | Buy | PB0.8x |
05/09/17 | OCBC | PACC Offshore | 0.325 | 0.335 | Hold | PB0.7x FY17/18 |
05/31/17 | OCBC | PACC Offshore | 0.305 | 0.325 | Hold | |
08/02/17 | DBS Vickers | PACC Offshore | 0.285 | 0.41 | Buy | PB0.8x |
11/14/17 | DBS Vickers | PACC Offshore | 0.345 | 0.41 | Buy | PB0.8x |
01/23/18 | DBS Vickers | PACC Offshore | 0.43 | 0.51 | Buy | PB1x |
02/13/18 | DBS Vickers | PACC Offshore | 0.37 | 0.51 | Buy | |
02/22/18 | DBS Vickers | PACC Offshore | 0.39 | 0.48 | Buy | PB1.4x |
04/04/18 | DBS Vickers | PACC Offshore | 0.35 | 0.32 | Hold | PB1x |
05/10/18 | DBS Vickers | PACC Offshore | 0.345 | 0.32 | Hold | PB1x FY18 |
08/10/18 | DBS Vickers | PACC Offshore | 0.305 | 0.32 | Hold | PB1x FY18 |
11/05/18 | DBS Vickers | PACC Offshore | 0.24 | 0.25 | Hold | PB0.8x FY19 |
Oxley - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/03/17 | DMG & Partners | Oxley | 0.43 | 0.85 | Buy | |
10/03/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Oxley | 0.56 | 0.67 | Buy | RNAV (20% discount) |
11/22/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Oxley | 0.655 | 0.74 | Buy | RNAV (20% discount) |
12/01/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Oxley | 0.6 | 0.74 | Buy | |
03/14/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Oxley | 0.56 | 0.74 | Buy | |
04/04/18 | Soochow SSD | Oxley | 0.495 | 0.63 | Buy | RNAV (20% discount) |
04/24/18 | DBS Vickers | Oxley | 0.485 | 0.68 | Not Rated | RNAV (35% discount) |
06/04/18 | Kim Eng | Oxley | 0.46 | 0.56 | Buy | RNAV (20% discount) |
07/09/18 | Kim Eng | Oxley | 0.345 | 0.34 | Hold | |
07/12/18 | NRA | Oxley | 0.36 | 0.435 | Overweight | |
08/27/18 | Kim Eng | Oxley | 0.35 | 0.36 | Hold | |
09/06/18 | Kim Eng | Oxley | 0.345 | 0.36 | Hold |
OUE Hospitality - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/04/17 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.685 | 0.73 | Buy | |
01/09/17 | DBS Vickers | OUE Hospitality | 0.68 | 0.72 | Buy | DCF |
01/26/17 | CIMB | OUE Hospitality | 0.685 | 0.71 | Add | DDM |
01/26/17 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.685 | 0.7 | Neutral | DDM |
01/26/17 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.685 | 0.75 | Buy | |
01/27/17 | DBS Vickers | OUE Hospitality | 0.685 | 0.75 | Buy | DCF |
01/31/17 | Credit Suisse | OUE Hospitality | 0.69 | 0.78 | Neutral | |
02/08/17 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.675 | 0.75 | Buy | |
02/28/17 | Deutsche | OUE Hospitality | 0.69 | 0.65 | Hold | |
03/10/17 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.675 | 0.7 | Neutral | |
03/16/17 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.68 | 0.75 | Buy | |
04/03/17 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.69 | 0.76 | Buy | DDM |
04/17/17 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.71 | 0.75 | Buy | |
05/05/17 | DBS Vickers | OUE Hospitality | 0.715 | 0.76 | Buy | DCF |
05/05/17 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.715 | 0.76 | Buy | DDM |
05/05/17 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.715 | 0.75 | Buy | |
05/15/17 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.705 | 0.78 | Buy | DDM |
06/09/17 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.72 | 0.75 | Buy | |
06/22/17 | Deutsche | OUE Hospitality | 0.725 | 0.65 | Hold | |
07/04/17 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.755 | 0.75 | Buy | |
07/12/17 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.76 | 0.78 | Buy | |
08/02/17 | CIMB | OUE Hospitality | 0.76 | 0.82 | Add | DDM |
08/02/17 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.76 | 0.83 | Buy | DDM |
08/02/17 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.76 | 0.82 | Buy | |
