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Thursday, April 29, 2021

Fully vaccinated nurse was infected in TTSH.

https://www.todayonline.com/singapore/fully-vaccinated-nurse-tan-tock-seng-hospital-tests-positive-covid-19-doctor-and-3

We have a few fully vaccinated people getting infected in Singapore already and the medical experts are still saying that this situation is rare.

We had stated our reasoning on why fully vaccinated people were getting infected.

Another constellation is aligning and a big financial crisis is brewing this time. - Part 11

We are picking up signs of impending financial stresses in the US in 2022 and we will be sharing our opinions.  Please note that this is the first time we are putting a timeline for our projected financial crisis.

The US FED has accumulated a lot of assets with its QE program since the pandemic.


However, the excess liquidity provided by the US FED did not go to the main street.  Instead, most of the liquidity went into the financial market which caused the velocity of M2 to decline significantly.  Furthermore, the excess liquidity had created many zombies firms and these firms would get into financial troubles when the FED started to rein in its QE.  Many of such firms will default on their debts.


Bloomberg had indicated that the US would start to conduct bond tapering in Q1 2022 which would impact the financial market and zombies firms.


Moreover, scientists had indicated that the current vaccines could be ineffective in 2022.  If there is no new vaccine in 2022, there will be another major covid outbreak again.


Last but not least, continuous China's monetary tightening will cause the US treasury yield (risk-free rate) to exceed 2% in 2022 and the conflation of these factors may cause a US financial crisis in 2022.


As you can see, I keep mentioning 2022 in my analyses and I don't believe in many coincidences. 

When I predicted the US recession with my analyses, I also saw many coincidences which led me to believe that the US recession would happen in 2020 (Please see below).


Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Pan-United - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

06/18/20

Lim & Tan

PanUnited

0.31

0

Buy


06/23/20

Lim & Tan

PanUnited

0.315

0

Hold


08/04/20

Lim & Tan

PanUnited

0.29

0.31

Hold

PB1x FY20

09/11/20

Lim & Tan

PanUnited

0.29

0.31

Hold

PB1x FY20

03/29/21

phillip

PanUnited

0.295

0.4

Buy

EV/Ebitda7.8x FY21

Oxley - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

05/27/20

DMG & Partners

Oxley

0.23

0.29

Buy

RNAV (55% discount)

07/14/20

DMG & Partners

Oxley

0.235

0.29

Buy


09/01/20

UOB Kay Hian

Oxley

0.225

0.37

Buy

RNAV (30% discount)

09/28/20

DMG & Partners

Oxley

0.215

0.27

Buy


01/13/21

DMG & Partners

Oxley

0.235

0.27

Buy


02/15/21

DMG & Partners

Oxley

0.23

0.27

Buy


02/15/21

Lim & Tan

Oxley

0.23

0

Buy


02/18/21

UOB Kay Hian

Oxley

0.235

0.37

Buy


04/27/21

UOB Kay Hian

Oxley

0.26

0.37

Buy

RNAV (30% discount)

Overseas Edu - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

06/18/20

Lim & Tan

Overseas Edu

0.32

0

Buy on weakness


06/18/20

CIMB

Overseas Edu

0.32

0.423

Add


08/17/20

Lim & Tan

Overseas Edu

0.29

0

Buy


09/02/20

CIMB

Overseas Edu

0.28

0.26

Hold


04/07/21

Lim & Tan

Overseas Edu

0.315

0

Accumulate on weakness


Stock calls for 28 April 2021

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

04/28/21

UOB Kay Hian

A-Reit

3.11

3.82

Buy

DDM

04/28/21

UOB Kay Hian

ARA Logistics

0.765

0.89

Buy

DDM

04/28/21

UOB Kay Hian

Hong Leong Asia

1.04

1.38

Buy

PER12x FY22

04/28/21

DBS Vickers

Mapletree Commercial

2.13

2.25

Buy

DCF

04/28/21

Lim & Tan

Mapletree Commercial

2.13

0

Neutral


04/28/21

UOB Kay Hian

MM2 Asia

0.073

0.098

Buy

Sum of parts

04/28/21

UOB Kay Hian

Sheng Siong

1.54

1.74

Hold


04/28/21

CIMB

Sheng Siong

1.54

1.6

Hold


04/28/21

DBS Vickers

Sheng Siong

1.54

1.77

Buy


04/28/21

DMG & Partners

Sheng Siong

1.54

1.7

Neutral


04/28/21

OCBC

Sheng Siong

1.54

1.72

Buy


OMG! President Biden is proposing another US$1.8T family bill after his US$2.3T infrastructure bill.

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/28/biden-american-families-plan-whats-in-it.html

OMG! The US is proposing another US$1.8T family bill after its US$2.3T infrastructure bill.

The US really thinks that it doesn't need to pay back all these debts.

Tuesday, April 27, 2021

OUE Commercial - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

06/08/20

DBS Vickers

OUE Commercial

0.4

0.5

Buy

DCF

06/08/20

CIMB

OUE Commercial

0.4

0.482

Hold


07/27/20

Lim & Tan

OUE Commercial

0.395

0

Buy on weakness


07/28/20

CIMB

OUE Commercial

0.39

0.482

Hold


08/04/20

OCBC

OUE Commercial

0.37

0.39

Hold


11/17/20

OCBC

OUE Commercial

0.35

0.39

Buy


12/10/20

DBS Vickers

OUE Commercial

0.38

0.5

Buy


01/29/21

Lim & Tan

OUE Commercial

0.385

0

Accumulate


02/03/21

CIMB

OUE Commercial

0.4

0.415

Hold

DDM

02/05/21

OCBC

OUE Commercial

0.385

0.4

Hold