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Thursday, February 6, 2020

Ho Bee - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/26/19 Lim & Tan Ho Bee 2.51 0 Buy
03/28/19 UOB Kay Hian Ho Bee 2.5 2.79 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
04/01/19 Lim & Tan Ho Bee 2.52 0 Buy
06/28/19 UOB Kay Hian Ho Bee 2.38 2.79 Buy
11/19/19 Lim & Tan Ho Bee 2.34 0 Buy

HMI - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/23/19 phillip HMI 0.540 0.77 Buy
02/13/19 UOB Kay Hian HMI 0.535 0.73 Buy DCF
02/14/19 phillip HMI 0.550 0.77 Buy DCF
05/14/19 Kim Eng HMI 0.540 0.68 Buy DCF, PER27x FY20
05/15/19 phillip HMI 0.530 0.73 Buy DCF
05/15/19 CIMB HMI 0.530 0.68 Add DCF
05/15/19 UOB Kay Hian HMI 0.530 0.73 Buy DCF
05/16/19 Kim Eng HMI 0.545 0.66 Buy DCF
06/18/19 UOB Kay Hian HMI 0.635 0.73 Buy DCF
07/08/19 UOB Kay Hian HMI 0.660 0.73 Accept offer offer at $0.73
07/08/19 Kim Eng HMI 0.660 0.66 Hold DCF, accept offer at $0.73
07/08/19 CIMB HMI 0.660 0.68 Add offer at $0.73
07/09/19 phillip HMI 0.720 0.73 Accept offer offer at $0.73
08/20/19 Lim & Tan HMI 0.720 0.73 Accept offer offer at $0.73
08/21/19 Kim Eng HMI 0.720 0.73 Hold offer at $0.73

Hi-P - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/08/19 Kim Eng Hi-P 0.965 0.68 Sell PB0.8x
02/22/19 DBS Vickers Hi-P 1.05 1.12 Hold PER10x FY19
02/25/19 Kim Eng Hi-P 1.14 1.22 Hold PB1.5x
03/13/19 Lim & Tan Hi-P 1.75 0 Avoid overvalued
04/09/19 Kim Eng Hi-P 1.63 1.22 Sell PB1.5x FY19
05/06/19 DBS Vickers Hi-P 1.44 1.41 Hold PER12x FY19
05/06/19 Kim Eng Hi-P 1.44 1.22 Sell PB1.5x FY19
06/11/19 Kim Eng Hi-P 1.29 1.22 Hold PB1.5x FY19
07/19/19 DBS Vickers Hi-P 1.43 1.41 Hold PER12x FY19
08/05/19 DBS Vickers Hi-P 1.34 1.32 Hold PER12x FY20
10/10/19 Kim Eng Hi-P 1.19 1.21 Hold PB1.5x FY19
11/01/19 DBS Vickers Hi-P 1.44 1.39 Hold
11/01/19 Kim Eng Hi-P 1.44 1.34 Sell PB1.5x FY20

Stock calls for 6 February 2020

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/06/20 Tayrona Clearbridge 0.139 0.41 Overweight
02/06/20 DBS Vickers Comfortdelgro 2.14 2.45 Buy DCF, PER18.1x FY20
02/06/20 UOB Kay Hian First Resources 1.78 2.1 Buy
02/06/20 DMG & Partners Manulife US Reit 1.04 1.12 Buy DDM
02/06/20 DBS Vickers Manulife US Reit 1.04 1.15 Buy DCF
02/06/20 Lim & Tan Manulife US Reit 1.04 0 Hold
02/06/20 CIMB SATS 4.46 4.07 Reduce
02/06/20 CIMB SIA 8.59 8.46 Hold

Total reported coronavirus cases in China.

The official figures from the Central Government might have underdeclared the true situation in China.  Let's just take these with a heavy pinch of salt.


Wednesday, February 5, 2020

Haw Par - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/28/19 Lim & Tan Haw Par 12.39 0 Buy

GSS Energy - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/07/19 DMG & Partners GSS Energy 0.097 0.19 Buy
03/04/19 DMG & Partners GSS Energy 0.112 0.17 Buy DCF
05/14/19 DMG & Partners GSS Energy 0.081 0.08 Neutral DCF
06/06/19 DMG & Partners GSS Energy 0.069 0.08 Neutral
08/20/19 DMG & Partners GSS Energy 0.074 0.08 Neutral DCF
10/08/19 DMG & Partners GSS Energy 0.066 0.08 Neutral DCF

Grand Venture - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/04/19 CIMB Grand Venture 0.25 0.34 Add PER10x FY20
08/19/19 CIMB Grand Venture 0.22 0.22 Hold

Stock calls for 5 February 2020

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/05/20 Phillip ART 1.24 1.53 Buy DDM
02/05/20 Lim & Tan CSE Global 0.51 0.68 Buy
02/05/20 UOB Kay Hian Food Empire 0.66 0.89 Buy

The real situation in Wuhan.

https://nypost.com/2020/01/24/coronavirus-outbreak-video-shows-dead-bodies-in-halls-of-china-hospital/

There is speculation that the true situation in China is 10x more than the official numbers.

The cremation facilities in Wuhan are working 24/7 now to burn the corpses and this has been on-going for the past few days.

 If the death toll is only 490, the cremation facilities will not need to operate 24/7 for the past few days to burn the corpses.  Many corpses are piling up at the cremation facilities now.

China has acknowledged that the coronavirus has mutated.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/04/researchers-say-the-coronavirus-may-be-more-contagious-than-current-data-shows.html

OMG!  This virus will spread faster and infect more people because it is more potent now.

The regional countries are starting to blame Singapore for spreading the coronavirus.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/singapore-business-meeting-linked-malaysian-054110183.html

The regional countries are starting to blame Singapore for being a transmission hub now because SG has exported coronavirus to Malaysia and South Korea.