08/02/17 | Lim & Tan | OUE Hospitality | 0.76 | 0 | Hold | |
08/03/17 | DBS Vickers | OUE Hospitality | 0.77 | 0.8 | Buy | DCF |
09/21/17 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.79 | 0.83 | Buy | |
09/21/17 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.79 | 0.82 | Buy | |
11/02/17 | CIMB | OUE Hospitality | 0.81 | 0.84 | Add | DDM |
11/02/17 | Credit Suisse | OUE Hospitality | 0.81 | 0.78 | Neutral | |
11/02/17 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.81 | 0.82 | Hold | |
11/02/17 | DBS Vickers | OUE Hospitality | 0.81 | 0.85 | Buy | DCF |
11/03/17 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.815 | 0.88 | Buy | DDM |
12/01/17 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.815 | 0.82 | Hold | |
12/06/17 | DBS Vickers | OUE Hospitality | 0.825 | 0.85 | Buy | |
12/19/17 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.835 | 0.88 | Buy | |
01/03/18 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.855 | 0.91 | Buy | DDM |
01/04/18 | Deutsche | OUE Hospitality | 0.87 | 0.65 | Sell | |
01/04/18 | CIMB | OUE Hospitality | 0.87 | 0.89 | Add | DDM |
01/05/18 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.875 | 0.83 | Hold | |
01/31/18 | DBS Vickers | OUE Hospitality | 0.885 | 0.93 | Buy | DCF |
01/31/18 | Lim & Tan | OUE Hospitality | 0.885 | 0 | Hold | |
02/20/18 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.845 | 0.95 | Buy | |
04/04/18 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.795 | 0.95 | Buy | |
04/10/18 | CIMB | OUE Hospitality | 0.825 | 0.92 | Add | |
04/17/18 | DBS Vickers | OUE Hospitality | 0.815 | 0.93 | Buy | |
05/03/18 | CIMB | OUE Hospitality | 0.82 | 0.92 | Add | DDM |
05/03/18 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.82 | 0.95 | Buy | DDM |
05/03/18 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.82 | 0.84 | Hold | Buy @ $0.78 or lower |
07/06/18 | DBS Vickers | OUE Hospitality | 0.765 | 0.93 | Buy | |
07/30/18 | CIMB | OUE Hospitality | 0.825 | 0.89 | Add | DDM |
07/30/18 | DBS Vickers | OUE Hospitality | 0.825 | 0.9 | Buy | DCF |
07/31/18 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.805 | 0.79 | Hold | |
09/20/18 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.69 | 0.79 | Buy | |
09/25/18 | Deutsche | OUE Hospitality | 0.715 | 0.65 | Sell | |
10/04/18 | CIMB | OUE Hospitality | 0.72 | 0.85 | Add | |
10/10/18 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.695 | 0.79 | Buy | |
10/16/18 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.69 | 0.8 | Buy | DDM |
11/08/18 | CIMB | OUE Hospitality | 0.685 | 0.82 | Add | DDM |
11/08/18 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.685 | 0.8 | Buy | |
11/08/18 | DBS Vickers | OUE Hospitality | 0.685 | 0.85 | Buy | DCF |
11/09/18 | OCBC | OUE Hospitality | 0.69 | 0.79 | Buy |
Stock calls for 14 November 2018
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
11/14/18 | DMG & Partners | Amara | 0.42 | 0.88 | Buy | |
11/14/18 | DBS Vickers | APAC Realty | 0.5 | 0.56 | Hold | PER10x FY19 |
11/14/18 | OCBC | Capitaland | 3.08 | 4.09 | Buy | |
11/14/18 | phillip | China Everbright | 0.35 | 0.44 | Buy | PER8.8x |
11/14/18 | DBS Vickers | China Everbright | 0.35 | 0.475 | Buy | PER15z |
11/14/18 | DMG & Partners | Delfi | 1.19 | 1.59 | Buy | DCF |
11/14/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Golden Agri | 0.245 | 0.2 | Sell | PER11x FY19 |
11/14/18 | CIMB | Golden Agri | 0.245 | 0.23 | Reduce | Sum of parts (20% discount) |
11/14/18 | DMG & Partners | GSS Energy | 0.097 | 0.19 | Buy | Sum of parts |
11/14/18 | DBS Vickers | Sasseur | 0.68 | 0.91 | Buy | DCF |
11/14/18 | UOB Kay Hian | SIA | 9.42 | 10.4 | Hold | PB0.75x FY19, Buy @ $9.20-9.30 |
