Mapletree Logistics - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
04/18/19	OCBC	Mapletree Logistics	1.44	1.45	Hold
04/29/19	Kim Eng	Mapletree Logistics	1.48	1.4	Hold
04/29/19	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Logistics	1.48	1.6	Buy
04/29/19	CIMB	Mapletree Logistics	1.48	1.48	Hold
04/30/19	OCBC	Mapletree Logistics	1.47	1.38	Hold
05/02/19	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Logistics	1.48	1.39	Hold	Buy @ $1.26
06/06/19	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Logistics	1.5	1.6	Buy
07/19/19	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Logistics	1.61	1.85	Buy
07/23/19	OCBC	Mapletree Logistics	1.61	1.4	Hold
07/24/19	Kim Eng	Mapletree Logistics	1.61	1.55	Hold
07/25/19	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Logistics	1.6	1.39	Hold	DDM
09/18/19	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Logistics	1.58	1.85	Buy
10/22/19	Kim Eng	Mapletree Logistics	1.66	1.6	Hold
10/22/19	OCBC	Mapletree Logistics	1.66	1.41	Hold
10/22/19	CIMB	Mapletree Logistics	1.66	1.55	Hold	DDM
11/07/19	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Logistics	1.69	1.9	Buy
12/19/19	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Logistics	1.67	1.9	Buy
01/21/20	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Logistics	1.81	1.9	Buy	DCF
01/21/20	OCBC	Mapletree Logistics	1.81	1.59	Hold
01/21/20	Lim & Tan	Mapletree Logistics	1.81	0	Hold
01/22/20	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Logistics	1.82	1.9	Buy	DCF
01/22/20	CIMB	Mapletree Logistics	1.82	1.56	Hold	DDM
01/31/20	CIMB	Mapletree Logistics	1.85	1.59	Hold
02/04/20	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Logistics	1.85	1.9	Buy
03/02/20	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Logistics	1.85	1.9	Hold
03/04/20	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Logistics	1.89	2.08	Buy	DDM
04/08/20	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Logistics	1.63	1.85	Buy
04/27/20	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Logistics	1.73	2.08	Buy	DDM
04/27/20	Kim Eng	Mapletree Logistics	1.73	1.85	Hold

Stock calls for 27 May 2020

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
05/27/20	UOB Kay Hian	Capitamall Trust	1.88	2.6	Buy
05/27/20	phillip	Dasin Retail	0.83	0.91	Accumulate	DDM
05/27/20	Lim & Tan	Food Empire	0.515	0.63	Accumlate	PER12.3x FY20
05/27/20	UOB Kay Hian	Frasers Centrepoint Trust	2.25	2.85	Buy
05/27/20	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Commercial	1.95	2.38	Buy
05/27/20	DMG & Partners	Oxley	0.23	0.29	Buy	RNAV (55% discount)
05/27/20	Amfrasers	Soilbuild Reit	0.38	0.48	Neutral
05/27/20	CIMB	Top Glove	4.42	5.37	Add	Ringgit target $15.50, PER36.8x CY21

