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Tuesday, December 29, 2020

Comfortdelgro - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
02/04/20DMG & PartnersComfortdelgro2.132.38NeutralDCF
02/06/20DBS VickersComfortdelgro2.142.45BuyDCF, PER18.1x FY20
02/06/20CIMBComfortdelgro2.142.09Hold
02/17/20DMG & PartnersComfortdelgro2.182.25NeutralDCF, PER18x FY20
02/17/20UOB Kay HianComfortdelgro2.182.15HoldBuy @ $1.95
02/17/20DBS VickersComfortdelgro2.182.26HoldDCF & PER17.7x FY20
02/17/20CIMBComfortdelgro2.182.08HoldBuy @ $1.88
02/19/20phillipComfortdelgro2.092.2AccumulateDCF
02/24/20AmfrasersComfortdelgro2.022.28OutperformPER17.5x FY20
03/10/20AmfrasersComfortdelgro1.812.28OutperformPER17.5x FY20
03/31/20DBS VickersComfortdelgro1.481.55HoldPER15x FY20
03/31/20CIMBComfortdelgro1.481.55Hold
04/02/20DMG & PartnersComfortdelgro1.471.54NeutralDCF
04/27/20OCBCComfortdelgro1.431.75Buy
05/18/20Kim EngComfortdelgro1.461.99BuyDCF
05/20/20UOB Kay HianComfortdelgro1.561.82BuyPER16.7x FY21
05/26/20phillipComfortdelgro1.541.5NeutralDCF
05/26/20DMG & PartnersComfortdelgro1.541.45NeutralDCF
05/26/20DBS VickersComfortdelgro1.541.5HoldPER15x FY20/21
05/26/20Lim & TanComfortdelgro1.540Hold
05/26/20Kim EngComfortdelgro1.541.98BuyDCF
05/26/20CIMBComfortdelgro1.541.5Hold
06/01/20DBS VickersComfortdelgro1.441.68BuyPER16.8x FY20/21
06/02/20DMG & PartnersComfortdelgro1.431.65BuyDCF, PER15.5x FY21
06/29/20Kim EngComfortdelgro1.521.98BuyDCF
06/29/20Lim & TanComfortdelgro1.520Hold
07/01/20CIMBComfortdelgro1.451.46HoldPER13.1x FY21
07/02/20DMG & PartnersComfortdelgro1.481.65BuyDCF, PER16x FY21
07/03/20DBS VickersComfortdelgro1.471.68Buy
08/06/20DMG & PartnersComfortdelgro1.391.65BuyDCF
08/07/20DBS VickersComfortdelgro1.391.68Buy
08/17/20phillipComfortdelgro1.391.65AccumulateDCF
08/17/20UOB Kay HianComfortdelgro1.391.78BuyPER17.2x FY21
08/17/20DBS VickersComfortdelgro1.391.63BuyPER15x FY21
08/17/20DMG & PartnersComfortdelgro1.391.55BuyDCF, PER17.6x FY21
08/17/20CIMBComfortdelgro1.391.4Hold
08/17/20Kim EngComfortdelgro1.391.76BuyDCF
08/19/20Lim & TanComfortdelgro1.410Accumulate
08/27/20AmfrasersComfortdelgro1.461.63Outperform
09/01/20Kim EngComfortdelgro1.481.76BuyDCF
09/04/20DBS VickersComfortdelgro1.511.96BuyPB1.6x FY21
09/21/20CIMBComfortdelgro1.481.7AddPER15.6x FY21
09/22/20MacquarieComfortdelgro1.461.51NeutralPER15x FY21
09/22/20UOB Kay HianComfortdelgro1.461.78Buy
10/05/20phillipComfortdelgro1.421.65Accumulate
10/07/20DMG & PartnersComfortdelgro1.441.7BuyDCF
11/05/20DMG & PartnersComfortdelgro1.391.7BuyPER17.7x FY21
11/12/20DBS VickersComfortdelgro1.491.96BuyPB1.6x FY21
11/13/20CIMBComfortdelgro1.51.7Add
11/13/20Kim EngComfortdelgro1.51.76BuyDCF
11/13/20UOB Kay HianComfortdelgro1.51.78Buy
11/16/20phillipComfortdelgro1.541.83BuyDCF
11/24/20OCBCComfortdelgro1.652Buy
12/07/20DMG & PartnersComfortdelgro1.641.9BuyPER19x FY21

Monday, December 28, 2020

Clearbridge - Stock calls

 

