Sembcorp Marine - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/05/17	Deutsche	Sembcorp Marine	1.42	1.9	Buy	PB1.5x FY17
01/05/17	Morgan Stanley	Sembcorp Marine	1.42	1	Underweight
01/06/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.455	1.7	Add	PB1.3x CY17
01/13/17	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	1.51	1.55	Hold	PB1.3x FY17
01/16/17	DIR	Sembcorp Marine	1.515	0.94	Sell	PB0.9x FY16/17
01/16/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	1.515	1.61	Hold	PB1.3x FY17, Buy @ $1.45
01/17/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	1.49	1.43	Hold
01/25/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Marine	1.545	1.2	Neutral
02/07/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.475	1.7	Add	PB1.3x FY17
02/17/17	CLSA	Sembcorp Marine	1.545	2	Buy
02/23/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.535	1.88	Add	PB1.5x
02/23/17	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	1.535	1.78	Buy	PB1.5x FY17
02/23/17	DMG & Partners	Sembcorp Marine	1.535	1.46	Neutral	PER16x FY17
02/23/17	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Marine	1.535	0	Buy
02/23/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	1.535	1.76	Buy	PB1.4x FY17
02/23/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	1.535	1.61	Hold	PB1.2x, FY17, Buy @ $1.45
02/24/17	phillip	Sembcorp Marine	1.815	1.58	Reduce	PER25.4x
02/28/17	Amfrasers	Sembcorp Marine	1.73	1.63	Hold
03/01/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Marine	1.78	2.4	Outperform
03/06/17	Deutsche	Sembcorp Marine	2.03	2.1	Buy
03/06/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	2.03	1.61	Hold	PB1.2x FY17
03/14/17	DIR	Sembcorp Marine	1.86	1.22	Sell	PB1x FY17
04/03/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	1.92	1.61	Hold	PB1.3x FY17, Buy @ $1.45
04/10/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Marine	1.875	2.4	Outperform
04/28/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.73	1.88	Add	PB1.5x CY17
04/28/17	DIR	Sembcorp Marine	1.73	1.22	Sell	PB1x FY17
04/28/17	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Marine	1.73	0	Hold
04/28/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	1.73	2.01	Buy	PB1.6x FY17
04/28/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	1.73	1.43	Sell	PB1.1x FY17
04/28/17	UBS	Sembcorp Marine	1.73	1.75	Neutral
05/02/17	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	1.63	1.78	Buy	PB1.5x FY17
05/02/17	DMG & Partners	Sembcorp Marine	1.63	1.65	Neutral	PB1.3x
05/02/17	phillip	Sembcorp Marine	1.63	1.58	Neutral	PER23.9x
06/06/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Marine	1.665	2.4	Outperform
06/09/17	Deutsche	Sembcorp Marine	1.64	2.1	Buy	PB1.7x FY17
06/12/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	1.635	2.01	Buy
06/20/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	1.595	1.43	Sell	PB1.1x FY17
07/11/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.68	1.88	Add	PB1.5x FY17
07/18/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Marine	1.65	2.4	Outperform
07/21/17	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	1.74	2.3	Buy	PB1.8x FY17
07/28/17	DIR	Sembcorp Marine	1.74	1.22	Sell	PB1x FY17/18
07/28/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	1.74	1.8	Hold	PB1.4x FY18, Buy @ $1.60
07/28/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	1.74	1.98	Buy	PB1.6x FY17
07/28/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.74	1.87	Add	PB1.5x FY17
07/28/17	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Marine	1.74	0	Hold
07/28/17	DMG & Partners	Sembcorp Marine	1.74	1.65	Neutral	PB1.3x FY17
07/31/17	phillip	Sembcorp Marine	1.695	1.55	Reduce	PER28.5x
07/31/17	Amfrasers	Sembcorp Marine	1.695	2.05	Buy	PB1.8x FY17
08/01/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Marine	1.685	2.4	Outperform	PER43.4x FY17, PB1.4x
08/25/17	Morgan Stanley	Sembcorp Marine	1.605	1.05	Underweight
09/12/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.575	1.87	Add	PB1.5x FY17
09/12/17	DMG & Partners	Sembcorp Marine	1.575	1.65	Neutral	PB1.3x FY17
09/15/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	1.59	1.8	Hold
09/19/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	1.63	1.98	Buy
09/19/17	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Marine	1.63	0	Buy
09/19/17	UBS	Sembcorp Marine	1.63	1.67	Neutral
09/20/17	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	1.67	2.3	Buy	PB1.8x FY17
09/27/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Marine	1.68	2.4	Outperform
10/02/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	1.745	1.77	Hold	PB1.3x, Buy @ $1.60
10/05/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.745	1.87	Add	PB1.5x FY17
10/09/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.735	2.51	Add	PB2x
10/09/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	1.735	1.9	Buy	PB1.5x FY18
10/09/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	1.735	1.98	Buy
10/09/17	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	1.735	2.3	Buy
10/09/17	phillip	Sembcorp Marine	1.735	1.82	Neutral	PER33.6x FY18
10/09/17	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Marine	1.735	0	Buy
