Saturday, December 30, 2017
The US risk-free rate is stagnant for now.
The US 10-year treasury yield is the risk-free rate and is stagnant for now. This shows that investors are not convinced that the FED will continue to raise rates in 2018 and 2019. However, investors will be awakened from this denial in the resolution of FED because economic logic will prevail.
The USD has been falling recently.
The USD has been falling after the FED hiked interest rate.
The gold price has been increasing due to the depreciation in USD. This is a normal inverse relationship because it will cost lesser to buy gold with the same amount of USD since gold is priced in USD.
However, we believe the dip in the USD is only a temporary phenomenon because of the current investors' denial of the resolution of the FED. The economic logic of the impending continual interest rate increases by the FED will prevail in the future by attracting monies to flow back to the USA and the new USA tax structure proposals will force the monies back as well.
The gold price has been increasing due to the depreciation in USD. This is a normal inverse relationship because it will cost lesser to buy gold with the same amount of USD since gold is priced in USD.
However, we believe the dip in the USD is only a temporary phenomenon because of the current investors' denial of the resolution of the FED. The economic logic of the impending continual interest rate increases by the FED will prevail in the future by attracting monies to flow back to the USA and the new USA tax structure proposals will force the monies back as well.
US rig count - 929
HOUSTON (AP) — The number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. declined by two this week to 929.
That exceeds the 658 rigs that were active this time a year ago.
Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes reported on Friday that 747 rigs were drilling for oil and 182 for natural gas this week.
Among oil- and gas-producing states, Colorado and Ohio each gained one rig.
North Dakota and Texas were down by two each, while Utah decreased by one.
Alaska, Arkansas, California, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Wyoming were unchanged.
The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out in May of 2016 at 404.
===========================
Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco
Friday, December 29, 2017
China 5-star hotels use toilet brushes to wash cups and basins.
http://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/2125843/chinese-hotel-cleaners-caught-using-toilet-brush-wash-cups-and
Travellers to China have to wash all the cups in the hotel rooms before using them because some 5-star hotels are using toilet brushes to wash the cups. Also, try to use your own towels instead of using the hotel towels.
The named hotels are: Sheraton, Shangri-La and Kempinski branches.
Don't ever think that a 5-star hotel is better in China because China workers have very different working cultures which are lousy and inferior.
Travellers to China have to wash all the cups in the hotel rooms before using them because some 5-star hotels are using toilet brushes to wash the cups. Also, try to use your own towels instead of using the hotel towels.
The named hotels are: Sheraton, Shangri-La and Kempinski branches.
Don't ever think that a 5-star hotel is better in China because China workers have very different working cultures which are lousy and inferior.
GL - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/15/16 | Lim & Tan | GL | 0.86 | 0 | Buy | |
02/16/16 | CIMB | GL | 0.865 | 1.26 | Add | RNAV (25% discount) CY16 |
03/03/16 | CIMB | GL | 0.85 | 1.26 | Add | |
05/13/16 | Lim & Tan | GL | 0.875 | 0 | Hold | |