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
02/06/20TayronaClearbridge0.1390.41Overweight
03/10/20phillipClearbridge0.1160.26BuyDCF
08/31/20phillipClearbridge0.1710.26BuyDCF

City Developments - Stock calls


DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
01/02/20DBS VickersCity Developments10.9513BuyRNAV (18% discount), PB1.08x FY2020
02/26/20OCBCCity Developments10.6612.02Buy
02/27/20CIMBCity Developments10.3712.09Add
02/27/20OCBCCity Developments10.3712.01BuyRNAV (35% discount)
02/27/20DBS VickersCity Developments10.3713BuyRNAV (18% discount), PB1.08x FY2020
02/28/20UOB Kay HianCity Developments10.1712.5Buy
03/03/20phillipCity Developments9.7411.89BuyRNAV (30% discount), PB0.98x FY20
05/13/20UOB Kay HianCity Developments7.969.5Buy
05/14/20CIMBCity Developments7.6510.13Add
05/28/20Lim & TanCity Developments7.6811.2Buy
05/29/20DMG & PartnersCity Developments7.679.5BuyRNAV (45% discount)
06/26/20Morgan StanleyCity Developments8.3210.5Overweight
07/13/20OCBCCity Developments8.7312.01Buy
07/14/20DMG & PartnersCity Developments8.379.5Buy
07/15/20OCBCCity Developments8.2710.74Buy
07/30/20DBS VickersCity Developments8.2813Buy
08/06/20DBS VickersCity Developments8.310.5BuyRNAV (25% discount), PB0.9x
08/13/20Lim & TanCity Developments8.340Buy on weakness
08/14/20OCBCCity Developments8.4610.64Buy
08/14/20CIMBCity Developments8.4610.1Add
08/14/20DMG & PartnersCity Developments8.469.5BuyRNAV (45% discount)
08/14/20UOB Kay HianCity Developments8.469.2Buy
08/25/20phillipCity Developments810.68BuyRNAV (30% discount)
09/15/20Lim & TanCity Developments7.980Buy
09/16/20CIMBCity Developments7.9610.1Add
10/16/20CIMBCity Developments7.6710.1Add
10/23/20OCBCCity Developments79.65Buy
11/30/20MacquarieCity Developments7.878.2Neutral
12/01/20UOB Kay HianCity Developments7.89.2Buy
12/01/20Lim & TanCity Developments7.80Accumulate
12/04/20CIMBCity Developments7.7210.1Add

China Sunsine - Stock calls


DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/06/20CIMBChina Sunsine0.280.38AddAfter stock split (1 into 2)
04/06/20AmfrasersChina Sunsine0.280.6Outperform
08/14/20CIMBChina Sunsine0.320.38Add
08/19/20AmfrasersChina Sunsine0.3450.47OutperformDCF
09/16/20UOB Kay HianChina Sunsine0.3550.31SellEV/Ebitda
10/09/20CIMBChina Sunsine0.340.42Add
10/19/20UOB Kay HianChina Sunsine0.3950.48BuyPER8x FY21
11/18/20CIMBChina Sunsine0.470.55Add
11/18/20UOB Kay HianChina Sunsine0.470.58Buy

Fu Yu - Stock calls

 


Friday, December 25, 2020

Malaysia has given SG a "great" Christmas gift by terminating the SG-KL HSR.

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/malaysia-go-it-alone-hsr-project-pay-rm300m-compensation-singapore-%E2%80%94-source

Malaysia has terminated SG-KL HSR by paying a discounted penalty of RM$300m.  It was supposed to be RM$500m penalty as stated in the termination clause.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/06/the-kl-sg-hsr-is-terminated-officially.html

Either SG is incompetent to collect the RM$500m penalty or Malaysia is too brilliant to get a discount from SG.  In other words, SG has given RM$200m to Malaysia as a Christmas gift.