10/09/17	UBS	Sembcorp Marine	1.735	1.82	Neutral
10/10/17	DIR	Sembcorp Marine	1.815	1.22	Sell	PB1x FY17/18
10/10/17	DMG & Partners	Sembcorp Marine	1.815	1.65	Neutral
10/24/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Marine	1.86	2.4	Outperform
10/24/17	Deutsche	Sembcorp Marine	1.86	2.6	Buy
11/01/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.93	2.49	Add	PB2x FY18
11/01/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Marine	1.93	2.4	Outperform
11/01/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	1.93	2.26	Buy	PB1.8x
11/01/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	1.93	2.1	Buy
11/01/17	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Marine	1.93	0	Buy
11/02/17	phillip	Sembcorp Marine	2.01	1.91	Neutral	PER38.2x FY18
11/02/17	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	2.01	2.3	Buy	PB1.8x FY17
11/02/17	Amfrasers	Sembcorp Marine	2.01	2.05	Hold
11/03/17	Morgan Stanley	Sembcorp Marine	2.01	1.18	Underweight	PB1x
11/03/17	UBS	Sembcorp Marine	2.01	1.85	Neutral
12/04/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	1.87	2.1	Buy	PB1.6x FY19
12/04/17	Amfrasers	Sembcorp Marine	1.87	2.05	Hold
12/20/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.93	2.49	Add	PB2x FY18
12/26/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	1.94	1.74	Sell	PB1.8x
12/27/17	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Marine	1.87	0	Hold	Bribery alert!
12/27/17	Deutsche	Sembcorp Marine	1.87	2.4	Buy	PB1.8x
01/02/18	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	1.84	2.1	Buy
01/02/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.84	2.49	Add	PB2x FY18
01/03/18	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	1.87	1.78	Hold	PB1.85x
01/05/18	Amfrasers	Sembcorp Marine	1.83	2.05	Hold
01/22/18	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	2.3	2.37	Hold	PB2x FY18
01/23/18	UBS	Sembcorp Marine	2.39	3.06	Buy
01/23/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	2.39	3.1	Buy	PB2.4x FY18
02/02/18	Deutsche	Sembcorp Marine	2.57	2.9	Buy
02/02/18	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Marine	2.57	3	Outperform
02/07/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	2.71	2.49	Neutral	Buy @ $2
02/13/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	2.37	3.1	Buy
02/22/18	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	2.63	2.43	Hold
02/22/18	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	2.63	1.9	Hold	PB1.6x FY19, Buy @ $1.80
02/22/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	2.63	2.9	Buy	PB2.4x FY18
02/22/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	2.63	3.01	Add	PB2.5x FY18
02/26/18	phillip	Sembcorp Marine	2.23	1.91	Reduce	PER43.4x FY18
02/27/18	Amfrasers	Sembcorp Marine	2.18	2.06	Hold
03/05/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	2.02	3.01	Add	PB2.5x FY18
03/05/18	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	2.02	2.07	Hold	PB1.7x FY18/19
03/06/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	1.9	2.9	Buy	PB2.4x FY18
03/26/18	Morgan Stanley	Sembcorp Marine	2.09	2.45	Overweight	PB2.2x FY18, Up from $1.48 ({PB1.2x)
03/28/18	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	2.21	2.78	Buy
04/03/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	2.22	2.9	Buy
04/06/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	2.17	3.01	Add	PB2.5x FY18
04/11/18	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	2.23	2.07	Hold
04/23/18	Macquarie	Sembcorp Marine	2.32	1.8	Underperform	PB1.5x
04/26/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	2.23	2.52	Add	PB
04/26/18	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	2.23	2.05	Hold	PB1.7x FY19, Buy @ $1.90
04/26/18	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	2.23	2.1	Hold	PB1.75x FY18/19
04/26/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	2.23	2.52	Add	PB2.2x CY18
04/26/18	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Marine	2.23	0	Hold
04/27/18	phillip	Sembcorp Marine	2.11	1.85	Reduce	PER51.4x
04/27/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	2.11	2.9	Buy	PB2.4x FY18
05/08/18	Amfrasers	Sembcorp Marine	2.1	2.64	Buy	PB2.4x FY18
05/08/18	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	2.1	2.1	Hold
05/22/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	2.27	2.52	Add	PB2.2x CY18
06/05/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	2.11	2.9	Buy
06/25/18	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	1.96	2.05	Hold
07/11/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.97	2.52	Add	PB2.2x CY18
07/13/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	1.95	2.9	Buy
07/23/18	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	1.96	1.83	Hold	PB1.7x FY19, Buy @ $1.73
07/23/18	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Marine	1.96	2.4	Outperform
07/23/18	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	1.96	2.1	Hold
07/23/18	phillip	Sembcorp Marine	1.96	1.78	Reduce	PB1.6x FY19
07/24/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	1.83	2.5	Buy
07/24/18	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Marine	1.83	0	Hold