05/16/16 | CIMB | GL | 0.865 | 1.18 | Add | RNAV (25% discount) CY16 |
06/17/16 | Lim & Tan | GL | 0.86 | 0 | Hold | |
07/04/16 | Lim & Tan | GL | 0.825 | 0 | Hold | |
08/30/16 | Lim & Tan | GL | 0.795 | 0 | Hold | |
09/01/16 | CIMB | GL | 0.795 | 0.86 | Hold | RNAV (40% discount) CY16 |
10/25/16 | Lim & Tan | GL | 0.79 | 0 | Buy on weakness | |
10/26/16 | CIMB | GL | 0.8 | 0.86 | Hold | RNAV (40% discount) CY17 |
12/01/16 | Lim & Tan | GL | 0.735 | 0 | Buy | |
01/25/17 | CIMB | GL | 0.78 | 0.84 | Hold | RNAV (40% discount) CY17 |
04/24/17 | Lim & Tan | GL | 0.775 | 0 | Buy | |
04/27/17 | CIMB | GL | 0.77 | 0.87 | Add | RNAV (40% discount) CY17 |
08/28/17 | Lim & Tan | GL | 0.75 | 0 | Buy | |
10/16/17 | Lim & Tan | GL | 0.855 | 0 | Buy | |
10/31/17 | UOB Kay Hian | GL | 0.905 | 1.185 | Buy | Sum of parts |
11/09/17 | UOB Kay Hian | GL | 0.885 | 1.185 | Buy | |
12/06/17 | UOB Kay Hian | GL | 0.87 | 1.185 | Buy |
Geo Energy - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
08/08/16 | NRA | Geo Energy | 0.103 | 0.225 | Overweight | PER7.4x |
11/02/16 | NRA | Geo Energy | 0.215 | 0.31 | Overweight | |
11/15/16 | NRA | Geo Energy | 0.265 | 0.345 | Overweight | FCFE |
02/22/17 | phillip | Geo Energy | 0.27 | 0.45 | Buy | PER11x |
03/08/17 | phillip | Geo Energy | 0.28 | 0.45 | Buy | PER11x |
05/25/17 | phillip | Geo Energy | 0.26 | 0.45 | Buy | PER11x |
08/28/17 | phillip | Geo Energy | 0.27 | 0.44 | Buy | PER10x |
09/11/17 | Amfrasers | Geo Energy | 0.25 | 0.36 | Buy | DCF, PER5x FY18 |
11/28/17 | phillip | Geo Energy | 0.255 | 0.44 | Buy | PER10x |
12/06/17 | phillip | Geo Energy | 0.26 | 0.44 | Buy | PER10x |
12/27/17 | Amfrasers | Geo Energy | 0.255 | 0.36 | Buy |
Stock calls for 29 December 2017
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
12/29/17 | DBS Vickers | Citic Envirotech | 0.755 | 0.8 | Hold |
Another hard fork will happen today for Bitcoin.
https://www.thestreet.com/story/14431175/1/crypto-community-segwit2x-hard-fork.html
This won't be the last hard fork because HK based Bitfinex will do a fork too.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/12/bitcoin-will-have-another-fork-after.html
Therefore, the limitation of 21m tokens for bitcoin has become unlimited because miners can do forkings. How can the price of a commodity be so high when the supply is unlimited?
This won't be the last hard fork because HK based Bitfinex will do a fork too.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/12/bitcoin-will-have-another-fork-after.html
Therefore, the limitation of 21m tokens for bitcoin has become unlimited because miners can do forkings. How can the price of a commodity be so high when the supply is unlimited?
The western media are smearing China again!
http://en.people.cn/n3/2017/1228/c90000-9309514.html
The western media were accusing China of illegally shipping oil to North Korea without any evidence. Not a shred of evidence was presented and everything was based on speculation and conjecture. China didn't name the foreign media involved out of good faith.
Let's look at which media created fake news before.
AFP
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/07/afp-news-agency-is-still-recalcitrant.html
CNN
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/06/cnn-is-creating-fake-news-now.html
BBC
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/07/smearing-campaign-against-china-by-bbc.html
The western media were accusing China of illegally shipping oil to North Korea without any evidence. Not a shred of evidence was presented and everything was based on speculation and conjecture. China didn't name the foreign media involved out of good faith.
Let's look at which media created fake news before.