11/14/18 | DBS Vickers | SIA | 9.42 | 10.2 | Hold | PB0.85x FY19 |
11/14/18 | DMG & Partners | Silverlake | 0.41 | 0.65 | Buy | DCF |
11/14/18 | CIMB | Silverlake | 0.41 | 0.56 | Add | DCF |
11/14/18 | Macquarie | Singtel | 3.03 | 3.14 | Outperform | |
11/14/18 | DMG & Partners | UG Healthcare | 0.215 | 0.32 | Buy | PER12x FY19 |
11/14/18 | CIMB | UMS | 0.715 | 0.75 | Hold | PB1.72x |
11/14/18 | DBS Vickers | UMS | 0.715 | 0.55 | Fully Valued | PER8x FY19 |
11/14/18 | CIMB | UOL | 6.18 | 8.45 | Add | RNAV (30% discount) |
11/14/18 | OCBC | UOL | 6.18 | 8.41 | Buy | RNAV (35% discount) |
11/14/18 | Lim & Tan | UOL | 6.18 | 0 | Buy | |
11/14/18 | OCBC | Yanlord | 1.28 | 2.13 | Buy | |
11/14/18 | DBS Vickers | Yoma | 0.35 | 0.4 | Buy | RNAV (60% discount) |
Hong Kong is expected to slow down significantly!
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/hong-kongs-third-quarter-gdp-growth-seen-cooling-031106075--business.html
After Japan announced its slowdown, HK is the next to declare that its economic growth will slow down significantly.
Furthermore, HK has to follow the US in hiking interest rates to contain its HKD fall since it is pegged to the USD.
A higher interest rate will cause HK to slow down further.
After Japan announced its slowdown, HK is the next to declare that its economic growth will slow down significantly.
Furthermore, HK has to follow the US in hiking interest rates to contain its HKD fall since it is pegged to the USD.
A higher interest rate will cause HK to slow down further.
US skyrocketing debt will cause the next great recession!
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-debt-payments-soon-exceed-160557722.html
The US economic growth is based entirely on credit and this credit bubble will burst one day. There is no way for the US government to repay its colossal debt and its citizens have virtually no savings.
However, many people still have blind faith in the USA but the day of reckoning will come. It is a matter of when, not IF. In fact, some financial head honchos are warning about this credit bubble now.
https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/blackrock-larry-fink-deficit-budget/2018/11/09/id/890133/
Just look at the federal government! The federal government is also on the verge of bankruptcy with no money to pay its own government employees.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/01/the-us-government-has-shut-down-on.html
This federal government will face the money problem next year again.
The US economic growth is based entirely on credit and this credit bubble will burst one day. There is no way for the US government to repay its colossal debt and its citizens have virtually no savings.
However, many people still have blind faith in the USA but the day of reckoning will come. It is a matter of when, not IF. In fact, some financial head honchos are warning about this credit bubble now.
https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/blackrock-larry-fink-deficit-budget/2018/11/09/id/890133/
Just look at the federal government! The federal government is also on the verge of bankruptcy with no money to pay its own government employees.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/01/the-us-government-has-shut-down-on.html
This federal government will face the money problem next year again.
Japan economic growth is slowing down.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/japans-economy-contracts-natural-disasters-trade-frictions-hit-002124696--business.html
Japan's economy contracts 1.2% annually in Q3 and will continue to slow down when the US-China trade war intensifies.
