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Tuesday, June 9, 2020

SGX - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/05/19DMG & PartnersSGX7.428.1BuyPER23x FY20
04/05/19Credit SuisseSGX7.426.8Underperform
04/26/19OCBCSGX7.267.6HoldPER21x FY20
04/26/19DBS VickersSGX7.267.05HoldDDM, PER20x FY20
04/26/19Kim EngSGX7.268.79BuyPER23x FY19
04/29/19phillipSGX7.48.09AccumulatePER21.4x
04/29/19CIMBSGX7.47.9AddPER22.1x FY20
06/28/19DBS VickersSGX7.957.05HoldDDM, PER20x FY20
07/15/19phillipSGX7.998.09AccumulatePER21.4x
07/15/19Credit SuisseSGX7.997.1Underperform
07/15/19Citi ResearchSGX7.997.23Sell
08/01/19DMG & PartnersSGX7.928.1NeutralPER23x FY20
08/01/19DBS VickersSGX7.928.3BuyDDM
08/02/19phillipSGX7.788.09AccumulatePER21x
08/05/19CIMBSGX7.988.1HoldPER21.5x
08/05/19JefferiesSGX7.989Buy
10/02/19phillipSGX8.58.6AccumulatePER22x
10/02/19JefferiesSGX8.59Hold
10/02/19Citi ResearchSGX8.58Sell
10/02/19OCBCSGX8.57.6Hold
10/09/19DMG & PartnersSGX8.48.1NeutralPER23x FY20
10/09/19Credit SuisseSGX8.47.2Underperform
10/25/19DMG & PartnersSGX8.288.3NeutralPER23x FY20
10/25/19CIMBSGX8.289AddPER22.4x FY20
10/25/19OCBCSGX8.288.6HoldPER22x FY20
10/25/19DBS VickersSGX8.288.9BuyDDM, PER21x FY20
11/25/19phillipSGX8.978.6NeutralPER22x
11/25/19Credit SuisseSGX8.977.7Underperform
11/25/19Citi ResearchSGX8.978.75Hold
01/02/20DMG & PartnersSGX8.868.8NeutralPER23x FY21
01/24/20DBS VickersSGX8.829.6BuyDDM, PER21x FY21
01/31/20phillipSGX8.78.52NeutralPER21.5x
02/19/20MacquarieSGX9.1510Outperform
02/19/20JefferiesSGX9.159.2Hold
03/05/20MacquarieSGX9.0510Outperform
03/05/20CIMBSGX9.059.4Add
03/05/20Citi ResearchSGX9.059.6Buy
03/13/20Credit SuisseSGX8.698.7Neutral
04/07/20DMG & PartnersSGX9.339.1NeutralPER23x FY21
04/07/20Citi ResearchSGX9.3310.8Buy
04/07/20CIMBSGX9.3310.5Add
04/07/20JefferiesSGX9.339.3Hold
04/24/20Citi ResearchSGX10.1610Hold
04/24/20DMG & PartnersSGX10.169.7NeutralPER24x FY21
04/24/20Lim & TanSGX10.160Sell
04/27/20phillipSGX9.649.28NeutralPER21.4x
04/27/20DBS VickersSGX9.6410HoldDDM
04/27/20OCBCSGX9.649.3HoldPER23.3x FY21
04/27/20JefferiesSGX9.649.1Hold
05/28/20MacquarieSGX8.7511Outperform
05/28/20DMG & PartnersSGX8.758.6HoldPER24x FY21
05/28/20DBS VickersSGX8.757.4Fully ValuedDDM
05/28/20CIMBSGX8.758Reduce
05/28/20OCBCSGX8.758SellPER21.6x FY21
05/28/20JefferiesSGX8.758.5HoldPER23.5x
05/28/20Lim & TanSGX8.750Buy on weakness