AFP
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/07/afp-news-agency-is-still-recalcitrant.html
CNN
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/06/cnn-is-creating-fake-news-now.html
BBC
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/07/smearing-campaign-against-china-by-bbc.html
Thursday, December 28, 2017
Genting Hong Kong - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
03/21/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting Hong Kong | 0.325 | 0.35 | Hold | Sum of parts (30% discount), Buy @ $0.30 |
08/25/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting Hong Kong | 0.275 | 0.28 | Hold | Sum of parts, Buy @ $0.24 |
01/31/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting Hong Kong | 0.3 | 0.28 | Hold | Buy @ $0.23 |
03/20/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting Hong Kong | 0.315 | 0.28 | Hold | Sum of parts, Buy @ $0.24 |
06/16/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting Hong Kong | 0.31 | 0.26 | Sell | Sum of parts |
08/02/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting Hong Kong | 0.28 | 0.26 | Sell | |
08/21/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting Hong Kong | 0.27 | 0.26 | Hold | Sum of parts, Buy @ $0.24 |
10/04/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting Hong Kong | 0.25 | 0.265 | Hold | Sum of parts |
12/15/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting Hong Kong | 0.23 | 0.24 | Hold | Sum of parts, Buy @ $0.22 |
Genting - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/14/16 | Nomura | Genting | 0.7 | 0.8 | Neutral | |
01/14/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 0.7 | 0.97 | Buy | |
01/26/16 | Deutsche | Genting | 0.675 | 0.5 | Sell | |
01/29/16 | CIMB | Genting | 0.695 | 0.73 | Hold | DCF |
01/29/16 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 0.695 | 0.76 | Hold | |
02/19/16 | CIMB | Genting | 0.705 | 0.8 | Add | DCF |
02/19/16 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 0.705 | 1 | Outperform | |
02/19/16 | DMG & Partners | Genting | 0.705 | 1 | Trading Buy | Sum of parts |
02/19/16 | Kim Eng | Genting | 0.705 | 0.78 | Hold | EV/Ebitda8x FY16 |
02/19/16 | OCBC | Genting | 0.705 | 0.6 | Sell | DCF |
02/19/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 0.705 | 0.97 | Buy | EV/Ebitda11x FY16 |
02/22/16 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 0.72 | 0.65 | Hold | |
03/04/16 | Deutsche | Genting | 0.765 | 0.5 | Sell | |
03/28/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 0.82 | 0.97 | Buy | EV/Ebitda11x FY16 |
04/28/16 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 0.85 | 1 | Outperform | |
05/16/16 | CIMB | Genting | 0.785 | 0.86 | Add | DCF |
05/16/16 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 0.785 | 0.79 | Hold | |
05/16/16 | DMG & Partners | Genting | 0.785 | 0.91 | Trading Buy | DCF |
05/16/16 | Kim Eng | Genting | 0.785 | 0.78 | Hold | EV/Ebitda8x FY16 |
05/16/16 | OCBC | Genting | 0.785 | 0.72 | Hold | DCF |
05/16/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 0.785 | 0.97 | Buy | EV/Ebitda10.6x |
06/13/16 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 0.74 | 1 | Outperform | |
06/13/16 | Deutsche | Genting | 0.74 | 0.8 | Hold | |
06/13/16 | OCBC | Genting | 0.74 | 0.72 | Hold | |
06/15/16 | CIMB | Genting | 0.725 | 0.89 | Add | Sum of parts |
07/15/16 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 0.785 | 1 | Outperform | |
07/26/16 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 0.8 | 0.79 | Hold | |
07/27/16 | CIMB | Genting | 0.775 | 0.89 | Add | Sum of parts |
08/05/16 | CIMB | Genting | 0.795 | 0.89 | Add | Sum of parts |
08/05/16 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 0.795 | 1 | Outperform | EV/Ebitda12x FY16 |
08/05/16 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 0.795 | 0.91 | Buy | |
08/05/16 | DMG & Partners | Genting | 0.795 | 0.82 | Neutral | |