Stock calls for 24 July 2018

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
07/24/18	DBS Vickers	First Sponsor	1.25	1.62	Buy
07/24/18	DBS Vickers	Hongkong Land	7.2	8.57	Buy
07/24/18	OCBC	Hutchison Port	0.275	0.36	Buy
07/24/18	OCBC	Mapletree Logistics	1.28	1.34	Buy
07/24/18	UOB Kay Hian	Raffles Medical	1.1	1.28	Buy	DCF, PER34.8x FY18
07/24/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	1.83	2.5	Buy
07/24/18	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Marine	1.83	0	Hold
07/24/18	Jefferies	Wing Tai	2.11	2.4	Buy

The USA is getting antsy because it is losing the trade war now.

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/2155890/xi-jinping-doesnt-intend-follow-through-trade-war-talks-says-top-donald

China Xi Jinping has stopped all trade negotiations with the USA and this is causing the USA to get very antsy as the USA will face an arduous November election this year.

China knows that Trump will lose the November election if this trade war continues or escalates.  The USA doesn't have the high saving rates and political will to win this trade war and China capitalizes on these weaknesses to win the trade war.

The USA is trying very hard to get China back into the trade negotiation but China is playing it cool by ignoring the USA.

The analysts and academia who said that China would bow to the USA or lose in this trade war just didn't understand the whole situation well enough and made the wrong judgement call.  We need to look at the situation from a holistic viewpoint rather than a singularity point (trade figures) to make an accurate assessment.

If we just look at trade figures between US & China per se, I will agree that China will lose based on this simplicity of argument but the real situation is more complex than the trade figures.

In any analysis, there are qualitative and quantitive assessments.  However, many analysts and researchers relied more on qualitative assessment and erred in their judgement call.

