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Tuesday, December 21, 2010

Banyan Tree - Analysts don't like this resort!

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

03/01/10 CIMB Banyan Tree 0.69 0.86 Outperform EV/Ebita 12x
05/18/10 CIMB Banyan Tree 0.83 0.8 Underperform
08/16/10 CIMB Banyan Tree 0.85 0.86 Underperform Sum of parts, Cease coverage

03/03/10 DBS Vickers Banyan Tree 0.71 1.04 Buy Sum of parts, EV/Ebita 15x
05/14/10 DBS Vickers Banyan Tree 0.82 0.96 Hold Sum of parts
08/12/10 DBS Vickers Banyan Tree 0.86 0.98 Hold Sum of parts

Monday, December 20, 2010

Avi-Tech - OCBC loves this stock so much.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

01/21/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.19 0.24 Buy NTA1.2x
02/10/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.16 0.24 Buy NTA1.2x
04/09/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.18 0.24 Buy NTA1.2x
05/10/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.18 0.24 Buy NTA1.2x
05/26/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.165 0.24 Buy NTA1.2x
06/08/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.175 0.24 Buy NTA1.2x
06/22/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.19 0.24 Buy Div Yield 6.1%
07/08/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.19 0.24 Buy NTA1.2x
08/31/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.19 0.24 Buy NTA1.2x
09/02/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.19 0.24 Buy
09/13/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.19 0.24 Buy NTA1.2x
10/05/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.21 0.24 Buy NTA1.2x
10/08/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.215 0.28 Buy NTA1.5x
11/12/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.205 0.28 Buy Under Review
11/18/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.19 0.28 Buy NTA
12/07/10 OCBC Avi-Tech 0.19 0.28 Buy NTA1.5x

Ausgroup - A lousy stock!

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

08/11/10 CIMB Ausgroup 0.51 0.47 Underperform PER8.5x
11/15/10 CIMB Ausgroup 0.47 0.46 Underperform PER8.5x


06/28/10 OCBC Ausgroup 0.515 0.45 Hold PER11x
08/24/10 OCBC Ausgroup 0.485 0.45 Hold Cease coverage

Sunday, December 19, 2010

ASL Marine - Downgraded by CIMB & OCBC.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

05/31/10 CIMB ASL Marine 0.78 1.1 Outperform
06/08/10 CIMB ASL Marine 0.8 1.1 Outperform
08/06/10 CIMB ASL Marine 0.87 1.1 Outperform
08/19/10 CIMB ASL Marine 0.9 1.03 Outperform PER7.5x
11/11/10 CIMB ASL Marine 0.9 0.98 Neutral PER7.5x

11/09/10 DnB Nor ASL Marine 0.9 1.35 Buy NAV 1.37, PER4.9x, EV/Ebitda3.4x

08/19/10 Kim Eng ASL Marine 0.895 1.53 Buy
09/13/10 Kim Eng ASL Marine 0.9 1.12 Buy PB1x
11/11/10 Kim Eng ASL Marine 0.9 1.12 Buy
11/26/10 Kim Eng ASL Marine 0.85 1.12 Buy

06/09/10 OCBC ASL Marine 0.8 1.09 Buy
07/08/10 OCBC ASL Marine 0.82 1.09 Buy
07/15/10 OCBC ASL Marine 0.85 1.09 Buy
08/19/10 OCBC ASL Marine 0.895 1.04 Buy
08/25/10 OCBC ASL Marine 0.87 1.04 Buy
09/02/10 OCBC ASL Marine 0.865 1.04 Buy
09/06/10 OCBC ASL Marine 0.88 1.04 Buy
09/13/10 OCBC ASL Marine 0.9 1.09 Buy
09/27/10 OCBC ASL Marine 0.94 1.04 Buy
09/30/10 OCBC ASL Marine 0.93 1.04 Buy
10/04/10 OCBC ASL Marine 0.93 1.04 Buy
11/11/10 OCBC ASL Marine 0.9 0.94 Hold PER9x
12/02/10 OCBC ASL Marine 0.9 0.94 Hold Bonus Issue

Asia Travel - Bad time to travel?