08/05/16 | Kim Eng | Genting | 0.795 | 0.71 | Sell | EV/Ebitda8x |
08/05/16 | UBS | Genting | 0.795 | 0.95 | Buy | |
08/05/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 0.795 | 0.88 | Buy | EV/Ebitda10x FY17 |
08/08/16 | OCBC | Genting | 0.755 | 0.77 | Hold | DCF, Buy @ $0.7 |
08/22/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 0.76 | 0.84 | Buy | EV/Ebitda11x FY16/17 |
09/05/16 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 0.72 | 1 | Outperform | |
09/06/16 | OCBC | Genting | 0.735 | 0.77 | Hold | |
10/07/16 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 0.775 | 1 | Outperform | |
10/12/16 | OCBC | Genting | 0.755 | 0.77 | Hold | |
10/19/16 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 0.765 | 0.91 | Buy | DCF, Ebitda10.2x FY17 |
11/04/16 | CIMB | Genting | 0.76 | 0.89 | Add | Sum of parts |
11/04/16 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 0.76 | 1 | Outperform | |
11/04/16 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 0.76 | 0.91 | Buy | DCF, Ebitda10.2x FY17 |
11/04/16 | Kim Eng | Genting | 0.76 | 0.72 | Hold | EV/Ebitda8x FY17 |
11/04/16 | OCBC | Genting | 0.76 | 0.81 | Hold | DCF |
11/04/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 0.76 | 0.84 | Buy | EV/Ebitda10x FY17 |
11/14/16 | Kim Eng | Genting | 0.875 | 0.73 | Sell | EV/Ebitda8x FY17 |
11/21/16 | Deutsche | Genting | 0.935 | 1.2 | Buy | EV/Ebitda14x FY17 |
11/24/16 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 0.96 | 1.15 | Buy | DCF |
11/25/16 | Lim & Tan | Genting | 0.95 | 0 | Buy | |
11/28/16 | OCBC | Genting | 0.955 | 0.75 | Sell | |
12/06/16 | CIMB | Genting | 0.965 | 0.89 | Add | Sum of parts |
12/07/16 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 0.98 | 1.18 | Outperform | PER13.2x, EV/Ebitda11.2x |
12/07/16 | Deutsche | Genting | 0.98 | 1.2 | Buy | |
12/09/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 0.995 | 0.91 | Hold | |
12/13/16 | Kim Eng | Genting | 0.955 | 0.73 | Sell | EV/Ebitda8x FY17 |
12/15/16 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 0.985 | 1.15 | Buy | DCF |
12/16/16 | OCBC | Genting | 0.96 | 0.75 | Sell | |
01/03/17 | DMG & Partners | Genting | 0.905 | 0.82 | Neutral | |
01/03/17 | OCBC | Genting | 0.905 | 0.88 | Hold | |
01/05/17 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 0.91 | 1.18 | Outperform | |
01/12/17 | CIMB | Genting | 0.935 | 0.93 | Hold | DCF |
01/31/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 0.96 | 0.91 | Hold | Buy @ $0.85 |
02/23/17 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 0.98 | 1.2 | Buy | DCF |
02/23/17 | Deutsche | Genting | 0.98 | 1.35 | Buy | |
02/23/17 | DMG & Partners | Genting | 0.98 | 0.93 | Neutral | DCF |
02/23/17 | Kim Eng | Genting | 0.98 | 1.1 | Buy | |
02/23/17 | OCBC | Genting | 0.98 | 1.17 | Buy | |
02/23/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 0.98 | 1.01 | Hold | EV/Ebitda11.6x FY17, Buy @ $0.95 or below |
02/24/17 | CIMB | Genting | 1.03 | 1.11 | Add | EV/Ebitda 9x FY18 |
03/13/17 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 1 | 1.2 | Outperform | |
03/17/17 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 1 | 1.2 | Buy | |
04/07/17 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 1.025 | 1.2 | Outperform | |
05/04/17 | Kim Eng | Genting | 1.11 | 1.25 | Buy | EV/Ebitda12x FY17 |
05/15/17 | CIMB | Genting | 1.08 | 1.24 | Add | EV/Ebitda12x FY18 |
05/15/17 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 1.08 | 1.35 | Outperform | Ev/Ebitda13.1x FY18 |
05/15/17 | DMG & Partners | Genting | 1.08 | 1.04 | Neutral | DCF |
05/15/17 | OCBC | Genting | 1.08 | 1.17 | Buy | |
05/15/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 1.08 | 1.15 | Hold | EV/Ebitda11.8x FY17, Buy @ $1.05 |
05/16/17 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 1.15 | 1.35 | Buy | DCF |
06/16/17 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 1.155 | 1.35 | Buy | |
