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Saturday, October 29, 2016

What does 2016 3rd quarter annualized GDP growth of -4.1% for Singapore mean?

Singapore had released its 3rd quarter annualized GDP growth in 2016 for Singapore which was at -4.1%.  What does this mean?  It means that Singapore GDP has been contracting at an effective rate of  0.9896% per quarter (0.9896^4 = 0.959, 0.959-1 = -4.1%) which is about 1% contraction per quarter on a compounding basis.

If we have a 1% expansion per quarter, it will mean an annualized rate of 4.1% (1.01*1.01*1.01*1.01 = 4.1% or 1.01^4 = 4.1%) on a quarterly compounding basis.  Therefore, annualized rate has a compounding element.  I hope this will clarify your understanding on annualized rate.

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