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Monday, March 2, 2020

OCBC - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
01/03/19CIMBOCBC11.114AddPER10.8x FY20
01/04/19UOB Kay HianOCBC11.0314.05Buy
01/08/19UOB Kay HianOCBC11.3713.82Buy
01/31/19Kim EngOCBC11.3910.95HoldDDM
02/01/19phillipOCBC11.5113.7BuyGGM, PB1.4x FY19
02/08/19UOB Kay HianOCBC11.4913.82Buy
02/13/19Kim EngOCBC11.4110.95Hold
02/25/19CIMBOCBC11.3912HoldPB1.2x CY19
02/25/19UOB Kay HianOCBC11.3913.85Buy
02/25/19DBS VickersOCBC11.3912.9BuyGGM, PB1.2x FY19
02/25/19Kim EngOCBC11.3910.73HoldDDM
02/27/19MacquarieOCBC11.213OutperformPB
03/04/19phillipOCBC11.113.7Buy
03/07/19Kim EngOCBC11.2210.73Hold
03/11/19CIMBOCBC11.0512Hold
03/26/19UOB Kay HianOCBC10.9913.85Buy
04/02/19phillipOCBC11.2113.7Buy
04/02/19DBS VickersOCBC11.2112.9Buy
04/11/19CIMBOCBC11.7212Hold
04/22/19DMG & PartnersOCBC11.7712.2NeutralPB1.12x FY20, Up from $10.96
04/23/19Kim EngOCBC11.7810.73Hold
04/24/19UOB Kay HianOCBC11.8314.12BuyGGM, PB1.39x FY19
05/03/19phillipOCBC12.0413.7Buy
05/10/19DMG & PartnersOCBC11.3112.2NeutralPB1.12x FY20
05/10/19CIMBOCBC11.3112Hold
05/13/19MacquarieOCBC11.3913Outperform
05/13/19phillipOCBC11.3912.68AccumulateGGM, PB1.3x FY19
05/13/19UOB Kay HianOCBC11.3914.62BuyGGM, PB1.42x FY19
05/13/19CIMBOCBC11.3912.59HoldGGM, PB1.26x
05/22/19Kim EngOCBC11.0911.07Hold
06/03/19CIMBOCBC10.5712.59Hold
06/06/19phillipOCBC10.6312.7Accumulate
06/13/19UOB Kay HianOCBC10.814.62Buy
06/17/19Kim EngOCBC10.7811.07Hold
06/25/19DBS VickersOCBC11.2811.5HoldGGM, PB1.1x FY20
07/01/19UOB Kay HianOCBC11.414.62Buy
07/02/19Kim EngOCBC11.5911.07Hold
07/03/19phillipOCBC11.5412.7Accumulate
07/08/19DMG & PartnersOCBC11.3912.2NeutralGGM, PB1.12x FY20
07/23/19DBS VickersOCBC11.6411.5Hold
08/02/19Lim & TanOCBC11.420Buy on weakness
08/05/19phillipOCBC11.2112.5AccumulateGGM, PB1.3x
08/05/19DMG & PartnersOCBC11.2111.8NeutralGGM, PB1.1x FY20
08/05/19UOB Kay HianOCBC11.2114.48BuyGGM, PB1.4x FY19
08/05/19DBS VickersOCBC11.2111.5HoldGGM, PB1.1x FY20
08/06/19CIMBOCBC11.0812.59HoldGGM, PB1.3x
08/06/19Kim EngOCBC11.0811.05HoldDDM
08/20/19DMG & PartnersOCBC10.7111.5NeutralGGM, PB1.07x FY20
08/21/19CIMBOCBC10.6912.53Hold
09/02/19phillipOCBC10.6512.32AccumulateGGM
09/05/19UOB Kay HianOCBC10.7114.48BuyGGM, PB1.4x FY19
09/26/19Kim EngOCBC10.7711.05Neutral
09/26/19DMG & PartnersOCBC10.7711.5NeutralGGM, PB1.07x FY20
09/27/19CIMBOCBC10.8212.53Hold
10/04/19phillipOCBC10.7112.32Accumulate
10/17/19UOB Kay HianOCBC10.8614.45Buy GGM, PB1.4x FY19
10/23/19DBS VickersOCBC10.7111.5Hold
11/05/19phillipOCBC11.0712.32Accumulate
11/05/19DMG & PartnersOCBC11.0711.5NeutralGGM, PB1.08x FY20
11/05/19Lim & TanOCBC11.070Buy
11/06/19MacquarieOCBC11.0812.4OutperformPB
11/06/19Kim EngOCBC11.0811.26HoldDDM
11/06/19UOB Kay HianOCBC11.0814.45BuyGGM, PB1.4x FY19
11/06/19DBS VickersOCBC11.0811.5HoldGGM, PB1.1x FY20
11/07/19phillipOCBC11.111.7AccumulateGGM, PB1.1x
12/02/19CIMBOCBC10.7811.94Hold
12/02/19Kim EngOCBC10.7811.26Hold
12/03/19DMG & PartnersOCBC10.7511.5Neutral
12/03/19DBS VickersOCBC10.7511.5Hold
12/04/19phillipOCBC10.6811.7Accumulate
01/03/20UOB Kay HianOCBC11.0314.45Buy
01/08/20CIMBOCBC1111.94Hold
02/03/20DBS VickersOCBC10.8311.5HoldGGM, PB1x FY20
02/10/20UOB Kay HianOCBC10.8612.8Buy
02/19/20MacquarieOCBC10.9712.4Outperform
02/24/20phillipOCBC11.0212.1AccumulateGGM, PB1.11x FY20
02/24/20DMG & PartnersOCBC11.0211.2NeutralGGM, PB1.03x FY20
02/24/20UOB Kay HianOCBC11.0212.68Buy
02/25/20Kim EngOCBC10.9211.57Hold
03/02/20DBS VickersOCBC10.611.5Hold

