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Friday, August 9, 2019

The US-China trade war is escalating!

https://www.yahoo.com/news/u-holds-off-huawei-licenses-210704605.html

Timeline of escalation:

The US would impose 10% additional China tariffs on 1 September 2019.

China retaliated by suspending US agricultural purchases and also stopped its support for RMB-US $7 level.

The US withheld Huawei licences.

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We can see that the trade war has metastasized.  The escalation pattern is usually depicted in the following 4 stages.

Trade war -----> Currency war -----> Financial war ------> Economic war

We are currently at the beginning of stage 2 (currency war).

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