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Saturday, August 18, 2018

US rig count - 1057

HOUSTON (AP) — The number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. held steady at 1,057 this week.
At this time a year ago there were 946 active rigs.
Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes reported Friday that 869 rigs drilled for oil this week and 186 for gas. Two were listed as miscellaneous.
Among major oil- and gas-producing states, Texas gained three rigs, Louisiana and Pennsylvania each increased by two and Oklahoma added one.
New Mexico lost three rigs and Alaska, Ohio, West Virginia and Wyoming each decreased by one.
Arkansas, California, Colorado, North Dakota and Utah were unchanged.
The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out in May 2016 at 404.
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Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

US inflation is rising rapidly because of Trump.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-s-consumers-no-tolerance-inflation-161959788.html

The US consumers cannot tolerate inflation.  This statement has shown that the ultimate winner in a US-China trade war will be China.

Many analysts are saying that China is losing the trade war because of its falling stock market.  However, the main street is different from the wall street and the main street is more important than the wall street.  The main street people will vote out the government if they cannot survive because of the price hikes.

We've stated this previously in our posting below.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/04/who-will-win-in-trade-war-us-or-china.html

Friday, August 17, 2018

United Global - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
06/13/17 SAC Advisors United Global 0.325 0.37 Buy
10/17/17 SAC Advisors United Global 0.355 0.5 Buy
03/01/18 SAC Advisors United Global 0.41 0.5 Buy PER12.2x FY18

United Engineers - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/06/17 Lim & Tan United Engineers 2.66 0 Buy
02/13/17 Lim & Tan United Engineers 2.91 0 Buy
03/02/17 Lim & Tan United Engineers 2.94 0 Hold
03/08/17 UOB Kay Hian United Engineers 2.93 2.75 Hold
03/13/17 DBS Vickers United Engineers 2.9 2.89 Not Rated
06/01/17 Lim & Tan United Engineers 2.63 0 Buy
07/14/17 Lim & Tan United Engineers 2.71 0 Hold Offer price of $2.60 is too low.
08/16/17 Lim & Tan United Engineers 2.69 0 Hold
09/21/17 Lim & Tan United Engineers 2.68 0 Hold
04/02/18 CIMB United Engineers 2.61 2.94 Add RNAV (15% discount)
05/08/18 CIMB United Engineers 2.67 2.94 Add RNAV (15% discount)

Uni-Asia - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
06/19/17 Amfrasers Uni-Asia 1.165 1.92 Buy Sum of parts, PB0.5x FY17, PER8.2x FY17
06/21/17 NRA Uni-Asia 1.35 1.85 Overweight PB0.5x
08/15/17 NRA Uni-Asia 1355 1.86 Overweight PB0.5x
08/22/17 Amfrasers Uni-Asia 1.37 1.92 Buy Sum of parts, PB0.5x FY17, PER8.2x FY17
12/18/17 Amfrasers Uni-Asia 1.23 1.85 Buy Sum of parts, PB0.5x FY17, PER8.2x FY17
03/16/18 Amfrasers Uni-Asia 1.45 1.81 Buy Sum of parts, PB0.5x FY18, PER10x FY18
05/22/18 Amfrasers Uni-Asia 1.4 1.81 Buy Sum of parts, PB0.5x FY18, PER10x FY18
06/06/18 Amfrasers Uni-Asia 1.41 2 Buy Sum of parts, PB0.55x FY18, PER11x FY18

Stock calls for 17 August 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/17/18 UOB Kay Hian A-Reit 2.73 3.01 Buy
08/17/18 UOB Kay Hian CapitaCommercial 1.74 1.99 Buy
08/17/18 Lim & Tan Capitaland 3.32 0 Buy
08/17/18 UOB Kay Hian CDL Hospitality 1.54 1.86 Buy
08/17/18 CIMB Jadason 0.037 0.073 Add PB1x CY18
08/17/18 UOB Kay Hian M1 1.6 1.55 Sell
08/17/18 NRA Megachem 0.32 0.51 Not Rated
08/17/18 DBS Vickers Mermaid Maritime 0.106 0.13 Hold Sum of parts
08/17/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.1 6.1 Buy
08/17/18 NRA Serial System 0.146 0.24 Overweight Sum of parts, PER11.2x FY18
08/17/18 OCBC Starhill 0.675 0.74 Buy
08/17/18 Phillip Y Venture 0.44 0.61 Buy PER30x FY18

Number puzzle!

1111 = 0
1289 = 3
2256 = 1
3388 = 4
9090 = 4
1868 = ?

Please solve the puzzle.

Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macau bridge will open soon!


Yes! It is possible to drive to HK now!

However, a special permit has to be applied in order to drive on this bridge.

