Search This Blog

Thursday, February 25, 2021

What happened after G7 Summit?

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2021/02/the-g7-summit-was-non-event.html

The outcome of the G7 Summit showed that the world had changed and some smarter politicians had detected that.

UK PM Boris was the first to sense it because he proclaimed that he was a sinophile immediately after the G7 Summit.  Thereafter, India settled the India-China border issue with China by removing all its troops and also approving 45 China investments.


However, Canada is very stupid not to notice this and still continues to smear China by accusing China of Xinjiang's genocide.


Canada's allegation is totally false and invalid because we can debunk this false accusation by looking at Xinjiang's population growth.


A genocide will show a decrease in population and also its growth but Xinjiang exhibits the exact opposite signs of genocide.

Canada's smearing has prompted China to denounce Canada for being anti-China.


From this false allegation by Canada, we can see that Canada is neither a rule of law nor a rule by law country.

Shame on you, Canada!

Why did US FED say the unemployment rate was more likely to be 10% instead of the official 6.3%?

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/22/business/economy/unemployment-rate-covid.html

We had already explained the paradox of the unemployment rate below.


Therefore, we always tell our viewers not to look at the headline number per se but to look at the details (sub-components) because the devil always lies in the details.

Wednesday, February 24, 2021

The real purpose of a digital Renminbi (E-CNY).

There are tell-tale signs from China's actions that we can garner to determine the real intention of the E-CNY.  The real intention is not to supersede the USD because a currency per se is incapable to do that as shown by the Euro developments.  Euro has not yet superseded the USD after so many years.  In order to replace the USD as the reserve currency, a holistic approach must be taken.  Let's not delve into that now.

Conversely, the EU and China are trying to reduce their reliance on USD because they don't want to be held hostage by a single currency.  No country will want to be held hostage by a communist currency either.  Therefore, it is very difficult for CNY to replace USD.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2021/01/what-did-trump-do-for-us-during-his.html

What actions has China done insofar?

China has partnered with SWIFT to work on its digital currency.

https://www.coindesk.com/chinas-central-bank-is-partnering-with-swift-on-a-new-joint-venture

China has also partnered with other nations to work on cross-border payments using CBDCs.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/central-banks-china-uae-join-155435796.html

All the Chinese actions are showing that it is trying to create a non-USD financial system so that the US cannot do any financial sanction against China.  This is of great strategic importance to China, particularly in the reunification of Taiwan by military force.

The EU, US and China know that the US will lose in a South China Sea (SCS) war.  

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/07/whats-my-take-on-possible-us-china.html

Therefore, the only leverage that the US can use against China is to impose a USD ban to thwart and cripple China's overseas banking and financial businesses.  This is Achille's heel of China and we can see it in HK when the Chief Executive is sanctioned by the US and China cannot help her at all.

Once China has created a non-USD financial system, China will be emboldened to have a military face-off with the US in SCS.

Comparative side effects between BioNtech and Sinovac vaccines.

I hope my viewers will benefit from these comparative side effects so that they can make the best choice for themselves.



