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Friday, March 23, 2018

Stock calls for 23 March 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/23/18 MIDF IHH Healthcare 2.01 2.32 Buy Ringgit $6.91 target price
03/23/18 CIMB OUE Commercial 0.72 0.75 Hold DDM
03/23/18 UOB Kay Hian ST Engineering 3.47 4.1 Buy EV/Invested capital basis, PER23x FY19
03/23/18 DBS Vickers ST Engineering 3.47 4.1 Buy DCF & PER22x
03/23/18 Kim Eng Valuetronics 0.955 1.25 Buy ROE-g/COE-g, PB2.8x FY19
03/23/18 OCBC Viva Industrial 0.75 0.93 Buy

Another lawsuit for Noble Group.

https://www.bloombergquint.com/markets/2018/03/22/noble-group-s-week-from-hell-gets-worse-as-another-lawsuit-hits

More and more bad news!

Another company is suing Noble Group for $260m.

US has imposed tariffs on $60b China imports.

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/03/22/trump-moves-to-slap-china-with-50-billion-in-tariffs-over-intellectual-property-theft.html

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-hits-back-trump-planned-232227157.html

The USA has imposed tariffs on $60b China goods but China has retaliated with very restrained effort targeting at Trump's supporters' businesses.

This trade war is real because the USA wants to cripple China's economy now.  Trump has replaced all his key personnel with anti-China characteristics.  They are advising Trump to wage an economic war against China because China will become the world leader in the future.  If the USA doesn't attack China economically now, the USA won't stand a chance in the future.

The USA has just passed a US$1.3T spending bill.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-house-passes-1-3-170134662.html

Here we go again!  The USA will issue more government bonds to fund this newly passed $1.3T spending bill but it won't be easy to attract foreign central banks and investors to buy US treasuries this time.  Why?

This is because the USA has rankled many countries with its upcoming global trade war.  This global trade war will affect many economies and induce slower economic growth.  When other government coffers and investors are badly affected, they won't purchase more US treasuries.

The USA really has a warped logic!

Thursday, March 22, 2018

Trendlines - Stock calls

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Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/12/16 DBS Vickers Trendlines 0.161 0.28 Buy PB1.1x FY16
03/17/16 DBS Vickers Trendlines 0.192 0.28 Buy PB1.1x FY16
04/25/16 DBS Vickers Trendlines 0.225 0.24 Hold
11/27/17 NRA Trendlines 0.143 0.225 Overweight RNAV (20% discount)

Top Glove - Stock calls


12/16/16 Kim Eng Top Glove 1.63 1.71 Hold Ringgit target $5.30
10/19/17 Aminvestment Top Glove 1.98 2.05 Hold Ringgit target $6.36, up from $6.22

Tianjin Zhongxin - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/11/16 CIMB Tianjin Zhongxin 0.895 1.42 Add DCF
04/25/16 CIMB Tianjin Zhongxin 0.845 1.3 Add DCF CY16
11/02/16 CIMB Tianjin Zhongxin 0.765 1.3 Add DCF CY17
12/06/16 CIMB Tianjin Zhongxin 0.805 1.3 Add DCF CY17
04/05/17 CIMB Tianjin Zhongxin 0.975 1.3 Add DCF FY17
08/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.05 1.66 Buy PER15.5x FY18
09/05/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.13 1.66 Buy PER15.5x FY18
10/04/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.055 1.66 Buy PER15.5x FY18
11/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.03 1.5 Buy PER14.6x FY18
01/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 0.945 1.52 Buy PER14.1x FY18

Stock calls for 22 March 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/22/18 phillip Comfortdelgro 2 2.5 Buy
03/22/18 Lim & Tan DBS 28.4 0 Buy
03/22/18 CIMB Dyna-Mac 0.13 0.18 Add PB1.8x CY18
03/22/18 Lim & Tan OCBC 13.42 0 Buy
03/22/18 Lim & Tan UOB 28.58 0 Buy

Wednesday, March 21, 2018

Huge fireball in Thailand sky.

Some people say it is a sunset warped by the vapour in the air.

Some people say it is a falling asteroid.

Some people say it is a warning from God.

What say you?