Stock calls for 2 March 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
03/02/20DBS VickersA-Reit3.063.45BuyDCF
03/02/20DBS VickersAIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit1.41.5BuyDCF
03/02/20DBS VickersAscendas India Trust1.651.85Buy
03/02/20DBS VickersCache Logistics0.6850.75Hold
03/02/20DMG & PartnersCenturion0.4450.49NeutralDCF
03/02/20DBS VickersCenturion0.4450.53BuyDCF
03/02/20DBS VickersCSE Global0.520.7BuyPER12x FY20
03/02/20DMG & PartnersEC World Reit0.7050.78BuyDDM
03/02/20DBS VickersEC World Reit0.7050.8BuyDCF
03/02/20AmfrasersEC World Reit0.7050.82outperform
03/02/20DBS VickersESR-Reit0.530.59BuyDCF
03/02/20CIMBFrencken0.831.06Add
03/02/20DMG & PartnersGolden Agri0.20.25BuySum of parts
03/02/20OCBCGolden Agri0.20.22Hold
03/02/20UOB Kay HianGolden Agri0.20.22HoldBuy @ $0.20
03/02/20CIMBGolden Agri0.20.23Hold
03/02/20DMG & PartnersHRnetGroup0.560.61NeutralPER12x FY20
03/02/20Kim EngIHH Healthcare1.872.09BuySum of parts, Ringgit $6.30 target price
03/02/20UOB Kay HianIHH Healthcare1.871.94BuyRinggit $5.86 target price
03/02/20CIMBIHH Healthcare1.872.07AddRinggit $6.26 target price
03/02/20DBS VickersKeppel DC Reit2.322.55HoldDCF
03/02/20DBS VickersKoufu0.7050.84BuyPER17x FY20
03/02/20DBS VickersMapletree Industrial2.683Buy
03/02/20DBS VickersMapletree Logistics1.851.9Hold
03/02/20DMG & PartnersMindchamps0.3950.37NeutralDCF
03/02/20DMG & PartnersMoya Asia0.0730.082BuyDCF
03/02/20DBS VickersNetlink0.981.05Buy
03/02/20DBS VickersOCBC10.611.5Hold
03/02/20phillipPropnex0.5450.7BuyDCF
03/02/20DBS VickersSoilbuild Reit0.4950.55Hold
03/02/20UOB Kay HianSunningdale1.211.06HoldBuy @ $1
03/02/20UOB Kay HianSunpower0.5250.88BuySum of parts
03/02/20DBS VickersUOB24.4827.2Buy
03/02/20OCBCUOL7.379.6BuyRNAV (30% discount)
03/02/20DBS VickersUOL7.379.5BuyRNAV (28% discount)
03/02/20Lim & TanUOL7.370Buy on weakness
03/02/20PhillipVenture16.4518.1AccumulatePER14x FY20
03/02/20OCBCVenture16.4518.09BuyPER13.9x
03/02/20OCBCYangzijiang0.9451.2BuySum of parts
03/02/20UOB Kay HianYangzijiang0.9451.4Buy
03/02/20DBS VickersYangzijiang0.9451.5BuySum of parts, PB0.9x
03/02/20DBS VickersYanlord1.161.1HoldPER4.5x FY20

