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Thursday, November 12, 2020

US treasury yields have been creeping up. What's the repercussion?

 


The US 10-year yield has been creeping up from 0.67% (28 Sep) to 0.98% (10 Nov) which is a whopping 46% increase.

The 10-year yield is the risk-free rate and is used as the discount rate or factor in many financial models (DDM, DCF, CAPM, etc).  The asset values which are derived from the aforesaid financial models will be impacted because the ever-increasing discount rate will cause the valuations to fall since the future incomes are discounted to present values.

If a company's profitability is not rising faster than the risk-free rate, then the company's stock valuation will have to fall due to the higher discount rate.  This is something we need to watch out for.

Olam - Stock calls

 


OCBC Bank - Stock calls

 


Netlink - Stock calls

 


Stock calls for 12 November 2020

 


Western forces are behind Thailand (BKK) protests! - Part 6

https://www.khaosodenglish.com/politics/2020/11/04/conspiracy-blogger-tony-cartalucci-reveals-his-identity/

“The real goal of U.S.-backed unrest in Thailand is similar to its motivations for sowing chaos in Hong Kong,” Berletic said in one of his blog posts. “Obviously the U.S. would prefer a client regime completely dependent on Washington financially and politically.”

The Thai government has managed to find the US links to the BKK protests.  NED is involved in the BKK protests, just like the HK's protests.  The Thai government has found a way to quell the protests funded by the US.  Have you guys noticed that the BKK protests have toned down?

We had stated earlier that the BKK protests were funded by the west.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/11/western-forces-are-behind-thailand-bkk.html

Tuesday, November 10, 2020