Sembcorp Marine - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/09/19AmfrasersSembcorp Marine1.72.48Buy
04/09/19DBS VickersSembcorp Marine1.72.4Buy
05/03/19CIMBSembcorp Marine1.692.21AddPB2x
05/06/19phillipSembcorp Marine1.671.76NeutralPB1.6x
05/06/19OCBCSembcorp Marine1.671.77Hold
05/06/19AmfrasersSembcorp Marine1.672.48Buy
05/06/19DBS VickersSembcorp Marine1.672.4BuyPB2.1x FY19
05/30/19OCBCSembcorp Marine1.451.6HoldPB1.45x
06/04/19DMG & PartnersSembcorp Marine1.391.99BuyPB1.8x FY20
07/03/19CIMBSembcorp Marine1.541.75AddPB1.6x CY19
07/03/19OCBCSembcorp Marine1.541.6Hold
07/04/19MacquarieSembcorp Marine1.411.57Neutral
07/04/19DBS VickersSembcorp Marine1.412.4Buy
07/31/19DBS VickersSembcorp Marine1.361.9BuyPB1.8x FY19
07/31/19AmfrasersSembcorp Marine1.361.59NeutralPB1.6x FY19
07/31/19DMG & PartnersSembcorp Marine1.361.8BuyPB1.64x FY20
07/31/19CIMBSembcorp Marine1.361.16ReducePB1.1x
07/31/19UOB Kay HianSembcorp Marine1.361.32HoldDCF, Buy @ $1.25
08/06/19MacquarieSembcorp Marine1.281.4NeutralPB
09/03/19UOB Kay HianSembcorp Marine1.161.22HoldBuy @ $1.10
09/03/19DMG & PartnersSembcorp Marine1.161.63BuyPB1.48x FY20
09/09/19CIMBSembcorp Marine1.191.26HoldPB1.2x CY19
10/09/19CIMBSembcorp Marine1.21.26HoldPB1.2x CY19
10/09/19OCBCSembcorp Marine1.21.29Hold
10/09/19DBS VickersSembcorp Marine1.21.9Buy
10/25/19DBS VickersSembcorp Marine1.41.45Hold
11/12/19UOB Kay HianSembcorp Marine1.331.22Sell
11/13/19OCBCSembcorp Marine1.341.24Sell
11/14/19DMG & PartnersSembcorp Marine1.291.6BuyPB1.47x FY20
11/14/19UOB Kay HianSembcorp Marine1.291.17Sell
11/14/19CIMBSembcorp Marine1.291.26HoldPB1.2x CY21
11/15/19MacquarieSembcorp Marine1.281.4NeutralDCF
11/15/19DBS VickersSembcorp Marine1.281.4HoldPB1.3x FY20
12/26/19Lim & TanSembcorp Marine1.280Hold
01/21/20UOB Kay HianSembcorp Marine1.281.4Hold
02/20/20OCBCSembcorp Marine1.241.23Hold
02/21/20UOB Kay HianSembcorp Marine1.21.21HoldBuy @ $1.05
02/21/20DMG & PartnersSembcorp Marine1.21.45Buy
02/21/20DBS VickersSembcorp Marine1.21.35HoldPB1.3x FY20
02/21/20CIMBSembcorp Marine1.21.2Hold
03/10/20AmfrasersSembcorp Marine0.8951.19Neutral
04/29/20HSBCSembcorp Marine0.740.79HoldCut from $1.31
05/13/20DMG & PartnersSembcorp Marine0.7351.28BuyPB1.26x FY20
05/14/20UOB Kay HianSembcorp Marine0.710.81HoldBuy @ $0.65
05/14/20DBS VickersSembcorp Marine0.710.72HoldPB0.7x
05/14/20CIMBSembcorp Marine0.710.8HoldPB0.8x CY20
06/05/20Lim & TanSembcorp Marine0.850Hold
06/09/20DMG & PartnersSembcorp Marine0.851.13BuyPB1.1x
06/09/20Lim & TanSembcorp Marine0.850Sell

