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Wednesday, February 28, 2018

US proposes anti-dumping on China aluminium foil.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/us-rules-chinese-firms-sold-000054062.html

Raw materials from paper, chemical, metal and so forth are going to increase tremendously in prices because of trade wars and supply problems.

Global inflation will become a real threat in 2018.

China has created the world's first 5G mobile chip.

http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/cndy/2018-02/27/content_35745699.htm

China is at the forefront of mobile technology now with the world's first 5G mobile chip.  Huawei has the most advanced and fastest mobile phone now with this chip whilst the USA is still trying to develop its 5G network.

China imposes an anti-dumping measure on Singapore.

http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201802/27/WS5a94f7dfa3106e7dcc13e5ee.html

I hope that there won't be more anti-dumping measures imposed on Singapore or else SG's economy will be greatly affected as SG will become less competitive.

Inflation will come fast and furious with so many anti-dumping measures.  Simultaneously, interest rates will also increase a few times this year as indicated by Jerome Powell's speech yesterday.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/us-bond-yields-will-continue-to-rise-in.html

Tuesday, February 27, 2018

Toilet and tissue paper prices are going to increase soon!

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asiapacific/taiwan-toilet-paper-price-hike-consumers-shopping-empty-shelves-9993494


International paper prices are rising in the world.  This is a worldwide phenomenon as shown on the price charts in USA and International market.

Taiwan is having a toilet roll run now.

Sanli Env - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
11/14/17 SAC Advisors Sanli Env 0.3 0.36 Buy
01/11/18 SAC Advisors Sanli Env 0.295 0.36 Buy PER15.9x FY18

Samudera - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/14/16 Amfrasers Samudera 0.205 0.21 Hold PER8x FY16
02/29/16 Amfrasers Samudera 0.195 0.21 Hold PER8x FY16
04/29/16 Amfrasers Samudera 0.21 0.21 Hold PER8x FY16
07/29/16 Amfrasers Samudera 0.18 0.19 Hold PER8x FY16
09/16/16 Amfrasers Samudera 0.181 0.18 Hold PB0.3x FY16
10/28/16 Amfrasers Samudera 0.175 0.22 Buy PB0.4x
04/26/17 Amfrasers Samudera 0.189 0.26 Buy PB0.4x
10/13/17 Amfrasers Samudera 0.24 0.38 Buy PB0.6x FY17

Stock calls for 27 February 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/27/18 Kim Eng Best World 1.37 2.06 Buy
02/27/18 phillip CNMC 0.26 0.3 Accumulate DCF
02/27/18 CIMB CSE Global 0.37 0.39 Hold PER12x CY19
02/27/18 Kim Eng First Resources 1.76 2.2 Buy PER17x FY18
02/27/18 DMG & Partners First Resources 1.76 1.75 Neutral PER12x FY18
02/27/18 UOB Kay Hian Hock Lian Seng 0.51 0.65 Buy
02/27/18 Credit Suisse HRnetGroup 0.805 1.06 Outperform
02/27/18 DBS Vickers HRnetGroup 0.805 0.97 Buy PER15x FY18, Ex-cash
02/27/18 Phillip Raffles Medical 1.1 1.32 Accumulate DCF
02/27/18 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.1 1.32 Buy DCF
02/27/18 OCBC Raffles Medical 1.1 1.26 Buy Sum of parts
02/27/18 Kim Eng Raffles Medical 1.1 1.13 Hold DCF
02/27/18 DMG & Partners Raffles Medical 1.1 1.02 Neutral DCF
02/27/18 CIMB Sarine 1.18 1.53 Add PER17.2x CY19
02/27/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 3.2 4.4 Buy Sum of parts (10% discount), PB1.1x
02/27/18 Amfrasers Sembcorp Marine 2.18 2.06 Hold
02/27/18 DMG & Partners ST Engineering 3.44 4.04 Buy PER23x & PB5.5x & EV/Ebitda16x & DCF

Goldilocks is accusing Noble Group of inflating its derivative contracts.

http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/goldilocks-calls-nobles-profit-warning-figures-extremely-shocking

Goldilocks is regretting its Noble Group investment now because it is accusing Noble Group of inflating the derivatives contracts and forcing the existing shareholders to accept the debt restructuring plan.