China Everbright - Stock calls


DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
05/29/20DBS VickersChina Everbright0.1990.49BuyPER7x
08/14/20DBS VickersChina Everbright0.2350.33Buy

China Aviation Oil - Stock calls


DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
01/21/20DMG & PartnersChina Aviation Oil1.281.55Buy
02/27/20CIMBChina Aviation Oil1.161.25HoldPER8.5x FY21
02/28/20DBS VickersChina Aviation Oil1.161.65BuyPER10x FY20
03/12/20DMG & PartnersChina Aviation Oil0.9651.3BuySum of parts
04/22/20DMG & PartnersChina Aviation Oil1.021.3BuySum of parts
04/23/20DMG & PartnersChina Aviation Oil1.021.25BuySum of parts, PB0.9x
05/12/20DMG & PartnersChina Aviation Oil1.021.25BuySum of parts, PER2.6x FY21 (ex-cash)
06/12/20DMG & PartnersChina Aviation Oil1.141.25BuyPB0.9x, PER3.5x FY21 (ex-cash)
07/06/20DMG & PartnersChina Aviation Oil1.021.25BuySum of parts
08/13/20DMG & PartnersChina Aviation Oil0.930.95NeutralSum of parts
08/25/20DBS VickersChina Aviation Oil0.8651.2BuyPER11x FY20/21
09/07/20DBS VickersChina Aviation Oil0.941.2Buy
09/30/20DMG & PartnersChina Aviation Oil0.8951.05Buy
10/13/20DBS VickersChina Aviation Oil11.2Buy
10/14/20DMG & PartnersChina Aviation Oil11.15Buy
11/03/20DBS VickersChina Aviation Oil0.921.2Buy
12/02/20DMG & PartnersChina Aviation Oil1.081.25Buy

Centurion - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
01/08/20CIMBCenturion0.440.61AddDCF
03/02/20DMG & PartnersCenturion0.4450.49NeutralDCF
03/02/20DBS VickersCenturion0.4450.53BuyDCF
03/18/20CIMBCenturion0.390.58AddDCF
03/30/20DBS VickersCenturion0.3950.41HoldDCF
04/13/20CIMBCenturion0.3850.58Add
04/22/20DBS VickersCenturion0.380.41HoldDCF
04/29/20DMG & PartnersCenturion0.3850.41NeutralDCF
05/18/20DBS VickersCenturion0.3750.42HoldDCF
08/13/20DBS VickersCenturion0.3550.39HoldDCF
08/20/20CIMBCenturion0.370.4Add
09/03/20CIMBCenturion0.350.4AddDCF
10/19/20UOB Kay HianCenturion0.340.44BuyDCF

Stock calls for 24 December 2020

 


Saturday, December 19, 2020

China will surpass the US GDP in 2028 and exceed the combined GDP of the US & Japan by 2035.

http://www.dailynews.lk/2020/12/15/finance/236090/china-overtake-us-economy-2028-29-covid%E2%80%99s-wake-jcer

China will surpass the US GDP in 2028 and exceed the combined GDP of the US & Japan by 2035.  Therefore, we need to engage China in international trades and ride on the prosperity of China to boost our own economic growth.

Baltic dry index - 1325


 Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 813


 Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Thursday, December 17, 2020

Singapore's Nodx declined 4.9% in November 2020.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/singapore-nodx-falls-4-9-in-november-non-electronics-13789058

Year on year changes (YOY):

November 2020: -4.9%

October 2020: -3.1%

September 2020: 5.9%
August 2020: 7.7%
July 2020: 6%
June 2020: 16.1% (Revised to 13.9%)
May 2020: -4.6%
April 2020: 9.7%
March 2020: 17.6%
February 2020: 3% (Revised to 3.1%)
January 2020: - 3.3%
December 2019: 2.4%
November 2019: - 5.9%
October 2019: - 12.3%
September 2019: -8.1%
August 2019: - 8.9%
July 2019: -11.2%
June 2019: -17.3%
May 2019: -15.9%
April 2019: -10%
March 2019: -11.7%
February 2019: 4.9%
January 2019: -10.1%
December 2018: -8.5%
November 2018: -2.6%
October 2018: 8.3%
September 2018: 8.3%
August 2018: 5%
July 2018: 11.8% (Corrected)
June 2018: 1.1%
May 2018: 15.5%
April 2018: 11.8%
March 2018: -2.7%
February 2018: -5.9%
January 2018: 13%
December 2017: 3.1%
November 2017: 9.1%
October 2017: 20.9%
September 2017: -1.1%
August 2017: 16.7%
July 2017: 8.5%
June 2017: 8.2%
May 2017: -1.2%
Apr 2017: -0.7%
Mar 2017: 16.5%
Feb 2017: 21.1%
Jan 2017: 8.6%

Avarga - Stock calls

 


Asian Healthcare - Stock calls

 


Ascendas India Trust - Stock calls

 


Stock calls for 17 December 2020

 


Tuesday, December 15, 2020

APTV - Stock calls

 


