Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/08/16 | OCBC | QAF | 1.04 | 1.27 | Buy | |
02/25/16 | OCBC | QAF | 1.02 | 1.27 | Buy | |
04/27/16 | OCBC | QAF | 1.06 | 1.27 | Buy | |
06/24/16 | OCBC | QAF | 1.055 | 1.27 | Buy | |
08/15/16 | OCBC | QAF | 1.12 | 1.27 | Buy | |
08/16/16 | OCBC | QAF | 1.19 | 1.33 | Buy | |
11/29/16 | OCBC | QAF | 1.33 | 1.46 | Buy | Sum of parts |
03/02/17 | OCBC | QAF | 1.41 | 1.46 | Hold | Buy @ $1.36 or lower |
05/08/17 | OCBC | QAF | 1.34 | 1.46 | Hold |
Wednesday, February 21, 2018
QAF - Stock calls
Stock calls for 21 February 2018
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/21/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Bumitama | 0.71 | 0.96 | Buy | PER13x FY18 |
02/21/18 | OCBC | M1 | 1.8 | 1.7 | Hold | |
02/21/18 | Amfrasers | Manulife US Reit | 0.91 | 1.008 | Buy | DDM |
02/21/18 | CIMB | Sembcorp Industries | 3.28 | 3.87 | Add | Sum of parts |
02/21/18 | DMG & Partners | Talkmed | 0.675 | 0.72 | Neutral | DCF |
02/21/18 | phillip | UOB | 27.22 | 29 | Buy |
US bond yields will continue to rise in 2018. Why?
The USA government has just issued 3 days of bond auctions totalling USD$250b and is expected to raise about USD$1T per annum till 2028. Furthermore, QE taperings are also being executed simultaneously in Europe & USA.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/10/ecb-will-cut-bond-purchases-to-30b-in.html
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/09/us-fed-maintains-interest-rate-and-will.html
The rising bond yields will affect the stock market because fund managers find bonds become more attractive. Please look at our comment on the connection between bond yield & stock.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/stock-markets-are-falling-like-crazy.html
Last but not least, inflation pressure is also rising because of trade wars (anti-dumping measures).
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/the-usa-is-so-bent-to-have-trade-war.html
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/china-imposes-anti-dumping-measures-on.html
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/10/ecb-will-cut-bond-purchases-to-30b-in.html
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/09/us-fed-maintains-interest-rate-and-will.html
The rising bond yields will affect the stock market because fund managers find bonds become more attractive. Please look at our comment on the connection between bond yield & stock.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/stock-markets-are-falling-like-crazy.html
Last but not least, inflation pressure is also rising because of trade wars (anti-dumping measures).
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/the-usa-is-so-bent-to-have-trade-war.html
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/china-imposes-anti-dumping-measures-on.html
Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Noble Group is virutally bankrupt after declaring $5B loss in 2017.
https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/2018/02/19/noble-s-sea-of-red-shows-post-restructuring-challenge-for-trader
After declaring a $5b loss in 2017, Noble Group's net asset value is about -$850m, meaning it is virtually bankrupt. Therefore, it is having an urgent need to recapitalize to convert back into positive net asset value. Without the debt restructuring plan, Noble will have an on-going concern in 2018.
However, existing shareholders have to take a heavy haircut of about 90% to revive Noble Group. Will the existing shareholders bite the silver bullet and move on?
After declaring a $5b loss in 2017, Noble Group's net asset value is about -$850m, meaning it is virtually bankrupt. Therefore, it is having an urgent need to recapitalize to convert back into positive net asset value. Without the debt restructuring plan, Noble will have an on-going concern in 2018.
However, existing shareholders have to take a heavy haircut of about 90% to revive Noble Group. Will the existing shareholders bite the silver bullet and move on?
