The die is cast in stone already! The latest Fedwatch tool is indicating more than 85% of a Fed hold.
We can confidently say that the US Fed will hold its rates in its October FOMC meeting. Therefore, this upcoming FOMC is a non-market event and the focus will be on 3 November US mid-term election. Insofar, the Republicans are projected to lose both congress houses (senate & representatives).What's the danger of Trump losing both congress houses? Well, the risk of him getting impeached is very high after he has lost control of both congress houses. Let's watch how this will unfold.