Sembcorp Industries - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/03/17	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Industries	2.85	0	Buy
01/03/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	2.85	3.2	Buy
01/05/17	Deutsche	Sembcorp Industries	2.93	3.45	Buy	Sum of parts (15% discount)
01/11/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Industries	3.06	3.36	Buy	Sum of parts (5% discount)
01/25/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Industries	3.27	2.7	Neutral
02/03/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Industries	3.18	3.36	Buy
02/24/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	3.36	3.51	Hold	Sum of parts, PB0.6x CY17
02/24/17	DMG & Partners	Sembcorp Industries	3.36	4.17	Buy	Sum of parts
02/24/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Industries	3.36	3.69	Buy
02/24/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	3.36	3.95	Buy	Sum of parts
02/27/17	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Industries	3.27	3.8	Buy	Sum of parts (10% discount), PB1.1x, PER17.2X FY17
02/27/17	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Industries	3.27	0	Buy
03/01/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Industries	3.2	3.6	Neutral
03/02/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	3.27	3.95	Buy
03/24/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	3.13	3.78	Buy	Sum of parts
04/04/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	3.2	3.78	Buy	PER9.8x FY18
04/07/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Industries	3.15	3.6	Neutral
04/10/17	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Industries	3.15	0	Buy
04/11/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	3.14	3.51	Hold	Sum of parts
05/04/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	3	3.51	Add	Sum of parts
05/04/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Industries	3	3.6	Neutral
05/04/17	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Industries	3	3.8	Buy	RNAV (10% discount), PB1x
05/04/17	DIR	Sembcorp Industries	3	2.67	Underperform	Sum of parts
05/04/17	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Industries	3	0	Hold
05/04/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Industries	3	3.48	Buy
05/04/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	3	3.66	Buy	Sum of parts
05/05/17	DMG & Partners	Sembcorp Industries	3.15	3.2	Neutral	Sum of parts
05/11/17	DIR	Sembcorp Industries	3.14	3.14	Hold
05/29/17	phillip	Sembcorp Industries	3.15	3.5	Accumulate	Sum of parts (10% discount)
06/02/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Industries	3.19	3.48	Buy
06/06/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Industries	3.16	3.6	Neutral	Sum of parts
06/20/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	3.1	3.66	Buy
07/12/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Industries	3.13	3.48	Buy
07/13/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	3.09	3.66	Buy	Sum of parts
07/18/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Industries	3.15	3.6	Neutral
07/21/17	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Industries	3.24	4.1	Buy	Sum of parts, PB1.1x FY17
07/24/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	3.29	3.52	Add	Sum of parts
08/01/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Industries	3.23	3.6	Neutral	PER13.9x FY17, PB0.8x
08/04/17	DIR	Sembcorp Industries	3.22	3.14	Hold	Probability weighted
08/04/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	3.22	3.57	Buy	Sum of parts
08/04/17	DMG & Partners	Sembcorp Industries	3.22	3.2	Neutral	Sum of parts
08/04/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Industries	3.22	3.43	Hold
08/04/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	3.22	3.47	Add	Sum of parts
08/04/17	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Industries	3.22	4	Buy	RNAV (10% discount), PB1.1x
08/07/17	phillip	Sembcorp Industries	3.18	3.5	Accumulate	Sum of parts
08/07/17	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Industries	3.18	0	Hold
08/23/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Industries	2.99	3.43	Buy
08/25/17	Morgan Stanley	Sembcorp Industries	3.03	2.39	Underweight
09/04/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	2.98	3.47	Add	Sum of parts
09/04/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	2.98	3.59	Buy	Sum of parts, PER10.1x FY18
09/05/17	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Industries	2.93	0	Buy
09/20/17	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Industries	2.96	4	Buy	RNAV (10% discount), PB1.1x
09/27/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Industries	2.95	3.6	Neutral
10/02/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	2.96	3.57	Buy	Sum of parts
10/09/17	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Industries	3.02	4	Buy
10/24/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Industries	3.24	3.6	Neutral
11/03/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	3.38	3.87	Add	Sum of parts, PER8.1x FY18, PB0.59x FY17
11/03/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	3.38	3.87	Buy	Sum of parts
11/03/17	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Industries	3.38	3.6	Neutral
11/03/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Industries	3.38	3.59	Hold
11/03/17	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Industries	3.38	0	Buy
11/06/17	phillip	Sembcorp Industries	3.3	3.7	Accumulate	Sum of parts (10% discount)
11/06/17	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Industries	3.3	4.2	Buy	Sum of parts, PB1.1x
11/21/17	OCBC	Sembcorp Industries	3.05	3.59	Buy
12/12/17	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	3.04	3.87	Buy	Sum of parts
12/20/17	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	3.02	3.87	Add
01/02/18	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	3.03	3.87	Buy
01/23/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Industries	3.38	4.5	Buy	Sum of parts (10% discount), PB1.1x
02/05/18	OCBC	Sembcorp Industries	3.57	3.95	Buy	Sum of parts
02/13/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Industries	3.21	4.5	Buy
02/19/18	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Industries	3.22	0	Buy
02/20/18	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	3.3	3.87	Buy
02/21/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	3.28	3.87	Add	Sum of parts
02/26/18	OCBC	Sembcorp Industries	3.24	3.84	Buy
02/26/18	phillip	Sembcorp Industries	3.24	3.86	Accumulate	Sum of parts
02/26/18	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	3.24	3.28	Hold	Sum of parts, Buy @ $2.90
02/26/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	3.24	4.13	Add	Sum of parts, PER8x FY18, PB0.63x FY18
02/27/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Industries	3.2	4.4	Buy	Sum of parts (10% discount), PB1.1x
03/05/18	OCBC	Sembcorp Industries	3.12	3.59	Buy
03/07/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Industries	3.08	4.4	Buy	RNAV (10% discount), PB1.1x
03/26/18	Morgan Stanley	Sembcorp Industries	3.04	2.77	Underweight	Sum of parts, Up from $2.39
04/03/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Industries	3.11	4.4	Buy
04/04/18	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	3.06	3.28	Hold	Sum of parts, Buy @ $3
04/12/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	3.11	4.13	Add	Sum of parts
04/23/18	Macquarie	Sembcorp Industries	3.24	3.6	Outperform
05/04/18	OCBC	Sembcorp Industries	3.06	3.59	Buy
05/04/18	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	3.06	3.6	Hold	Sum of parts, Buy @ $2.90
05/04/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	3.06	3.49	Add	Sum of parts
05/07/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Industries	3.04	4.4	Buy	Sum of parts (10% discount), PB1.1x
05/09/18	phillip	Sembcorp Industries	3.06	3.83	Buy	Sum of parts (10% discount)
06/04/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	2.93	3.49	Add
06/04/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Industries	2.93	4.5	Buy
06/25/18	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	2.76	3.6	Hold	PER8.5x FY19
06/25/18	Lim & Tan	Sembcorp Industries	2.76	0	Accumulate
07/03/18	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Industries	2.72	3.6	Buy
07/11/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	2.67	3.49	Add