Q & M - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/08/16 | CIMB | Q & M | 0.7 | 0.84 | Add | PER34.5x CY17 |
01/21/16 | Kim Eng | Q & M | 0.695 | 0.97 | Buy | PER42x FY16 |
02/01/16 | Kim Eng | Q & M | 0.675 | 0.93 | Buy | PER42x FY16 |
03/02/16 | CIMB | Q & M | 0.7 | 0.64 | Reduce | PER34.5x CY17 |
03/02/16 | Kim Eng | Q & M | 0.7 | 0.88 | Buy | PER42x FY16 |
04/14/16 | phillip | Q & M | 0.685 | 0.7 | Neutral | PER38x |
05/12/16 | Kim Eng | Q & M | 0.67 | 0.88 | Buy | PER42x FY16 |
05/16/16 | CIMB | Q & M | 0.67 | 0.7 | Hold | PER34.5x CY17 |
05/17/16 | phillip | Q & M | 0.715 | 0.72 | Neutral | PER38.2x |
05/25/16 | Kim Eng | Q & M | 0.795 | 1.05 | Buy | PER42x |
06/08/16 | CIMB | Q & M | 0.76 | 0.74 | Hold | PER34.5x CY17 |
06/08/16 | Kim Eng | Q & M | 0.76 | 1.08 | Buy | PER42x FY17 |
07/05/16 | DBS Vickers | Q & M | 0.73 | 0.8 | Not Rated | PER36.5x FY17 |
07/25/16 | DMG & Partners | Q & M | 0.7 | 1 | Buy | |
08/15/16 | CIMB | Q & M | 0.725 | 0.74 | Hold | PER34.5x CY17 |
08/15/16 | phillip | Q & M | 0.725 | 0.72 | Neutral | PER38.2x FY16 |
08/17/16 | Kim Eng | Q & M | 0.725 | 1.08 | Buy | |
09/06/16 | Kim Eng | Q & M | 0.72 | 1.08 | Buy | PER42x FY17 |
09/07/16 | phillip | Q & M | 0.725 | 0.93 | Buy | PER38.2x |
10/12/16 | DBS Vickers | Q & M | 0.76 | 0.8 | Not Rated | |
11/15/16 | CIMB | Q & M | 0.745 | 0.77 | Hold | PER34.5x CY18 |
11/15/16 | Kim Eng | Q & M | 0.745 | 1 | Buy | PER42x FY17 |
11/15/16 | phillip | Q & M | 0.745 | 0.89 | Buy | PER38.2x |
03/03/17 | CIMB | Q & M | 0.71 | 0.6 | Reduce | PER28x |
03/06/17 | Kim Eng | Q & M | 0.705 | 0.77 | Hold | PER36x FY18 |
03/06/17 | phillip | Q & M | 0.705 | 0.65 | Reduce | PER38.2x FY17 |
05/12/17 | CIMB | Q & M | 0.705 | 0.6 | Reduce | PER28x CY18 |
05/15/17 | phillip | Q & M | 0.7 | 0.65 | Reduce | PER38.2x FY17 |
06/05/17 | Kim Eng | Q & M | 0.685 | 0.6 | Hold | PER28x FY18 |
08/21/17 | phillip | Q & M | 0.63 | 0.61 | Neutral | PER32x |
01/08/18 | CIMB | Q & M | 0.65 | 0.61 | Reduce | PER28x CY19 |
Procurri - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
07/15/16 | Lim & Tan | Procurri | 0.56 | 0 | Stag | IPO |
09/19/16 | DBS Vickers | Procurri | 0.52 | 0.67 | Buy | PER11.3x FY17 |
10/17/16 | Bloomberg | Procurri | 0.46 | 0.67 | Buy | |
11/14/16 | DBS Vickers | Procurri | 0.47 | 0.56 | Buy | PER11.3x FY17 |
02/23/17 | DBS Vickers | Procurri | 0.405 | 0.4 | Hold | |
05/15/17 | DBS Vickers | Procurri | 0.28 | 0.32 | Hold | PER9.3x FY17/18 |
08/16/17 | DBS Vickers | Procurri | 0.21 | 0.18 | Fully Valued | RNAV (5% discount) |
11/16/17 | DBS Vickers | Procurri | 0.235 | 0.18 | Fully Valued | RNAV (6% discount) |
Stock calls for 20 February 2018
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/20/18 | DMG & Partners | A-Reit | 2.62 | 2.9 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | DBS Vickers | A-Reit | 2.62 | 2.85 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | DMG & Partners | APAC Realty | 1.06 | 1.2 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | DMG & Partners | Avi-Tech | 0.49 | 0.59 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | DMG & Partners | Breadtalk | 1.69 | 2.09 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | DBS Vickers | CapitaCommercial | 1.78 | 2.1 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | DMG & Partners | Capitaland | 3.63 | 4.2 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | DBS Vickers | CDL Hospitality | 1.68 | 2 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Cityneon | 1.02 | 1.55 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | DMG & Partners | Food Empire | 0.67 | 1 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Centrepoint Trust | 2.15 | 2.48 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Commercial Trust | 1.44 | 1.71 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.79 | 0.89 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Hock Lian Seng | 0.495 | 0.63 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | NRA | ISDN | 0.22 | 0.32 | Overweight | PER12.5x FY18 |
