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Tuesday, September 3, 2019

OCBC - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/03/19 CIMB OCBC 11.1 14 Add PER10.8x FY20
01/04/19 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 11.03 14.05 Buy
01/08/19 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 11.37 13.82 Buy
01/31/19 Kim Eng OCBC 11.39 10.95 Hold DDM
02/01/19 phillip OCBC 11.51 13.7 Buy GGM, PB1.4x FY19
02/08/19 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 11.49 13.82 Buy
02/13/19 Kim Eng OCBC 11.41 10.95 Hold
02/25/19 CIMB OCBC 11.39 12 Hold PB1.2x CY19
02/25/19 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 11.39 13.85 Buy
02/25/19 DBS Vickers OCBC 11.39 12.9 Buy GGM, PB1.2x FY19
02/25/19 Kim Eng OCBC 11.39 10.73 Hold DDM
02/27/19 Macquarie OCBC 11.2 13 Outperform PB
03/04/19 phillip OCBC 11.1 13.7 Buy
03/07/19 Kim Eng OCBC 11.22 10.73 Hold
03/11/19 CIMB OCBC 11.05 12 Hold
03/26/19 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 10.99 13.85 Buy
04/02/19 phillip OCBC 11.21 13.7 Buy
04/02/19 DBS Vickers OCBC 11.21 12.9 Buy
04/11/19 CIMB OCBC 11.72 12 Hold
04/22/19 DMG & Partners OCBC 11.77 12.2 Neutral PB1.12x FY20, Up from $10.96
04/23/19 Kim Eng OCBC 11.78 10.73 Hold
04/24/19 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 11.83 14.12 Buy GGM, PB1.39x FY19
05/03/19 phillip OCBC 12.04 13.7 Buy
05/10/19 DMG & Partners OCBC 11.31 12.2 Neutral PB1.12x FY20
05/10/19 CIMB OCBC 11.31 12 Hold
05/13/19 Macquarie OCBC 11.39 13 Outperform
05/13/19 phillip OCBC 11.39 12.68 Accumulate GGM, PB1.3x FY19
05/13/19 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 11.39 14.62 Buy GGM, PB1.42x FY19
05/13/19 CIMB OCBC 11.39 12.59 Hold GGM, PB1.26x
05/22/19 Kim Eng OCBC 11.09 11.07 Hold
06/03/19 CIMB OCBC 10.57 12.59 Hold
06/06/19 phillip OCBC 10.63 12.7 Accumulate
06/13/19 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 10.8 14.62 Buy
06/17/19 Kim Eng OCBC 10.78 11.07 Hold
06/25/19 DBS Vickers OCBC 11.28 11.5 Hold GGM, PB1.1x FY20
07/01/19 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 11.4 14.62 Buy
07/02/19 Kim Eng OCBC 11.59 11.07 Hold
07/03/19 phillip OCBC 11.54 12.7 Accumulate
07/08/19 DMG & Partners OCBC 11.39 12.2 Neutral GGM, PB1.12x FY20
07/23/19 DBS Vickers OCBC 11.64 11.5 Hold
08/02/19 Lim & Tan OCBC 11.42 0 Buy on weakness
08/05/19 phillip OCBC 11.21 12.5 Accumulate GGM, PB1.3x
08/05/19 DMG & Partners OCBC 11.21 11.8 Neutral GGM, PB1.1x FY20
08/05/19 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 11.21 14.48 Buy GGM, PB1.4x FY19
08/05/19 DBS Vickers OCBC 11.21 11.5 Hold GGM, PB1.1x FY20
08/06/19 CIMB OCBC 11.08 12.59 Hold GGM, PB1.3x
08/06/19 Kim Eng OCBC 11.08 11.05 Hold DDM
08/20/19 DMG & Partners OCBC 10.71 11.5 Neutral GGM, PB1.07x FY20
08/21/19 CIMB OCBC 10.69 12.53 Hold
09/02/19 phillip OCBC 10.65 12.32 Accumulate GGM