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

07/28/10 DBS Vickers Asiatravel 0.48 0.42 Hold
08/17/10 DBS Vickers Asiatravel 0.46 0.53 Hold DCF
10/13/10 DBS Vickers Asiatravel 0.47 0.63 Hold PER20x
11/23/10 DBS Vickers Asiatravel 0.45 0.63 Buy
11/30/10 DBS Vickers Asiatravel 0.42 0.4 Hold

06/09/10 DMG & Partners Asiatravel 0.35 0.56 Buy
08/03/10 DMG & Partners Asiatravel 0.48 0.56 Buy
08/18/10 DMG & Partners Asiatravel 0.46 0.56 Buy PER23x
10/28/10 DMG & Partners Asiatravel 0.45 0.56 Buy DCF, PER22x

08/16/10 Kim Eng Asiatravel 0.45 0.53 Hold
11/29/10 Kim Eng Asiatravel 0.45 0.47 Hold

Saturday, December 18, 2010

Ascendas India Trust - Can we trust the indians?

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

07/26/10 DBS Vickers Ascendas India Trust 0.985 1.06 Buy
10/25/10 DBS Vickers Ascendas India Trust 1.04 1.08 Hold

07/27/10 JP Morgan Ascendas India Trust 0.96 1.1 Overweight

Ascott Residences Trust (ART) - Some analysts downgraded this ART.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

07/26/10 CIMB ART 1.23 1.35 Outperform DDM
08/23/10 CIMB ART 1.2 1.35 Outperform
10/25/10 CIMB ART 1.24 1.24 Underperform DDM
11/18/10 CIMB ART 1.2 1.24 Underperform DDM

12/13/10 Credit Suisse ART 1.21 1.3 Neutral

07/26/10 DBS Vickers ART 1.23 1.44 Buy
07/28/10 DBS Vickers ART 1.23 1.44 Buy
08/18/10 DBS Vickers ART 1.23 1.44 Buy
08/20/10 DBS Vickers ART 1.23 1.44 Buy
10/25/10 DBS Vickers ART 1.24 1.38 Buy
11/23/10 DBS Vickers ART 1.2 1.38 Buy
12/17/10 DBS Vickers ART 1.22 1.38 Buy

09/06/10 DIR ART 1.16 1.38 Outperform

07/26/10 Kim Eng ART 1.23 1.35 Buy
08/10/10 Kim Eng ART 1.19 1.35
08/10/10 Kim Eng ART 1.18 1.35 Buy DDM
08/11/10 Kim Eng ART 1.18 1.35 Buy DDM
08/23/10 Kim Eng ART 1.2 1.45 Buy
10/26/10 Kim Eng ART 1.25 1.38 Buy

09/15/10 Lim & Tan ART 1.15 0 Buy
11/25/10 Lim & Tan ART 1.19 0 Buy

07/12/10 OCBC ART 1.17 1.32 Buy
07/23/10 OCBC ART 1.24 1.32 Buy
08/06/10 OCBC ART 1.18 1.33 Buy
09/02/10 OCBC ART 1.12 1.33 Buy
09/30/10 OCBC ART 1.15 1.33 Buy
10/12/10 OCBC ART 1.16 1.38 Buy
10/25/10 OCBC ART 1.24 1.38 Buy
12/10/10 OCBC ART 1.23 1.38 Buy

Market analyses for US market (Dow Jones Industrial Average index), Japan market (Nikkei 225 index), Singapore market (Straits Times Index) & Hong Kong maket (Hang Seng Index)

The chart above dated 15/12/10 shows that the 100-day SMA for trading volume has stopped deteriortating which will bode well for the US market.  Coincidentally, US market also responded positively recently.  If the rally is to be sustainable, the 100-day SMA has to keep on improving and I urge investors to be vigilant about this.

The chart above dated 15/12/10 indicates that there is renewed confidence in the japan market which is supported by increasing 100-day SMA for trading volume.  Nikkei also responded very well during this period.