Thai Beverage - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/08/16 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.695 0.83 Buy
01/08/16 Religare Thai Beverage 0.695 0.76 Buy
02/29/16 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.69 0.82 Buy Sum of parts, PER21x FY16
02/29/16 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.69 0.83 Buy
03/01/16 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.7 0.83 Add
03/15/16 UBS Thai Beverage 0.74 0.76 Neutral
03/24/16 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.725 0.82 Buy
04/15/16 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.715 0.82 Buy
05/13/16 Credit Suisse Thai Beverage 0.75 0.85 Outperform Sum of parts
05/16/16 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.75 0.92 Add Sum of parts
05/16/16 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.75 0.92 Buy
05/16/16 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.75 0.83 Buy DCF
05/25/16 Religare Thai Beverage 0.89 1.1 Buy Up from $0.76
06/16/16 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.91 0.89 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $0.85 or below
07/19/16 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.96 0.89 Hold
08/12/16 Credit Suisse Thai Beverage 1.03 1.08 Neutral
08/12/16 OCBC Thai Beverage 1.03 1.01 Hold Sum of parts
08/15/16 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 1.025 1.13 Buy Sum of parts, PER23.5x FY17
09/05/16 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.995 1.14 Add Sum of parts, PER24.7x CY17
09/21/16 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.95 1.01 Hold
10/04/16 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.975 1.13 Buy
10/11/16 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.975 1.01 Hold
10/17/16 Credit Suisse Thai Beverage 0.95 1.08 Outperform DCF
10/18/16 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.945 1.13 Buy
11/10/16 Credit Suisse Thai Beverage 0.92 1.08 Outperform
11/21/16 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.895 1.14 Add Sum of parts
11/21/16 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.895 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
11/21/16 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.895 1.01 Hold
11/22/16 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.88 1.01 Buy
12/06/16 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.845 1.07 Add
12/07/16 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.845 1.01 Buy
12/09/16 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.865 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
01/04/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.855 1.07 Add Sum of parts, PER19.6x CY17
01/10/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.845 1.01 Buy
02/02/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.87 1.01 Buy
02/15/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.88 1.07 Add Sum of parts
02/16/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.94 1.01 Buy
03/06/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.935 1.01 Buy
03/23/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.925 1.07 Add Sum of parts
03/31/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.935 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
04/10/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.94 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
04/10/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.94 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
05/08/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.91 1.07 Add Sum of parts
05/12/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.915 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
05/12/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.915 1.01 Buy
05/15/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.885 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
05/15/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.885 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
06/13/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.88 1.01 Buy
06/14/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.885 1.09 Buy
06/16/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.895 1.09 Buy
06/29/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.89 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
07/03/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.9 1.1 Buy Sum of parts, PER26x FY17
07/07/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.91 1.07 Add Sum of parts
07/10/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.91 1.05 Accumulate Sum of parts
07/11/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.915 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
07/25/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.93 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
08/08/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.96 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
08/10/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.955 1.07 Add Sum of parts
08/10/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.955 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
08/10/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.955 1.01 Buy
08/11/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.945 1.07 Buy
08/14/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.93 1.05 Accumulate Sum of parts
08/14/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.93 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
09/05/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.925 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
09/18/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.92 1.01 Buy
09/18/17 Credit Suisse Thai Beverage 0.92 1.04 Outperform
09/19/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.915 1.07 Buy
09/20/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.91 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
10/04/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.9 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
10/13/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.945 1.07 Buy
10/16/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.94 1.12 Buy Sum of parts
11/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.98 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
11/24/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.94 1.07 Buy
11/27/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.97 1.15 Add Sum of parts, PER24.8x FY18
11/27/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.97 1.18 Buy Sum of parts, PER24.2x FY18
11/27/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.97 1.11 Buy Sum of parts
11/27/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.97 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
11/27/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.97 1.15 Add
12/04/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.96 1.18 Buy
12/06/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.955 1.11 Buy Sum of parts
12/13/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.955 1.18 Buy Sum of parts
12/13/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.955 1.15 Add Sum of parts
12/19/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.97 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
12/20/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.95 1 Hold Sum of parts, PER22.6x CY18
01/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.915 1.11 Buy Sum of parts
01/11/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.93 1.07 Buy
01/23/18 Nomura Thai Beverage 0.92 1.13 Buy
01/23/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.92 1.07 Buy
01/23/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.92 1 Hold
02/01/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.92 1.06 Buy Sum of parts
02/15/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.91 0.99 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $0.84
02/15/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.91 0.98 Hold Sum of parts, PER21.8x CY18
02/19/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.85 1.02 Buy Sum of parts
02/22/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.835 1.05 Buy Sum of parts
03/05/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.825 0.95 Buy
03/19/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.815 1.05 Buy

Telechoice - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/07/16 NRA Telechoice 0.255 0.223 Neutral PER9.3x FY16
02/29/16 Lim & Tan Telechoice 0.25 0 Buy
03/11/16 NRA Telechoice 0.27 0.305 Overweight PER13.3x FY15
07/12/16 NRA Telechoice 0.28 0.34 Overweight PER13.86x FY16
08/29/16 NRA Telechoice 0.275 0.34 Overweight PER16.2x FY17
11/14/16 Lim & Tan Telechoice 0.27 0 Buy
12/14/16 NRA Telechoice 0.26 0.34 Overweight
04/10/17 NRA Telechoice 0.27 0.34 Overweight PER15.56x FY17
08/15/17 NRA Telechoice 0.25 0.34 Overweight

Stock calls for 21 March 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/21/18 DIR Capitaland 3.68 4.1 Outperform RNAV (20% discount), Up from $4
03/21/18 OCBC Comfortdelgro 2.02 2.25 Buy
03/21/18 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Corp 7.77 9.1 Buy Sum of parts

China may impose anti-dumping measures on US soybean and pork.

https://www.bloombergquint.com/china/2018/03/21/china-newspaper-calls-for-curbs-against-u-s-soybean-dumping

China may impose anti-dumping measures on US soybean and pork in retaliation for US unilateral tariffs imposition against China.

