Banyan Tree - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
03/11/19	phillip	Banyan Tree	0.57	0.76	Accumulate	Sum of parts, PB0.72x FY19
05/22/19	phillip	Banyan Tree	0.535	0.76	Accumulate	Sum of parts, PB0.7x FY19
08/16/19	phillip	Banyan Tree	0.455	0.51	Accumulate	Sum of parts, PB0.6x FY19

Stock calls for 9 October 2019

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
10/09/19	DBS Vickers	ART	1.32	1.45	Buy
10/09/19	DBS Vickers	CDL Hospitality	1.64	1.8	Buy
10/09/19	UOB Kay Hian	Comfortdelgro	2.42	2.95	Buy
10/09/19	DBS Vickers	Comfortdelgro	2.42	2.59	Hold
10/09/19	DBS Vickers	Far East Hospitality	0.69	0.7	Hold
10/09/19	DBS Vickers	Frasers Hospitality Trust	0.715	0.77	Hold
10/09/19	UOB Kay Hian	Fu Yu	0.225	0.285	Buy
10/09/19	OCBC	Keppel Corp	5.93	7.58	Buy
10/09/19	DBS Vickers	Keppel Corp	5.93	8.5	Buy
10/09/19	CIMB	MM2 Asia	0.215	0.32	Add	Sum of parts
10/09/19	UOB Kay Hian	Penguin	0.62	0.85	Buy
10/09/19	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Industries	2.11	3.2	Buy
10/09/19	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.2	1.26	Hold	PB1.2x CY19
10/09/19	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	1.2	1.29	Hold
10/09/19	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	1.2	1.9	Buy
10/09/19	DMG & Partners	SGX	8.4	8.1	Neutral	PER23x FY20
10/09/19	UOB Kay Hian	ST Engineering	3.92	4.34	Buy
10/09/19	Kim Eng	Wilmar	3.63	3.89	Hold	DCF
10/09/19	UOB Kay Hian	Wilmar	3.63	4.4	Buy
10/09/19	UOB Kay Hian	Yangzijiang	0.95	1.46	Buy

The US-China tension is rising rapidly.

https://fortune.com/2019/10/08/china-ai-us-entity-list/

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/08/us-puts-visa-restrictions-on-chinese-officials-over-abuses-of-muslims-in-xinjiang.html

The US is increasing tension with China now.  There won't be any good outcome for the October trade talk on 10 October because the US has added 28 Chinese firms to its entity list and banned some Chinese officials to the US.

This October will be a volatile month because there will be a trade talk on 10 October, Brexit on 31 October and FED interest rate on 31 October.

Avi-Tech - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/07/19	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.3	0.34	Neutral
02/14/19	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.29	0.3	Neutral	DCF
03/19/19	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.29	0.3	Neutral
07/16/19	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.28	0.27	Neutral	DCF
08/29/19	Lim & Tan	Avi-Tech	0.27	0	Buy
09/10/19	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.31	0.31	Neutral	DCF
10/08/19	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.34	0.31	Neutral

Ascendas India Trust - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/25/19	Jefferies	Ascendas India Trust	1.08	1.2	Buy
01/28/19	DBS Vickers	Ascendas India Trust	1.08	1.25	Buy	DDM
02/08/19	DBS Vickers	Ascendas India Trust	1.13	1.25	Buy
04/29/19	DBS Vickers	Ascendas India Trust	1.27	1.4	Buy	DDM
07/29/19	DBS Vickers	Ascendas India Trust	1.42	1.55	Buy

Ascendas Hospitality Trust - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/30/19	DBS Vickers	Ascendas Hospitality Trust	0.835	0.98	Buy	DCF
07/04/19	DBS Vickers	Ascendas Hospitality Trust	1.04	1.21	Buy	Pegged to ART