06/22/17 | Deutsche | Genting | 1.145 | 1.2 | Hold | EV/Ebitda12x FY17 |
07/13/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 1.055 | 1.12 | Hold | |
07/28/17 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 1.15 | 1.35 | Outperform | |
08/03/17 | CIMB | Genting | 1.18 | 1.35 | Add | EV/Ebitda 12x FY18 |
08/03/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 1.18 | 1.15 | Hold | EV/Ebitda10.5x FY18, Buy @ $1.05 |
08/03/17 | DMG & Partners | Genting | 1.18 | 1.19 | Neutral | DCF |
08/03/17 | Kim Eng | Genting | 1.18 | 1.35 | Buy | EV/Ebitda 12x |
08/03/17 | OCBC | Genting | 1.18 | 1.32 | Buy | FCFE |
08/03/17 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 1.18 | 1.45 | Buy | EV/Ebitda13x |
08/03/17 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 1.18 | 1.48 | Outperform | |
09/26/17 | Kim Eng | Genting | 1.15 | 1.35 | Buy | |
10/11/17 | Deutsche | Genting | 1.21 | 1.2 | Hold | EV/Ebitda12x FY17 |
10/26/17 | CIMB | Genting | 1.2 | 1.35 | Add | EV/Ebitda12x FY18 |
10/27/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 1.25 | 1.15 | Hold | |
11/07/17 | CIMB | Genting | 1.235 | 1.45 | Add | |
11/07/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 1.235 | 1.3 | Hold | EV/Ebitda11.2x FY18, Buy @ $1.15 |
11/07/17 | Credit Suisse | Genting | 1.235 | 1.6 | Outperform | |
11/07/17 | DMG & Partners | Genting | 1.235 | 1.21 | Neutral | DCF |
11/07/17 | OCBC | Genting | 1.235 | 1.35 | Buy | FCFE |
11/07/17 | Kim Eng | Genting | 1.235 | 1.42 | Buy | EV/Ebitda12x FY18 |
11/07/17 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 1.235 | 1.51 | Buy | DCF |
12/06/17 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 1.35 | 1.51 | Buy | |
12/14/17 | Kim Eng | Genting | 1.34 | 1.42 | Buy | |
12/20/17 | CIMB | Genting | 1.34 | 1.45 | Add |
Fu Yu - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/29/16 | DMG & Partners | Fu Yu | 0.142 | 0.29 | Buy | DCF, PER12.8x FY16 |
03/11/16 | DMG & Partners | Fu Yu | 0.179 | 0.29 | Buy | DCF |
04/11/16 | DMG & Partners | Fu Yu | 0.197 | 0.29 | Buy | DCF, PER12.8x FY16 |
11/14/16 | DMG & Partners | Fu Yu | 0.191 | 0.29 | Buy | DCF |
01/06/17 | DMG & Partners | Fu Yu | 0.194 | 0.29 | Buy | |
02/24/17 | DMG & Partners | Fu Yu | 0.21 | 0.27 | Buy | DCF |
03/03/17 | DBS Vickers | Fu Yu | 0.205 | 0.25 | Not Rated | PER6x FY7, Ex-Cash |
05/11/17 | DMG & Partners | Fu Yu | 0.225 | 0.23 | Neutral |
South Korea will shut down some cryptocurrency exchanges!
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-28/bitcoin-drops-as-south-korea-says-exchange-closures-are-possible
South Korea is trying to protect its citizens from the impending collapse of bitcoins by shutting down some cryptocurrency exchanges.
I think South Korea government knows that the Japanese are trying to offload their bitcoins by finding suckers to buy over at a much higher price. Therefore, the SK government has been taking further actions against bitcoins.
South Korea is trying to protect its citizens from the impending collapse of bitcoins by shutting down some cryptocurrency exchanges.
I think South Korea government knows that the Japanese are trying to offload their bitcoins by finding suckers to buy over at a much higher price. Therefore, the SK government has been taking further actions against bitcoins.
China has formed a strong consortium to tender for the KL-SG HSR.
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/chinese-state-owned-firms-team-041943641.html
This is definitely good news for South East Asia because China has formed a strong consortium to tender for the KL-SG HSR. This shows that China is serious and bent on getting the KL-SG HSR project. As this tender will be held in KL whereby China is very familiar with, I believe China will win this HSR project based on economic, political and technological merits unless there is a foreign power intervention.