02/20/18 | UOB Kay Hian | ISDN | 0.22 | 0.35 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | Lim & Tan | ISDN | 0.22 | 0 | Trading Buy | |
02/20/18 | DBS Vickers | Mapletree Logistics | 1.25 | 1.45 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | Amfrasers | OKP | 0.35 | 0.39 | Hold | |
02/20/18 | DMG & Partners | OUE Hospitality | 0.845 | 0.95 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Sembcorp Industries | 3.3 | 3.87 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | DBS Vickers | SGX | 7.71 | 8.9 | Buy | DDM, PER21x FY19 |
02/20/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Sheng Siong | 0.92 | 1.06 | Hold | |
02/20/18 | phillip | Singapore O&G | 0.385 | 0.42 | Accumulate | PER23.2x |
02/20/18 | DMG & Partners | ST Engineering | 3.35 | 4.2 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | DBS Vickers | Starhub | 2.6 | 2.2 | Fully Valued | DCF |
02/20/18 | DBS Vickers | Suntec Reit | 1.97 | 2.3 | Buy | |
02/20/18 | DMG & Partners | Venture | 23.53 | 24.1 | Buy |
Monday, February 19, 2018
Perennial Reit - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/08/16 | CIMB | Perennial Reit | 0.885 | 1.24 | Add | RNAV (35% discount) |
01/08/16 | DBS Vickers | Perennial Reit | 0.885 | 1.32 | Buy | RNAV (40% discount) |
02/11/16 | DBS Vickers | Perennial Reit | 0.875 | 1.32 | Buy | RNAV (40% discount) |
03/29/16 | DBS Vickers | Perennial Reit | 0.925 | 1.32 | Buy | |
05/16/16 | CIMB | Perennial Reit | 0.92 | 1.14 | Add | RNAV (40% discount) |
08/08/16 | CIMB | Perennial Reit | 0.9 | 1.11 | Add | RNAV (40% discount) |
09/14/16 | DBS Vickers | Perennial Reit | 0.885 | 1.32 | Buy | |
11/10/16 | DBS Vickers | Perennial Reit | 0.84 | 1.32 | Buy | |
11/30/16 | CIMB | Perennial Reit | 0.835 | 1.11 | Add | RNAV (40% discount) |
02/09/17 | CIMB | Perennial Reit | 0.81 | 1.08 | Add | RNAV (40% discount) |
02/09/17 | DBS Vickers | Perennial Reit | 0.81 | 1.05 | Buy | RNAV (50% discount) |
05/09/17 | DBS Vickers | Perennial Reit | 0.855 | 1.05 | Buy | RNAV (50% discount) |
07/14/17 | DBS Vickers | Perennial Reit | 0.885 | 1.05 | Buy | RNAV (50% discount) |
08/01/17 | DBS Vickers | Perennial Reit | 0.88 | 1.05 | Buy | RNAV (50% discount) |
11/09/17 | DBS Vickers | Perennial Reit | 0.88 | 1.05 | Buy | RNAV (50% discount) |
01/04/18 | DBS Vickers | Perennial Reit | 0.88 | 1.05 | Buy | |
02/09/18 | CIMB | Perennial Reit | 0.835 | 1.12 | Add | |
02/12/18 | DBS Vickers | Perennial Reit | 0.835 | 1.05 | Buy | RNAV (50% discount) |
Parkway Life - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/05/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.3 | 2.38 | Hold | |
01/08/16 | DBS Vickers | Parkway Life | 2.23 | 2.56 | Buy | DCF |
01/27/16 | Lim & Tan | Parkway Life | 2.17 | 0 | Hold | |
01/28/16 | DBS Vickers | Parkway Life | 2.22 | 2.5 | Buy | |
03/07/16 | CIMB | Parkway Life | 2.4 | 2.54 | Add | DDM |
03/28/16 | Lim & Tan | Parkway Life | 2.35 | 0 | Hold | |
03/30/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.35 | 2.38 | Hold | |
04/27/16 | CIMB | Parkway Life | 2.45 | 2.55 | Add | DDM |
04/27/16 | DBS Vickers | Parkway Life | 2.45 | 2.65 | Buy | |
04/27/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.45 | 2.38 | Hold | |
