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Wednesday, February 20, 2019

Jumbo - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/18 Kim Eng Jumbo 0.59 0.7 Buy DCF, PER26x FY18
02/15/18 Kim Eng Jumbo 0.57 0.7 Buy DCF, PER26x FY18
02/15/18 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.57 0.58 Hold PER23x FY18
02/19/18 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.575 0.59 Hold DCF, Buy @ $0.53
03/12/18 Kim Eng Jumbo 0.55 0.7 Buy DCF
05/15/18 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.56 0.58 Hold PER23x FY18/19
05/16/18 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.54 0.53 Hold DCF, Buy @ $0.48
06/25/18 CIMB Jumbo 0.5 0.62 Add PER23x CY19
06/27/18 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.52 0.53 Hold DCF, Buy @ $0.48
08/14/18 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.53 0.49 Hold DCF, Buy @ $0.44
08/14/18 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.53 0.57 Hold PER23x FY19
08/15/18 CIMB Jumbo 0.515 0.62 Add PER23x CY19
10/05/18 CIMB Jumbo 0.46 0.58 Add PER21x FY20
11/22/18 Lim & Tan Jumbo 0.405 0 Hold
11/22/18 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.405 0.44 Hold PER23x FY19
11/23/18 CIMB Jumbo 0.405 0.54 Add PER21x FY20
11/23/18 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.405 0.42 Hold PER20x FY19, Buy @ $0.38
12/14/18 CIMB Jumbo 0.39 0.54 Add
02/15/19 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.415 0.44 Hold PER23x FY19
02/15/19 CIMB Jumbo 0.415 0.52 Add PER21x FY20
02/18/19 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.415 0.41 Hold Buy @ $0.37

Jubilee - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/12/18 CIMB Jubilee 0.037 0.051 Add Sum of parts
06/01/18 CIMB Jubilee 0.039 0.051 Add Sum of parts
11/20/18 CIMB Jubilee 0.034 0.051 Add

Jiutian - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/04/18 Amfrasers Jiutian 0.064 0.11 Not Rated PER10x FY18

Stock calls for 20 February 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/20/19 Lim & Tan Capitaland 3.39 0 Buy
02/20/19 Macquarie DBS 25.1 27 Neutral PB
02/20/19 UOB Kay Hian First Resources 1.72 1.85 Hold Buy @ $1.65
02/20/19 OCBC Golden Agri 0.255 0.24 Hold
02/20/19 DBS Vickers Mapletree Industrial 1.99 2.3 Buy
02/20/19 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.12 1.3 Buy
02/20/19 Kim Eng Sasseur 0.74 0.9 Buy DDM
02/20/19 DBS Vickers Sasseur 0.74 0.97 Buy DCF
02/20/19 UOB Kay Hian Sheng Siong 1.08 1.15 Hold
02/20/19 OCBC Wilmar 3.37 3.42 Hold

USA is gearing up for USD depreciation.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/u-wants-pledge-stable-chinese-yuan-talks-resume-050426264--sector.html

The US wants China to stabilize RMB so that it can depreciate USD.  We had stated the real reason for USD depreciation below.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/02/usd-is-likely-to-depreciate-soon-why.html

The latest FED statements also showed a very dovish FED stance that would contribute to USD depreciation.

Look like the US is setting up a star constellation for a weak USD.

Japan continues to slow down.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/japans-exports-fall-8-4-041347848.html

Japan, being an export-oriented country, has continued to slow down in January 2019 and it is heavily impacted by China.  January export is down 8.4%.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/12/the-japan-economic-growth-is-worse-than.html

The banning of Huawei in Japan is not helping the Japanese too.

Tuesday, February 19, 2019

Jardine Strategic - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Jardine Strategic 36.65 42.67 Not Rated

Jardine Matheson - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Jardine Matheson 63.2 65.72 Not Rated

Jardine C&C - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Jardine C&C 30.77 44.13 Not Rated
01/04/19 DBS Vickers Jardine C&C 35.28 43.1 Buy

Stock calls for 19 February 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/19/19 Amfrasers Accordia Golf Trust 0.565 0.61 Buy
02/19/19 Amfrasers Comfortdelgro 2.41 2.77 Buy PER19x FY19
02/19/19 Jefferies DBS 25.2 28.5 Buy
02/19/19 OCBC DBS 25.2 29.31 Buy
02/19/19 DMG & Partners DBS 25.2 28.8 Buy GGM, PB1.5x FY19
02/19/19 phillip DBS 25.2 29 Buy GGM, PB1.5x FY19
02/19/19 Kim Eng DBS 25.2 29.56 Buy DDM
02/19/19 CIMB DBS 25.2 29 Add GGM
02/19/19 UOB Kay Hian DBS 25.2 28.4 Buy
02/19/19 Amfrasers DISA 0.003 0 Cease Coverage
02/19/19 OCBC Mapletree Industrial 1.99 1.98 Hold
02/19/19 CIMB Starhub 1.61 2 Hold DCF
02/19/19 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.82 0.81 Neutral Sum of parts
02/19/19 Amfrasers Thai Beverage 0.82 0.75 Hold

New Zealand is backpedaling on Huawei ban.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/zealand-leader-says-no-final-032231741.html

After seeing what the UK did, NZ is also backpedaling on Huawei ban.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/02/uk-will-continue-to-use-huawei-5g.html

Look like NZ is smarter than the Aussie. Hahaha!

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/02/australia-is-suffering-backlash-from.html

Australia is suffering a backlash from China.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/chinese-traders-cut-australian-coal-121834785.html

Australia really deserves this because it wants to earn China's money but also wants to be anti-China.

This is just a normal reaction from China.  We will also react in this way when someone wants to sell us something but also badmouth us at the same time.