Why are global scientists claiming now that covid-19 virus is not man-made?

https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-02-25/new-paper-adds-support-to-covid-19s-natural-origins-101520278.html

The global scientists could have come out much earlier to state their consensus claim that covid-19 virus was not man-made but they didn't.  They only came out to state this claim when there were more prima facie pieces of evidence that pinpointed the US as the origin (See my post below).

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/03/japan-and-russia-alleged-that-covid-19.html

I believe the mounting pieces of evidence and Russian's allegation that CIA created covid-19 virus prompt the US to use its resources to embark on this scientific claim.

We all know the potency of the 3rd generation covid-19 virus in China from its death toll.  The normal virus evolution path is that the earlier generation is much more potent than the latest generation.  Please look at my comment for the post below to understand more about a virus evolution.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/02/the-infected-chinese-are-dropping-dead.html

Since the US has 1st, 2nd and 4th-generation covid-19 cases, its death toll should be much higher than China's.  This might explain the high flu death toll (Dec 2019 to Feb 2020) in the US as the flu deaths were classified wrongly since the doctors had not encountered this virus before.

This might also explain the heavy sell-off in the US stock markets last week because the smart investors knew that the covid-19 virus originated in the US and this would hurt the US severely economically and politically.

Sunday, March 1, 2020

The US reports its 1st covid-19 death.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/germany-boosts-border-checks-google-215438086.html

We had expected a major outbreak in the US soon.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/02/who-has-raised-covid-19-outbreak-to.html

Japan and Russia alleged that covid-19 originated in the US. - Part 2

China confirmed the covid-19 virus outbreak in Wuhan was in December 2019.  


This would mean that the actual timeline for the virus to appear in Wuhan was in November 2019 because the incubation period was 14-day and it would take some time for the cases to build up before the medical authority was cognizant of the outbreak.  (Please remember this timeline.)


China scientists had already stated that covid-19 H38 was traced back to the US and the virus was imported into Wuhan.  Japan and Russia also alleged that the virus originated in the US.


Let's see if the allegation was valid or not.

If the US wanted to smuggle the virus into China in late 2019, when would be the best time to do it?  The best time would be when the airport was super busy because airport security won't be so tight as it had to clear the vast number of passengers fast.

When will an airport be super busy? The airport would be super busy when there was a major event happening.  I googled and discovered that China held 2019 Military World Games in Wuhan from October 18-27 (Please remember this timeline).


I found something uncanny when I looked at the scoreboard.  The US team didn't win any gold medal in this international competition despite sending more than 300 personnel to Wuhan.


Please remember that the US has the strongest and most powerful military in the world and yet its personnel can't win a single medal in the military games.  Isn't this strange?

The only explanation for this failure was that the US didn't send its best personnel for the competition because the US was afraid that its best personnel would get caught for spreading the virus in Wuhan.  The Athletes alsstayed near Huangjiahu Lake which was very near to Huanan Seafood Market.



Just look at how close the Athletes were from Huanan Seafood Market (Less than 25km).

If the US personnel released the virus at Huanan Seafood Market before their departure, the first case of covid-19 would appear in mid-November after the 14-day incubation period.  Then, it would take some time for the cases to build up before China confirmed the outbreak in December 2019.  The chronological events matched the timeline of the virus outbreak.

Let's recap:
1. Japan alleged that the virus originated in the US by analyzing big data.
2. China scientists traced covid-19 H38 to the US.
3. Russia alleged that the virus originated in the US.
4. The chronological events in 2019 also inferred that the US was involved.

OK, case closed!