Netlink - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/19 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 0.765 0.99 Buy DCF
01/02/19 Kim Eng Netlink 0.765 0.93 Buy
01/15/19 DBS Vickers Netlink 0.77 0.87 Buy DCF
02/07/19 Kim Eng Netlink 0.785 0.93 Buy DDM, PER38.8x FY21
02/08/19 DBS Vickers Netlink 0.79 0.87 Buy DCF, PER32.6x FY21
02/08/19 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 0.79 0.99 Buy
02/15/19 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 0.805 0.92 Buy DCF, PER40x FY21
02/18/19 OCBC Netlink 0.805 0.9 Buy
03/15/19 OCBC Netlink 0.795 0.9 Buy
03/27/19 Phillip Netlink 0.825 0.89 Accumulate DCF
04/01/19 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 0.83 0.92 Buy
04/01/19 Kim Eng Netlink 0.83 0.93 Buy
05/07/19 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 0.825 0.92 Buy DCF
05/09/19 DBS Vickers Netlink 0.82 0.87 Buy
05/15/19 OCBC Netlink 0.835 0.95 Buy
05/15/19 DBS Vickers Netlink 0.835 0.9 Buy DCF
05/15/19 Phillip Netlink 0.835 0.93 Accumulate DCF
05/15/19 Kim Eng Netlink 0.835 0.94 Buy DDM
06/03/19 Phillip Netlink 0.83 0.93 Buy DCF
06/06/19 DBS Vickers Netlink 0.825 0.9 Buy
06/12/19 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 0.835 0.97 Buy
06/27/19 Kim Eng Netlink 0.89 0.94 Buy
07/15/19 Phillip Netlink 0.88 0.93 Accumulate DCF
07/17/19 Kim Eng Netlink 0.885 0.94 Buy
08/06/19 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 0.88 0.92 Buy DCF
08/06/19 Phillip Netlink 0.88 0.93 Accumulate DCF
08/07/19 Kim Eng Netlink 0.865 0.94 Buy DDM
08/07/19 DBS Vickers Netlink 0.865 0.95 Buy DCF

Stock calls for 3 September 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
09/03/19 DMG & Partners Breadtalk 0.665 0.71 Neutral
09/03/19 Lim & Tan CSE Global 0.44 0 Buy
09/03/19 Phillip Micro-Mechanics 1.59 1.6 Neutral PER15x FY20
09/03/19 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.16 1.22 Hold
09/03/19 DMG & Partners Sembcorp Marine 1.16 1.63 Buy PB1.48x FY20
09/03/19 OCBC Soilbuild Reit 0.55 0.58 Accept offer

Monday, September 2, 2019

Nera Telecom - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/04/19 Lim & Tan Nera Telecom 0.285 0 Buy

Moya Asia - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/07/19 DMG & Partners Moya Asia 0.06 0.11 Buy
02/13/19 DMG & Partners Moya Asia 0.082 0.11 Buy DCF
03/05/19 DMG & Partners Moya Asia 0.077 0.11 Buy DCF
05/02/19 DMG & Partners Moya Asia 0.081 0.095 Buy
06/06/19 DMG & Partners Moya Asia 0.076 0.1 Buy
08/20/19 DMG & Partners Moya Asia 0.068 0.083 Buy DCF

MM2 Asia - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/14/19 DBS Vickers MM2 Asia 0.3 0.33 Hold Sum of parts
02/21/19 CIMB MM2 Asia 0.3 0.37 Add Sum of parts
02/21/19 Kim Eng MM2 Asia 0.3 0.34 Buy PEG0.93x
03/26/19 Kim Eng MM2 Asia 0.315 0.34 Buy PEG0.93x
05/31/19 DBS Vickers MM2 Asia 0.24 0.34 Buy Sum of parts, PER16x FY20
06/04/19 Kim Eng MM2 Asia 0.245 0.26 Hold
07/19/19 DBS Vickers MM2 Asia 0.23 0.34 Buy PER16x FY20
08/15/19 DBS Vickers MM2 Asia 0.197 0.29 Buy Sum of parts
08/20/19 Kim Eng MM2 Asia 0.186 0.2 Hold PEG1x

Stock calls for 2 September 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
09/02/19 DMG & Partners China Aviation Oil 1.15 1.5 Buy Sum of parts
09/02/19 phillip OCBC 10.65 12.32 Accumulate GGM
09/02/19 Kim Eng SIA Engineering 2.43 2.85 Buy DCF
09/02/19 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.9 0.87 Hold Sum of parts
09/02/19 CIMB UOB 24.96 29.54 Add

The US was caught red-handed for fudging its employment data.

https://www.marketplace.org/2019/08/23/job-creation-revised-down/

The US had to revise down its employment by 500,000 jobs.