The only bright spot in the world now is Asia and the western countries such as Europe and the US are dumping their goods in Asia when they cannot sell goods to China which is the largest market. Japan will also start to divert its goods to Asia when its exports to China falter since Japan is an export-oriented nation.
Many developing Asia economies are still growing at above 5% which are much higher than in Europe and the US. However, Asia won't be able to hold up the global economic growth and will also falter over time because of the slowdown in China.
Japan's economy contracts 1.2% annually in Q3 and will continue to slow down when the US-China trade war intensifies.
The only bright spot in the world now is Asia and the western countries such as Europe and the US are dumping their goods in Asia when they cannot sell goods to China which is the largest market. Japan will also start to divert its goods to Asia when its exports to China falter since Japan is an export-oriented nation.
Many developing Asia economies are still growing at above 5% which are much higher than in Europe and the US. However, Asia won't be able to hold up the global economic growth and will also falter over time because of the slowdown in China.
Bank of Japan's balance sheet is larger than Japan's GDP.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/graphic-bank-japans-balance-sheet-083941933.html
When a central bank is bigger than its own country GDP, it is facing tremendous stress in managing its assets because of the different risks it faced in different markets.
What does this mean for the market?
This means the stock market is artificially being held up and the bond market is also flushed with fake liquidity.
When there is a global recession, BOJ will suffer from a massive dilution in asset values. The BOJ will also suffer great losses in its bond assets in an interest rate rising environment because the bond price and interest yield move in an inverse relationship.
The BOJ will be cash-strapped when it is holding a lot of assets and will face cash flow problems when it is needed to perform its origin duties as a central bank. It cannot cash out easily because it will disrupt the stock and bond markets.
When a central bank is bigger than its own country GDP, it is facing tremendous stress in managing its assets because of the different risks it faced in different markets.
What does this mean for the market?
This means the stock market is artificially being held up and the bond market is also flushed with fake liquidity.
When there is a global recession, BOJ will suffer from a massive dilution in asset values. The BOJ will also suffer great losses in its bond assets in an interest rate rising environment because the bond price and interest yield move in an inverse relationship.
The BOJ will be cash-strapped when it is holding a lot of assets and will face cash flow problems when it is needed to perform its origin duties as a central bank. It cannot cash out easily because it will disrupt the stock and bond markets.
Foreign buyers are snubbing US treasuries auctions in November 2018.
3-year bonds
https://www.ft.com/content/f3f56754-e12a-11e8-8e70-5e22a430c1ad
Quote:
Primary dealers, responsible for bidding on a pro-rata share of each auction to ensure the debt is sold, walked away with 47.9 per cent of the securities, above a recent auction average of 44.1 per cent, as other investors backed away.
End Quote.
30-year bonds
https://www.ft.com/content/752b0a68-e2bb-11e8-8e70-5e22a430c1ad
Quote:
The weak demand left primary dealers, who are responsible for bidding on a pro-rata share of each auction to ensure the debt is sold, taking home 38.1 per cent of the sale, above a recent average of 27.3 per cent.
End Quote.
How do we know that there are fewer buyers participating in the US bonds auction? Well, we just need to look at the pro-rata share of the auction to determine the increase or decrease of foreign buyers.
This is just a simple mathematics logic.
When the denominator (the number of buyers) gets smaller, the pro-rata figure will get bigger. Therefore, a high the pro-rata figure denotes a lacklustre buyer's interest because fewer buyers participate in the auction.
Example:
1/100 = 1%
1/50 = 2%
1/25 = 4%
From the figures above, if the number of buyers reduces from 100 to 25, the pro-rata figure will increase from 1% to 4% because the denominator gets smaller.
https://www.ft.com/content/f3f56754-e12a-11e8-8e70-5e22a430c1ad
Quote:
Primary dealers, responsible for bidding on a pro-rata share of each auction to ensure the debt is sold, walked away with 47.9 per cent of the securities, above a recent auction average of 44.1 per cent, as other investors backed away.
End Quote.
30-year bonds
https://www.ft.com/content/752b0a68-e2bb-11e8-8e70-5e22a430c1ad
Quote:
The weak demand left primary dealers, who are responsible for bidding on a pro-rata share of each auction to ensure the debt is sold, taking home 38.1 per cent of the sale, above a recent average of 27.3 per cent.