Australia's economy will suffer a lot if it cannot export to China since China is the largest trading partner.  The property sector is already suffering tremendously right now.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2017/12/australia-china-political-skirmish.html

Monday, February 18, 2019

Japfa - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
06/22/18 Kim Eng Japfa 0.625 0.86 Buy Sum of parts, PER14x FY18
08/01/18 Kim Eng Japfa 0.745 0.86 Buy Sum of parts
09/11/18 CIMB Japfa 0.595 0.8 Add Sum of parts
10/17/18 UOB Kay Hian Japfa 0.61 0.9 Buy Sum of parts, PER12.2x FY18
10/25/18 DBS Vickers Japfa 0.63 0.86 Buy Sum of parts (10% discount), PER12.2x FY19
10/31/18 UOB Kay Hian Japfa 0.69 0.98 Buy Sum of parts, PER12.2x FY18
11/01/18 CIMB Japfa 0.665 0.8 Add Sum of parts
11/02/18 DBS Vickers Japfa 0.68 0.89 Buy Sum of parts (15% discount), PER12.6x FY19
11/08/18 UOB Kay Hian Japfa 0.715 0.98 Buy
12/10/18 UOB Kay Hian Japfa 0.755 0.98 Buy
12/12/18 Kim Eng Japfa 0.735 0.99 Buy Sum of parts
01/29/19 CIMB Japfa 0.82 0.9 Add Sum of parts
01/30/19 Kim Eng Japfa 0.81 0.99 Buy

Japan Foods - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/14/18 Amfrasers Japan Foods 0.46 0.54 Buy DCF
05/07/18 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.505 0.63 Buy DCF, PER19x FY19
05/22/18 Amfrasers Japan Foods 0.485 0.64 Buy DCF
06/22/18 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.5 0.63 Buy
08/08/18 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.49 0.58 Buy Sum of parts, PER16.6x FY19
08/21/18 Amfrasers Japan Foods 0.5 0.64 Buy DCF
11/09/18 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.455 0.48 Neutral
11/13/18 Amfrasers Japan Foods 0.455 0.56 Hold DCF
12/10/18 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.455 0.48 Neutral
02/12/19 Amfrasers Japan Foods 0.415 0.57 Hold DCF

Jadason - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/01/18 DMG & Partners Jadason 0.073 0.08 Neutral DCF
03/07/18 CIMB Jadason 0.07 0.08 Add PER12.34x FY19
05/16/18 CIMB Jadason 0.05 0.077 Add PB1x CY18
05/18/18 DMG & Partners Jadason 0.05 0.05 Neutral DCF
06/27/18 DMG & Partners Jadason 0.04 0.05 Neutral
08/17/18 CIMB Jadason 0.037 0.073 Add PB1x CY18
11/15/18 CIMB Jadason 0.03 0.073 Add PB1x FY18

Stock calls for 18 February 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/18/19 DMG & Partners DBS 24.74 29.8 Buy
02/18/19 Lim & Tan DBS 24.74 0 Buy
02/18/19 DMG & Partners ISOTeam 0.22 0.23 Neutral DCF
02/18/19 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.415 0.41 Hold
02/18/19 OCBC Netlink 0.805 0.9 Buy
02/18/19 Kim Eng SIA 9.76 11.2 Buy PB0.94x
02/18/19 UOB Kay Hian SIA 9.76 10.2 Hold
02/18/19 OCBC SIA 9.76 10.71 Buy
02/18/19 Phillip Singtel 2.99 3.27 Accumulate Sum of parts
02/18/19 CIMB Singtel 2.99 3.4 Add Sum of parts
02/18/19 Phillip Starhub 1.67 1.58 Neutral EV/Ebitda
02/18/19 Kim Eng Starhub 1.67 2.18 Buy DCF
02/18/19 UOB Kay Hian Starhub 1.67 1.45 Sell
02/18/19 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.815 0.86 Hold Sum of parts
02/18/19 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.815 0.92 Buy Sum of parts
02/18/19 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.815 0.9 Add Sum of parts
02/18/19 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.815 0.91 Buy

Singapore Nodx fell 10.1% in January 2019

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/singapore-january-exports-down-10-1-biggest-drop-in-2-years-11252056

Year on year changes (YOY):
January 2019: -10.1%
December 2018: -8.5%
November 2018: -2.6%
October 2018: 8.3%
September 2018: 8.3%
August 2018: 5%
July 2018: 11.8% (Corrected)
June 2018: 1.1%
May 2018: 15.5%
April 2018: 11.8%
March 2018: -2.7%
February 2018: -5.9%
January 2018: 13%
December 2017: 3.1%
November 2017: 9.1%
October 2017: 20.9%
September 2017: -1.1%
August 2017: 16.7%
July 2017: 8.5%
June 2017: 8.2%
May 2017: -1.2%
Apr 2017: -0.7%
Mar 2017: 16.5%
Feb 2017: 21.1%
Jan 2017: 8.6%

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/01/singapore-nodx-fell-85-in-december-2018.html

UK will continue to use Huawei 5G equipment.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/uk-concludes-mitigate-risk-huawei-equipment-5g-ft-031519448--finance.html

The UK has realized that there is no better telecom equipment than Huawei's equipment and will continue to use Huawei.

It has dawned on the UK that the US is not a credible and trustworthy ally because the US will target the UK next after China.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/02/trump-has-just-named-next-target-after.html

Well, late awakening is better than never.

Saturday, February 16, 2019

Trump has just named the next target after China.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/trump-says-trade-with-britain-to-increase-substantially-post-11248866

The UK without EU is just a lonely boy that Trump can bully.  Trump has just announced that the US trade with the UK would increase substantially.  In other words, Trump will force the UK to import more US goods.

Good luck to UK!