Thursday, August 16, 2018

UMS - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/01/17 CIMB UMS 0.675 0.82 Add GGM, PB1.85x FY17
03/02/17 DBS Vickers UMS 0.68 0.73 Buy DCF
05/15/17 CIMB UMS 0.87 1.15 Add GGM, PB2.41x
05/16/17 DBS Vickers UMS 0.98 1.07 Buy DCF, PER7.4x FY18 ex-cash
05/23/17 DBS Vickers UMS 1.07 1.33 Buy PER11x FY18 ex-cash
06/16/17 DBS Vickers UMS 1.08 1.33 Buy
07/05/17 CIMB UMS 0.995 1.15 Add GGM, PB2.41x
08/14/17 CIMB UMS 1.08 1.12 Hold GGM, PB2.41x
08/14/17 DBS Vickers UMS 1.08 1.13 Hold PER11x FY18 ex-cash
10/25/17 CIMB UMS 0.925 1.13 Add GGM, PB2,8x FY18, PER13.3x FY19, Ex-rights 1 for 4
11/13/17 DBS Vickers UMS 1.02 1.21 Buy PER12x FY18
11/13/17 CIMB UMS 1.02 1.21 Add GGM, PB2.88x
03/01/18 DBS Vickers UMS 1.16 1.37 Buy PER12x FY18
03/01/18 CIMB UMS 1.16 1.31 Add PB2.95x FY18
04/03/18 DBS Vickers UMS 1.13 1.37 Buy
05/14/18 DBS Vickers UMS 1.04 1.37 Buy PER12x FY19
05/15/18 CIMB UMS 1.07 1.21 Add PB2.81x
08/15/18 CIMB UMS 0.79 1.21 Add PB2.82x
08/15/18 DBS Vickers UMS 0.79 1.01 Buy PER10x FY19

UG Healthcare - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/09/17 Lim & Tan UG Healthcare 0.295 0 Hold
02/09/17 Kim Eng UG Healthcare 0.295 0.25 Sell
08/31/17 Kim Eng UG Healthcare 0.24 0.21 Sell PER12x FY18
04/24/18 DMG & Partners UG Healthcare 0.198 0.32 Buy PER14x FY19
05/14/18 DMG & Partners UG Healthcare 0.205 0.32 Buy PER14x FY19

Tuan Sing - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
11/29/17 UOB Kay Hian Tuan Sing 0.415 0.71 Buy Sum of parts
01/15/18 UOB Kay Hian Tuan Sing 0.49 0.71 Buy
01/29/18 UOB Kay Hian Tuan Sing 0.48 0.71 Buy Sum of parts

Stock calls for 16 August 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/16/18 UOB Kay Hian Bumitama 0.7 0.93 Buy
08/16/18 DMG & Partners Capitaland 3.31 3.95 Buy
08/16/18 DMG & Partners City Developments 9.55 10.4 Neutral
08/16/18 DBS Vickers First Resources 1.59 2 Buy DCF
08/16/18 UOB Kay Hian Golden Agri 0.28 0.16 Sell
08/16/18 CIMB Golden Agri 0.28 0.25 Reduce Sum of parts (20% discount)
08/16/18 DMG & Partners GSS Energy 0.133 0.22 Buy Sum of parts
08/16/18 CIMB Ho Bee 2.57 2.9 Add
08/16/18 CIMB MM2 Asia 0.42 0.72 Add Sum of parts
08/16/18 phillip Q & M 0.51 0.649 Buy PER28x FY18
08/16/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Medical 0.425 0.74 Buy
08/16/18 Lim & Tan Sunpower 0.595 0.95 Buy Sum of parts
08/16/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.68 0.88 Add Sum of parts
08/16/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.68 0.88 Buy Sum of parts
08/16/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.68 0.89 Buy
08/16/18 CIMB Y Venture 0.445 0.56 Add PER30x FY19
08/16/18 OCBC Yanlord 1.51 2.13 Buy PER5.5x

The new Noble Group is still not viable!

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/man-triggered-10-billion-commodity-collapse-finally-speaks-032429405.html

According to the ex-employee, Noble had been fudging its books by overvaluing its commodity assets.  The restructuring deal cannot save Noble at all and this ex-employee is trying to launch a class action suit with other shareholders against Noble.

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

OMG! Tan Chun Sing doesn't understand the USA mentality.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/trade-chan-chun-sing-us-business-trade-war-china-america-10616794

Why did the USA pull out of TPP?  This was because Trump understood that bilateral negotiation would give the USA more bargaining power than multilateral negotiation.

When the USA engages in any bilateral trade negotiation with another country, it can use its US$19T economy to make an imposition on the smaller country to succumb to the USA demands.  However, it's harder for the USA to impose its demands during a multilateral negotiation.