End Quote.
How do we know that there are fewer buyers participating in the US bonds auction? Well, we just need to look at the pro-rata share of the auction to determine the increase or decrease of foreign buyers.
This is just a simple mathematics logic.
When the denominator (the number of buyers) gets smaller, the pro-rata figure will get bigger. Therefore, a high the pro-rata figure denotes a lacklustre buyer's interest because fewer buyers participate in the auction.
Example:
1/100 = 1%
1/50 = 2%
1/25 = 4%
From the figures above, if the number of buyers reduces from 100 to 25, the pro-rata figure will increase from 1% to 4% because the denominator gets smaller.
Tuesday, November 13, 2018
Former Fed Chair Yellen revealed the truth behind the US trade deficit.
https://www.bloombergquint.com/global-economics/yellen-says-fed-more-to-blame-for-wider-trade-deficit-than-china#gs.KWJawKg
Quote:
"I do not see unfair trade practices in China, or anywhere in the world, as what is responsible for the U.S. trade deficit,” Yellen said.
End Quote:
Finally, former Fed chair Yellen has spoken the truth.
Quote:
"I do not see unfair trade practices in China, or anywhere in the world, as what is responsible for the U.S. trade deficit,” Yellen said.
End Quote:
Finally, former Fed chair Yellen has spoken the truth.
A 1947 map showed that South China Sea islands & Taiwan belonged to China.
This map was produced by Rand McNally company (founded in 1868) and could be found in the 1947 Collier's World Atlas and Gazetteer.
The map was produced by the west right after WW2 to indicate the true ownership of the South China Sea islands, a.ka Paracel islands (China), and Taiwan (China). Taiwan was known as Formosa back then.
The west recognized that China owned the South China Sea islands and Taiwan in 1947 but the west flip-flopped on its stance later after the discovery of natural resources in the South China Sea.
Apple fell further yesterday and affected other technology stocks.
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/apples-asia-suppliers-fall-amid-fears-weak-iphone-023212593--sector.html
We had been warning about Apple and its suppliers in our previous post.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/apple-iphone-sales-disappoint.html
We had been warning about Apple and its suppliers in our previous post.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/apple-iphone-sales-disappoint.html
OUE Commercial - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/09/17 | DBS Vickers | OUE Commercial | 0.695 | 0.74 | Hold | DCF |
01/27/17 | OCBC | OUE Commercial | 0.7 | 0.65 | Hold | |
03/10/17 | OCBC | OUE Commercial | 0.685 | 0.65 | Hold | |
05/08/17 | DBS Vickers | OUE Commercial | 0.7 | 0.67 | Hold | DCF |
05/08/17 | OCBC | OUE Commercial | 0.7 | 0.65 | Hold | |
05/08/17 | CIMB | OUE Commercial | 0.7 | 0.71 | Hold | |
08/03/17 | OCBC | OUE Commercial | 0.73 | 0.68 | Hold | DDM |
08/04/17 | CIMB | OUE Commercial | 0.725 | 0.68 | Hold | DDM |
08/04/17 | DBS Vickers | OUE Commercial | 0.725 | 0.69 | Hold | |
10/04/17 | OCBC | OUE Commercial | 0.715 | 0.67 | Hold | |
11/03/17 | OCBC | OUE Commercial | 0.72 | 0.67 | Hold | |