Whatever it is, Noble Group is heading towards bankruptcy without any debt restructuring.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/noble-group-is-virutally-bankrupt-after.html

Monday, February 26, 2018

Sabana Reit - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/05/16 UOB Kay Hian Sabana Reit 0.71 0.92 Buy
01/26/16 UOB Kay Hian Sabana Reit 0.7 0.89 Buy
03/30/16 UOB Kay Hian Sabana Reit 0.635 0.89 Buy
04/13/16 Kim Eng Sabana Reit 0.645 0.89 Not Rated
04/19/16 UOB Kay Hian Sabana Reit 0.66 0.84 Buy DDM
01/23/17 phillip Sabana Reit 0.375 0.51 Trading Buy PB0.9x, Ex-rights 42 for 100 @ $0.258
03/06/17 phillip Sabana Reit 0.43 0.54 Trading Buy PB0.9x
05/11/17 phillip Sabana Reit 0.455 0.54 Trading Buy PB0.9X
08/08/17 phillip Sabana Reit 0.49 0.57 Trading Buy PB1x

Roxy-Pacific - Stock calls


Date Analyst Code Company Last Target Call Percent Valuation
01/27/16 NRA E8Z Roxy-Pacific 0.49 0.56 Not Rated 14.29 PB0.7x
02/29/16 NRA E8Z Roxy-Pacific 0.49 0.575 Not Rated 17.35 RNAV (30% discount)
03/14/16 OCBC E8Z Roxy-Pacific 0.49 0.52 Hold 6.12
08/01/16 OCBC E8Z Roxy-Pacific 0.46 0.52 Hold 13.04
09/20/16 NRA E8Z Roxy-Pacific 0.45 0.54 Not Rated 20.00 RNAV (40% discount)
11/01/16 OCBC E8Z Roxy-Pacific 0.42 0.52 Hold 23.81
08/01/17 OCBC E8Z Roxy-Pacific 0.525 0.52 Hold -0.95
11/22/17 OCBC E8Z Roxy-Pacific 0.52 0.52 Hold 0.00
12/07/17 OCBC E8Z Roxy-Pacific 0.54 0.6 Buy 11.11
12/12/17 DBS Vickers E8Z Roxy-Pacific 0.53 0.69 Buy 30.19 RNAV (30% discount)
02/15/18 OCBC E8Z Roxy-Pacific 0.56 0.66 Buy 17.86
02/19/18 DBS Vickers E8Z Roxy-Pacific 0.56 0.69 Buy 23.21 RNAV (30% discount)

Stock calls for 26 February 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/26/18 DMG & Partners Amara 0.55 0.88 Buy PB0.65x
02/26/18 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 1.1 1.35 Buy DCF
02/26/18 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 1.1 1.25 Buy DCF & PER15x FY18
02/26/18 Lim & Tan CSE Global 0.345 0 Buy
02/26/18 Amfrasers Frencken 0.67 0.72 Hold PER12x FY18
02/26/18 Kim Eng Genting 1.3 1.46 Buy EV/Ebitda 12x FY18
02/26/18 UOB Kay Hian Genting 1.3 1.3 Hold EV/Ebitda10.4x FY18, Buy @ $1.15
02/26/18 DBS Vickers Genting 1.3 1.49 Buy DCF
02/26/18 DMG & Partners Genting 1.3 1.34 Neutral DCF
02/26/18 OCBC Genting 1.3 1.45 Buy FCFE
02/26/18 CIMB Genting 1.3 1.49 Add EV/Ebitda12x FY19
02/26/18 OCBC OUE 1.93 2.28 Buy
02/26/18 CIMB Riverstone 1.04 1.28 Add PER18.6x FY19
02/26/18 DBS Vickers Riverstone 1.04 1.27 Buy PER16x FY19
02/26/18 Kim Eng Riverstone 1.04 1.22 Buy PER18x FY18
02/26/18 OCBC Sembcorp Industries 3.24 3.84 Buy
02/26/18 phillip Sembcorp Industries 3.24 3.86 Accumulate Sum of parts
02/26/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 3.24 3.28 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $2.90
02/26/18 CIMB Sembcorp Industries 3.24 4.13 Add Sum of parts, PER8x FY18, PB0.63x FY18
02/26/18 phillip Sembcorp Marine 2.23 1.91 Reduce PER43.4x FY18
02/26/18 phillip Sheng Siong 0.93 1.13 Buy PER23x FY18
02/26/18 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 0.93 0.98 Neutral DCF & PER
02/26/18 OCBC Sheng Siong 0.93 1.06 Buy
02/26/18 CIMB Sheng Siong 0.93 1.08 Add PER22.3x CY19
02/26/18 CIMB ST Engineering 3.39 3.8 Add DCF, PER & Div yield
02/26/18 UOB Kay Hian ST Engineering 3.39 3.6 Hold DCF, Buy @ $3.20
02/26/18 DBS Vickers ST Engineering 3.39 3.9 Buy
02/26/18 Lim & Tan ST Engineering 3.39 0 Buy
02/26/18 DBS Vickers Wilmar 3.13 3.65 Buy DCF
02/26/18 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.13 3.45 Buy Sum of parts

Do you support a rules-based system in the world?