The chart above dated 15/12/10 depicts strong inflow of funds into Singapore with the property and stock markets moving in tandem.  Although STI has fallen from its high, it has not fallen below its low due to strong investor confidence in Singapore.  However, investors have to be beware once the 100-day SMA for trading volume starts to fall.

The chart above dated 15/12/10 indicates the same phemomenon of STI happening to HSI.

Friday, December 17, 2010

Armstrong - This stock is super strong!

06/07/10 CIMB Armstrong 0.39 0.56 Outperform PER9x
06/18/10 CIMB Armstrong 0.43 0.555 Outperform PER9x
08/13/10 CIMB Armstrong 0.42 0.55 Outperform PER9x

05/18/10 DMG & Partners Armstrong 0.39 0.49 Buy PER9.8x
05/19/10 DMG & Partners Armstrong 0.39 0.49 Buy PER9.8x
05/24/10 DMG & Partners Armstrong 0.355 0.49 Buy PER9.8x
06/11/10 DMG & Partners Armstrong 0.45 0.49 Buy
08/16/10 DMG & Partners Armstrong 0.415 0.545 Buy PER10x
11/10/10 DMG & Partners Armstrong 0.44 0.545 Buy PER10x

05/17/10 Kim Eng Armstrong 0.38 0.48 Buy PER11x
06/21/10 Kim Eng Armstrong 0.455 0.57 Buy PER10x
08/13/10 Kim Eng Armstrong 0.415 0.57 Buy PER10x
10/15/10 Kim Eng Armstrong 0.435 0.53 Buy PER10x
11/09/10 Kim Eng Armstrong 0.455 0.53 Buy

05/17/10 Lim & Tan Armstrong 0.38 0 Buy
06/11/10 Lim & Tan Armstrong 0.45 0 Buy
08/13/10 Lim & Tan Armstrong 0.415 0 Buy
09/29/10 Lim & Tan Armstrong 0.435 0 Buy

Ascendas Reit (A-reit) - More hold calls than buy calls.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

07/19/10 CIMB A-Reit 2 2.02 Neutral DDM
10/19/10 CIMB A-Reit 2.11 2.13 Neutral DDM
11/18/10 CIMB A-Reit 2.05 2.13 Neutral DDM

07/19/10 Credit Suisse A-Reit 2 2.33 Outperform

07/01/10 DBS Vickers A-Reit 1.86 2.11 Buy
07/19/10 DBS Vickers A-Reit 2 2.11 Buy
08/18/10 DBS Vickers A-Reit 2.04 2.11 Hold
10/19/10 DBS Vickers A-Reit 2.11 2.19 Hold

07/16/10 DMG & Partners A-Reit 2 2.11 Neutral DDM
07/20/10 DMG & Partners A-Reit 2 2.11 Neutral Div Yield 6.5%
10/19/10 DMG & Partners A-Reit 2.11 2.11 Neutral

07/20/10 Kim Eng A-Reit 2 2.32 Buy
09/14/10 Kim Eng A-Reit 2.29 2.4 Hold
10/20/10 Kim Eng A-Reit 2.1 2.3 Hold

07/12/10 OCBC A-Reit 1.93 1.85 Hold
09/30/10 OCBC A-Reit 2.2 1.85 Hold
11/03/10 OCBC A-Reit 2.1 2.11 Hold
12/10/10 OCBC A-Reit 2.12 2.21 Hold RNAV

09/02/10 RBS A-Reit 2.12 2.55 Buy

Thursday, December 16, 2010

ARA Asset Management - Downgraded by CIMB.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

08/13/10 CIMB ARA Asset Management 1.12 1.35 Outperform Sum of parts
10/27/10 CIMB ARA Asset Management 1.29 1.57 Outperform PER18x
11/11/10 CIMB ARA Asset Management 1.56 1.58 Neutral Sum of parts

07/09/10 DBS Vickers ARA Asset Management 1.12 1.3 Buy Sum of parts
08/13/10 DBS Vickers ARA Asset Management 1.12 1.3 Buy Sum of parts

Anwell - Is everything going well?