Sembcorp Industries - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/09/19DBS VickersSembcorp Industries2.753.9Buy
05/16/19OCBCSembcorp Industries2.543.13BuySum of parts
05/16/19DBS VickersSembcorp Industries2.543.9BuySum of parts, PB1x
05/16/19CIMBSembcorp Industries2.543.41AddSum of parts
05/17/19phillipSembcorp Industries2.553.75BuySum of parts
06/04/19OCBCSembcorp Industries2.383.03BuySum of parts
06/04/19Citi ResearchSembcorp Industries2.383.15Buy
07/03/19OCBCSembcorp Industries2.473.03Buy
07/04/19MacquarieSembcorp Industries2.412.84Outperform
08/15/19CIMBSembcorp Industries2.262.83AddSum of parts
08/15/19UOB Kay HianSembcorp Industries2.262.34Hold
08/15/19Citi ResearchSembcorp Industries2.263.05Buy
08/16/19DBS VickersSembcorp Industries2.263.2BuySum of parts (10% discount), PER16x FY19, PB0.8x FY19
09/12/19DBS VickersSembcorp Industries2.213.2BuySum of parts (10% discount), PER16x FY19, PB0.8x FY19
09/12/19Lim & TanSembcorp Industries2.210Buy
09/18/19DMG & PartnersSembcorp Industries2.222.68BuySum of parts, PER9.9x FY20
09/18/19OCBCSembcorp Industries2.222.79Buy
10/07/19UOB Kay HianSembcorp Industries2.062.22HoldBuy @ $2
10/08/19CIMBSembcorp Industries2.082.83AddSum of parts
10/09/19DBS VickersSembcorp Industries2.113.2Buy
10/25/19DBS VickersSembcorp Industries2.282.9Buy
11/15/19OCBCSembcorp Industries2.292.51HoldSum of parts
11/15/19DMG & PartnersSembcorp Industries2.292.68BuySum of parts (20% discount), PER10x FY20
11/18/19UOB Kay HianSembcorp Industries2.262.19HoldBuy @ $2
11/18/19DBS VickersSembcorp Industries2.262.9BuyRNAV (10% discount), PB0.7x
11/18/19Citi ResearchSembcorp Industries2.262.8Buy
12/27/19CIMBSembcorp Industries2.282.78Add
01/21/20CIMBSembcorp Industries2.282.78Add
02/07/20DBS VickersSembcorp Industries2.162.21HoldSum of parts (10% discount), PER10.1x FY20, PB0.5x FY20
02/07/20Citi ResearchSembcorp Industries2.162.8Buy
02/07/20OCBCSembcorp Industries2.162.13Hold
02/07/20UOB Kay HianSembcorp Industries2.162.17HoldBuy @ $2.05
02/07/20Lim & TanSembcorp Industries2.160Hold
02/07/20DMG & PartnersSembcorp Industries2.162.68BuySum of parts, PER10x FY20
02/24/20DMG & PartnersSembcorp Industries2.012.33BuySum of parts, PER10x FY20
04/29/20HSBCSembcorp Industries1.572.21BuyCut from $2.68
05/19/20DBS VickersSembcorp Industries1.551.7HoldSum of parts, PB0.5x
05/19/20Lim & TanSembcorp Industries1.550Hold
05/19/20UOB Kay HianSembcorp Industries1.551.7HoldBuy @ $1.50
05/19/20CIMBSembcorp Industries1.551.76Hold
05/20/20DMG & PartnersSembcorp Industries1.552BuySum of parts
06/01/20DBS VickersSembcorp Industries1.361.7BuySum of parts (10% discount)
06/09/20DMG & PartnersSembcorp Industries1.532.11BuySum of parts
06/09/20CIMBSembcorp Industries1.532.49AddSum of parts
06/09/20Lim & TanSembcorp Industries1.530Buy

Stock calls for 9 June 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
06/09/20OCBCA-Reit3.263.52Buy
06/09/20CIMBCDL Hospitality1.191.31Add
06/09/20CIMBFar East Hospitality0.570.59Add
06/09/20DMG & PartnersFood Empire0.550.75BuyPER12x FY20
06/09/20Lim & TanKeppel Corp6.230Buy
06/09/20OCBCMapletree Industrial2.822.84Buy
06/09/20OCBCMapletree North Asia0.981.13Buy
06/09/20DMG & PartnersSembcorp Industries1.532.11BuySum of parts
06/09/20CIMBSembcorp Industries1.532.49AddSum of parts
06/09/20Lim & TanSembcorp Industries1.530Buy
06/09/20DMG & PartnersSembcorp Marine0.851.13BuyPB1.1x
06/09/20Lim & TanSembcorp Marine0.850Sell

The latest US unemployment data is a fudge.

