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Monday, July 23, 2018

SATS - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/11/17 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.94 4.5 Hold
01/20/17 DIR SATS 5.19 4.97 Hold
02/02/17 Credit Suisse SATS 5.26 4.9 Neutral
02/08/17 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.15 4.5 Hold
02/10/17 CIMB SATS 4.98 5 Hold DCF & PER19x CY19
02/10/17 DIR SATS 4.98 4.93 Hold DCF
02/10/17 Kim Eng SATS 4.98 3.76 Sell PER17x FY18
02/10/17 Lim & Tan SATS 4.98 0 Hold
02/10/17 OCBC SATS 4.98 4.7 Hold Buy @ $4.40
02/10/17 phillip SATS 4.98 4.73 Neutral DCF
02/10/17 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.98 4.6 Hold DDM, PER23x FY18, Buy @ $4.30
03/21/17 DIR SATS 4.82 4.93 Hold DCF
04/03/17 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.88 4.6 Hold
04/07/17 Credit Suisse SATS 4.89 4.9 Neutral
05/03/17 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.12 4.6 Hold
05/18/17 CIMB SATS 5.28 5.17 Hold DCF & PER19x
05/22/17 CIMB SATS 5.29 5.11 Hold DCF & PER19x
05/22/17 Credit Suisse SATS 5.29 4.65 Underperform
05/22/17 DIR SATS 5.29 5 Hold DCF
05/22/17 Kim Eng SATS 5.29 4.9 Hold PER17x
05/22/17 OCBC SATS 5.29 5.12 Hold DCF, Buy @ $4.7 or lower
05/22/17 phillip SATS 5.29 5.08 Hold DCF, PER23.2x FY18
05/22/17 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.29 5.05 Hold DDM
06/06/17 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.22 5.05 Hold Buy @ $4.75
06/16/17 OCBC SATS 5.08 5.12 Hold Buy @ $4.70 or lower
07/14/17 DIR SATS 4.94 5 Hold DCF
07/20/17 Credit Suisse SATS 5.09 4.65 Underperform
07/24/17 Kim Eng SATS 5.08 4.9 Hold PER
07/24/17 DIR SATS 5.08 5.05 Hold DCF
07/24/17 phillip SATS 5.08 5.08 Neutral DCF, PER23.2x FY18
07/24/17 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.08 5.1 Hold DDM
07/24/17 CIMB SATS 5.08 5.11 Hold DCF & PER19x
07/24/17 OCBC SATS 5.08 5.05 Hold DCF, Buy @ $4.7 or lower
07/24/17 Lim & Tan SATS 5.08 5.09 Sell Bloomberg consensus
08/02/17 DIR SATS 4.85 5.05 Hold
08/02/17 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.85 5.4 Buy DDM, PER23.5x FY18
08/22/17 Credit Suisse SATS 4.83 4.6 Underperform
09/05/17 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.76 5.4 Buy DDM, PER23.5x FY18
09/18/17 OCBC SATS 4.74 5.05 Hold Buy @ $4.70 or lower
09/25/17 DBS Vickers SATS 4.65 5.02 Buy DCF & PER21x FY18
09/25/17 CIMB SATS 4.65 4.24 Reduce PER18x CY19
09/26/17 DIR SATS 4.57 5.19 Outperform DCF
10/02/17 OCBC SATS 4.61 5.05 Buy
10/04/17 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.66 5.4 Buy PER23.5x FY18
11/01/17 DBS Vickers SATS 4.7 5.02 Buy
11/02/17 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.75 5.4 Buy PER23.5x FY18
11/10/17 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.71 6 Buy DCF, PER24.6x FY18
11/10/17 OCBC SATS 4.71 5.05 Buy
11/10/17 CIMB SATS 4.71 4.81 Hold PER20x CY18
11/10/17 phillip SATS 4.71 5.24 Accumulate DCF, PER23.2x FY18
11/13/17 Kim Eng SATS 5.01 5.7 Buy PER21x FY19/20
11/13/17 Credit Suisse SATS 5.01 4.6 Neutral
12/04/17 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.24 6 Buy
12/20/17 CIMB SATS 5.26 4.81 Hold
01/16/18 OCBC SATS 5.78 5.5 Hold Buy @ $5.05 or lower
02/14/18 Kim Eng SATS 5.25 6.1 Buy PER21x FY20
02/14/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.25 5.9 Buy DCF, PER25.2x FY18
02/14/18 OCBC SATS 5.25 5.5 Hold Buy @ $5.05 or lower
02/14/18 CIMB SATS 5.25 5.17 Hold PER20x FY19
02/14/18 phillip SATS 5.25 5.33 Neutral DCF, PER23.3x FY18
02/14/18 DBS Vickers SATS 5.25 5.67 Buy DCF, PER22x FY19
03/09/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.03 5.9 Buy
04/13/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.18 5.8 Buy PER25.3x FY19
04/19/18 CIMB SATS 5.45 5.17 Hold
05/30/18 Lim & Tan SATS 5.35 0 Hold
05/31/18 phillip SATS 5.28 5.58 Accumulate DCF
05/31/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.28 5.7 Buy DCF, PER24.3x FY19
05/31/18 DBS Vickers SATS 5.28 5.64 Buy
05/31/18 OCBC SATS 5.28 5.5 Hold
06/11/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.13 5.7 Buy
06/14/18 OCBC SATS 5.06 5.5 Buy
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.91 5.7 Buy
07/20/18 phillip SATS 5.1 5.58 Accumulate DCF, PER24.7x FY19
07/20/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.1 6.1 Buy DCF, PER23x FY20
07/20/18 Kim Eng SATS 5.1 5.9 Buy PER21x FY20
07/20/18 CIMB SATS 5.1 5.06 Hold PER20x CY19
07/20/18 DBS Vickers SATS 5.1 5.65 Buy DCF & PER22x FY19