06/27/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.39 | 2.38 | Hold | |
07/05/16 | DBS Vickers | Parkway Life | 2.55 | 2.65 | Buy | |
07/18/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.57 | 2.65 | Hold | |
07/26/16 | Lim & Tan | Parkway Life | 2.55 | 0 | Hold | |
07/27/16 | CIMB | Parkway Life | 2.59 | 2.68 | Hold | DDM |
07/27/16 | DBS Vickers | Parkway Life | 2.59 | 2.75 | Buy | |
08/01/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.55 | 2.65 | Hold | |
08/16/16 | DBS Vickers | Parkway Life | 2.45 | 2.75 | Buy | |
09/26/16 | CIMB | Parkway Life | 2.55 | 2.78 | Add | |
10/28/16 | CIMB | Parkway Life | 2.56 | 2.78 | Add | DDM |
10/28/16 | DBS Vickers | Parkway Life | 2.56 | 2.75 | Buy | |
12/06/16 | CIMB | Parkway Life | 2.42 | 2.53 | Add | DDM |
12/09/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.38 | 2.5 | Hold | |
12/23/16 | DBS Vickers | Parkway Life | 2.36 | 2.75 | Buy | |
12/23/16 | Lim & Tan | Parkway Life | 2.36 | 0 | Hold | |
01/25/17 | Lim & Tan | Parkway Life | 2.39 | 0 | Accumulate | |
01/26/17 | CIMB | Parkway Life | 2.4 | 2.58 | Add | DDM |
01/26/17 | DBS Vickers | Parkway Life | 2.4 | 2.75 | Buy | |
01/26/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.4 | 2.5 | Hold | DDM |
02/14/17 | CIMB | Parkway Life | 2.45 | 2.58 | Add | |
03/06/17 | CIMB | Parkway Life | 2.44 | 2.58 | Add | |
03/07/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.44 | 2.5 | Hold | |
04/11/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.53 | 2.5 | Hold | |
04/26/17 | CIMB | Parkway Life | 2.6 | 2.71 | Add | DDM |
04/26/17 | DBS Vickers | Parkway Life | 2.6 | 2.82 | Buy | |
05/25/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.58 | 2.82 | Buy | |
07/26/17 | CIMB | Parkway Life | 2.76 | 2.83 | Add | DDM |
07/26/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.76 | 2.82 | Buy | DDM |
07/26/17 | Lim & Tan | Parkway Life | 2.76 | 0 | Accumulate on weakness | |
10/23/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.79 | 2.82 | Buy | |
11/10/17 | CIMB | Parkway Life | 2.86 | 2.93 | Hold | DDM |
11/10/17 | DBS Vickers | Parkway Life | 2.86 | 3.1 | Buy | |
11/10/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.86 | 3 | Buy | |
12/01/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Parkway Life | 2.9 | 3 | Buy | |
01/29/18 | CIMB | Parkway Life | 2.97 | 3.07 | Hold | DDM |
01/29/18 | Lim & Tan | Parkway Life | 2.97 | 0 | Hold | |
01/29/18 | DBS Vickers | Parkway Life | 2.97 | 3.15 | Buy |
Stock calls for 19 February 2018
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/19/18 | DBS Vickers | APAC Realty | 1.02 | 1.12 | Buy | |
02/19/18 | Phillip | Capitaland | 3.57 | 4.19 | Accumulate | RNAV (20% discount) |
02/19/18 | phillip | Chip Eng Seng | 0.955 | 1.21 | Buy | RNAV (40% discount) |
02/19/18 | DBS Vickers | City Developments | 12.72 | 14.03 | Buy | |
02/19/18 | DMG & Partners | Dairy Farm | 8.38 | 9.53 | Buy | DCF |
02/19/18 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.715 | 0.75 | Buy | |
02/19/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Jumbo | 0.575 | 0.59 | Hold | DCF, Buy @ $0.53 |
02/19/18 | DBS Vickers | Roxy-Pacific | 0.56 | 0.69 | Buy | RNAV (30% discount) |
02/19/18 | Lim & Tan | Sembcorp Industries | 3.22 | 0 | Buy | |
02/19/18 | Jefferies | SGX | 7.37 | 8 | Buy | |
02/19/18 | DMG & Partners | Sheng Siong | 0.915 | 0.99 | Neutral | Up from $0.93 |
02/19/18 | DBS Vickers | Thai Beverage | 0.85 | 1.02 | Buy | Sum of parts |
02/19/18 | DBS Vickers | UOL | 8.34 | 10.15 | Buy |
Noble will report its Q4 2017 losses soon!