SATS - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/11/17	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	4.94	4.5	Hold
01/20/17	DIR	SATS	5.19	4.97	Hold
02/02/17	Credit Suisse	SATS	5.26	4.9	Neutral
02/08/17	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	5.15	4.5	Hold
02/10/17	CIMB	SATS	4.98	5	Hold	DCF & PER19x CY19
02/10/17	DIR	SATS	4.98	4.93	Hold	DCF
02/10/17	Kim Eng	SATS	4.98	3.76	Sell	PER17x FY18
02/10/17	Lim & Tan	SATS	4.98	0	Hold
02/10/17	OCBC	SATS	4.98	4.7	Hold	Buy @ $4.40
02/10/17	phillip	SATS	4.98	4.73	Neutral	DCF
02/10/17	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	4.98	4.6	Hold	DDM, PER23x FY18, Buy @ $4.30
03/21/17	DIR	SATS	4.82	4.93	Hold	DCF
04/03/17	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	4.88	4.6	Hold
04/07/17	Credit Suisse	SATS	4.89	4.9	Neutral
05/03/17	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	5.12	4.6	Hold
05/18/17	CIMB	SATS	5.28	5.17	Hold	DCF & PER19x
05/22/17	CIMB	SATS	5.29	5.11	Hold	DCF & PER19x
05/22/17	Credit Suisse	SATS	5.29	4.65	Underperform
05/22/17	DIR	SATS	5.29	5	Hold	DCF
05/22/17	Kim Eng	SATS	5.29	4.9	Hold	PER17x
05/22/17	OCBC	SATS	5.29	5.12	Hold	DCF, Buy @ $4.7 or lower
05/22/17	phillip	SATS	5.29	5.08	Hold	DCF, PER23.2x FY18
05/22/17	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	5.29	5.05	Hold	DDM
06/06/17	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	5.22	5.05	Hold	Buy @ $4.75
06/16/17	OCBC	SATS	5.08	5.12	Hold	Buy @ $4.70 or lower
07/14/17	DIR	SATS	4.94	5	Hold	DCF
07/20/17	Credit Suisse	SATS	5.09	4.65	Underperform
07/24/17	Kim Eng	SATS	5.08	4.9	Hold	PER
07/24/17	DIR	SATS	5.08	5.05	Hold	DCF
07/24/17	phillip	SATS	5.08	5.08	Neutral	DCF, PER23.2x FY18
07/24/17	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	5.08	5.1	Hold	DDM
07/24/17	CIMB	SATS	5.08	5.11	Hold	DCF & PER19x
07/24/17	OCBC	SATS	5.08	5.05	Hold	DCF, Buy @ $4.7 or lower
07/24/17	Lim & Tan	SATS	5.08	5.09	Sell	Bloomberg consensus
08/02/17	DIR	SATS	4.85	5.05	Hold
08/02/17	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	4.85	5.4	Buy	DDM, PER23.5x FY18
08/22/17	Credit Suisse	SATS	4.83	4.6	Underperform
09/05/17	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	4.76	5.4	Buy	DDM, PER23.5x FY18
09/18/17	OCBC	SATS	4.74	5.05	Hold	Buy @ $4.70 or lower
09/25/17	DBS Vickers	SATS	4.65	5.02	Buy	DCF & PER21x FY18
09/25/17	CIMB	SATS	4.65	4.24	Reduce	PER18x CY19
09/26/17	DIR	SATS	4.57	5.19	Outperform	DCF
10/02/17	OCBC	SATS	4.61	5.05	Buy
10/04/17	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	4.66	5.4	Buy	PER23.5x FY18
11/01/17	DBS Vickers	SATS	4.7	5.02	Buy
11/02/17	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	4.75	5.4	Buy	PER23.5x FY18
11/10/17	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	4.71	6	Buy	DCF, PER24.6x FY18
11/10/17	OCBC	SATS	4.71	5.05	Buy
11/10/17	CIMB	SATS	4.71	4.81	Hold	PER20x CY18
11/10/17	phillip	SATS	4.71	5.24	Accumulate	DCF, PER23.2x FY18
11/13/17	Kim Eng	SATS	5.01	5.7	Buy	PER21x FY19/20
11/13/17	Credit Suisse	SATS	5.01	4.6	Neutral
12/04/17	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	5.24	6	Buy
12/20/17	CIMB	SATS	5.26	4.81	Hold
01/16/18	OCBC	SATS	5.78	5.5	Hold	Buy @ $5.05 or lower
02/14/18	Kim Eng	SATS	5.25	6.1	Buy	PER21x FY20
02/14/18	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	5.25	5.9	Buy	DCF, PER25.2x FY18
02/14/18	OCBC	SATS	5.25	5.5	Hold	Buy @ $5.05 or lower
02/14/18	CIMB	SATS	5.25	5.17	Hold	PER20x FY19
02/14/18	phillip	SATS	5.25	5.33	Neutral	DCF, PER23.3x FY18
02/14/18	DBS Vickers	SATS	5.25	5.67	Buy	DCF, PER22x FY19
03/09/18	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	5.03	5.9	Buy
04/13/18	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	5.18	5.8	Buy	PER25.3x FY19
04/19/18	CIMB	SATS	5.45	5.17	Hold
05/30/18	Lim & Tan	SATS	5.35	0	Hold
05/31/18	phillip	SATS	5.28	5.58	Accumulate	DCF
05/31/18	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	5.28	5.7	Buy	DCF, PER24.3x FY19
05/31/18	DBS Vickers	SATS	5.28	5.64	Buy
05/31/18	OCBC	SATS	5.28	5.5	Hold
06/11/18	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	5.13	5.7	Buy
06/14/18	OCBC	SATS	5.06	5.5	Buy
07/03/18	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	4.91	5.7	Buy
07/20/18	phillip	SATS	5.1	5.58	Accumulate	DCF, PER24.7x FY19
07/20/18	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	5.1	6.1	Buy	DCF, PER23x FY20
07/20/18	Kim Eng	SATS	5.1	5.9	Buy	PER21x FY20
07/20/18	CIMB	SATS	5.1	5.06	Hold	PER20x CY19
07/20/18	DBS Vickers	SATS	5.1	5.65	Buy	DCF & PER22x FY19