Mapletree Industrial - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
04/03/19	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Industrial	2.12	2.3	Buy
04/04/19	Kim Eng	Mapletree Industrial	2.11	2.25	Buy	DDM
06/19/19	Phillip	Mapletree Industrial	2.17	2.03	Neutral
06/25/19	Kim Eng	Mapletree Industrial	2.18	2.25	Buy
07/11/19	CIMB	Mapletree Industrial	2.29	2.32	Add	DDM
07/11/19	Kim Eng	Mapletree Industrial	2.29	2.4	Buy	DDM
07/11/19	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Industrial	2.29	2.5	Buy	DCF
07/22/19	Phillip	Mapletree Industrial	2.31	2.03	Neutral	DDM, PB1.36x FY19
07/24/19	OCBC	Mapletree Industrial	2.3	2.06	Hold
07/24/19	CIMB	Mapletree Industrial	2.3	2.37	Hold
07/25/19	OCBC	Mapletree Industrial	2.25	2.29	Hold
07/25/19	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Industrial	2.25	1.94	Hold
08/26/19	Phillip	Mapletree Industrial	2.28	2.03	Neutral
09/13/19	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Industrial	2.3	2.58	Buy	DDM
09/17/19	OCBC	Mapletree Industrial	2.33	2.29	Hold
09/19/19	Kim Eng	Mapletree Industrial	2.4	2.5	Buy
09/19/19	OCBC	Mapletree Industrial	2.4	2.55	Buy
09/24/19	Phillip	Mapletree Industrial	2.47	2.03	Neutral
09/25/19	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Industrial	2.49	2.75	Buy
09/26/19	CIMB	Mapletree Industrial	2.49	2.44	Add	DDM
10/10/19	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Industrial	2.5	2.69	Buy
10/18/19	Phillip	Mapletree Industrial	2.57	2.06	Neutral
10/24/19	OCBC	Mapletree Industrial	2.52	2.55	Hold
10/24/19	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Industrial	2.52	2.9	Buy
10/24/19	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Industrial	2.52	2.75	Buy
11/21/19	Kim Eng	Mapletree Industrial	2.5	2.7	Buy
11/25/19	Phillip	Mapletree Industrial	2.51	2.03	Neutral
12/19/19	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Industrial	2.52	2.75	Buy
01/22/20	OCBC	Mapletree Industrial	2.78	2.87	Hold
01/22/20	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Industrial	2.78	3	Buy
01/23/20	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Industrial	2.77	2.9	Buy
02/04/20	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Industrial	2.78	3	Buy
03/02/20	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Industrial	2.68	3	Buy
03/13/20	Phillip	Mapletree Industrial	2.77	2.03	Neutral
03/18/20	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Industrial	2.14	2.9	Buy
04/17/20	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Industrial	2.41	2.7	Buy	DCF
04/28/20	Lim & Tan	Mapletree Industrial	2.44	0	Hold
04/29/20	Kim Eng	Mapletree Industrial	2.53	2.95	Buy	DDM
04/29/20	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Industrial	2.53	2.85	Buy
04/29/20	CIMB	Mapletree Industrial	2.53	2.66	Add	DDM

Mapletree Commercial - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
04/04/19	Kim Eng	Mapletree Commercial	1.87	1.8	Hold
04/24/19	OCBC	Mapletree Commercial	1.84	1.85	Hold
04/25/19	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Commercial	1.89	2	Buy	DCF
05/28/19	CIMB	Mapletree Commercial	1.93	2.03	Add
06/21/19	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Commercial	2.04	2.22	Buy	DDM
07/10/19	CIMB	Mapletree Commercial	2.05	2.03	Add
07/19/19	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Commercial	2.07	2.25	Buy	DCF
07/26/19	OCBC	Mapletree Commercial	2.1	1.89	Sell
07/26/19	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Commercial	2.1	2.22	Buy
07/26/19	Lim & Tan	Mapletree Commercial	2.1	0	Hold
07/29/19	Kim Eng	Mapletree Commercial	2.07	2.1	Hold	DDM
08/22/19	CIMB	Mapletree Commercial	2.08	2.24	Add
08/28/19	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Commercial	2.12	2.22	Buy
09/09/19	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Commercial	2.24	2.39	Buy	DCF
09/27/19	Lim & Tan	Mapletree Commercial	2.36	0	Hold
09/30/19	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Commercial	2.34	2.38	Hold	DDM
09/30/19	Kim Eng	Mapletree Commercial	2.34	2.1	Hold
09/30/19	CIMB	Mapletree Commercial	2.34	2.38	Hold	DDM
10/16/19	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Commercial	2.34	2.38	Hold	DDM, Buy @ $2.16
10/16/19	CIMB	Mapletree Commercial	2.34	2.39	Hold	DDM
10/16/19	OCBC	Mapletree Commercial	2.34	2.28	Hold
10/16/19	Kim Eng	Mapletree Commercial	2.34	2.35	Hold	DDM
11/08/19	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Commercial	2.39	2.6	Buy	DCF
01/23/20	Kim Eng	Mapletree Commercial	2.44	2.45	Hold	DDM
01/24/20	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Commercial	2.43	2.6	Buy
01/24/20	Lim & Tan	Mapletree Commercial	2.43	0	Hold
02/03/20	OCBC	Mapletree Commercial	2.35	2.44	Hold
03/06/20	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Commercial	2.3	2.62	Buy	DDM
03/18/20	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Commercial	1.77	2.6	Buy
04/02/20	DBS Vickers	Mapletree Commercial	1.75	1.9	Buy
04/23/20	Lim & Tan	Mapletree Commercial	1.77	0	Take Profit
04/24/20	UOB Kay Hian	Mapletree Commercial	1.76	2.02	Buy	DDM
04/27/20	Kim Eng	Mapletree Commercial	1.76	2.15	Buy	DDM