We questioned the validity of the US employment data when we analyzed it in May 2019 because we found some discrepancy.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/discrepancies-in-us-employment-data.html

Saturday, August 31, 2019

The Strait Times Index (STI) has a high probability to close in the red in August. - Part 2


https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/the-strait-times-index-sti-has-high.html

We are right about the STI ending in the red (-5.88%) in August 2019 and this August curse has not been broken yet insofar. Yeah!

2-year US treasury and 10-year US treasury yield curves.

The 2y-10y treasuries yield curves had inverted 3x in August 2019.

The 3m-10y treasuries yield curves had inverted for the whole of August 2019.

Both the aforesaid yield curves are being closely monitored by the US FED for signs of recession.

Baltic dry index - 2277

Today, Thursday, August 29 2019, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 10 points, reaching 2277 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 904

Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Friday, August 30, 2019

MIT - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/27/19 Lim & Tan MIT 0.36 0.405 Buy Mid-point of $0.4-0.41

Mindchamps - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/05/19 DMG & Partners Mindchamps 0.655 0.87 Buy
05/17/19 DMG & Partners Mindchamps 0.66 0.83 Buy DCF
08/27/19 DMG & Partners Mindchamps 0.525 0.83 Buy

Micro-Mechanics - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/30/19 Phillip Micro-Mechanics 1.67 1.7 Accumulate PER15x FY19
05/02/19 Phillip Micro-Mechanics 1.63 1.63 Neutral PER15x FY20

Stock calls for 30 August 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/30/19 DBS Vickers CapitaCommercial 2.13 2.3 Buy DCF
08/30/19 UOB Kay Hian Eagle Hospitality Trust 0.675 1.02 Buy DDM
08/30/19 CIMB Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.74 2.9 Add DDM
08/30/19 DMG & Partners Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.74 2.55 Neutral DDM

Thursday, August 29, 2019

Mermaid Maritime - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/19/19 DBS Vickers Mermaid Maritime 0.084 0.06 Sell Sum of parts
03/19/19 CIMB Mermaid Maritime 0.084 0.158 Hold PB0.48x CY18

Memtech - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/28/19 Lim & Tan Memtech 1.03 0 Buy on weakness
02/28/19 CIMB Memtech 1.03 1.08 Hold PER8.5x FY20
03/01/19 UOB Kay Hian Memtech 0.985 1.33 Buy PER11x FY19
04/26/19 UOB Kay Hian Memtech 0.96 1.33 Buy
05/15/19 CIMB Memtech 1.09 1.35 Accept offer offer $1.35
05/15/19 Lim & Tan Memtech 1.09 1.35 Accept offer offer $1.35
06/17/19 Lim & Tan Memtech 1.33 1.35 Accept offer offer $1.35

Mapletree North Asia - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/29/19 OCBC Mapletree North Asia 1.25 1.35 Buy
01/29/19 DBS Vickers Mapletree North Asia 1.25 1.45 Buy
02/09/19 DBS Vickers Mapletree North Asia 1.25 1.45 Buy
04/03/19 DBS Vickers Mapletree North Asia 1.31 1.45 Buy
05/02/19 OCBC Mapletree North Asia 1.36 1.4 Hold
05/02/19 DBS Vickers Mapletree North Asia 1.36 1.6 Buy DCF
07/19/19 DBS Vickers Mapletree North Asia 1.45 1.65 Buy DCF
07/30/19 OCBC Mapletree North Asia 1.38 1.43 Hold
07/31/19 CIMB Mapletree North Asia 1.42 1.5 Add DDM
08/14/19 OCBC Mapletree North Asia 1.28 1.43 Buy

Stock calls for 29 August 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/29/19 Lim & Tan Avi-Tech 0.27 0 Buy
08/29/19 CIMB CSE Global 0.425 0.6 Add
08/29/19 Macquarie DBS 24.02 25.8 Neutral
08/29/19 Amfrasers Geo Energy 0.15 0.14 Neutral FCFE
08/29/19 UOB Kay Hian ISOTeam 0.23 0.34 Buy
08/29/19 DMG & Partners ISOTeam 0.23 0.31 Buy DCF
08/29/19 Macquarie UOB 24.41 27.2 Neutral PB