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/noble-gets-3-us-700m-034200995.html
The survival of Noble now rests on the outcome of the debt restructuring. Credit facilities may get cancelled by the banks if the debt restructuring plan fails. It is a common practice for banks to reduce their risks by recalling loans during any crisis time.
Let's see how bad the loss is for the Q4 2017.
The survival of Noble now rests on the outcome of the debt restructuring. Credit facilities may get cancelled by the banks if the debt restructuring plan fails. It is a common practice for banks to reduce their risks by recalling loans during any crisis time.
Let's see how bad the loss is for the Q4 2017.
USA flu is killing 4,000 Americans per week.
http://fortune.com/2018/02/10/american-flu-deaths/
Be careful when you are in the USA. Besides the mad deer disease, the USA flu is also spreading like fire and is killing 4,000 Americans per week.
Be careful when you are in the USA. Besides the mad deer disease, the USA flu is also spreading like fire and is killing 4,000 Americans per week.
Saturday, February 17, 2018
Baltic dry index - 1084
Today, Friday, February 16 2018, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 5 points, reaching 1084 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
=====================
Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan Ocean.
US rig count - 975
HOUSTON — The number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. didn't increase this week, remaining at 975 for the second week in a row.
That exceeds the 751 rigs that were active this time a year ago.
Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes reported Friday that 798 rigs drilled for oil this week and 177 for gas.
Among major oil- and gas-producing states, Oklahoma increased by five rigs, Alaska gained four and Pennsylvania increased by three.
New Mexico decreased by three rigs; Louisiana, Ohio and West Virginia each lost two; and Colorado and North Dakota each decreased by one.
Arkansas, California, Kansas, Texas, Utah and Wyoming were unchanged.
The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out in May of 2016 at 404.
=====================
Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.
The Malaysian government is trying the same trick again for the KL-SG HSR.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/european-group-to-bid-for-malaysia-singapore-high-speed-train-9953088
The Malaysian government is using the same trick again for the KL-SG HSR by trying to award the HSR construction project to a neutral party so as not to offend Japan or China.
However, this same trick will anger China again and China will definitely punish Malaysia for such an antic move. Look like Malaysia has not learnt from history yet.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/05/the-fight-for-kl-sg-hsr-is-not-over-yet.html
https://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/05/malaysia-is-first-to-regret-for.html
China expects to be rewarded for helping out Najib on 1MDB. Najib will be in serious trouble if he doesn't return the favour.
http://www.sarawakreport.org/2016/07/outrage-najibs-secret-deal-with-china-to-pay-off-1mdb-and-jho-lows-debts-shock-exclusive/
The Malaysian government is using the same trick again for the KL-SG HSR by trying to award the HSR construction project to a neutral party so as not to offend Japan or China.
However, this same trick will anger China again and China will definitely punish Malaysia for such an antic move. Look like Malaysia has not learnt from history yet.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/05/the-fight-for-kl-sg-hsr-is-not-over-yet.html
https://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/05/malaysia-is-first-to-regret-for.html
China expects to be rewarded for helping out Najib on 1MDB. Najib will be in serious trouble if he doesn't return the favour.
http://www.sarawakreport.org/2016/07/outrage-najibs-secret-deal-with-china-to-pay-off-1mdb-and-jho-lows-debts-shock-exclusive/
Friday, February 16, 2018
China and ASEAN to start the code of conduct discussion in South China Sea in March.
http://xinhuanet.com/english/2018-02/13/c_136973568.htm
Although this code of conduct discussion for the South China Sea involves ASEAN countries, China and Philippines will lead the discussion. This meeting is set after a consultative discussion between China and Philippines.