Manulife US Reit - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
04/25/19	Lim & Tan	Manulife US Reit	0.87	0	Hold
04/26/19	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	0.865	0.94	Buy	DDM
04/26/19	DBS Vickers	Manulife US Reit	0.865	0.92	Buy
04/26/19	Kim Eng	Manulife US Reit	0.865	1	Buy	DDM
04/30/19	Amfrasers	Manulife US Reit	0.88	0.97	Buy	DDM
05/02/19	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	0.87	0.96	Buy	DDM
05/29/19	Kim Eng	Manulife US Reit	0.86	1	Buy	DDM
06/06/19	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	0.845	0.96	Buy
06/17/19	DBS Vickers	Manulife US Reit	0.87	1	Buy	DDM
06/25/19	Kim Eng	Manulife US Reit	0.865	1	Buy
07/04/19	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	0.88	0.96	Buy
07/12/19	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	0.875	0.98	Buy	DDM
08/15/19	Amfrasers	Manulife US Reit	0.89	0.98	outperform
08/15/19	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	0.89	0.98	Buy	DDM
08/19/19	Kim Eng	Manulife US Reit	0.89	1	Buy	DDM
08/23/19	DBS Vickers	Manulife US Reit	0.895	1.1	Buy	DCF
09/11/19	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	0.915	0.98	Buy
09/20/19	Kim Eng	Manulife US Reit	0.91	1.05	Buy	DDM
09/20/19	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	0.91	1	Buy	DDM
09/20/19	Amfrasers	Manulife US Reit	0.91	1.01	outperform
10/02/19	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	0.895	1	Buy
10/11/19	DBS Vickers	Manulife US Reit	0.905	1.1	Buy	DCF
11/01/19	CIMB	Manulife US Reit	0.915	1.12	Add	DDM
11/05/19	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	0.92	1	Buy	DDM
11/05/19	DBS Vickers	Manulife US Reit	0.92	1.1	Buy
11/05/19	Kim Eng	Manulife US Reit	0.92	1.05	Buy
12/02/19	Amfrasers	Manulife US Reit	0.965	1.03	outperform
12/10/19	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	1.02	1	Buy
12/13/19	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	1	1.1	Buy	DDM
01/08/20	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	0.99	1.1	Buy
02/06/20	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	1.04	1.12	Buy	DDM
02/06/20	DBS Vickers	Manulife US Reit	1.04	1.15	Buy	DCF
02/06/20	Lim & Tan	Manulife US Reit	1.04	0	Hold
02/07/20	CIMB	Manulife US Reit	1.07	1.13	Add	DDM
02/07/20	Kim Eng	Manulife US Reit	1.07	1.15	Buy	DDM
02/11/20	Amfrasers	Manulife US Reit	1.05	1.11	Neutral
03/10/20	Amfrasers	Manulife US Reit	0.98	1.11	Neutral
03/20/20	DBS Vickers	Manulife US Reit	0.565	1.15	Buy
03/20/20	CIMB	Manulife US Reit	0.565	1.15	Add
03/25/20	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	0.7	0.88	Buy	DDM
04/07/20	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	0.665	0.88	Buy
05/11/20	DMG & Partners	Manulife US Reit	0.705	0.9	Buy	DDM
05/11/20	CIMB	Manulife US Reit	0.705	1.05	Add