Sunpower - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

03/02/20

UOB Kay Hian

Sunpower

0.525

0.88

Buy

Sum of parts

03/03/20

DBS Vickers

Sunpower

0.53

0.84

Buy


03/10/20

Amfrasers

Sunpower

0.47

0.91

outperform

Sum of parts

04/20/20

DBS Vickers

Sunpower

0.425

0.49

Hold

DCF

05/18/20

Amfrasers

Sunpower

0.43

0.91

Buy

Sum of parts

05/18/20

DBS Vickers

Sunpower

0.43

0.49

Hold

DCF

05/20/20

UOB Kay Hian

Sunpower

0.445

0.88

Buy


08/14/20

DBS Vickers

Sunpower

0.58

0.69

Buy

DCF

08/14/20

UOB Kay Hian

Sunpower

0.58

0.92

Buy

Sum of parts

08/17/20

Amfrasers

Sunpower

0.575

0.91

outperform

Sum of parts

11/16/20

DBS Vickers

Sunpower

0.62

0.76

Buy

DCF

11/17/20

UOB Kay Hian

Sunpower

0.625

0.92

Buy

Sum of parts

11/18/20

Amfrasers

Sunpower

0.64

0.91

outperform

Sum of parts

01/07/21

UOB Kay Hian

Sunpower

0.775

1.1

Buy


01/12/21

Amfrasers

Sunpower

0.855

1.45

outperform

DCF

01/12/21

DBS Vickers

Sunpower

0.855

0.94

Buy

DCF

Sunningdale - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

03/02/20

UOB Kay Hian

Sunningdale

1.21

1.06

Hold

Buy @ $1

03/04/20

CIMB

Sunningdale

1.2

1.1

Hold


03/20/20

Lim & Tan

Sunningdale

0.82

0

Buy


04/09/20

CIMB

Sunningdale

0.875

1.09

Add


05/08/20

UOB Kay Hian

Sunningdale

0.98

1.02

Hold

PB0.54x FY20, Buy @ $0.90

05/08/20

CIMB

Sunningdale

0.98

0.917

Hold


05/11/20

Lim & Tan

Sunningdale

1

0

Hold


08/11/20

Lim & Tan

Sunningdale

1.18

0

Buy


09/10/20

Lim & Tan

Sunningdale

1.25

0

Buy


10/08/20

Lim & Tan

Sunningdale

1.53

0

Buy


11/10/20

CIMB

Sunningdale

1.68

1.55

Hold

PB0.77x

11/10/20

Lim & Tan

Sunningdale

1.68

0

Reject offer

$1.55 offer

Starhub - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

01/03/20

DBS Vickers

Starhub

1.42

1.43

Buy

EV/Ebitda6x

01/14/20

DMG & Partners

Starhub

1.46

1.44

Neutral


01/21/20

UOB Kay Hian

Starhub

1.48

1.45

Hold

DCF, Buy @ $1.25

01/24/20

DBS Vickers

Starhub

1.49

1.72

Buy

DCF

01/24/20

Citibank

Starhub

1.49

1.22

Sell


02/21/20

UOB Kay Hian

Starhub

1.5

1.45

Hold

Buy @ $1.25

02/21/20

DMG & Partners

Starhub

1.5

1.63

Neutral

DCF

02/21/20

DBS Vickers

Starhub

1.5

1.72

Buy


02/21/20

CIMB

Starhub

1.5

1.8

Add

DCF

02/24/20

Phillip

Starhub

1.52

1.7

Accumulate

EV/Ebitda6.5x FY20

02/24/20

OCBC

Starhub

1.52

1.53

Hold


03/13/20

CIMB

Starhub

1.43

1.8

Add

DCF, EV/Ebitda7x FY20

03/13/20

DBS Vickers

Starhub

1.43

1.72

Buy

DCF

03/26/20

DBS Vickers

Starhub

1.27

1.4

Buy

DCF

04/30/20

DBS Vickers

Starhub

1.45

1.75

Buy

DCF

04/30/20

DMG & Partners

Starhub

1.45

1.63

Neutral


05/08/20

Phillip

Starhub

1.49

1.45

Neutral

EV/Ebitda 6x FY20

05/08/20

DMG & Partners

Starhub

1.49

1.51

Neutral

DCF

05/08/20

UOB Kay Hian

Starhub

1.49

1.4

Hold

Buy @ $1.20

05/08/20

DBS Vickers

Starhub

1.49

1.75

Buy

DCF

05/08/20

Lim & Tan

Starhub

1.49

0

Take Profit


05/08/20

OCBC

Starhub

1.49

1.39

Hold


05/08/20

CIMB

Starhub

1.49

1.7

Add

DCF

06/23/20

DBS Vickers

Starhub

1.31

1.37

Hold

DCF

06/23/20

DMG & Partners

Starhub

1.31

1.44

Neutral

DCF

08/11/20

Phillip

Starhub

1.21

1.24

Neutral

EV/Ebitda 6x FY20

08/11/20

DMG & Partners

Starhub

1.21

1.3

Neutral

DCF

08/11/20

DBS Vickers

Starhub

1.21

1.16

Hold

DCF

08/11/20

CIMB

Starhub

1.21

1.6

Add


09/14/20

UOB Kay Hian

Starhub

1.16

1.4

Buy

DCF

09/14/20

OCBC

Starhub

1.16

1.13

Hold


11/09/20

Phillip

Starhub

1.2

1.24

Neutral

EV/Ebitda 6x FY20

11/09/20

DBS Vickers

Starhub

1.2

1.21

Hold

DCF

11/09/20

CIMB

Starhub

1.2

1.6

Add

DCF

11/09/20

UOB Kay Hian

Starhub

1.2

1.4

Buy

DCF

11/10/20

DMG & Partners

Starhub

1.24

1.3

Neutral


12/02/20

Kim Eng

Starhub

1.31

1.32

Hold


12/11/20

CIMB

Starhub

1.28

1.6

Add

DCF

02/22/21

Phillip

Starhub

1.28

1.24

Neutral

Ev/Ebitda 6x

02/22/21

UOB Kay Hian

Starhub

1.28

1.35

Hold


02/22/21

DMG & Partners

Starhub

1.28

1.38

Neutral


02/23/21

CIMB

Starhub

1.26

1.6

Add

DCF

02/24/21

OCBC

Starhub

1.26

1.32

Hold