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

04/09/10 DMG & Partners Anwell 0.585 0.78 Buy PER8x, PB0.8x
04/12/10 DMG & Partners Anwell 0.635 0.78 Buy PER8x

Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Allgreen - Downgraded by analysts.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

08/13/10 AmFraser Allgreen 1.12 1.45 Buy RNAV
08/30/10 AmFraser Allgreen 1.14 1.45 Hold

08/13/10 CIMB Allgreen 1.12 1.16 Neutral RNAV (25% discount)
11/11/10 CIMB Allgreen 1.21 1.25 Neutral RNAV (25% discount)

07/16/10 DBS Vickers Allgreen 1.1 1.32 Hold

09/07/10 Nomura Allgreen 1.08 1.38 Buy PB0.8x

11/16/10 OCBC Allgreen 1.19 1.34 Hold

09/14/10 UBS Allgreen 1.13 1.13 Neutral

AIM AMP Cap Ind Reit - Hold call by Phillip.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/09/10 phillip AIM AMP Cap Ind Reit 0.215 0.22 Hold
05/14/10 phillip AIM AMP Cap Ind Reit 0.22 0.23 Hold
05/14/10 phillip AIM AMP Cap Ind Reit 0.22 0.23 Hold DCF
08/03/10 phillip AIM AMP Cap Ind Reit 0.225 0.23 Hold
11/01/10 phillip AIM AMP Cap Ind Reit 0.225 0.24 Hold

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Adampak - Buy calls from analysts.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/18/10 DMG & Partners Adampak 0.23 0.295 Buy
03/05/10 DMG & Partners Adampak 0.245 0.31 Buy DDM
05/21/10 DMG & Partners Adampak 0.265 0.35 Buy DDM, PER7.2x
05/24/10 DMG & Partners Adampak 0.26 0.35 Buy DDM, PER7.2x
08/23/10 DMG & Partners Adampak 0.295 0.375 Buy DDM

05/04/10 Lim & Tan Adampak 0.3 0 Buy
05/14/10 Lim & Tan Adampak 0.28 0 Buy
05/20/10 Lim & Tan Adampak 0.265 0 Buy
08/19/10 Lim & Tan Adampak 0.3 0 Buy
11/23/10 Lim & Tan Adampak 0.31 0 Buy

Baltic Dry Index (BDI) - 2095

Quote:

The index, which gauges the cost of shipping commodities including iron ore, cement, grain, coal and fertiliser, fell last week 0.76 per cent, or 16 points, to 2,095 points.

End Quote.

Second Chance - Worth to give a 2nd chance?

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

05/24/10 DMG & Partners 2nd Chance 0.3 0.41 Buy
08/27/10 DMG & Partners 2nd Chance 0.38 0.53 Buy DDM

Monday, December 13, 2010

Ziwo - Buy call by Phillip.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

11/25/10 phillip Ziwo 0.335 0.47 Buy PER6x

Yongnam - Buy calls by analysts

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

03/01/10 CIMB Yongnam 0.26 0.46 Outperform PER10x
03/15/10 CIMB Yongnam 0.27 0.46 Outperform PER10x
03/24/10 CIMB Yongnam 0.26 0.46 Outperform PER10x
04/01/10 CIMB Yongnam 0.27 0.46 Outperform PER10x
05/17/10 CIMB Yongnam 0.25 0.46 Outperform PER10x
08/16/10 CIMB Yongnam 0.235 0.39 Outperform PER8x
10/04/10 CIMB Yongnam 0.27 0.41 Outperform PER8x
10/07/10 CIMB Yongnam 0.31 0.41 Outperform PER8x
11/11/10 CIMB Yongnam 0.305 0.41 Outperform PER8x

10/05/10 DBS Vickers Yongnam 0.27 0.45 Buy PER10x
11/11/10 DBS Vickers Yongnam 0.305 0.47 Buy
12/01/10 DBS Vickers Yongnam 0.28 0.47 Buy PER10x

Sunday, December 12, 2010

Yong Xin - Buy call by Phillip.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/04/10 phillip Yong Xin 0.165 0.29 Buy

02/19/10 phillip Yong Xin 0.18 0.29 Buy DCF, PER6.6x
03/09/10 phillip Yong Xin 0.175 0.29 Buy