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/china-demands-u-stops-unilateral-sanctions-over-north-150441118--sector.html

Many countries which support rules-based order or system in this world are keeping quiet when a big and mighty country like the USA is not following the rules-based order.

We must stop any country from imposing unilateral sanctions against another country without UN mandate.  What's the purpose of having an international entity like UN when a big and mighty country can just flout the international rules?

UN didn't stop the USA from invading Iraq with fabricated intelligence in the past.

UN is not stopping the USA from imposing excessive and illegal sanctions against NK now.

China is right to protest against the US for the unilateral sanctions.  We need to support a rules-based system and protest against any unilateral and illegal sanctions too.

Kota Baru snatch theft in Malaysia.

Poor elderly woman! Nobody is there to help her because of huge public distrust.

When there is a huge public distrust, a person will always second-guess another person's kind gesture.  This results in public apathy and people are unwilling to step forward to help.

An excellent example to depict the public distrust would be the Singapore driver's kind gesture.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/01/it-doesnt-pay-to-be-samaritan-in.html

2 kind drivers offered to a drive to students during raining days but police were called in to investigate the incidents.  Who would want to do good deed or offer kind gesture when the police will come knocking at the door?

Saturday, February 24, 2018

Baltic dry index - 1185

Today, Friday, February 23 2018, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 18 points, reaching 1185 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
=====================
Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan Ocean.

US rig count - 978

HOUSTON (AP) — The number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. increased by three this week to 978.
That exceeds the 754 rigs that were active this time a year ago.
Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes reported Friday that 799 rigs drilled for oil this week and 179 for gas.
Among major oil- and gas-producing states, Texas increased by three rigs, New Mexico gained two and Colorado, Louisiana, North Dakota, Ohio and Wyoming each gained one.
Oklahoma decreased by two rigs and Kansas, Pennsylvania and West Virginia each lost one.
Alaska, Arkansas, California and Utah were unchanged.
The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out in May of 2016 at 404.
=======================
Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

US bond yields will continue to rise in 2018. Why? - Part 2

http://wallstreetexaminer.com/2018/02/treasury-seven-year-sale-caps-258-billion-week-higher-yields-git-r-done/

https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-bonds/treasuries-prices-pare-gains-after-soft-seven-year-auction-idUSL2N1QC1QF

USD 7-year treasury demand was weaker than expected and resulted in a soft sale.  With QE taperings in Europe & USA, there are lesser cheap monies in the world to be used or bond purchases.  Thus, it is not surprising for the US bonds to have weak sales.

Conversely, the central bankers from China, Japan and Saudi seemed to have lost faith in the USA long-term economic growth due to the increasing investment risks as Trump's policies focused on cutting taxes, militarization and infrastructure spending which didn't groove with economic sense.  In a nutshell, the USA is cutting tax revenues but increasing expenditures with no money in the coffer.  Therefore, the USA has to raise about USD$1T annually from 2018 to 2028 by issuing a lot of bonds to meet the fiscal deficits.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/us-bond-yields-will-continue-to-rise-in.html

Friday, February 23, 2018

India has to pay a high price to be an USA ally to contain China.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-u-tells-india-cut-tariffs-trade-friction-061636397--finance.html

India has to pay a high price to be part of the USA allies to contain China.

Is the Indian economy strong enough to withstand the tariff cuts?  Obviously not!  India is in need of money to develop its economy and is in a serious fiscal deficit.

https://www.businesstoday.in/current/economy-politics/india-fiscal-deficit-breaches-target-borrowing-government-securities-economy-fy18/story/266906.html

Another USA anti-dumping measure. Rubberband is being targeted now.

https://www.commerce.gov/news/press-releases/2018/02/us-department-commerce-initiates-antidumping-duty-and-countervailing-1

OMG! Can you believe it? Rubberband is being targeted by the USA now.

The USA inflation is going to shoot up fast and furious now as the government implements more anti-dumping measures.

China is Vietnam's largest export market now!

http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201802/23/WS5a8fb353a3106e7dcc13da07.html

Vietnam has managed to export more goods to China after settling the South China Sea issue.

The Vietnamese leaders have great foresight.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/11/vietnam-and-china-have-resolved-south.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/01/vietnam-forsakes-usa-and-deflects-to.html

Rotary Engineering - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/26/16 Lim & Tan Rotary Engineering 0.31 0 Hold
05/09/16 Lim & Tan Rotary Engineering 0.38 0 Hold
09/16/16 Lim & Tan Rotary Engineering 0.39 0 Hold
11/09/16 Lim & Tan Rotary Engineering 0.39 0 Hold
10/02/17 Lim & Tan Rotary Engineering 0.41 0.46 Accept Offer Offer price $0.46