Let's see how this will pan out.
This is definitely good news for South East Asia because China has formed a strong consortium to tender for the KL-SG HSR. This shows that China is serious and bent on getting the KL-SG HSR project. As this tender will be held in KL whereby China is very familiar with, I believe China will win this HSR project based on economic, political and technological merits unless there is a foreign power intervention.
Let's see how this will pan out.
USA is embarking on fearmongering campaign against China again.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-southchinasea-china/while-focus-is-on-north-korea-china-continues-south-china-sea-buildup-think-tank-idUSKBN1E834O
The US think-tank was accusing China of continual buildup in South China Sea again but China was only doing some installations on its own undisputed islands and this didn't contravene any international law.
The Philippines had come to China's defence by stating that there was no new construction in South China Sea because it knew of USA malicious intention.
https://www.voanews.com/a/philippines-china-japan-economic-investment/4177106.html
We stated previously that Philippines would be the facilitator between China & ASEAN and it had started to perform its duty proactively, leaving SG out of the picture. SG has receded into the dust and relinquished the ASEAN facilitator role.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/11/china-has-replaced-singapore-with.html
The US think-tank was accusing China of continual buildup in South China Sea again but China was only doing some installations on its own undisputed islands and this didn't contravene any international law.
The Philippines had come to China's defence by stating that there was no new construction in South China Sea because it knew of USA malicious intention.
https://www.voanews.com/a/philippines-china-japan-economic-investment/4177106.html
We stated previously that Philippines would be the facilitator between China & ASEAN and it had started to perform its duty proactively, leaving SG out of the picture. SG has receded into the dust and relinquished the ASEAN facilitator role.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/11/china-has-replaced-singapore-with.html
Samsung is losing market share in China because of THAAD.
https://www.xda-developers.com/samsung-lose-market-share-china-q4-2017/
Samsung has lost its market share tremendously in China. Samsung had a 20% market share at its peak but it would tumble to 1.6% in Q4 2017. Besides the intense competition in China from other local mobile producers like Huawei, Xiaomi & Oppo, China citizens also stop buying Samsung mobile phones after South Korea began THAAD installation and all these affected Samsung sales in China greatly especially the boycott.
Any slowdown in China exports will impact South Korea economy because China is the largest trading partner for South Korea. Furthermore, South Korea's economy is supported by its top 10 conglomerates in which Samsung contributes the most. It is difficult for Samsung to make up for the loss in China market share elsewhere because China mobile players have also ventured overseas.
The only way to thaw the China-SK relationship is to remove THAAD from SK.
Samsung has lost its market share tremendously in China. Samsung had a 20% market share at its peak but it would tumble to 1.6% in Q4 2017. Besides the intense competition in China from other local mobile producers like Huawei, Xiaomi & Oppo, China citizens also stop buying Samsung mobile phones after South Korea began THAAD installation and all these affected Samsung sales in China greatly especially the boycott.
Any slowdown in China exports will impact South Korea economy because China is the largest trading partner for South Korea. Furthermore, South Korea's economy is supported by its top 10 conglomerates in which Samsung contributes the most. It is difficult for Samsung to make up for the loss in China market share elsewhere because China mobile players have also ventured overseas.
The only way to thaw the China-SK relationship is to remove THAAD from SK.