11/03/17 | CIMB | OUE Commercial | 0.72 | 0.68 | Hold | DDM |
11/10/17 | DBS Vickers | OUE Commercial | 0.71 | 0.73 | Hold | DCF |
12/05/17 | OCBC | OUE Commercial | 0.71 | 0.67 | Hold | |
01/09/18 | OCBC | OUE Commercial | 0.75 | 0.67 | Hold | |
02/01/18 | CIMB | OUE Commercial | 0.75 | 0.75 | Hold | DDM |
02/01/18 | OCBC | OUE Commercial | 0.75 | 0.69 | Hold | |
02/05/18 | DBS Vickers | OUE Commercial | 0.755 | 0.73 | Hold | DCF |
03/19/18 | DBS Vickers | OUE Commercial | 0.715 | 0.73 | Hold | |
03/23/18 | CIMB | OUE Commercial | 0.72 | 0.75 | Hold | DDM |
05/11/18 | OCBC | OUE Commercial | 0.72 | 0.68 | Hold | |
08/02/18 | DBS Vickers | OUE Commercial | 0.695 | 0.73 | Hold | |
08/03/18 | CIMB | OUE Commercial | 0.69 | 0.75 | Hold | DDM |
08/03/18 | DBS Vickers | OUE Commercial | 0.69 | 0.67 | Hold | DCF |
09/12/18 | CIMB | OUE Commercial | 0.66 | 0.6 | Hold | DDM |
09/12/18 | DBS Vickers | OUE Commercial | 0.66 | 0.67 | Hold | |
11/09/18 | OCBC | OUE Commercial | 0.475 | 0.48 | Hold | |
11/12/18 | DBS Vickers | OUE Commercial | 0.465 | 0.47 | Hold | DCF |
11/12/18 | CIMB | OUE Commercial | 0.465 | 0.57 | Hold | DDM |
OUE - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/20/17 | DIR | OUE | 1.95 | 3.05 | Buy | Sum of parts |
02/20/17 | OCBC | OUE | 1.95 | 2.17 | Buy | |
04/12/17 | Deutsche | OUE | 2.06 | 2.2 | Buy | |
04/12/17 | OCBC | OUE | 2.06 | 2.17 | Buy | |
05/12/17 | Deutsche | OUE | 2 | 3 | Buy | |
05/12/17 | DIR | OUE | 2 | 3 | Buy | Sum of parts |
06/22/17 | Deutsche | OUE | 1.985 | 3 | Buy | |
10/20/17 | Deutsche | OUE | 2.02 | 3 | Buy | |
11/07/17 | OCBC | OUE | 2.02 | 2.47 | Buy | |
02/26/18 | OCBC | OUE | 1.93 | 2.28 | Buy | |
05/14/18 | OCBC | OUE | 1.81 | 2.25 | Buy | |
09/06/18 | OCBC | OUE | 1.57 | 2.25 | Buy | |
09/25/18 | Deutsche | OUE | 1.54 | 3 | Buy | |
11/13/18 | OCBC | OUE | 1.37 | 2.25 | Buy |
Old Chang Kee - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/14/17 | phillip | Old Chang Kee | 0.835 | 0.98 | Buy | DCF |
04/17/17 | phillip | Old Chang Kee | 0.85 | 0.98 | Buy | |
06/05/17 | phillip | Old Chang Kee | 0.83 | 0.98 | Buy | DCF |
08/17/17 | phillip | Old Chang Kee | 0.765 | 0.98 | Buy | DCF |
11/14/17 | phillip | Old Chang Kee | 0.75 | 0.98 | Buy | DCF |
12/04/17 | phillip | Old Chang Kee | 0.76 | 0.98 | Buy | DCF |
02/15/18 | phillip | Old Chang Kee | 0.745 | 0.98 | Buy | DCF |
03/19/18 | phillip | Old Chang Kee | 0.76 | 0.98 | Buy | |
04/16/18 | phillip | Old Chang Kee | 0.775 | 0.98 | Buy | |
05/31/18 | phillip | Old Chang Kee | 0.755 | 0.98 | Buy | DCF, PER22.6x FY19 |
Stock calls for 13 November 2018
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
11/13/18 | Phillip | 800Super | 0.785 | 0.8 | Neutral | DCF, PER18.2x FY19 |
11/13/18 | DMG & Partners | APAC Realty | 0.495 | 0.72 | Buy | DCF |
11/13/18 | DMG & Partners | Avi-Tech | 0.32 | 0.34 | Neutral | DCF |
11/13/18 | DBS Vickers | Bumitama | 0.61 | 0.85 | Buy | DCF, PER14.5x FY19 |
11/13/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Bumitama | 0.61 | 0.81 | Buy | PER11x FY19 |
11/13/18 | Kim Eng | Bumitama | 0.61 | 0.98 | Buy | |
11/13/18 | Amfrasers | Comfortdelgro | 2.21 | 2.72 | Buy | PER19x FY18 |
11/13/18 | Soochow | Dasin Retail | 0.855 | 0.97 | Buy | |