Don't believe in the latest US unemployment data.  The overly optimistic numbers are fake!

The US will be revising the unemployment data soon.

The US is officially in a recession.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-economy-officially-in-recession-nber-165226139.html

This is not surprising as we've been stating this.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/03/weve-correctly-predicted-end-of-good-us.html

With China ramping up its chip developments, the US golden days will be over in a few years time because countries have to choose between an Asian or western technology in the future.  Nevertheless, western economies will lose a big chunk of the technology business to the Asian giant (China) and China will be setting the new technological standards with its new chips.

China has many PHD scientists at its disposal to work 24/7 either in 2 or 3 shifts to expedite its chip developments and commercialization.  5 years is a long time in the technological world and China will be able to fulfill its grandeur 2025 Made In China project.

Disruption in the semiconductor industry will come in 5 years time or lesser!

The US government has killed the western semiconductor industry by encouraging China to develop its own semiconductor expeditiously.

As many silicon-based semiconductor patents are held by the west, China has managed to achieve a carbon-based semiconductor breakthrough and this will enable China to bypass all the western patents because different materials have different properties and need different techniques for production.

https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1189631.shtml

I believe China has managed to create a breakthrough with a carbon-based semiconductor material known as graphene.  I knew that China was doing this research for a few years already.

https://www.graphene-info.com/graphene-semiconductor

China will be able to revolutionize the semiconductor industry with this carbon-based semiconductor and the west will lose a big chunk of the semiconductor business in the future.  The dichotomy in chip technology (silicon vs carbon) has happened.  China will satisfy its own chip demand first before exporting to the rest of the world.

Moreover, China has also produced its first semiconductor machine in 1 year after the start of the US-China trade war.  Kudos to China!

https://cntechpost.com/2020/05/18/chinese-firm-develops-countrys-first-semiconductor-laser-invisible-wafer-scribing-machine/

Monday, June 8, 2020

SATS - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/15/19Kim EngSATS5.315.8Buy
05/13/19UOB Kay HianSATS5.275.6Buy
05/17/19OCBCSATS5.225.35Hold
05/21/19phillipSATS5.085.47AccumulateDCF, PER24x FY19
05/21/19UOB Kay HianSATS5.085.05HoldBuy @ 4.60
05/21/19DBS VickersSATS5.085.44BuyDCF & PER22x FY20
06/03/19UOB Kay HianSATS5.075.05HoldBuy @ $4.70
06/06/19DBS VickersSATS5.045.44Buy
06/12/19Kim EngSATS5.046.1BuyDCF
06/17/19CIMBSATS5.145.4AddPER21.9x CY20
07/05/19Kim EngSATS5.366.1BuyDCF
07/15/19UOB Kay HianSATS5.375.05Sell
07/19/19UOB Kay HianSATS5.324.8Sell
07/19/19DBS VickersSATS5.325HoldDCF
07/19/19CIMBSATS5.325.4HoldPER21.9x CY20
07/22/19OCBCSATS55.28HoldFCFF
07/22/19phillipSATS55.47Accumulate
07/22/19Lim & TanSATS50Hold
09/20/19Kim EngSATS4.786.1Buy
10/15/19UOB Kay HianSATS4.825.3BuyDCF
11/13/19UOB Kay HianSATS5.095.3Buy
11/14/19DBS VickersSATS4.995.06HoldDCF & PER22x FY21
11/19/19phillipSATS5.075.36AccumulateDCF, PER23.3x FY19
11/19/19OCBCSATS5.075.28Hold
11/25/19Kim EngSATS5.066.1Buy
02/04/20UOB Kay HianSATS4.494.8HoldBuy @ $4.30
02/06/20CIMBSATS4.464.07Reduce
02/14/20DBS VickersSATS4.544.46HoldDCF & PER22x FY21
02/17/20phillipSATS4.434.45NeutralDCF, PER19x FY21
03/19/20DBS VickersSATS3.122.66Fully ValuedDCF, PER15.8x FY21
03/27/20UOB Kay HianSATS3.323.96BuyPER19.4x FY22
05/04/20UOB Kay HianSATS3.283.3HoldBuy @ $2.80-2.90
05/06/20DBS VickersSATS2.982.64Fully ValuedDCF & PER25x FY22
06/01/20DBS VickersSATS2.662.64HoldDCF & PER25x