APAC Realty - Stock calls

 


Amara - Stock calls

 


Stock calls for 15 December 2020

 


Why was it ridiculous for the US to accuse China of stealing its vaccination research materials? - Part 2

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/moderna-covid-19-vaccine-documents-000548533.html

I knew that the western world would do something like this and this was the reason that I published such a post much earlier.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/12/why-was-it-ridiculous-for-us-to-accuse.html

I felt that we must be able to differentiate the different approaches used by the west and China so that we would know the truth.  In a nutshell, the west used an incomplete virus vaccination (new) method while China used an inactive virus vaccination (traditional) method.  Therefore, these 2 vaccination methods are completely different and it won't make any sense to steal the research materials from each other because doing so would not help to improve their vaccination researches.

Monday, December 14, 2020

AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit - Stock calls

 


AEM - Stock calls

 


Accordia Golf Trust - Stock calls

 


Stock calls for 14 December 2020


The Washington riot is not a precursor to a civil war in the US.

https://tulsaworld.com/news/national/govt-and-politics/police-declare-riot-in-olympia-arrest-1-in-protests/article_7250e989-3280-5d83-96f8-620f9ed839fc.html

Some people were saying that the US might have a civil war but I didn't think so.  Why?

I don't think there will be a civil war in the US just because of a presidential election outcome. This is not a valid reason worth dying for in a civil war. There will only be protests and riots inflamed by those people who cannot admit defeat. A civil war will happen if a US state is trying to gain independence by force but this is not the case here.

I think Trump is upping his ante as the presidential handover gets closer. The US judges have been rejecting Trump's quixotic election claim and he has to do something to exonerate himself from his criminal activities. Like I said before, he's just embarking on a self-preservation journey because he knows too well that the US is a dealmaking country. If the protests and riots spread across the US, this will only benefit Trump because he can invoke the emergency law to take control of the US and prevent the presidential handover. Therefore, the escalation in the riots will give Trump his bargaining chip to negotiate with Biden and Biden may relent for the sake of a peaceful transition and economic growth. Let's watch how Biden will handle this. Is Biden going to nip this in the bud by having an early negotiation with Trump or let the riots escalate and spread across the US?

Saturday, December 12, 2020

Why was it ridiculous for the US to accuse China of stealing its vaccination research materials?

If you have a good basic understanding of how things work, you will know who is lying or smearing.  Therefore, I will explain briefly the vaccination researches adopted in the US and China.

The US pharmaceutical companies are using the mRNA method (new) to produce their covid vaccinations while China is using the tried and tested method (traditional) of using an inactive virus to produce its vaccinations.

In layman's terms, the mRNA process is to retain some parts of the genome that won't change and remove the parts that will change from the genome.  Therefore, the incomplete virus with consistent parts will make the body recognize the "virus" and trigger the immunity to kick in.  Since the modified RNA strain is not a complete virus, it cannot harm the body like a complete virus does.

The traditional method of using an inactive virus works in a completely different way.  The process is to inactivate a virus by preventing its replication process or blocking it from latching itself to DNA.  In other words, the inactive virus becomes incompetent and cannot replicate itself in a body because the transmission process is blocked.  Therefore, this inactive virus will make the body recognize the virus and trigger the immunity to kick in but it will not harm the body since it cannot replicate itself in the body.

Since the US and China use different approaches to produce their vaccines, it doesn't make sense for China to steal US vaccination research materials as China cannot use such irrelevant materials to improve its vaccines.  There is also no need for China to steal the US vaccination's data because the US has to reveal the efficacy rate, side effects, and immunity period for usages.

Baltic dry index - 1211


 Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 799

 


Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Friday, December 11, 2020

Is the US stock market overvalued?

 Let's take a look at the 2 charts and we will know the answer.

Warren Buffett Index

This index is calculated by using the Total Market Capitalization and divided by the US GDP.

How do you interpret the chart?

The WB index is at 182.2 now.  An index that is above 120 is an overvaluation and an index that is below 80 is an undervaluation.  Therefore, anything between 80 to 120 is neutral (normal).  The US stock market is extremely overvalued now as indicated by the WB index.


Shiller PE ratio chart

The Shiller PE Ratio is the 2nd highest on record now as shown on the chart.   How much more do you think the US stock market can move up higher?

Ascendas Reit (A-Reit) - Stock calls

 


Yoma - Stock calls

 


Yanlord - Stock calls

 


Stock calls for 11 December 2020