We did state previously that Philippines had replaced SG to become the ASEAN facilitator. In the past, SG used to have the first-hand information pertaining to China's policies for ASEAN but not anymore.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/11/china-has-replaced-singapore-with.html
The Philippines is getting ambitious and is growing its political influences in ASEAN.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/philippines-wants-to-displace-singapore.html
Although this code of conduct discussion for the South China Sea involves ASEAN countries, China and Philippines will lead the discussion. This meeting is set after a consultative discussion between China and Philippines.
We did state previously that Philippines had replaced SG to become the ASEAN facilitator. In the past, SG used to have the first-hand information pertaining to China's policies for ASEAN but not anymore.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/11/china-has-replaced-singapore-with.html
The Philippines is getting ambitious and is growing its political influences in ASEAN.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/philippines-wants-to-displace-singapore.html
Thursday, February 15, 2018
Asia must be wary of the increasing USA military presence in Asia.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asiapacific/top-us-admiral-warns-of-china-s-growing-military-might-9961800
We must not let USA start a war in Asia unilaterally without UN mandate.
The FON (freedom of navigation) propaganda is a pseudonym for the USA presence. There has been not a single incident whereby a commercial ship is stopped by the China navy or coast guard in the South China Sea for the past 70 years. The China navy or coast guard won't stop any commercial ships plying the current sea routes in South China Sea because it is also against China's interest.
FON is just a conjecture by the USA to get involved in the South China Sea issue. The increasing USA military presence is causing militarization to rise in Asia which will ensue huge weaponry sales for the USA.
We must not let USA start a war in Asia unilaterally without UN mandate.
The FON (freedom of navigation) propaganda is a pseudonym for the USA presence. There has been not a single incident whereby a commercial ship is stopped by the China navy or coast guard in the South China Sea for the past 70 years. The China navy or coast guard won't stop any commercial ships plying the current sea routes in South China Sea because it is also against China's interest.
FON is just a conjecture by the USA to get involved in the South China Sea issue. The increasing USA military presence is causing militarization to rise in Asia which will ensue huge weaponry sales for the USA.
Pan-United - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
03/02/16 | DBS Vickers | Pan-United | 0.54 | 0.57 | Hold | Sum of parts |
05/12/16 | DBS Vickers | Pan-United | 0.615 | 0.49 | Fully Valued | |
08/16/16 | DBS Vickers | Pan-United | 0.6 | 0.53 | Fully Valued | Sum of parts |
09/29/16 | DBS Vickers | Pan-United | 0.61 | 0.56 | Hold | Sum of parts |
10/05/16 | NRA | Pan-United | 0.59 | 0.7 | Overweight | |
11/04/16 | NRA | Pan-United | 0.605 | 0.7 | Overweight | |
11/14/16 | DBS Vickers | Pan-United | 0.6 | 0.59 | Hold | Sum of parts |
02/14/17 | DBS Vickers | Pan-United | 0.665 | 0.63 | Hold | Sum of parts |
05/15/17 | DBS Vickers | Pan-United | 0.69 | 0.63 | Hold | Sum of parts |
08/14/17 | DBS Vickers | Pan-United | 0.565 | 0.51 | Fully Valued | |
11/14/17 | DBS Vickers | Pan-United | 0.575 | 0.51 | Fully Valued | |