11/13/18 | DBS Vickers | Ezion | 0.047 | 0.14 | Buy | PB0.8x FY18 |
11/13/18 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.56 | 1.97 | Buy | DCF |
11/13/18 | CIMB | First Resources | 1.56 | 2.08 | Add | PER15x FY19 |
11/13/18 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Property | 1.63 | 1.98 | Buy | RNAV (35% discount) |
11/13/18 | OCBC | Golden Agri | 0.245 | 0.24 | Hold | |
11/13/18 | Amfrasers | Japan Foods | 0.455 | 0.56 | Hold | DCF |
11/13/18 | DBS Vickers | Koufu | 0.635 | 0.8 | Buy | PER17x FY19 |
11/13/18 | CIMB | Lippo-Malls Indo | 0.23 | 0.27 | Hold | DDM |
11/13/18 | OCBC | OUE | 1.37 | 2.25 | Buy | |
11/13/18 | Kim Eng | Sasseur | 0.68 | 0.9 | Buy | |
11/13/18 | DMG & Partners | ST Engineering | 3.5 | 3.97 | Buy | |
11/13/18 | Amfrasers | Thai Beverage | 0.65 | 0.75 | Buy | Sum of parts |
11/13/18 | DBS Vickers | UOB | 24.49 | 29.5 | Buy | |
11/13/18 | Kim Eng | Valuetronics | 0.68 | 0.96 | Buy | ROE-g/COE-g |
11/13/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Valuetronics | 0.68 | 0.87 | Buy | PER10.9x FY19 |
11/13/18 | DMG & Partners | Valuetronics | 0.68 | 0.82 | Buy | DCF, PER10x FY19 |
11/13/18 | CIMB | Valuetronics | 0.68 | 0.93 | Add | PER10x CY19 |
11/13/18 | CIMB | Wilmar | 3.18 | 4.1 | Add | Sum of parts |
11/13/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Wilmar | 3.18 | 3.9 | Buy | Sum of parts, PER13.7x FY19 |
China is selling USD!
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/china-state-banks-seen-selling-dollars-fx-market-034935772--business.html
China is selling USD to defend its yuan.
We've explained this previously.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/the-more-us-tries-to-hurt-china-more-it.html
China is selling USD to defend its yuan.
We've explained this previously.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/the-more-us-tries-to-hurt-china-more-it.html
Johor-Singapore crooked bridge to start in 2019
https://www.malaymail.com/s/1692809/mb-says-third-johor-singapore-bridge-to-start-2019
If construction of the new crooked bridge really starts next year, it will mean that the causeway on Malaysia side will be dismantled in the future and this will include the water pipes that link to SG.
What is SG government going to do about it?
If construction of the new crooked bridge really starts next year, it will mean that the causeway on Malaysia side will be dismantled in the future and this will include the water pipes that link to SG.
What is SG government going to do about it?
Monday, November 12, 2018
Olam - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
03/01/17 | DBS Vickers | Olam | 2.05 | 2.12 | Hold | DCF & PER16.4x |
05/16/17 | DBS Vickers | Olam | 1.99 | 2.15 | Hold | DCF & PER16.3x |
03/01/18 | DBS Vickers | Olam | 2.25 | 2.31 | Hold | DCF & PER16.1x |
04/03/18 | DBS Vickers | Olam | 2.32 | 2.31 | Hold |
OKP - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
03/15/17 | DBS Vickers | OKP | 0.395 | 0.45 | Not Rated | PER11x FY17 |
06/28/17 | Amfrasers | OKP | 0.445 | 0.52 | Buy | PER11x FY17 |
07/17/17 | Amfrasers | OKP | 0.395 | 0.39 | Hold | |
02/20/18 | Amfrasers | OKP | 0.35 | 0.39 | Hold |
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