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Friday, March 28, 2025

US Q4 GDP 2024 update! - Part 3

Let's break down the latest US Q4 GDP 2024 estimate.  The US reported an estimate of 2.4% GDP growth for Q4 2024.

GDP growth = G + I + C + NE
Q4 GDP (1st estimate) = 0.42 + (-1.03) + 2.82 + 0.04 = 2.25 (2.3)
Q4 GDP (2nd estimate) = 0.49 + (-1.05) + 2.79 + 0.12 = 2.35 (2.3)
Q4 GDP (Final estimate) = 0.52 + (-1.03) + 2.7 + 0.26 = 2.45 (2.4)
The core PCE inflation was at 2.6% in Q4 2024 which indicated a stagnant inflation for Q4 2024.  However, this has become meaningless as Trump has increased his tariffs for 2025.

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