12/06/17 | DBS Vickers | Pan-United | 0.545 | 0.51 | Fully Valued | Sum of parts |
Pacific Radiance - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/08/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Pacific Radiance | 0.3 | 0.68 | Buy | |
01/12/16 | DBS Vickers | Pacific Radiance | 0.305 | 0.42 | Buy | |
02/01/16 | DBS Vickers | Pacific Radiance | 0.3 | 0.32 | Hold | |
02/26/16 | Amfrasers | Pacific Radiance | 0.3 | 0.33 | Hold | PB0.4x FY16 |
02/26/16 | DBS Vickers | Pacific Radiance | 0.3 | 0.25 | Fully Valued | PB0.35x |
02/26/16 | DIR | Pacific Radiance | 0.3 | 0.24 | Sell | PB0.3x FY16 |
03/07/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Pacific Radiance | 0.325 | 0.48 | Buy | |
04/20/16 | DBS Vickers | Pacific Radiance | 0.335 | 0.25 | Fully Valued | |
05/13/16 | DBS Vickers | Pacific Radiance | 0.295 | 0.26 | Fully Valued | |
05/13/16 | DIR | Pacific Radiance | 0.295 | 0.24 | Sell | PB0.3x |
05/16/16 | Amfrasers | Pacific Radiance | 0.29 | 0.4 | Buy | PB0.5x FY16 |
05/16/16 | CIMB | Pacific Radiance | 0.29 | 0.23 | Reduce | PB0.3x FY16 |
05/20/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Pacific Radiance | 0.28 | 0.37 | Hold | |
06/03/16 | CIMB | Pacific Radiance | 0.285 | 0.226 | Reduce | |
06/14/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Pacific Radiance | 0.29 | 0.37 | Hold | |
08/01/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Pacific Radiance | 0.21 | 0.15 | Sell | PB0.2x FY17 |
08/16/16 | Amfrasers | Pacific Radiance | 0.126 | 0.12 | Hold | PB0.2x FY16 |
11/10/16 | Amfrasers | Pacific Radiance | 0.155 | 0.17 | Hold | PB0.3x FY17 |
11/10/16 | CIMB | Pacific Radiance | 0.155 | 0.13 | Reduce | PB0.2x FY17 |
11/10/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Pacific Radiance | 0.155 | 0.12 | Hold | PB0.2x FY17, Buy @ $0.11 |
11/11/16 | DBS Vickers | Pacific Radiance | 0.161 | 0.12 | Fully Valued | PB0.2x |
12/02/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Pacific Radiance | 0.153 | 0.18 | Hold | |
12/05/16 | CIMB | Pacific Radiance | 0.153 | 0.13 | Reduce | PB0.2x FY17 |
12/06/16 | DBS Vickers | Pacific Radiance | 0.155 | 0.16 | Hold | PB0.25x |
02/28/17 | Amfrasers | Pacific Radiance | 0.153 | 0.17 | Hold | |
03/01/17 | DBS Vickers | Pacific Radiance | 0.153 | 0.16 | Hold | PB0.35x FY17 |
05/18/17 | DBS Vickers | Pacific Radiance | 0.12 | 0.1 | Fully Valued | PB0.2x FY17 |
05/19/17 | CIMB | Pacific Radiance | 0.115 | 0.11 | Reduce | PB0.22x FY17 |
08/15/17 | CIMB | Pacific Radiance | 0.085 | 0.073 | Reduce | PB0.15x |
08/15/17 | DBS Vickers | Pacific Radiance | 0.085 | 0.07 | Fully Valued | PB0.15x FY17 |
01/12/18 | CIMB | Pacific Radiance | 0.108 | 0.07 | Reduce |
Stock calls for 15 February 2018
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/15/18 | Credit Suisse | Capitaland | 3.53 | 3.9 | Neutral | |
02/15/18 | DBS Vickers | Capitaland | 3.53 | 4.35 | Buy | RNAV (10% discount) |
02/15/18 | DMG & Partners | Comfortdelgro | 2.02 | 1.98 | Neutral | DCF |
02/15/18 | Kim Eng | Hi-P | 1.92 | 2.43 | Buy | PB3.2x FY18 |
02/15/18 | DBS Vickers | Hi-P | 1.92 | 2.48 | Buy | PER14.4x FY18 |
02/15/18 | DMG & Partners | HRnetGroup | 0.81 | 1.14 | Buy | DCF |
02/15/18 | DBS Vickers | Ifast Corp | 0.88 | 1.26 | Buy | DDM |
02/15/18 | DMG & Partners | ISOTeam | 0.33 | 0.46 | Buy | DCF, PER13x FY18 |
02/15/18 | Kim Eng | Jumbo | 0.57 | 0.7 | Buy | DCF, PER26x FY18 |
02/15/18 | DBS Vickers | Jumbo | 0.57 | 0.58 | Hold | PER23x FY18 |
02/15/18 | OCBC | Lippo-Malls Indo | 0.4 | 0.405 | Hold | |
02/15/18 | UOB Kay Hian | OCBC | 12.26 | 14.9 | Buy | GGM, PB1.56x FY18 |
02/15/18 | Kim Eng | OCBC | 12.26 | 13.5 | Hold | PB1.4x FY18 |