Trump has this "America First" propaganda and he won't relent.  Tan Chun Sing doesn't understand this and still seeks to ask the USA to engage in multilateral negotiation.

The USA will only serve its own interest but won't care a hoot about others.  The recent incident of the USA punishing Turkey, a NATO member, already proved it.  Turkey stood by the USA in many international affairs but still got backstabbed by the USA in the end.

Tan should look at the bad records of the USA in the past first before he opened his mouth.

Triyards - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/09/17 Amfrasers Triyards 0.315 0.43 Buy PB0.5x FY17
01/09/17 OCBC Triyards 0.315 0.47 Buy PB0.55x FY17
01/09/17 UOB Kay Hian Triyards 0.315 0.46 Buy PB0.46x FY17
03/10/17 UOB Kay Hian Triyards 0.395 0.27 Hold
03/15/17 OCBC Triyards 0.295 0.345 Hold PB
04/10/17 OCBC Triyards 0.25 0.33 Hold PB0.35x FY17/18
07/24/17 OCBC Triyards 0.149 0.19 Hold PB0.3x FY18

Trendlines - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
11/27/17 NRA Trendlines 0.143 0.225 Overweight RNAV (20% discount)
06/28/18 NRA Trendlines 0.119 0.225 Overweight

Top Glove - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
10/19/17 Aminvestment Top Glove 1.98 2.05 Hold Ringgit target $6.36, up from $6.22
06/20/18 Lim & Tan Top Glove 3.88 0 Hold
06/22/18 Kim Eng Top Glove 3.81 4.4 Buy
07/11/18 Kim Eng Top Glove 3.4 4.36 Hold Ringgit target $12.90, PER30x FY19

Stock calls for 15 August 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/15/18 UOB Kay Hian Banyan Tree 0.535 1 Buy Sum of parts
08/15/18 DBS Vickers Bumitama 0.705 0.88 Buy DCF, PER13.7x FY19
08/15/18 DMG & Partners Bumitama 0.705 0.8 Buy PER11x FY19
08/15/18 CIMB CSE Global 0.45 0.5 Add PER13.5x CY19
08/15/18 UOB Kay Hian CSE Global 0.45 0.58 Buy PER15x FY19
08/15/18 DMG & Partners Food Empire 0.56 0.6 Neutral PER14x FY18
08/15/18 DMG & Partners Fu Yu 0.174 0.22 Buy DCF
08/15/18 OCBC Golden Agri 0.28 0.26 Hold PER17.5x FY19
08/15/18 CIMB Jumbo 0.515 0.62 Add PER23x CY19
08/15/18 DBS Vickers MM2 Asia 0.42 0.62 Buy Sum of parts
08/15/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.43 0.56 Buy DCF
08/15/18 CIMB Starhub 1.65 1.85 Add DCF
08/15/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.7 0.94 Buy Sum of parts
08/15/18 CIMB UMS 0.79 1.21 Add PB2.82x
08/15/18 DBS Vickers UMS 0.79 1.01 Buy PER10x FY19
08/15/18 Kim Eng Valuetronics 0.735 1.05 Buy
08/15/18 UOB Kay Hian Valuetronics 0.735 0.96 Buy PER11.3x FY19
08/15/18 DMG & Partners Valuetronics 0.735 0.92 Buy PER10x FY19
08/15/18 CIMB Valuetronics 0.735 0.95 Add PER10x CY19
08/15/18 DBS Vickers Wilmar 3.25 3.61 Buy DCF
08/15/18 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.25 3.69 Buy Sum of parts
08/15/18 CIMB Yongnam 0.255 0.45 Add PB0.8x FY19

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

What's the real intention behind Goh's ministerial pay speech?

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/comment-furore-ministerial-pay-gaining-currency-131941715.html

It is evident that Goh and PAP cannot get along anymore and Goh is using the tactic that LKY used to cause George Yeo to lose in the GE.  LKY told the Aljunied residents that they would repent for the next 5 year if they didn't vote for George Yeo.

Goh is trying to create the same poignant and make the people disgruntled.  It is pretty obvious that PAP has ramifications in its party now.


Tianjin Zhongxin - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/05/17 CIMB Tianjin Zhongxin 0.975 1.3 Add DCF FY17
08/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.05 1.66 Buy PER15.5x FY18
09/05/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.13 1.66 Buy PER15.5x FY18
10/04/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.055 1.66 Buy PER15.5x FY18
11/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.03 1.5 Buy PER14.6x FY18
01/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 0.945 1.52 Buy PER14.1x FY18
04/02/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 0.92 1.66 Buy PER14.1x FY18
04/30/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.01 1.72 Buy PER14.1x FY18
05/21/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.2 1.72 Buy PER14.1x FY18
06/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.21 1.72 Buy
07/13/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.12 1.72 Buy