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Tuesday, February 7, 2023

Parkway Life - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

01/25/22

Lim & Tan

Parkway Life

4.94

4.97

Hold


02/11/22

UOB Kay Hian

Parkway Life

4.62

4.72

Hold


03/04/22

DBS Vickers

Parkway Life

4.62

5.75

Buy

DCF

04/13/22

UOB Kay Hian

Parkway Life

4.81

4.82

Hold

DDM

04/26/22

CIMB

Parkway Life

4.96

5.05

Hold


04/26/22

UOB Kay Hian

Parkway Life

4.96

5.42

Hold

DDM

06/10/22

SAC Capital

Parkway Life

4.93

4.69

Hold


06/10/22

DBS Vickers

Parkway Life

4.93

5.5

Buy

DCF

08/10/22

Lim & Tan

Parkway Life

4.8

5.08

Hold


09/14/22

CIMB

Parkway Life

4.75

5.06

Hold


09/14/22

Citi Research

Parkway Life

4.75

5.02

Hold


09/16/22

UOB Kay Hian

Parkway Life

4.67

4.65

Hold


09/21/22

DBS Vickers

Parkway Life

4.62

5.5

Buy

DCF

09/21/22

Lim & Tan

Parkway Life

4.62

5

Hold


10/21/22

UOB Kay Hian

Parkway Life

3.81

4.13

Hold

DDM

11/02/22

Lim & Tan

Parkway Life

3.97

4.7

Hold


01/04/23

Lim & Tan

Parkway Life

3.77

4.64

Hold


01/30/23

UOB Kay Hian

Parkway Life

4

4.43

Hold

DDM

02/03/23

CIMB

Parkway Life

4.16

4.78

Accept Offer


Pan-United - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

01/06/22

Lim & Tan

PanUnited

0.335

0.5

Buy


03/14/22

Lim & Tan

PanUnited

0.35

0

Buy


03/14/22

phillip

PanUnited

0.35

0.46

Buy

PER16x FY22

03/21/22

Lim & Tan

PanUnited

0.35

0.54

Buy

EV/Ebitda5.6x

03/30/22

CIMB

PanUnited

0.385

0.53

Add

PER12.3x

03/30/22

SAC Capital

PanUnited

0.385

0.56

Buy

EV/Ebitda6.6x FY23

04/07/22

CIMB

PanUnited

0.41

0.56

Add


05/05/22

CIMB

PanUnited

0.4

0.56

Add


06/13/22

phillip

PanUnited

0.43

0.68

Buy

PER12x FY22

06/13/22

SAC Capital

PanUnited

0.43

0.53

Buy


08/05/22

CIMB

PanUnited

0.45

0.57

Add


08/11/22

SAC Capital

PanUnited

0.445

0.53

Buy


08/12/22

phillip

PanUnited

0.45

0.54

Buy

PER12x FY22

08/22/22

Lim & Tan

PanUnited

0.44

0.54

Buy


09/22/22

CIMB

PanUnited

0.43

0.57

Add


09/23/22

Lim & Tan

PanUnited

0.43

0.54

Buy

EV/Ebitda6.9x

12/12/22

phillip

PanUnited

0.405

0.54

Buy

PER12x FY23

12/14/22

Lim & Tan

PanUnited

0.405

0.5

Buy


01/13/23

CIMB

PanUnited

0.4

0.57

Add


Oxpay - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

03/15/22

Amfrasers

Oxpay

0.153

0.3

Outperform

PER18x FY22

Stock calls for 6 February 2023

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

02/06/23

UOB Kay Hian

A-Reit

3

3.3

Buy

DDM

02/06/23

Lim & Tan

A-Reit

3

3.08

Hold


02/06/23

phillip

DBS

35.5

41.6

Buy


02/06/23

UOB Kay Hian

Digicore Reit

0.68

0.97

Buy


02/06/23

OCBC

Mapletree Commercial

1.83

1.81

Hold


02/06/23

Citi Research

Mapletree Commercial

1.83

1.9

Buy

DDM & RNAV

02/06/23

phillip

OCBC

13

14.22

Buy


02/06/23

phillip

UOB

30.16

35.7

Buy


Sunday, February 5, 2023

The ISM PMI declined again in the US for January 2023.




The prices subindex had increased to 44.5 (+5.1) because of an uprise in employment subindex.  The new order continued its contractionary phase (42.5, 2.6) because the new local order decreased significantly (Est’d -5.8) which outweighed the increase in new export order (49.4, +3.2).  As the new order remained weak, the customers’ inventories (47.4, -0.8) and backlog orders (43.4, +2) stayed in the contractionary phase.  The backlog orders increased because the decline in production was lesser than the new order.


The production (48, -0.6) declined because of the weaker outlook. However, the employment improved to 50.6 (+0.2) because the producers preferred to get more workers due to the mismatch in the labour market.  The supplier’s delivery improved to 45.6 (-0.5) because of easing in supply and logistic disruption.  A lower delivery index means a faster delivery period.



As the new order continued to deteriorate, the producers reduced their inventories to 50.2 (-2.1) and local raw material (Est’d -4.8).  However, the producers increased their imports (47.8, +2.7) due to an easing in supply and logistical issues.


In conclusion, the above factors caused the PMI to decline to a 1 year low of 47.4 (-1) and the economy would enter into a recession in 2023.

Recent economic statistics for 1st week of February 2023.

IMF economic outlook growth projections:


Bloomberg has an even more optimistic growth projections (max: 6.7%) for China than the IMF.