02/15/18 | Credit Suisse | OCBC | 12.26 | 14.7 | Outperform | |
02/15/18 | CIMB | OCBC | 12.26 | 14 | Add | GGM, PB1.4x FY18, PER11.7x FY19 |
02/15/18 | Jefferies | OCBC | 12.26 | 14 | Buy | |
02/15/18 | DBS Vickers | OCBC | 12.26 | 14 | Buy | GGM, PB1.4x FY18 |
02/15/18 | phillip | Old Chang Kee | 0.745 | 0.98 | Buy | DCF |
02/15/18 | OCBC | Roxy-Pacific | 0.56 | 0.66 | Buy | |
02/15/18 | OCBC | SIA | 11.15 | 10.85 | Hold | PB0.9x FY18 |
02/15/18 | Credit Suisse | SIA | 11.15 | 10.7 | Neutral | |
02/15/18 | OCBC | Starhub | 2.86 | 2.2 | Sell | |
02/15/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Starhub | 2.86 | 2.7 | Hold | DCF, Buy @ $2.50 |
02/15/18 | Kim Eng | Starhub | 2.86 | 2.27 | Sell | DCF |
02/15/18 | Credit Suisse | Starhub | 2.86 | 2.15 | Underperform | |
02/15/18 | CIMB | Starhub | 2.86 | 2.7 | Hold | DCF |
02/15/18 | Lim & Tan | Starhub | 2.86 | 0 | Sell | |
02/15/18 | DMG & Partners | Starhub | 2.86 | 2.65 | Neutral | |
02/15/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Thai Beverage | 0.91 | 0.99 | Hold | Sum of parts, Buy @ $0.84 |
02/15/18 | CIMB | Thai Beverage | 0.91 | 0.98 | Hold | Sum of parts, PER21.8x CY18 |
02/15/18 | CIMB | UOB | 26.24 | 28 | Add | GGM, PB1.3x FY18, PER11.3x FY19 |
02/15/18 | DMG & Partners | UOB | 26.24 | 30 | Buy | GGM, PB1.35x FY18 |
02/15/18 | Kim Eng | UOB | 26.24 | 29.33 | Buy | PB1.3x FY18 |
02/15/18 | Credit Suisse | UOB | 26.24 | 31.7 | Outperform | GGM |
02/15/18 | Jefferies | UOB | 26.24 | 29.5 | Buy | |
02/15/18 | DBS Vickers | UOB | 26.24 | 30 | Buy | GGM, PB1.3x FY18 |
02/15/18 | DMG & Partners | Valuetronics | 0.915 | 1.05 | Buy | DCF |
Thailand is the least miserable country and Singapore is the 2nd least miserable.
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/miserable-economies-2018-stay-haunted-inflation-beast-033757321.html
The misery index computes the sum of inflation and unemployment to assess and rank the countries.
SG did pretty well and we should note that both indexes for Thailand & SG declined from the prior year. This means that more people are miserable in both countries.
2018 will be a game changer because inflation will start to careen globally due to the trade war between big nations.
Thus, we foresee that the misery index for SG to continue to decline as more people feel miserable in 2018.
The misery index computes the sum of inflation and unemployment to assess and rank the countries.
SG did pretty well and we should note that both indexes for Thailand & SG declined from the prior year. This means that more people are miserable in both countries.
2018 will be a game changer because inflation will start to careen globally due to the trade war between big nations.
Thus, we foresee that the misery index for SG to continue to decline as more people feel miserable in 2018.
Singapore's NODX upped 13% YOY in January 2018
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/singapore-s-exports-jump-13-year-on-year-in-january-9962186
https://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/01/singapore-non-oil-domestic-exports-nodx.html
Year on year changes:
January 2018: 13%
December 2017: 3.1%
November 2017: 9.1%
October 2017: 20.9%
September 2017: -1.1%
August 2017: 16.7%
July 2017: 8.5%
June 2017: 8.2%
May 2017: -1.2%
Apr 2017: -0.7%
Mar 2017: 16.5%
Feb 2017: 21.1%
Jan 2017: 8.6%
May 2017: -1.2%
Apr 2017: -0.7%
Mar 2017: 16.5%
Feb 2017: 21.1%
Jan 2017: 8.6%
https://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/01/singapore-non-oil-domestic-exports-nodx.html
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