Stock calls for 26 May 2020

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
05/26/20	phillip	Comfortdelgro	1.54	1.5	Neutral	DCF
05/26/20	DMG & Partners	Comfortdelgro	1.54	1.45	Neutral	DCF
05/26/20	DBS Vickers	Comfortdelgro	1.54	1.5	Hold	PER15x FY20/21
05/26/20	Lim & Tan	Comfortdelgro	1.54	0	Hold
05/26/20	Kim Eng	Comfortdelgro	1.54	1.98	Buy	DCF
05/26/20	CIMB	Comfortdelgro	1.54	1.5	Hold
05/26/20	UOB Kay Hian	Elite ComReit	0.66	0.88	Buy	DDM
05/26/20	CIMB	First Resources	1.28	1.8	Buy
05/26/20	Kim Eng	First Resources	1.28	1.85	Buy	PER18x FY20
05/26/20	DMG & Partners	First Resources	1.28	1.25	Neutral	PER14x FY20
05/26/20	UOB Kay Hian	First Resources	1.28	1.65	Buy
05/26/20	DBS Vickers	First Resources	1.28	1.7	Buy	DCF
05/26/20	UOB Kay Hian	Riverstone	1.87	2.53	Buy	PER23.1x FY20
05/26/20	DMG & Partners	Singapore Medical	0.23	0.25	Neutral	PER9.8x FY21

The US debt market is going to implode!

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/05/us-cmbs-is-in-precarious-situation-now_22.html

As stated previously, the CMBS market is in a precarious situation.

The MBS market is also in the same situation as CMBS because the existing home sales figure is also falling.

Recently, the car rental giant, Hertz, has filed for bankruptcy.

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/05/22/business/hertz-bankruptcy/index.html

This car rental firm bankruptcy has also brought out the car debt market issue into the open.  The US used car prices are falling and many car derivative products (car debts) created by the banks and financial firms are also in a big trouble as there will be a severe mark down in the used car values.

When the US debt market starts to implode, the US economy will explode because its economic growth is based on debts.  An implosion will cause a big explosion!

Let's watch how this will pan out.

Baltic dry index - 494

Today, Thursday, May 21 2020, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 17 points, reaching 494 points.

Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.

========================

Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 318

Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

F22 and F35 are no longer stealth anymore.

https://www.defenseworld.net/news/26971/Venezuelan_Air_Defence_s_Chinese_made_Radar_Detects_US_F_22_Stealth_Jet#.XsjEyRMzaqA

China's long-range radar JY-27 had proven to be able to detect F22 in Venezuela and the F22 pilot turned back after getting a warning from Venezuela.

JY-27 is not the most recent radar and China has upgraded it to JY-27 3D which is more superior.  Therefore, it is unwise to pay so much for F35 as F22 is more superior than F35 since F22 is not for sale.  The US always keeps the best (F22) for itself.

What will happen to SG if Malaysia gets the JY-27 3D?  All SG F35 will become useless as Malaysia will know all our F35 movements?

Lippo Malls - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
02/21/20	CIMB	Lippo Malls	0.235	0.24	Hold	DDM

Lian Beng - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/14/20	Lim & Tan	Lian Beng	0.525	0	Buy

Lendlease Reit - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
10/15/19	DIR	Lendlease Reit	0.94	1.01	outperform
12/06/19	DBS Vickers	Lendlease Reit	0.92	1.05	Buy	DCF
02/12/20	DBS Vickers	Lendlease Reit	0.91	1.05	Buy
03/18/20	DBS Vickers	Lendlease Reit	0.48	0.94	Buy
04/02/20	DBS Vickers	Lendlease Reit	0.52	0.94	Buy
05/08/20	DBS Vickers	Lendlease Reit	0.575	0.85	Buy

Stock calls for 22 May 2020

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
05/22/20	UOB Kay Hian	BRC Asia	1.15	1.52	Buy
05/22/20	DBS Vickers	Delfi	0.83	1.08	Buy	PER18x FY20/21
05/22/20	CIMB	Riverstone	1.94	2.5	Add
05/22/20	DBS Vickers	Singtel	2.68	3.22	Buy	Sum of parts
05/22/20	DBS Vickers	SPH	1.56	1.57	Hold

US CMBS is in a precarious situation now! - Part 2

Why did I say that CMBS was in a precarious situation?