Wednesday, December 27, 2017
Frencken - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
05/16/17 | Amfrasers | Frencken | 0.445 | 0.63 | Buy | PER10x FY17 |
08/11/17 | Lim & Tan | Frencken | 0.52 | 0.63 | Buy | PER8.1x |
08/16/17 | Amfrasers | Frencken | 0.51 | 0.73 | Buy | PER10x FY18, PB1.2x |
11/15/17 | Amfrasers | Frencken | 0.54 | 0.66 | Buy | PER10x FY18 |
Frasers Logistics Trust (FLT) - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
06/15/16 | Lim & Tan | Frasers Logistics | 0.89 | 0 | Subscribe | IPO |
06/20/16 | Religare | Frasers Logistics | 0.89 | 0 | Subscribe | IPO |
07/29/16 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Logistics | 1 | 1.1 | Buy | |
08/02/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 0.995 | 1.08 | Buy | DDM |
08/16/16 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Logistics | 1 | 1.1 | Buy | |
09/01/16 | Lim & Tan | Frasers Logistics | 0.975 | 0 | Buy | |
09/05/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 0.97 | 1.08 | Buy | DDM |
09/16/16 | OCBC | Frasers Logistics | 0.95 | 1.09 | Buy | DDM |
10/21/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 0.99 | 1.08 | Buy | |
11/02/16 | OCBC | Frasers Logistics | 0.96 | 1.1 | Buy | |
11/03/16 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Logistics | 0.97 | 1.1 | Buy | |
11/03/16 | Lim & Tan | Frasers Logistics | 0.97 | 0 | Buy | |
11/03/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 0.97 | 1.11 | Buy | DDM |
12/02/16 | OCBC | Frasers Logistics | 0.92 | 1.1 | Buy | |
12/09/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 0.95 | 1.11 | Buy | |
01/03/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 0.925 | 1.11 | Buy | |
01/09/17 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Logistics | 0.945 | 1.1 | Buy | DCF |
02/06/17 | Lim & Tan | Frasers Logistics | 0.95 | 0 | Buy | |
02/07/17 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Logistics | 0.96 | 1.1 | Buy | DCF |
02/07/17 | OCBC | Frasers Logistics | 0.96 | 1.08 | Buy | DDM |
02/07/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 0.96 | 1.11 | Buy | DDM |
03/02/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 0.96 | 1.11 | Buy | |
03/06/17 | OCBC | Frasers Logistics | 0.935 | 1.08 | Buy | |
03/17/17 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Logistics | 0.95 | 1.1 | Buy | |
04/10/17 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Logistics | 0.975 | 1.1 | Buy | DCF |
04/11/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 0.975 | 1.11 | Buy | |
04/24/17 | CIMB | Frasers Logistics | 1.02 | 1.1 | Add | DDM |
05/08/17 | OCBC | Frasers Logistics | 1.01 | 1.12 | Buy | |
05/08/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 1.01 | 1.11 | Buy | DDM |
05/09/17 | CIMB | Frasers Logistics | 1.025 | 1.1 | Add | DDM |
05/09/17 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Logistics | 1.025 | 1.1 | Buy | DCF |
06/05/17 | OCBC | Frasers Logistics | 1.02 | 1.12 | Buy | |
06/07/17 | CIMB | Frasers Logistics | 1.035 | 1.1 | Add | |
06/07/17 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Logistics | 1.035 | 1.1 | Buy | |
06/07/17 | DMG & Partners | Frasers Logistics | 1.035 | 1.1 | Add | |
06/07/17 | Lim & Tan | Frasers Logistics | 1.035 | 0 | Buy | |
06/29/17 | OCBC | Frasers Logistics | 1.055 | 1.14 | Buy | |
07/12/17 | Lim & Tan | Frasers Logistics | 1.06 | 1.1 | Buy | |
07/18/17 | CIMB | Frasers Logistics | 1.055 | 1.1 | Add | |
07/26/17 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Logistics | 1.1 | 1.15 | Buy | DCF |
07/28/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 1.095 | 1.11 | Buy | |
07/31/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 1.11 | 1.2 | Buy | DDM |
07/31/17 | OCBC | Frasers Logistics | 1.11 | 1.22 | Buy | |
07/31/17 | Lim & Tan | Frasers Logistics | 1.11 | 1.11 | Hold | |
08/01/17 | CIMB | Frasers Logistics | 1.095 | 1.1 | Add | DDM |
08/01/17 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Logistics | 1.095 | 1.15 | Buy | |
08/17/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 1.07 | 1.2 | Buy | |
08/22/17 | OCBC | Frasers Logistics | 1.07 | 1.22 | Buy | |
10/05/17 | OCBC | Frasers Logistics | 1.08 | 1.22 | Buy | |
10/10/17 | CIMB | Frasers Logistics | 1.085 | 1.2 | Add | DDM |
10/23/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 1.115 | 1.2 | Buy | |
11/02/17 | Lim & Tan | Frasers Logistics | 1.11 | 0 | Buy | |
11/03/17 | OCBC | Frasers Logistics | 1.115 | 1.25 | Buy | |
11/03/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 1.115 | 1.2 | Buy | DDM |