Stock calls for 8 October 2019

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
10/08/19	DMG & Partners	Avi-Tech	0.34	0.31	Neutral
10/08/19	DMG & Partners	Frencken	0.675	0.82	Buy
10/08/19	DMG & Partners	GSS Energy	0.066	0.08	Neutral
10/08/19	CIMB	Keppel Corp	5.91	8.41	Add
10/08/19	DMG & Partners	Keppel Corp	5.91	7.3	Buy
10/08/19	DBS Vickers	Keppel DC Reit	1.9	2.2	Buy
10/08/19	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	2.08	2.83	Add	Sum of parts
10/08/19	DMG & Partners	Silverlake	0.44	0.56	Buy
10/08/19	Kim Eng	ST Engineering	3.91	4.5	Buy	DCF
10/08/19	DMG & Partners	Valuetronics	0.615	0.61	Neutral
10/08/19	DMG & Partners	Venture	15.42	16.3	Buy

ART - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/10/19	OCBC	ART	1.1	1.18	Buy
01/10/19	CIMB	ART	1.1	1.13	Hold	DDM
01/11/19	DBS Vickers	ART	1.11	1.25	Buy
01/30/19	OCBC	ART	1.19	1.25	Buy
01/30/19	DBS Vickers	ART	1.19	1.35	Buy	DCF
03/05/19	OCBC	ART	1.14	1.25	Buy
03/05/19	CIMB	ART	1.14	1.15	Hold
03/29/19	Lim & Tan	ART	1.18	0	Hold	BV
04/09/19	Phillip	ART	1.18	1.36	Buy	DDM, PB0.94x FY19
04/12/19	UOB Kay Hian	ART	1.2	1.46	Buy	DDM
04/15/19	OCBC	ART	1.2	1.25	Hold
05/02/19	OCBC	ART	1.2	1.25	Hold
05/02/19	UOB Kay Hian	ART	1.2	1.46	Buy
05/03/19	DBS Vickers	ART	1.2	1.35	Buy	DCF
05/06/19	Phillip	ART	1.21	1.36	Buy	DDM
06/10/19	UOB Kay Hian	ART	1.27	1.46	Buy
06/19/19	Phillip	ART	1.31	1.36	Buy
06/25/19	OCBC	ART	1.3	1.25	Hold
07/04/19	OCBC	ART	1.28	1.31	Hold
07/04/19	CIMB	ART	1.28	1.15	Hold	DDM
07/04/19	UOB Kay Hian	ART	1.28	1.46	Buy
07/05/19	Phillip	ART	1.31	1.36	Accumulate	DDM
07/31/19	CIMB	ART	1.3	1.31	Hold	DDM
07/31/19	UOB Kay Hian	ART	1.3	1.54	Buy
07/31/19	DBS Vickers	ART	1.3	1.45	Buy
08/02/19	DIR	ART	1.32	1.34	Outperform
08/02/19	Kim Eng	ART	1.32	1.3	Hold
08/02/19	Phillip	ART	1.32	1.36	Accumulate	DDM
08/27/19	UOB Kay Hian	ART	1.3	1.54	Buy
09/24/19	Phillip	ART	1.31	1.36	Accumulate

ARA Hospitality - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
06/18/19	UOB Kay Hian	ARA Hospitality	0.87	1.15	Buy
07/16/19	UOB Kay Hian	ARA Hospitality	0.885	1.15	Buy
08/01/19	UOB Kay Hian	ARA Hospitality	0.885	1.21	Buy	DDM
10/02/19	Amfrasers	ARA Hospitality	0.87	0.96	Outperform	DDM

APTV - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
03/01/19	Phillip	APTV	0.13	0.14	Accumulate
05/16/19	Phillip	APTV	0.178	0.16	Reduce	EV/Ebitda11x
08/19/19	Phillip	APTV	0.17	0.165	Neutral	EV/Ebitda9.5x

Stock calls for 7 October 2019

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
10/07/19	DBS Vickers	A-Reit	3.08	3.4	Buy
10/07/19	DMG & Partners	Centurion	0.4	0.43	Neutral	DCF
10/07/19	UOB Kay Hian	Netlink	0.9	1.01	Buy	DCF
10/07/19	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	2.06	2.22	Hold
10/07/19	CIMB	Starhill	0.74	0.75	Hold	DDM

The truth of the HK protests (riots).