Sasseur - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
06/07/18 Kim Eng Sasseur 0.77 0.9 Buy
06/20/18 Citi Research Sasseur 0.76 0.92 Buy

Stock calls for 23 July 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/23/18 DMG & Partners Capitaland 3.19 3.95 Buy RNAV (20% discount)
07/23/18 Phillip Capitamall Trust 2.16 2.05 Neutral DDM, PB1.03x FY18
07/23/18 DBS Vickers Capitamall Trust 2.16 2.3 Buy
07/23/18 UOB Kay Hian Capitamall Trust 2.16 2.02 Hold DDM, Buy @ $1.84
07/23/18 Credit Suisse Capitamall Trust 2.16 2.3 Outperform
07/23/18 OCBC Capitamall Trust 2.16 2.1 Hold
07/23/18 CIMB Capitamall Trust 2.16 2.21 Hold DDM
07/23/18 Deutsche Capitamall Trust 2.16 2.3 Buy DDM & RNAV
07/23/18 DMG & Partners City Developments 10.06 10.4 Neutral RNAV (35% discount)
07/23/18 Kim Eng Genting 1.28 1.46 Buy EV/Ebitda 12x FY18
07/23/18 CIMB Keppel Corp 7.09 8.82 Add Sum of parts
07/23/18 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 7.09 0 Hold
07/23/18 Deutsche Keppel Corp 7.09 8.4 Hold RNAV (35% discount)
07/23/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.96 1.83 Hold PB1.7x FY19, Buy @ $1.73
07/23/18 Credit Suisse Sembcorp Marine 1.96 2.4 Outperform
07/23/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.96 2.1 Hold
07/23/18 phillip Sembcorp Marine 1.96 1.78 Reduce PB1.6x FY19
07/23/18 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.2 3.4 Hold DCF, PER21.8x FY19, Buy @ $3-3.1

Saturday, July 21, 2018

This is how a crab defends itself!

Don't mess with a wrong crab and this crab won't be a chilli pepper crab on your table.

Friday, July 20, 2018

Trump threatens tariffs on 500b China goods.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trade-china/trump-threatens-tariffs-on-all-500-billion-of-chinese-imports-cnbc-idUSKBN1KA18Q

This is great news because Trump will lose the election in November 2018 as China will boycott USA goods in retaliation.