11/03/17 | CIMB | Frasers Logistics | 1.115 | 1.2 | Add | DDM |
11/03/17 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Logistics | 1.115 | 1.18 | Buy | DCF |
12/01/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Logistics | 1.08 | 1.2 | Buy | |
12/14/17 | CIMB | Frasers Logistics | 1.12 | 1.2 | Add | DDM |
12/14/17 | OCBC | Frasers Logistics | 1.12 | 1.25 | Buy |
Stock calls for 27 December 2017
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
12/27/17 | Amfrasers | Geo Energy | 0.255 | 0.36 | Buy | |
12/27/17 | Deutsche | Keppel Corp | 7.29 | 8.1 | Buy | Sum of parts (20% discount) |
12/27/17 | Lim & Tan | Sembcorp Marine | 1.87 | 0 | Hold | Bribery alert! |
12/27/17 | Deutsche | Sembcorp Marine | 1.87 | 2.4 | Buy | PB1.8x |
12/27/17 | DBS Vickers | SIIC | 0.515 | 0.53 | Hold |
Apple has lawsuits coming its way after its share price tanks.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-apple-batteries-lawsuits/apple-faces-lawsuits-after-saying-it-slows-down-aging-iphones-idUSKBN1EL034
Apple is in a lot of troubles nowadays. First, Apple has its sales forecast cut by analysts. Now, it is facing potential lawsuits for slowing down aging Iphones.
Apple is in a lot of troubles nowadays. First, Apple has its sales forecast cut by analysts. Now, it is facing potential lawsuits for slowing down aging Iphones.
Tuesday, December 26, 2017
Pakistan killed 3 Indian soldiers at the Kashmir border.
http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2017-12/23/c_136847774.htm
India is a country that cannot live peacefully with its neighbours. First, it trespassed China's border.
Now, it is fighting with Pakistan at Kashmir border.
How to trust and believe India when it is the one that keeps fighting with its surrounding neighbours?
India is a country that cannot live peacefully with its neighbours. First, it trespassed China's border.
Now, it is fighting with Pakistan at Kashmir border.
How to trust and believe India when it is the one that keeps fighting with its surrounding neighbours?
Frasers Hospital Trust (FHT) - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/05/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.745 | 0.97 | Buy | |
01/08/16 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.75 | 0.83 | Buy | DCF |
02/09/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.64 | 0.74 | Buy | |
03/30/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.775 | 0.97 | Buy | |
04/06/16 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.8 | 0.83 | Buy | DCF |
04/27/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.81 | 0.97 | Buy | DDM |
06/17/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.77 | 0.97 | Buy | |
07/18/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.78 | 1.01 | Buy | |
08/01/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.785 | 1.01 | Buy | DDM |
08/02/16 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.785 | 0.88 | Buy | |
09/22/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.705 | 0.81 | Buy | DDM |
10/05/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.695 | 0.81 | Buy | |
12/15/16 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.645 | 0.75 | Buy | DCF |
01/04/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.65 | 0.74 | Buy | |
02/09/17 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.665 | 0.75 | Buy | DCF |
03/07/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.68 | 0.74 | Buy | |
04/11/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.715 | 0.74 | Buy | |
05/02/17 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.73 | 0.85 | Buy | DCF |
05/25/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.705 | 0.8 | Buy | |
07/25/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.735 | 0.8 | Buy | |
07/31/17 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.745 | 0.83 | Buy | DCF |
08/17/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.735 | 0.8 | Buy | |
10/23/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.765 | 0.8 | Buy | |
10/30/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.775 | 0.85 | Buy | |
10/30/17 | Lim & Tan | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.775 | 0 | Hold | |
11/09/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.77 | 0.85 | Buy | |
12/01/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.775 | 0.85 | Buy | |
12/18/17 | DBS Vickers | Frasers Hospitality Trust | 0.785 | 0.89 | Buy |
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