Baltic dry index - 1767

Today, Friday, October 04 2019, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 10 points, reaching 1767 points.

Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.

==========================

Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 855

Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

HK protestors must understand the consequences of rioting.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/hong-kong-metro-system-remain-010856466.html

There will be consequences of rioting.  Just look at France's yellow vest protests.

More than 24 yellow vests lost their eyes.

https://edition.cnn.com/2019/07/14/europe/france-bastille-day-injured-yellow-vests-intl/index.html

11 were killed during the yellow vest protests.

https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/france-yellow-vest-protests-complete-5-months/1455001

Thousands got injured too.

The US government is fudging its employment data again.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/04/heres-where-the-jobs-are-for-September-2019-in-one-chart.html

The US unemployment rate drops to 3.5%.  Can you believe that?

Let's suss out the devil!

The PMI employment index contracted in August.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/ism-pmi-analysis-for-us-economy-in.html

The PMI employment index contracted in September again.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/10/ism-pmi-declined-to-478-in-september.html

The latest ADP private payrolls were slowing down.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/02/adp-jobs-report-private-payrolls-grow-but-hiring-slows.html

I really cannot find anything positive to support these euphoric employment data.

What's the point of publishing overly optimistic figures but these figures will be revised down by a few hundred thousands later?

The US is always using this dirty trick to prop up the stock markets.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/09/the-us-was-caught-red-handed-for.html

Hong Kong anti-mask ban will be in effect on 5 October 2019.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/hong-kong-protests-ban-face-mask-law-carrie-lam-police-11969660

The HK anti-mask ban will be in effect on 5 October 2019.  This is an effective government action as shown in the yellow vest protest in France which had implemented this ban.  However, the HK rioters will be repulsive against this ban.

APAC Realty - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
02/12/19	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.5	0.72	Buy
02/12/19	DBS Vickers	APAC Realty	0.5	0.56	Hold
03/01/19	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.57	0.72	Buy	DCF
03/01/19	DBS Vickers	APAC Realty	0.57	0.7	Buy	PER12x
04/04/19	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.615	0.72	Buy	RNAV
05/07/19	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.555	0.72	Buy
05/14/19	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.545	0.67	Buy	DCF
05/16/19	DBS Vickers	APAC Realty	0.525	0.58	Hold	PER10x
06/03/19	Phillip	APAC Realty	0.5	0.65	Buy	DCF
06/06/19	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.5	0.67	Buy
06/07/19	CIMB	APAC Realty	0.51	0.67	Add
07/15/19	Phillip	APAC Realty	0.545	0.65	Buy	DCF
08/06/19	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.525	0.65	Buy	DCF
08/06/19	DBS Vickers	APAC Realty	0.525	0.48	Hold	PER10x FY20
08/08/19	Phillip	APAC Realty	0.515	0.58	Buy	DCF
08/13/19	CIMB	APAC Realty	0.51	0.6	Add	PER10x FY20
09/12/19	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.495	0.65	Buy

Amara - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
03/05/19	DMG & Partners	Amara	0.46	0.88	Buy	RNAV (35% discount)

AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
04/25/19	Kim Eng	AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit	1.42	1.5	Buy	DDM
04/25/19	DBS Vickers	AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit	1.42	1.5	Buy	DCF
05/16/19	DBS Vickers	AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit	1.4	1.5	Buy	DCF
07/19/19	DBS Vickers	AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit	1.46	1.5	Buy	DCF
07/25/19	Lim & Tan	AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit	1.47	0	Hold
07/26/19	Kim Eng	AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit	1.47	1.6	Buy	DDM