Sarine - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/28/17 CIMB Sarine 1.9 1.95 Hold
05/15/17 CIMB Sarine 1.915 1.96 Hold PER15.3x CY18
02/06/18 CIMB Sarine 1.05 1.56 Add PER17.2x CY19
02/27/18 CIMB Sarine 1.18 1.53 Add PER17.2x CY19
05/15/18 CIMB Sarine 1.03 1.53 Add PER17.2x CY19

Sanli Env - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
11/14/17 SAC Advisors Sanli Env 0.3 0.36 Buy
01/11/18 SAC Advisors Sanli Env 0.295 0.36 Buy PER15.9x FY18
05/25/18 SAC Advisors Sanli Env 0.25 0.36 Buy

Stock calls for 20 July 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/20/18 CIMB CapitaCommercial 1.75 1.9 Add
07/20/18 UOB Kay Hian CapitaCommercial 1.75 1.99 Buy DDM
07/20/18 DBS Vickers Keppel Corp 6.96 8.82 Buy Sum of parts, PB1.3x FY18
07/20/18 OCBC Keppel Corp 6.96 8.7 Buy
07/20/18 phillip SATS 5.1 5.58 Accumulate DCF, PER24.7x FY19
07/20/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.1 6.1 Buy DCF, PER23x FY20
07/20/18 Kim Eng SATS 5.1 5.9 Buy PER21x FY20
07/20/18 CIMB SATS 5.1 5.06 Hold PER20x CY19
07/20/18 DBS Vickers SATS 5.1 5.65 Buy DCF & PER22x FY19
07/20/18 phillip SIA Engineering 3.19 3.56 Accumulate DCF, PER22x FY19
07/20/18 DBS Vickers SIA Engineering 3.19 3.92 Buy Sum of parts

Malaysia has to delay the HSR project after realising it cannot wiggle itself out of the contract.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/hsr-likely-delayed-not-scrapped-031520857.html

Flip-flop again and again.  Cancel or delay?

Look like Malaysia cannot wiggle itself out of the compensation clause and has no choice but to delay the HSR project.

However, Malaysia still has to pay for liquidation damage for the deferment which may be lower than the cancellation fee.

Thursday, July 19, 2018

Singapore has signed the CPTPP.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/singapore-cptpp-trade-tpp-10543674

I prefer Singapore to sign the RCEP rather the CPTPP because the RCEP is much bigger.  CPTPP had a bad name because it was known to be an economic cooperation to contain China's economic growth in the past.

Furthermore, the USA is getting very protectionist and we need to promote free trade for our economic growth.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/03/cpttp-is-nothing-compared-to-rcep.html

Ofo bike sharing has failed in the USA.

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/transport/china-bike-sharing-giant-ofo-to-close-most-us-operations-after-less-than-a-year-wsj

As expected, the bike sharing business has failed in the USA.  Please read our previous postings on this flawed business concept.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/06/another-bike-sharing-company-obike-has.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/02/chinese-bike-sharing-firm-has-gone.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/07/sharebikesg-shuts-down-in-singapore.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/06/bike-sharing-business-concept-is-not.html


Tat Hong to be delisted soon!

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/tat-hong-to-delist-on-friday-morning-after-successful-buyout

Delisting from SGX in 2018:

Jaya
GLP
Genting HK
Tat Hong

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/02/another-company-jaya-is-leaving-sgx.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2017/10/sigh-another-big-market-capitalisation.html


Samudera - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/26/17 Amfrasers Samudera 0.189 0.26 Buy PB0.4x
10/13/17 Amfrasers Samudera 0.24 0.38 Buy PB0.6x FY17

Sabana Reit - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/23/17 phillip Sabana Reit 0.375 0.51 Trading Buy PB0.9x, Ex-rights 42 for 100 @ $0.258
03/06/17 phillip Sabana Reit 0.43 0.54 Trading Buy PB0.9x
05/11/17 phillip Sabana Reit 0.455 0.54 Trading Buy PB0.9X
08/08/17 phillip Sabana Reit 0.49 0.57 Trading Buy PB1x

Roxy-Pacific - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/01/17 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.525 0.52 Hold
11/22/17 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.52 0.52 Hold
12/07/17 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.54 0.6 Buy
12/12/17 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.53 0.69 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
02/15/18 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.56 0.66 Buy
02/19/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.56 0.69 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
03/20/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.555 0.69 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
04/03/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.55 0.69 Buy
05/08/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.515 0.63 Buy
05/15/18 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.515 0.6 Buy
06/05/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.505 0.63 Buy
07/09/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.43 0.4 Fully Valued RNAV (55% discount)