Sasseur - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
06/07/18	Kim Eng	Sasseur	0.77	0.9	Buy
06/20/18	Citi Research	Sasseur	0.76	0.92	Buy

Stock calls for 23 July 2018

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
07/23/18	DMG & Partners	Capitaland	3.19	3.95	Buy	RNAV (20% discount)
07/23/18	Phillip	Capitamall Trust	2.16	2.05	Neutral	DDM, PB1.03x FY18
07/23/18	DBS Vickers	Capitamall Trust	2.16	2.3	Buy
07/23/18	UOB Kay Hian	Capitamall Trust	2.16	2.02	Hold	DDM, Buy @ $1.84
07/23/18	Credit Suisse	Capitamall Trust	2.16	2.3	Outperform
07/23/18	OCBC	Capitamall Trust	2.16	2.1	Hold
07/23/18	CIMB	Capitamall Trust	2.16	2.21	Hold	DDM
07/23/18	Deutsche	Capitamall Trust	2.16	2.3	Buy	DDM & RNAV
07/23/18	DMG & Partners	City Developments	10.06	10.4	Neutral	RNAV (35% discount)
07/23/18	Kim Eng	Genting	1.28	1.46	Buy	EV/Ebitda 12x FY18
07/23/18	CIMB	Keppel Corp	7.09	8.82	Add	Sum of parts
07/23/18	Lim & Tan	Keppel Corp	7.09	0	Hold
07/23/18	Deutsche	Keppel Corp	7.09	8.4	Hold	RNAV (35% discount)
07/23/18	UOB Kay Hian	Sembcorp Marine	1.96	1.83	Hold	PB1.7x FY19, Buy @ $1.73
07/23/18	Credit Suisse	Sembcorp Marine	1.96	2.4	Outperform
07/23/18	OCBC	Sembcorp Marine	1.96	2.1	Hold
07/23/18	phillip	Sembcorp Marine	1.96	1.78	Reduce	PB1.6x FY19
07/23/18	UOB Kay Hian	SIA Engineering	3.2	3.4	Hold	DCF, PER21.8x FY19, Buy @ $3-3.1