Look like SG is being famous for the wrong reason now.

Becareful! The stock markets are being artificially supported now!

The stock markets are artificially inflated now.  Why?

Many listed companies will suffer from declining revenues due to the coronavirus outbreak because of reduced human activities.  However, these stock prices stay elevated artificially.

When the numbers of infectious cases and death tolls keep rising, the stock markets also keep rising.  Does this make any sense at all?  This makes no sense at all because the virus outbreak has not reached its peak and there is no sign of the outbreak abating.  This is especially true when China is not providing a true figure about its infectious cases and fatality rates.


US suspended flights to Hong Kong due to local transmission.

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/transport/major-us-airlines-add-hong-kong-to-china-flight-suspensions

Singapore also has 4 local transmission cases and 24 infected cases that surpass HK's.

Is the US going to suspend flights to SG because SG is also an air hub too?

Hangzhou is in lockdown now!

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/hangzhou-and-taizhou-cities-far-from-virus-epicentre-implement-12388714

The virus outbreak is spreading in China as more cities are in lockdown.  Hangzhou is just about 100++km away from Shanghai.

Community transmission is already happening in China!

Tuesday, February 4, 2020

The coronavirus human-to-human transmission has started in Singapore.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/wuhan-virus-coronavirus-singapore-community-spread-tourists-12389314

The coronavirus human-to-human transmission has started in Singapore.

Singapore is a densely populated country and this poses a high risk for any virus transmission.

I hope that our medical practices and procedures can contain the virus transmission.

Golden Energy - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/13/19 phillip Golden Energy 0.245 0.36 Buy
03/07/19 phillip Golden Energy 0.235 0.3 Buy PER10x
04/26/19 phillip Golden Energy 0.215 0.3 Buy
05/24/19 phillip Golden Energy 0.198 0.24 Accumulate PER10x
06/03/19 phillip Golden Energy 0.198 0.24 Accumulate
07/04/19 phillip Golden Energy 0.225 0.24 Accumulate
08/23/19 phillip Golden Energy 0.188 0.19 Neutral PER10x

Golden Agri - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/03/19 UOB Kay Hian Golden Agri 0.245 0.2 Sell
01/28/19 DMG & Partners Golden Agri 0.27 0.23 Sell Sum of parts, PER10x, cut from $0.39
02/20/19 OCBC Golden Agri 0.255 0.24 Hold
02/27/19 DMG & Partners Golden Agri 0.28 0.23 Sell Sum of parts
02/28/19 UOB Kay Hian Golden Agri 0.28 0.21 Sell
03/01/19 CIMB Golden Agri 0.275 0.23 Reduce Sum of parts (10% discount)
03/01/19 OCBC Golden Agri 0.275 0.27 Hold
04/09/19 OCBC Golden Agri 0.315 0.29 Hold PB0.65x
04/09/19 CIMB Golden Agri 0.315 0.23 Reduce
04/22/19 UOB Kay Hian Golden Agri 0.295 0.21 Sell
05/14/19 OCBC Golden Agri 0.275 0.29 Hold
05/15/19 DMG & Partners Golden Agri 0.275 0.23 Sell Sum of parts
05/27/19 OCBC Golden Agri 0.265 0.27 Hold
05/28/19 CIMB Golden Agri 0.26 0.23 Reduce Sum of parts (10% discount)
05/28/19 UOB Kay Hian Golden Agri 0.26 0.21 Sell
08/16/19 DMG & Partners Golden Agri 0.295 0.22 Sell Sum of parts
08/19/19 OCBC Golden Agri 0.29 0.27 Sell
09/30/19 DMG & Partners Golden Agri 0.23 0.25 Neutral Sum of parts
10/15/19 UOB Kay Hian Golden Agri 0.21 0.16 Sell PER13x FY20
11/14/19 DMG & Partners Golden Agri 0.265 0.25 Neutral Sum of parts
11/15/19 OCBC Golden Agri 0.245 0.26 Hold
11/22/19 UOB Kay Hian Golden Agri 0.235 0.27 Hold
11/22/19 CIMB Golden Agri 0.235 0.23 Reduce Sum of parts (10% discount)
01/20/20 DMG & Partners Golden Agri 0.235 0.27 Buy Sum of parts

GL Ltd - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/07/19 Lim & Tan GL Ltd 0.735 1.76 Buy Sum of parts

Stock calls for 4 February 2020

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/04/20 DBS Vickers A-Reit 3.13 3.45 Buy
02/04/20 DBS Vickers ART 1.26 1.5 Buy
02/04/20 DBS Vickers Ascendas India Trust 1.58 1.65 Buy
02/04/20 DBS Vickers CDL Hospitality 1.56 1.75 Buy
02/04/20 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 2.13 2.38 Neutral DCF
02/04/20 DBS Vickers Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.84 2.95 Buy
02/04/20 DBS Vickers Keppel DC Reit 2.27 2.4 Buy
02/04/20 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.21 1.45 Buy
02/04/20 DBS Vickers Mapletree Industrial 2.78 3 Buy
02/04/20 DBS Vickers Mapletree Logistics 1.85 1.9 Buy
02/04/20 UOB Kay Hian SATS 4.49 4.8 Hold
02/04/20 UOB Kay Hian SIA 8.49 9.1 Hold
02/04/20 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 2.58 3.13 Buy
02/04/20 Amfrasers Soilbuild Reit 0.5 0.55 Neutral
02/04/20 DBS Vickers Starhill 0.715 0.8 Buy DCF
02/04/20 CIMB UMS 0.925 0.96 Hold BVPS
02/04/20 DMG & Partners UOB 25.3 25.8 Neutral GGM, PB1.11x FY20