Sasseur - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/03/19CIMBSasseur0.780.92Add
06/25/19Kim EngSasseur0.790.9Buy
08/08/19DBS VickersSasseur0.80.97BuyDCF
08/13/19CIMBSasseur0.8050.94AddDDM
10/30/19UOB Kay HianSasseur0.80.97BuyDDM
11/18/19Kim EngSasseur0.8451BuyDDM
11/18/19UOB Kay HianSasseur0.8450.97Buy
11/18/19DBS VickersSasseur0.8450.97Buy
11/20/19CIMBSasseur0.850.94Add
02/21/20CIMBSasseur0.820.85Add
02/24/20DBS VickersSasseur0.8150.93BuyDCF
02/24/20Kim EngSasseur0.8150.95Buy
03/10/20UOB Kay HianSasseur0.730.92BuyDDM
04/14/20DBS VickersSasseur0.620.8BuyDCF, PB0.9x
05/15/20UOB Kay HianSasseur0.720.96BuyDDM
06/03/20DBS VickersSasseur0.80.8Buy

Sabana - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
09/12/19DBS VickersSabana0.4550.48HoldDCF
10/25/19DBS VickersSabana0.4550.48HoldDCF
01/30/20DBS VickersSabana0.460.48HoldDCF

Stock calls for 8 June 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
06/08/20CIMBART1.051.21Add
06/08/20UOB Kay HianART1.051.16Buy
06/08/20DBS VickersCapitaCommercial1.821.95BuyDCF
06/08/20UOB Kay HianCapitamall Trust2.122.6Buy
06/08/20DMG & PartnersDairy Farm4.754.95Neutral
06/08/20phillipDBS22.2820.6Neutral
06/08/20CitibankDBS22.2825.5Buy
06/08/20UOB Kay HianFar East Hospitality0.5450.62Buy
06/08/20UOB Kay HianFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.582.85Buy
06/08/20DMG & PartnersKeppel Pacific0.7250.8BuyDDM
06/08/20DBS VickersKeppel Reit1.161.35BuyDCF
06/08/20UOB Kay HianKeppel Reit1.161.3Buy
06/08/20MacquarieMapletree Commercial2.122.05Neutral
06/08/20phillipOCBC9.449.14Neutral
06/08/20Citi ResearchOCBC9.4410.85Buy
06/08/20DBS VickersOUE Commercial0.40.5BuyDCF
06/08/20DMG & PartnersSheng Siong1.561.72BuyDCF
06/08/20DBS VickersSIA Engineering2.222.3HoldSum of parts (15% premium)
06/08/20DBS VickersSuntec Reit1.61.81BuyDCF
06/08/20phillipUOB2220.7Neutral
06/08/20Citi ResearchUOB2225Buy
06/08/20Lim & TanUOB220Hold

Saturday, June 6, 2020

Baltic dry index - 632

Today, Thursday, June 04 2020, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 40 points, reaching 632 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 284


Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Friday, June 5, 2020

Roxy-Pacific - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/17/19OCBCRoxy-Pacific0.40.41Hold
05/09/19OCBCRoxy-Pacific0.4050.41Hold
05/10/19DBS VickersRoxy-Pacific0.4050.39HoldRNAV (55% discount)
07/15/19OCBCRoxy-Pacific0.3850.41Hold
08/05/19DBS VickersRoxy-Pacific0.390.39HoldRNAV (55% discount)