This is how a crab defends itself!

Don't mess with a wrong crab and this crab won't be a chilli pepper crab on your table.

Trump threatens tariffs on 500b China goods.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trade-china/trump-threatens-tariffs-on-all-500-billion-of-chinese-imports-cnbc-idUSKBN1KA18Q

This is great news because Trump will lose the election in November 2018 as China will boycott USA goods in retaliation.

Sarine - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
02/28/17	CIMB	Sarine	1.9	1.95	Hold
05/15/17	CIMB	Sarine	1.915	1.96	Hold	PER15.3x CY18
02/06/18	CIMB	Sarine	1.05	1.56	Add	PER17.2x CY19
02/27/18	CIMB	Sarine	1.18	1.53	Add	PER17.2x CY19
05/15/18	CIMB	Sarine	1.03	1.53	Add	PER17.2x CY19

Sanli Env - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
11/14/17	SAC Advisors	Sanli Env	0.3	0.36	Buy
01/11/18	SAC Advisors	Sanli Env	0.295	0.36	Buy	PER15.9x FY18
05/25/18	SAC Advisors	Sanli Env	0.25	0.36	Buy

Stock calls for 20 July 2018

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
07/20/18	CIMB	CapitaCommercial	1.75	1.9	Add
07/20/18	UOB Kay Hian	CapitaCommercial	1.75	1.99	Buy	DDM
07/20/18	DBS Vickers	Keppel Corp	6.96	8.82	Buy	Sum of parts, PB1.3x FY18
07/20/18	OCBC	Keppel Corp	6.96	8.7	Buy
07/20/18	phillip	SATS	5.1	5.58	Accumulate	DCF, PER24.7x FY19
07/20/18	UOB Kay Hian	SATS	5.1	6.1	Buy	DCF, PER23x FY20
07/20/18	Kim Eng	SATS	5.1	5.9	Buy	PER21x FY20
07/20/18	CIMB	SATS	5.1	5.06	Hold	PER20x CY19
07/20/18	DBS Vickers	SATS	5.1	5.65	Buy	DCF & PER22x FY19
07/20/18	phillip	SIA Engineering	3.19	3.56	Accumulate	DCF, PER22x FY19
07/20/18	DBS Vickers	SIA Engineering	3.19	3.92	Buy	Sum of parts

Malaysia has to delay the HSR project after realising it cannot wiggle itself out of the contract.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/hsr-likely-delayed-not-scrapped-031520857.html

Flip-flop again and again.  Cancel or delay?

Look like Malaysia cannot wiggle itself out of the compensation clause and has no choice but to delay the HSR project.

However, Malaysia still has to pay for liquidation damage for the deferment which may be lower than the cancellation fee.

Singapore has signed the CPTPP.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/singapore-cptpp-trade-tpp-10543674

I prefer Singapore to sign the RCEP rather the CPTPP because the RCEP is much bigger.  CPTPP had a bad name because it was known to be an economic cooperation to contain China's economic growth in the past.

Furthermore, the USA is getting very protectionist and we need to promote free trade for our economic growth.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/03/cpttp-is-nothing-compared-to-rcep.html

Ofo bike sharing has failed in the USA.

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/transport/china-bike-sharing-giant-ofo-to-close-most-us-operations-after-less-than-a-year-wsj

As expected, the bike sharing business has failed in the USA.  Please read our previous postings on this flawed business concept.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/06/another-bike-sharing-company-obike-has.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/02/chinese-bike-sharing-firm-has-gone.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/07/sharebikesg-shuts-down-in-singapore.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/06/bike-sharing-business-concept-is-not.html