Stock calls for 19 July 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/19/18 DMG & Partners Breadtalk 1.1 1.04 Neutral Sum of parts
07/19/18 phillip First Reit 1.32 1.31 Neutral DDM, PB1.21x
07/19/18 OCBC First Reit 1.32 1.34 Hold
07/19/18 CIMB First Reit 1.32 1.41 Hold DDM
07/19/18 DBS Vickers Keppel Infrastructure 0.53 0.58 Buy DDM
07/19/18 DBS Vickers Keppel KBS 0.88 0.95 Buy DCF
07/19/18 Lim & Tan MIT 0.33 0.456 Buy
07/19/18 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 11.15 13.52 Buy GGM, PB1.41x FY18
07/19/18 Credit Suisse Venture 16.89 14.5 Underperform PER11x
07/19/18 Lim & Tan Wheelock Properties 1.74 2.1 Reject offer Offer $2.1
07/19/18 OCBC Wheelock Properties 1.74 2.34 Reject offer Offer $2.1

Wednesday, July 18, 2018

Riverstone - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/03/17 DMG & Partners Riverstone 0.88 0.93 Neutral
02/24/17 CIMB Riverstone 0.91 0.91 Hold PER16.4x CY18
02/24/17 Kim Eng Riverstone 0.91 0.83 Hold PER16x FY17
05/05/17 Kim Eng Riverstone 0.885 1.05 Buy
05/05/17 Lim & Tan Riverstone 0.885 1.06 Buy PER16x
05/08/17 CIMB Riverstone 0.96 1.11 Add PER18.3x FY18
05/08/17 DBS Vickers Riverstone 0.96 1.07 Buy PER16x FY18
08/04/17 Lim & Tan Riverstone 1.065 0 Hold
08/04/17 DBS Vickers Riverstone 1.065 1.07 Buy PER16x FY18
08/07/17 CIMB Riverstone 1.05 1.2 Add PER16.3x FY18
08/07/17 Kim Eng Riverstone 1.05 1.05 Hold
08/08/17 DBS Vickers Riverstone 1.055 1.09 Hold PER16x FY18
11/09/17 Kim Eng Riverstone 1.065 1.05 Hold PER16x FY18
11/09/17 DBS Vickers Riverstone 1.065 1.09 Hold
02/26/18 CIMB Riverstone 1.04 1.28 Add PER18.6x FY19
02/26/18 DBS Vickers Riverstone 1.04 1.27 Buy PER16x FY19
02/26/18 Kim Eng Riverstone 1.04 1.22 Buy PER18x FY18
05/09/18 DBS Vickers Riverstone 0.985 1.27 Buy
05/09/18 Lim & Tan Riverstone 0.985 0 Hold
05/14/18 CIMB Riverstone 1 1.28 Add

Religare Health Trust - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/07/17 DBS Vickers Religare Health Trust 0.925 0.85 Hold DDM
02/08/17 CIMB Religare Health Trust 0.89 0.89 Hold DDM
05/24/17 DBS Vickers Religare Health Trust 0.92 0.85 Hold DDM, PB1x
08/07/17 CIMB Religare Health Trust 0.88 0.92 Hold DDM
11/16/17 DBS Vickers Religare Health Trust 0.895 0.85 Hold DDM, Offer $0.90
11/16/17 CIMB Religare Health Trust 0.895 0.92 Hold DDM, PB1.08x
02/14/18 CIMB Religare Health Trust 0.83 0.92 Hold DDM
03/20/18 DBS Vickers Religare Health Trust 0.775 0.85 Hold
06/14/18 CIMB Religare Health Trust 0.765 0.81 Hold DDM

Regal - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/18/17 NRA Regal 0.145 0.315 Overweight
03/20/17 NRA Regal 0.149 0.3 Overweight RNAV (15% discount)
06/19/17 NRA Regal 0.143 0.3 Overweight
12/11/17 NRA Regal 0.135 0.3 Overweight
04/10/18 NRA Regal 0.13 0.3 Overweight

Stock calls for 18 July 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/18/18 CIMB CSE Global 0.44 0.5 Add PER13.5x CY19
07/18/18 UOB Kay Hian DBS 26.01 28.95 Buy GGM, PB1.58x FY18
07/18/18 Phillip Keppel DC Reit 1.35 1.45 Accumulate DDM
07/18/18 OCBC Keppel DC Reit 1.35 1.54 Buy
07/18/18 CIMB Keppel DC Reit 1.35 1.49 Add DDM
07/18/18 DBS Vickers Keppel DC Reit 1.35 1.52 Buy
07/18/18 Macquarie SGX 7.45 7.7 Neutral
07/18/18 OCBC Soilbuild Reit 0.65 0.69 Buy
07/18/18 DBS Vickers Soilbuild Reit 0.65 0.62 Hold DCF