Like the USA, China is also not afraid of a trade war and will fight to protect its own interest.

Another bad news for Noble Group. The debt restructuring process will cost $100m.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cost-nobles-restructuring-likely-top-000102185.html

All the lawyers, investment banks and top management are profiteering from Noble's saga.

Noble is a goner when there are so many vultures plundering it.

Tuesday, March 20, 2018

Goldilocks, a major shareholder, has sued Noble group.

https://www.bloombergquint.com/markets/2018/03/20/noble-group-hit-by-lawsuit-from-top-shareholder-as-default-looms

Goldilocks has sued Noble for fraud by fudging its accounts.  Furthermore, S&P has downgraded Noble's rating.

http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/sp-downgrades-noble-rating-to-d

Tee Land - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/11/16 NRA Tee Land 0.21 0.33 Overweight
08/23/16 NRA Tee Land 0.194 0.325 Overweight RNAV (40% discount)
10/04/16 NRA Tee Land 0.199 0.335 Overweight RNAV (40% discount)
01/20/17 NRA Tee Land 0.195 0.29 Overweight
03/09/18 NRA Tee Land 0.21 0.28 Overweight Sum of parts

Tat Hong - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/16/16 OCBC Tat Hong 0.43 0.45 Hold PB0.45x
03/16/16 OCBC Tat Hong 0.635 0.45 Hold PB0.45x
05/16/16 OCBC Tat Hong 0.51 0.45 Hold
05/30/16 OCBC Tat Hong 0.52 0.5 Hold PB0.55x
06/20/16 OCBC Tat Hong 0.54 0.5 Hold
07/05/16 OCBC Tat Hong 0.57 0.5 Hold
07/13/16 OCBC Tat Hong 0.56 0.55 Hold PB0.6x
08/15/16 OCBC Tat Hong 0.535 0.55 Hold
08/19/16 OCBC Tat Hong 0.525 0.54 Hold PB0.6x
09/19/16 OCBC Tat Hong 0.485 0.49 Hold PB0.55x
11/08/16 OCBC Tat Hong 0.46 0.49 Hold PB0.55x
11/16/16 OCBC Tat Hong 0.39 0.4 Hold PB0.5x
01/09/17 OCBC Tat Hong 0.345 0.4 Hold
02/15/17 OCBC Tat Hong 0.39 0.4 Hold
03/10/17 OCBC Tat Hong 0.375 0.4 Hold
05/18/17 OCBC Tat Hong 0.37 0.4 Hold
08/15/17 OCBC Tat Hong 0.34 0.4 Hold
08/17/17 OCBC Tat Hong 0.36 0.37 Hold

Stock calls for 20 March 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/20/18 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 1.19 1.42 Buy DCF & PER15x FY18
03/20/18 Kim Eng Bukit Sembawang 6.03 8.55 Buy RNAV (20% discount)
03/20/18 Kim Eng Capitaland 3.67 4.1 Buy
03/20/18 DMG & Partners China Aviation Oil 1.54 1.8 Buy PER12.2x FY18, PEG1x FY18
03/20/18 UOB Kay Hian Chip Eng Seng 0.94 1.38 Buy Sum of parts
03/20/18 DBS Vickers Chip Eng Seng 0.94 1.18 Buy Sum of parts
03/20/18 DMG & Partners City Developments 13.25 15 Buy RNAV (10% discount), Up froM $14.12 (RNAV 20% discount)
03/20/18 Kim Eng DBS 28.07 29.66 Hold
03/20/18 CIMB Guocoland 2.11 2.88 Add RNAV (25% discount)
03/20/18 Kim Eng Guocoland 2.11 3 Buy RNAV (20% discount)
03/20/18 DBS Vickers IHH Healthcare 2.02 2.29 Buy Ringgit $6.81 target
03/20/18 UOB Kay Hian M1 1.79 1.6 Sell
03/20/18 Kim Eng OCBC 13.18 14.83 Buy
03/20/18 DBS Vickers Religare Health Trust 0.775 0.85 Hold
03/20/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.555 0.69 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
03/20/18 UOB Kay Hian Starhub 2.43 2.25 Sell
03/20/18 Kim Eng UOB 28.1 31.08 Buy
03/20/18 Kim Eng UOL 8.69 10.4 Buy
03/20/18 Lim & Tan Yuuzoo 0.038 0 Sell/Avoid

Fund managers are starting to dump Noble Group shares.

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/fund-managers-prudential-orbis-dispose-noble-shares

Fund managers have lost faith in Noble Group and have started to dump the shares.

It may be better to dump the Noble shares in the open market now than to have their stakes diluted to 15% after the debt restructuring if the plan is successful.  If the restructuring plan fails, then Noble will be heading into bankruptcy which will make the shares worthless.

This is the rationale behind the shares dumping because the fund managers are starting to lose hope.

The despicable USA is creating troubles again.

https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/2018/03/19/u-s-said-to-seek-alliance-against-china-in-tariff-relief-talks

We know the malicious intention of the US tariff now.

The tariff is just a pawn used to compel other countries to support the USA in exchange for tariff exclusions for any anti-China policies.

Like I said many times before, the USA is a bigger evil compared to China.