The CMBX index chart showed that the CMBS prices have been falling since the beginning of 2020.  This pushed the US FED to buy the CMBS as part of the pandemic package because some big banks were stuck with unsellable CMBS in their possessions.  These unsellable CMBS will weigh on the cashflow since the banks cannot outsource their risks by selling them to retail investors.  Many insurance companies also possess such CMBS that they cannot sell to potential clients.

The US FED purchases insofar have not yielded any significant result because the commercial real estate transactions have continued to fall.  Ultimately, these declining transactions will impact the physical real estate prices and subsequently affect the CMBS prices.  In the end, the banks and insurance companies will have to shoulder the CMBS losses.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/05/us-cmbs-is-in-precarious-situation-now.html

US CMBS is in a precarious situation now!

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/commercial-real-estate-transactions-u-165441099.html

The US commercial real estate transactions have plunged by 71% and this is a precursor sign that the prices will follow suit.  A declining volume usually causes the price to fall in the future because of the mismatch in buyer-seller expectations.

What's the repercussion?

Well, the collapse in prices will affect the commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) which the FED has just bought to salvage the US economy.  This will have a multiplier effect on the wider economy and also affect the banking industry.

Let's see how the real situation will play out.

KSH - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
04/17/19	OCBC	KSH	0.535	0.81	Buy
05/31/19	Lim & Tan	KSH	0.45	0	Buy
06/03/19	OCBC	KSH	0.45	0	Cease coverage
11/12/19	Lim & Tan	KSH	0.465	0	Buy
01/28/20	Lim & Tan	KSH	0.415	0	Buy on weakness
04/06/20	Lim & Tan	KSH	0.29	0	Hold

Koufu - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
04/08/19	UOB Kay Hian	Koufu	0.805	0.95	Buy
05/07/19	DBS Vickers	Koufu	0.77	0.8	Hold	PER17x FY19
05/09/19	UOB Kay Hian	Koufu	0.75	0.95	Buy
06/13/19	UOB Kay Hian	Koufu	0.675	0.95	Buy
06/28/19	DBS Vickers	Koufu	0.675	0.85	Buy	PER17x FY19
07/03/19	UOB Kay Hian	Koufu	0.72	0.95	Buy
08/08/19	UOB Kay Hian	Koufu	0.71	0.95	Buy
08/08/19	DBS Vickers	Koufu	0.71	0.88	Buy	PER17x FY20
10/01/19	UOB Kay Hian	Koufu	0.72	0.95	Buy
10/01/19	DBS Vickers	Koufu	0.72	0.88	Buy
11/05/19	DBS Vickers	Koufu	0.755	0.88	Buy	PER17x FY20
11/06/19	UOB Kay Hian	Koufu	0.77	0.95	Buy
12/11/19	SAC Capital	Koufu	0.765	0.87	Buy
01/06/20	DBS Vickers	Koufu	0.775	0.88	Buy
02/12/20	UOB Kay Hian	Koufu	0.725	0.83	Buy
02/13/20	DBS Vickers	Koufu	0.735	0.84	Buy	PER17x FY20
03/02/20	DBS Vickers	Koufu	0.705	0.84	Buy	PER17x FY20
03/03/20	UOB Kay Hian	Koufu	0.71	0.81	Buy
03/03/20	Lim & Tan	Koufu	0.71	0	Hold
04/22/20	DBS Vickers	Koufu	0.615	0.68	Hold
04/24/20	UOB Kay Hian	Koufu	0.6	0.69	Buy